Invasive Pest and Invasive Host: Where Might Spotted-Wing Drosophila (Drosophila suzukii) and American Black Cherry (Prunus serotina) Cross Paths in Europe?
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Occurrence Records
2.2. Predictors in the Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
2.3. Model Construction
2.4. Range Shifts of the Two Species
3. Results
3.1. Model Reliability
3.2. Relative Importance of Predictors
3.3. Range Shifts of Spotted-Wing Drosophila
3.4. Range Shifts of American Black Cherry
3.5. Potential Range Overlap between the Pest and Its Host
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Spotted-Wing Drosophila | American Black Cherry | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Category | Predictors | Importance Values | Category | Predictors | Importance Values |
Climate predictors | MTCQ | 0.534 | Climate predictors | MTCM | 0.441 |
Land-use predictors | URBAN | 0.179 | Climate predictors | MTWS | 0.108 |
Climate predictors | MTWM | 0.094 | Land-use predictors | PRIMFL | 0.052 |
Climate predictors | TAR | 0.092 | Land-use predictors | URBAN | 0.031 |
Host availability | HAVA | 0.036 | Climate predictors | PWS | 0.030 |
Climate predictors | PDM | 0.035 | Land-use predictors | SECDNL | 0.024 |
Climate predictors | ISO | 0.031 | Land-use predictors | PRIMN | 0.019 |
Climate predictors | PWS | 0.027 | Land-use predictors | PASTER | 0.018 |
Climate predictors | PS | 0.023 | Topographical predictors | SLOP | 0.015 |
Climate predictors | PCQ | 0.022 | Topographical predictors | ELEV | 0.013 |
Land-use predictors | SECDF | 0.019 | Land-use predictors | CROPL | 0.012 |
Land-use predictors | PRIMFL | 0.017 | Climate predictors | MTWETS | 0.011 |
Land-use predictors | CROPL | 0.015 | Climate predictors | PS | 0.007 |
Climate predictors | MTWETS | 0.008 | Land-use predictors | RANG | 0.007 |
Land-use predictors | PASTR | 0.007 | Climate predictors | PDS | 0.007 |
Topographical predictors | ELEV | 0.007 | Land-use predictors | SECDFL | 0.006 |
Land-use predictors | SECDNL | 0.006 | Climate predictors | MDR | 0.004 |
Land-use predictors | PRIMN | 0.006 | Topographical predictors | ASP | 0.003 |
Land-use predictors | RANG | 0.006 | |||
Topographical predictors | ASP | 0.005 |
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Zhou, Y.; Wu, C.; Nie, P.; Feng, J.; Hu, X. Invasive Pest and Invasive Host: Where Might Spotted-Wing Drosophila (Drosophila suzukii) and American Black Cherry (Prunus serotina) Cross Paths in Europe? Forests 2024, 15, 206. https://doi.org/10.3390/f15010206
Zhou Y, Wu C, Nie P, Feng J, Hu X. Invasive Pest and Invasive Host: Where Might Spotted-Wing Drosophila (Drosophila suzukii) and American Black Cherry (Prunus serotina) Cross Paths in Europe? Forests. 2024; 15(1):206. https://doi.org/10.3390/f15010206
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhou, Yefu, Chunhong Wu, Peixiao Nie, Jianmeng Feng, and Xiaokang Hu. 2024. "Invasive Pest and Invasive Host: Where Might Spotted-Wing Drosophila (Drosophila suzukii) and American Black Cherry (Prunus serotina) Cross Paths in Europe?" Forests 15, no. 1: 206. https://doi.org/10.3390/f15010206