1. Introduction
Escalating global temperatures and the heightened frequency and intensity of heat waves (HWs) have become prominent focal points in climate change research, with significant implications for health, energy, and ecological aspects [
1,
2,
3]. Officially confirmed by international datasets as the warmest year on record, 2023 underscores the urgency of addressing these climatic shifts [
4,
5]. The latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report highlights the robust evidence of increased warm days and extreme temperatures globally, with a particular emphasis on HWs in the southern Mediterranean [
6].
In this context, the Mediterranean region stands out as a heat hotspot, experiencing a rising trend in the average intensity and frequency of HWs, along with an increase in minimum temperatures [
7,
8,
9]. In particular, this forecast has direct effects, especially in urban areas, which, among other impacts, result in heat stress and related issues detrimental to human well-being [
10,
11,
12]. Notably, higher surface temperature values are associated with increased risk of mortality and morbidity during heat waves [
13,
14,
15]. In this context, green areas can play a crucial role in outdoor environments, effectively mitigating high temperatures and providing a protective shield against heat-related impacts [
16]. The significance of green spaces becomes particularly evident in Mediterranean climate cities, as revealed by a health impact assessment conducted by Iungman et al. (2023). That study showed how cities with low cooling index scores, such as Athens, Valencia, Seville, Palermo, Málaga, and Madrid, experienced elevated mortality rates due to heat stress. Specifically, the effect of summer on annual attributable deaths (95% CI) ranged from 12.39% in Málaga to 14.82% in Barcelona. Moreover, an increase in tree coverage demonstrated its potential to generate a notable decrease in summer preventable deaths, as seen in Murcia with a reduction of 29.85% (95% CI) [
17]. Additionally, previous research in the Mediterranean region emphasizes effective and very specific strategies at different scales to face these challenges. At the microscale level, establishing and promoting habitable spaces, such as courtyards, and implementing shading strategies have demonstrated positive outcomes during HW episodes [
18,
19]. Increasing green spaces with vegetation at a local level has also been demonstrated as a successful measure [
20]. Ultimately, applicable across all scales within urban areas and serving as more comprehensive strategies to adapt and mitigate the impacts of HWs, are nature-based solutions [
21,
22]. As a nature-based solution, management of urban green infrastructure (UGI) areas provides highly effective outcomes in adapting urban areas to the anticipated challenges posed by future HWs [
23]. While increasing vegetation and greening strategies in UGI areas represent a well-fitted adaptation and mitigation strategy, additional research becomes crucial to determine the most suitable UGI for specific urban areas to strengthen the buffer capacity against the impacts of warm spells [
24,
25].
In a recent study conducted by Delgado et al. in 2023, an in-depth investigation into the cooling capacity of green spaces during HW episodes was undertaken [
26]. This involved a meticulous examination of the correlation between land surface temperature (LST) and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index. Despite some existing pitfalls in the literature that suggest a potential link between “warm surfaces” and “high air temperatures”, particularly in urban heat-island-related studies, LST is considered a reliable proxy for air temperature and thermal comfort [
27,
28,
29,
30]. In addition to the quantity, health, and type of vegetation, LST values respond to urban land surface properties by detecting variations in spectral reflectance between built-up or impervious surfaces and the brightness of surface or bare soil cover [
31]. Building upon this understanding, the premise of the current study is grounded. It posits that small green spaces strategically distributed across urban areas could play a pivotal role in mitigating the impacts of HW episodes, especially in medium-sized compact cities within the Mediterranean region. In Delgado et al. (2023) [
26], these smaller green spaces exhibited greater cooling capacity against extreme temperatures during HWs compared to medium-sized patches (with extensions ranging from 10,000 m
2 to 100,000 m
2), including small forests, dense shrubs, grasslands, or parks. Additionally, they showed better cooling capacity compared to areas with linear spatial distributions that connect larger-sized patches (with extensions exceeding 100,000 m
2), such as urban forests, to medium-sized ones. While it is commonly acknowledged that larger urban parks exhibit a higher cooling effect intensity, as indicated by the temperature difference compared to vegetation-free urban areas [
32], smaller urban green spaces stand out for their capability to extend cooling effects over a greater distance than some larger areas, which enhances benefits at the microsite level, such as within neighborhoods or residential clusters [
33,
34]. These smaller green spaces have the potential to significantly and effectively reduce the LST in their surroundings, contributing to the improvement in the urban thermal environment, particularly in high-density urban settings [
35]. With this backdrop, optimizing the cooling effects of these small urban green spaces requires a detailed understanding of their types and composition elements [
36]. However, the design and composition elements of these UGI assets poses challenges, encompassing factors such as adaptability to extreme [
37], sudden, and fluctuating weather conditions, and considerations of the physical footprint [
38,
39], potential ecosystem disservices [
40], accessibility [
41], or the influence of size and design on perceived well-being [
42].
In this context, the primary objective of the current study is twofold. Firstly, it aims to identify the compositional patterns of small public green spaces scattered heterogeneously throughout the urban matrix, showcasing enhanced capacity to ameliorate the impact of HWs in the Mediterranean region, as indicated by previous research [
26]. Secondly, this study aims to evaluate the association, direction, and explanatory strength in the relationship between the composition elements of the UGI areas under study and the area typology, concerning the variation of LST values during HW episodes spanning from 2017 to 2023. Finally, the research strives to elucidate which components of these smaller green areas and what typology of green space enhance the buffer capacity against the impacts of warm spells, thereby providing valuable insights into the ongoing discourse on urban heat mitigation strategies.
4. Discussion
This study carried out an investigation into the variability of land surface temperature (LST) values during different heat wave (HW) episodes from 2017 to 2023 in the city of Granada. The analysis focused on target areas within the urban green infrastructure (UGI), specifically on smaller public urban green spaces (SPUGS), characterized by varying percentages of different compositional elements. To address the existing challenges in the interpretation of LST values and the relationship with the capability of UGI assets to mitigate heat stress derived from higher surface temperatures [
72], the study considered spatio-temporal scales and thermal comfort aspects.
The observed trend in the intensity and duration of HW in our study area aligns with the findings of existing research in the Mediterranean region [
73]. Following the most intense HW episode (25 July to 2 August 2020), where 98.83% of areas recorded values above 39.01 °C, a slightly upward trend was observed thereafter. The last three episodes recorded in July 2022 and August 2023 registered LST values for all areas that fell into the upper ranges, surpassing the 39.01 °C threshold. (
Figure 2,
Table 3). In addition to the increased intensity, the affected area during HW tended to expand, consistent with similar findings in the Mediterranean region [
74]. While most target areas recorded LST values below 39.01 °C in the initial episodes (2017–2019), more than 75% of the areas registered values above 37.01 °C from episodes in August 2020 onwards, reaching this proportion in over 96% of the last episodes during the years 2022 and 2023 (
Table 3). Specifically, the average extent of HWs in the Iberian Peninsula is expected to range from 6% to 8% per decade in the near future [
75]. This increasing trend in spatial extent of HWs under future climate conditions implies heightened human exposure among other associated effects such as ecological, natural risk, and energy impacts [
76,
77].
Regarding the statistical analysis of the relationship between reached LST ranges and composition elements, the ordinal regression models did not yield statistically significant results for episode HW8, the most intense one. Episode HW8, spanning from 25 July to 2 August 2020, presented the highest land surface temperature (LST) values during the study period. In comparison to the year 2023, the year 2020 had the highest average temperatures recorded in the months leading up August [
78]. Exploring further the particularity of HW8, it is noteworthy to acknowledge that previous analyses conducted in the Mediterranean region underscored the significant role of variables predicting and influencing LST, especially solar radiation at the same geographical point and elevation [
79]. Solar radiation, especially during the hours for which we retrieved data for this study, is affected not only by climate factors, such as temperature, relative humidity, wind direction, precipitation, wind speed, and cloud cover, but also by the presence of air pollutants [
80]. In this context, considering the most intense heatwaves, HW8 (July 2020) and HW16 (August 2023), the air quality in July 2020, preceding HW8, was worse than that in August 2023, preceding HW16. Specifically, and for indicative purposes, 45.2% of days in July 2020 exhibited regular or poor air quality (based on the European Air Quality Index) [
81], whereas the percentage of days with regular or poor air quality was 29% in August 2023 [
82]. This observation might suggest that air quality and pollution levels preceding a heat wave may exacerbate LST values. Furthermore, the role of smaller green spaces in their interactions with air quality becomes even more relevant [
83,
84]. Additionally, it would be interesting to investigate if, under extreme heat conditions like those of this episode, thermal stress is so severe that only strategies like shading [
85] or ventilation [
86] prove to be the most effective in mitigating the impacts of warm spells.
However, the regression model based on the percentage of composition elements did provide significant information for the remaining episodes (
Table 6). Vegetation composition elements, represented by the independent variables trees and shrubs, contributed significantly to explaining the avoidance of reaching the highest LST range. This highlights the effective role of trees and shrubs in mitigating extreme LST values [
87]. The observed capability of trees to decrease the logarithmic probability of reaching the highest LST range (above 41.01 °C) is particularly effective in Mediterranean regions [
88,
89]; this is also the case for shrubs and other smaller-sized species [
90], which showed a statistically significant capacity to decrease the log odds of reaching the highest LST range in our study, albeit in fewer episodes. This capacity reached its peak strength in the least intense episode (HW7), where trees and impervious surfaces showed significant results. This association of variables might, on occasion, generate this negative direction in the relative probability of reaching higher LST values [
91].
The presence of cobblestone, gravel, and pebbles (C/G/P) pavements as a composition element showed significant coefficients with a negative direction in episodes HW1, HW5, HW6, HW9, and HW15. The significance and directional relationship observed for the variable “C/G/P” in the model considering all episodes suggest that the presence of this type of surface might favor a decrease in the relative probability of falling within the LST range of maximum values, corresponding to the hottest one (above 41 °C), and could help counteract warming and the impact of hot extremes [
92,
93]. Aggregates of light-colored C/G/P have intrinsic high albedo and emittance [
94], which are key characteristics for maintaining lower surface temperatures when exposed to solar radiation and reducing surface and air temperatures [
35,
95]. In this study, this outcome aligns with findings obtained in the Mediterranean region, where highly reflective materials have demonstrated effectiveness in reducing surface temperature and mitigating the impacts of heat waves [
96]. However, pavements of C/G/P may not be the most suitable in terms of usability, physical barrier management, and coverage guidelines of universal urban green area design [
97,
98].
The only composition element that presented a positive coefficient, and therefore a predicted increase in the log odds of reaching the highest LST range, was herbaceous species and grass in the HW11 episode (June 2022). According to the official regional environmental information network for the study area (Environmental Information Network of Andalusia—REDIAM), within the years under consideration in the study, 2022 in Granada exhibited, on the on hand, the highest vegetation water stress index (ratio between stressed and non-stressed vegetation) and, on the other hand, one of the lowest monthly average precipitations for the month of June (1.3 L/m
2) [
99]. Herbaceous vegetation and grass can reach very high temperatures in the absence of evapotranspiration, and their positive impact on air temperature and, consequently, pedestrian heat stress, strongly rely on irrigation, so when this type of land cover becomes dry, the surface temperature can increase, negating its positive impact [
100,
101].
Composition elements, such as soil and buildings, both with the lowest average coverage percentages (
Table 4), were found to be not significant predictors of LST variation. Specifically, concerning the soil composition element, the outcomes differed from potentially expected results, as dry and heat-stressed soil typically contributes to a positive feedback of increased air and surface temperatures [
102,
103]. Regarding buildings, the types found in the target areas are mainly kiosks or small maintenance infrastructures, and the lack of significance could be related to, besides their limited presence, the specific types of buildings identified, as low-height structures might not contribute significantly to heat stress [
104]. Similarly, pervious surfaces were also identified as not significant predictors of LST variation. In this case, the relatively low presence in the target areas might explain the lack of significance, as their effects become more noticeable when larger extensions are present [
105] or in climates with milder temperatures than the Mediterranean region, featuring limited seasonal variations and more evenly distributed precipitation throughout the year [
106].
The identified area types resulting from clustering exhibit similarities with other studies that classify green infrastructure typologies based on impervious, pervious, and mixed pavements combining different vegetation types (trees, grass, and shrubs) with irrigated and non-irrigated surfaces [
107], studies where urban green areas categories are based on usage (commercial, residential, or mixed-use) [
108], or studies using local climate zones characterized by building typology and the amount of vegetated surface as drivers for heat-stress-related research [
109]. However, the area types obtained after clustering in this study are more specific to the study area, which enhances the granularity and accuracy of the study, aligning it more closely with the actual conditions and features of the local UGI.
The regression models exploring the relationship between LST values and the type of area defined after clustering demonstrated statistical significance (sig. model fitting information < 0.05) for all episodes (except HW1, HW7, and HW9) and for all episodes as a whole. Using areas defined as “Vegetated patches and public areas with scattered trees and shrubs, mainly occupied by herbaceous vegetation and grass” (HVP) as a reference, which exhibited higher average LST values (
Figure 3), all other area types consistently performed better in terms of reducing the relative probability of reaching LST Range 5 (over 41 °C) (
Table 7). Thus, this result could be interpreted as indicating a lower cooling effectiveness of the HVP areas. This may be attributed to their heavy reliance on substantial irrigation for herbaceous and grass covers, which is often challenging in climates like that of the study area, where soil water availability is frequently a limiting factor [
110].
Consistent with previous research, among the technologies for reducing both air and surface temperatures and consequently improving outdoor thermal comfort, including cool pavements, greenery, solar control, shading, or spray systems, the combination of these technologies provides better outcomes than the use of technologies individually in terms of thermal comfort improvement [
111]. In particular, urban greenery, especially trees, as well as the combination of trees and hedges, have a high potential for mitigating heat stress. However, non-vegetated surfaces, such as reflective pavements, also have a cooling effect, and combined with greening strategies, the capacity to reduce the effect of extreme temperatures can be enhanced [
112].
Notably, traditional squares and parks, characterized by semipermeable pavements made of cobblestones, gravel, or pebbles, along with the presence of trees and small scattered garden areas with shrubbery (TSQ), exhibited statistically significant associations with attained temperatures compared to HVP areas. The coefficients displayed by TSQ areas showed a consistently negative relationship in each HW episode (except HW1 and HW9) and when considering all episodes. This negative relationship suggests their potential capacity to decrease the relative probability of surpassing LST values of 41 °C. These areas feature surfaces composed of high-albedo reflective pavements with porous interstitial spaces, representing a structural coverage type that has a significant influence in reducing heat stress, at both surface and air levels, by increasing cooling effectiveness [
113,
114]. Furthermore, the stronger direction of the relationship observed for TSQ areas compared to areas with more vegetation, such as PPG areas, highlights how the cooling potential of urban trees may not be that high during warm spells, particularly in the Mediterranean region, where projected drying summers can potentially reduce vegetation benefits, making the influence of high-albedo materials, like C/G/P pavements, more relevant in this region [
115]. In this context, it is noteworthy that, while the regression model does not yield significant parameters in the variation of LST for individual composition elements during HW8 (the most intense episode) (
Table 6), it does so for traditional square (TSQ) areas in that specific warm spell (
Table 7). The distinctive behavior of TSQ areas, compared to others during this particular episode, could be attributed to two main factors. On the one hand, the presence of reflective pavements on urban ground surfaces has been demonstrated to significantly reduce surface temperatures and convective heat release into the surrounding air so they have can offer widespread cooling benefits [
116,
117]. On the other hand, for effective heat stress reduction, a combination of greenery strategies and the use of cool building materials, such as urban paving with heat-resistant designs, can contribute to the cooling capacity of urban settings during heat wave episodes [
118]. The synergistic integration of highly reflective materials with street trees, as observed in our study in TSQ areas, appears to be a highly effective approach for ambient air cooling and managing increased reflected solar radiation [
119]. Additionally, combining street trees with cool pavements is demonstrated to be an efficient method for preserving pedestrians’ outdoor thermal comfort, particularly in the Mediterranean climate [
104].
Compared to HVP areas, parks and garden areas mainly occupied by trees with hedge gardens (PPG) and pedestrian and transit areas with presence of trees and impervious pavements (PIT) showed similar results and were more likely to indicate a decrease in the relative probability of exceeding LST ranges over 41 °C from episode HW10 onwards (with an exception in episode HW12 for PPG). Regarding PPG areas, results of this study are consistent with previous research proving the capacity of vegetation in the Mediterranean dense urban matrix to mitigate the impacts of HW episodes’ heat stress conditions [
17,
120,
121]. However, considering all episodes, only in PIT areas did the coefficients indicate a statistically significant negative direction in the log odds probability of surpassing 41 °C (LST range 5). Despite the capacity of PPG areas to ameliorate the impact of warm spells, mainly due to the presence of trees, they may not fully compensate for the effects of impervious surfaces in reducing LST. These effects can persist beyond the night hours (note that the retrieved Landsat images were acquired in the morning hours), and the determination of a location’s LST and, consequently, its microclimate conditions, may not solely depend on the extent of tree cover but also on the presence of shade [
110,
122]. Additionally, the presence of plastic-based impervious surface coatings (rubber and cast rubber) in PPG areas excessively increases LST values, generating extreme surface temperatures [
123]. Furthermore, the combination of pavements found in PIT areas, along with the inclusion of trees, can create highly effective conditions to alleviate the effects of episodes of extreme heat in certain urban geometries [
124]. These considerations would indicate the importance of planning new UGI areas and rethinking the designs of existing ones, to enhance well-being conditions during extreme heat episodes [
125]. Furthermore, the significance of strategically placing vegetation in heat-exposed areas seems to be more effective in mitigating the impacts of HW than merely aiming for an increase in the percentage of green coverage [
126].
Finally, the regression models based on the orientation of the areas suggests that this variable is not a significant predictor in the variability of LST values during the recorded HW episodes, despite orientation being a condition that can potentially influence the impacts of warm spells due to its influence on the duration of shading periods and urban ventilation [
57]. The lack of significance in this study could be attributed to the fact that orientation tends to be more influential in linear geometries, such as street canyons or connectors between UGI patches [
127,
128]. It is indeed important to acknowledge certain limitations in this study. Firstly, ventilation and shade effects were not considered as independent variables in the regression models. The absence of these factors might introduce some level of incompleteness to the assessment, as both ventilation and shading can significantly influence local microclimates and subsequently impact LST values. Future studies could benefit from incorporating these variables to provide a more comprehensive understanding of the thermal dynamics in urban green spaces during HW episodes. Furthermore, there are additional variables that warrant further investigation for a more nuanced analysis. Among these, the typology and phenology of plant species emerge as crucial factors influencing their adaptability and resilience to present and future climatic conditions. A more detailed exploration of these aspects could contribute valuable insights into the effectiveness of different vegetation types in mitigating HW impacts throughout UGI areas in Mediterranean urban environments [
129,
130,
131]. Additionally, it is worth noting that nighttime conditions provide complementary information for a more exhaustive evaluation of the urban green spaces’ cooling effects across the entire diurnal cycle. In subsequent research, examining the impact of external factors beyond UGI management, such as meteorological conditions (e.g., atmospheric circulation and cloudiness) and air quality, and considering urban planning and architecture for both existing and newly developed areas, could offer valuable insights into the influence on LST.