You are currently viewing a new version of our website. To view the old version click .
Algorithms
  • This is an early access version, the complete PDF, HTML, and XML versions will be available soon.
  • Article
  • Open Access

9 December 2025

Forecasting Fossil Energy Price Dynamics with Deep Learning: Implications for Global Energy Security and Financial Stability

School of Business and Economics, Westminster International University in Tashkent, Tashkent 100047, Uzbekistan
This article belongs to the Special Issue AI Applications and Modern Industry

Abstract

This study investigates the application of advanced deep learning models to forecast fossil energy prices, a critical factor influencing global economic stability. Unlike previous research, this study conducts a comparative analysis of Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and Deep Neural Network (DNN) models. The evaluation metrics employed include Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results reveal that recurrent architectures, particularly GRU, LSTM, and Bi-LSTM, consistently outperform feedforward and convolutional models, demonstrating superior ability to capture temporal dependencies and nonlinear dynamics in energy markets. In contrast, the RNN and DNN show relatively weaker generalization capabilities. Additionally, visualizations of actual versus predicted prices for each model further emphasize superior forecasting accuracy of recurrent models. The results highlight the potential of deep learning in enhancing investment and policy decisions. Additionally, the results provide significant implications for policymakers and investors by emphasizing the value of accurate energy price forecasting in mitigating market volatility, improving portfolio management, and supporting evidence-based energy policies.

Article Metrics

Citations

Article Access Statistics

Multiple requests from the same IP address are counted as one view.