Quantifying Farmers’ Initiatives and Capacity to Cope with Drought: A Case Study of Xinghe County in Semi-Arid China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Material and Methods
2.1. Overview of the Study Area
2.2. Questionnaire Survey
2.3. Methods
2.3.1. Research Ideas
2.3.2. Indicators of Resources and Initiatives
3. Results
3.1. Smallholders and Tenants’ Capacity to Cope with Drought
3.2. Resources and Initiatives to Resist Drought
3.3. Strategies to Increase Farmers’ Capacity to Cope with Drought
4. Discussion
4.1. Capacity to Cope with Drought with and without Considering Farmers’ Initiatives
4.2. Positive Feedback from Supplementing Farming with Livestock Husbandry
4.3. Improving the Drought Resistance Level in the Region
5. Conclusions
- (1)
- The value of the initiatives and resources by tenants was larger than that by smallholders. Smallholders showed greater initiatives before drought, whereas most of the large tenants did so during drought.
- (2)
- The more resources a farmer has, the greater the farmer’s enthusiasm to lower the adverse impacts of drought (correlation coefficient = 0.49). Generally, the larger the cultivated area, the lower the dependence on agricultural income and the higher the enthusiasm.
- (3)
- In terms of increasing the ability to cope with drought and raising household income, working for wages and livestock husbandry are two better ways of making a livelihood.
- (4)
- To increase the coping capacity of the region as a whole, it is suggested that the tenants be encouraged to grow crops, and that smallholders be encouraged to raise livestock. Land resources and part of the labor force are concentrated in large contracting households—a situation conducive to achieving intensive production and management, reducing the risk of regional agricultural drought, and promoting sustainable development of agriculture.
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Age | Ethnic group | Gender | Education |
|
|
- #Family members____________, #Family members < 14 years old________, # Family members > 70 years old ________;#Family members engaged in agricultural production ________, #Family members going out to work ________.
- Cultivated area_______ Mu (1 Mu = 0.0667 hectares), concrete information on cultivation:
Parcel_ID Type of Crops Area Production Purchase Price 1 2 3 4 5 - Annual average pesticide cost: __________yuan;Annual average fertilizer cost: __________yuan;Annual average seeds cost: __________yuan;Annual average irrigation cost: __________yuan.
- # Cows_______, # Sheep_______, # Horses / Donkeys_______, # Pigs ______.
- Total family income: ____________yuan, Agricultural income: _________yuan, Income from wages: _________yuan, Government subsidy: _________yuan.
- Average annual loss due to drought: ___________yuan.
- Type of water supply (multiple choice):
- Tap water supply throughout the day
- Well owned by the farmer
- Tap water supply at fixed hours
- Public well
- Other types: ______
- Channel of information on prior warnings of drought (multiple choice):
- Short messaging service (SMS)
- Television
- Internet
- Newspaper
- Other types: ______
- Access to market (multiple choice):
- On-site buying by wholesalers
- Selling to retailers
- Selling by the farmer directly
- Signed contract with a company
- E. Not for sale
- Frequency of buying agricultural insurance:
- Rarely
- Occasionally
- Often
- Annually
Please Give Your Score According to the Actual Situation Degree of Initiative 1 2 3 4 5 Focus on planting technology Contributing to the maintenance of public water facilities Focus on weather information Attention to crop growth Seeking emergency water sources Combating secondary disasters associated with drought Focus on sales channels for farm produce Efforts to increase income Summarizing the experience and learning from it and sharing relevant information with others
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Indicators | Description |
---|---|
Ecological factors | Mainly include such indicators related to the climate, environment, etc. as climatic variables, quality of the cultivated land, water resources, frequency of disasters, and fluctuations in crop yield [16,17,18]. |
Physical factors | Mainly include such material possessions of farmers, in finite quantities, as grain reserves, livestock, extent of cultivated land, and machinery [19,20,21]. |
Social factors | Mainly include such indicators of a farmer’s social connections as membership of social networks, market channels, and availability of technical support in raising crops [22,23]. |
Economic factors | Mainly include such indicators that reflect the economic situation of the household as household assets, income per capita, production costs, and diversity of sources of income [24,25]. |
Family structure | Mainly includes such indicators related to attributes of family members as family labor, the number of dependent members, and the level of education [26,27,28]. |
Farming experience | Mainly includes such components of the cropping system and farming experience as the number of years of experience with a given crop, timing and doses of fertilizers, and pest control [29,30,31]. |
Coping with Drought | Resources and Initiatives | Indicators | Measure | Mean | Std. | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Objective resource (OR) | Economic (ER) | Investment in agriculture (ER1), in yuans | Total investment on seeds, fertilizers, pesticides, and irrigation inputs | 40809 | 190020 | 0.068 |
Per capita income (ER2), in yuans | Total family income (comprising state subsidy, agricultural income, and wages or salaries if any) divided by total number of family members | 49123 | 178702 | 0.067 | ||
Proportion of agricultural income (ER3) | Shares of livestock and crops in total family income | 0.63 | 0.28 | 0.010 | ||
Frequency of buying agricultural insurance (SR1) | Annually = 4, Often = 3, Occasionally = 2, Rarely = 1 | 3.51 | 1.09 | 0.026 | ||
Social (SR) | Channel of information on prior warnings of drought (SR2) | Internet = 5, Short messaging service (SMS) = 4, Television = 3, Newspapers = 2, Other sources = 1 (Multi-channel scores are the sum of scores of different channels.) | 3.61 | 2.07 | 0.022 | |
Access to market (SR3) | Signed contract with a company = 4, Selling by the farmer directly = 3, Selling to retailers = 2, On-site buying by wholesalers = 1, Not for sale = 0 (Multi-channel scores are the sum of scores of different channels.) | 0.87 | 0.90 | 0.090 | ||
Human (HR) | Education (HR1) | College and above = 4, High school = 3, Middle school = 2, Primary school = 1, Illiterate = 0 | 1.41 | 0.94 | 0.079 | |
Youth and old-age dependency ratio (HR2) | Proportion of family members younger than 14 years or older than 70 years | 0.18 | 0.30 | 0.029 | ||
Proportion of agricultural labor (HR3) | Proportion of family labor in total labor engaged in crop production | 0.67 | 0.29 | 0.031 | ||
Material (PR) | Farm size (PR1), in hectares | Total planted area for all types of crops | 5.99 | 14.99 | 0.115 | |
Crop diversity (PR2) | As represented by the Shannon-Wiener Index | 1.34 | 0.71 | 0.017 | ||
Access to safe drinking water (PR3) | Tap water supply throughout the day = 5, Well owned by the farmer = 4, Tap water supply at fixed hours = 3, Public well = 2, Other sources = 1 (Multi-source scores are the sum of scores of different sources.) | 3.60 | 0.92 | 0.006 | ||
Subjective initiative (SI) | Preparation before drought (PB) | Focus on farming technology (PB1) | The degree of initiative from high to low scored from 5 to 1; the assigned score is the average score of the factor. | 2.83 | 1.85 | 0.071 |
Contributing to the maintenance of public water facilities (PB2) | 3.32 | 1.69 | 0.041 | |||
Focus on weather information (PB3) | 4.23 | 1.35 | 0.015 | |||
Response during drought (RD) | Attention to crop growth (RD1) | 4.40 | 1.17 | 0.008 | ||
Seeking emergency water sources (RD2) | 1.92 | 1.57 | 0.115 | |||
Combating secondary disasters associated with drought (RD3) | 3.08 | 1.82 | 0.047 | |||
Recovery after drought (RA) | Focus on sales channels for farm produce (RA1) | 2.00 | 1.48 | 0.044 | ||
Efforts to increase income (RA2) | 1.67 | 1.35 | 0.065 | |||
Summarizing the experience and learning from it and sharing relevant information with others (RA3) | 2.46 | 1.71 | 0.034 |
Category (Main Source of Income) | No. of Farmers | Proportion (%) | Resources | Initiatives | Coping Ability | Average Annual Household Income (Yuan) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Government subsidy (GS) | 132 | 20.76 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.23 | 16,229.42 |
Wages earned as migrant labor (ML) | 85 | 13.36 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.29 | 34,512.51 |
Livestock husbandry (LH) | 89 | 14.00 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.28 | 39,398.73 |
Planted land (PL) | 245 | 38.52 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.28 | 20,483.61 |
Tenants | 85 | 13.36 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.46 | 811,503.25 |
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Guo, H.; Wu, Y.; Shang, Y.; Yu, H.; Wang, J. Quantifying Farmers’ Initiatives and Capacity to Cope with Drought: A Case Study of Xinghe County in Semi-Arid China. Sustainability 2019, 11, 1848. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11071848
Guo H, Wu Y, Shang Y, Yu H, Wang J. Quantifying Farmers’ Initiatives and Capacity to Cope with Drought: A Case Study of Xinghe County in Semi-Arid China. Sustainability. 2019; 11(7):1848. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11071848
Chicago/Turabian StyleGuo, Hao, Yaoyao Wu, Yanrui Shang, Hao Yu, and Jing’ai Wang. 2019. "Quantifying Farmers’ Initiatives and Capacity to Cope with Drought: A Case Study of Xinghe County in Semi-Arid China" Sustainability 11, no. 7: 1848. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11071848