Decomposition Analysis of Energy-Related Industrial CO2 Emissions in China
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Data Set and Estimation
Energy Type | IPCC coefficients (kgC/GJ) | Adopted coefficients (tC/tce) |
---|---|---|
Coal | 25.8 | 0.7552 |
Coke | 29.2 | 0.8547 |
Crude Oil | 20.0 | 0.5854 |
Gasoline | 18.9 | 0.5913 |
Kerosene | 19.6 | 0.5737 |
Diesel Oil | 20.2 | 0.5913 |
Fuel Oil | 21.1 | 0.6176 |
Natural Gas | 15.3 | 0.4479 |
3. Methodology
3.1. Decomposition Model for CO2 Emissions in Industrial Internal Sectors
Variable | Implication | Variable | Implication |
---|---|---|---|
C | Total amount of CO2 emissions | P | Total population |
Cij | The amount of CO2 emitted by fossil fuel j consumed in sector i | CIij | CIij = Cij/Eij, carbon emissions coefficient for fossil fuels j in sector i |
Ei | Total amount of fossil fuel consumed in sector i | ESij | ESij = Eij/Ei, ratio of fossil fuel j to total fossil fuels in sector i |
Eij | The amount of fossil fuel j consumed in sector i | EIi | EIi = Ei/Yi, energy intensity of sector i |
Y | Total industrial output | YSi | YSi = Yi/Y, share of economic output in sector i in total industrial output |
Yi | Economic output of sector i | PCG | Per capita GDP |
3.2. Decomposition Model for CO2 Emissions in Different Sectors
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Decomposition Analysis of Energy-Related Industrial CO2 Emissions
Year | Total | Energy structure | Energy intensity | Economic structure | Economic activity | Population | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ΔC | dtotal | ΔCES | dES | ΔCEI | dEI | ΔCYS | dYS | ΔCPCG | dPCG | ΔCP | dP | |
1986 | 2,416.20 | 100% | 57.01 | 2.36% | −1,174.05 | −48.59% | 282.38 | 11.69% | 2,652.51 | 109.78% | 598.34 | 24.76% |
1987 | 5,995.85 | 100% | 168.94 | 2.82% | −2,847.62 | −47.49% | 872.78 | 14.56% | 6,517.65 | 108.70% | 1,284.10 | 21.42% |
1988 | 9,236.44 | 100% | 189.69 | 2.05% | −6,064.83 | −65.66% | 2,465.38 | 26.69% | 10,652.69 | 115.33% | 1,993.51 | 21.58% |
1989 | 11,955.49 | 100% | 277.49 | 2.32% | −5,813.45 | −48.63% | 2,923.00 | 24.45% | 11,856.04 | 99.17% | 2,712.42 | 22.69% |
1990 | 13,212.04 | 100% | 389.53 | 2.95% | −6,302.61 | −47.70% | 2,724.52 | 20.62% | 12,977.49 | 98.22% | 3,423.13 | 25.91% |
1991 | 16,378.96 | 100% | 430.75 | 2.63% | −10,190.11 | −62.21% | 5,149.27 | 31.44% | 16,890.79 | 103.12% | 4,098.26 | 25.02% |
1992 | 19,997.38 | 100% | 469.18 | 2.35% | −17,316.68 | −86.59% | 8,459.09 | 42.30% | 23,640.69 | 118.22% | 4,745.09 | 23.73% |
1993 | 24,271.84 | 100% | 511.20 | 2.11% | −23,982.48 | −98.81% | 11,560.61 | 47.63% | 30,757.59 | 126.72% | 5,424.92 | 22.35% |
1994 | 29,403.84 | 100% | 554.32 | 1.89% | −30,009.41 | −102.06% | 14,771.64 | 50.24% | 37,943.97 | 129.04% | 6,143.31 | 20.89% |
1995 | 34,887.18 | 100% | 765.71 | 2.19% | −33,776.88 | −96.82% | 16,671.25 | 47.79% | 44,357.42 | 127.15% | 6,869.68 | 19.69% |
1996 | 38,888.68 | 100% | 733.06 | 1.89% | −38,884.55 | −99.99% | 18,435.52 | 47.41% | 50,921.97 | 130.94% | 7,682.67 | 19.76% |
1997 | 38,827.83 | 100% | 281.59 | 0.73% | −46,021.17 | −118.53% | 19,668.22 | 50.65% | 56,512.94 | 145.55% | 8,386.24 | 21.60% |
1998 | 34,837.26 | 100% | 316.93 | 0.91% | −50,164.52 | −144.00% | 19,016.69 | 54.59% | 57,222.29 | 164.26% | 8,445.87 | 24.24% |
1999 | 35,357.59 | 100% | 526.96 | 1.49% | −50,832.35 | −143.77% | 18,567.06 | 52.51% | 58,549.40 | 165.59% | 8,546.50 | 24.17% |
2000 | 37,411.77 | 100% | 399.36 | 1.07% | −56,460.74 | −150.92% | 19,739.99 | 52.76% | 64,529.73 | 172.49% | 9,203.42 | 24.60% |
2001 | 39,171.90 | 100% | 466.91 | 1.19% | −60,644.40 | −154.82% | 19,984.18 | 51.02% | 69,673.59 | 177.87% | 9,691.61 | 24.74% |
2002 | 43,716.09 | 100% | 397.08 | 0.91% | −63,503.75 | −145.26% | 20,666.99 | 47.28% | 75,948.26 | 173.73% | 10,207.49 | 23.35% |
2003 | 59,430.41 | 100% | 715.15 | 1.20% | −61,253.47 | −103.07% | 23,368.35 | 39.32% | 85,610.91 | 144.05% | 10,989.46 | 18.49% |
2004 | 74,223.47 | 100% | 793.93 | 1.07% | −58,328.83 | −78.59% | 24,796.71 | 33.41% | 95,307.64 | 128.41% | 11,654.02 | 15.70% |
2005 | 86,430.03 | 100% | 1,308.80 | 1.51% | −59,671.34 | −69.04% | 25,185.50 | 29.14% | 107,238.75 | 124.08% | 12,368.32 | 14.31% |
2006 | 99,639.60 | 100% | 1,524.02 | 1.53% | −63,542.53 | −63.77% | 25,640.36 | 25.73% | 122,860.88 | 123.31% | 13,156.85 | 13.20% |
2007 | 110,951.62 | 100% | 1,601.77 | 1.44% | −74,444.77 | −67.10% | 26,899.91 | 24.24% | 142,804.16 | 128.71% | 14,090.52 | 12.70% |
4.1.1. Energy Structure Effect
4.1.2. Energy Intensity Effect
4.1.3. Economic Structure Effect
4.1.4. Economic Activity Effect
4.1.5. Population Effect
4.2. Decomposition Analysis of Industry Discrepancy
Sector | Agriculture | Industry | Construction | Transport, storage, and postal services | Business | Urban and rural households | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | ΔC | 1,215.83 | 110,951.62 | 1,226.41 | 8,503.05 | 1,070.7 | −793.19 |
dtotal | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
Energy structure | ΔCES | −124.24 | 1,601.77 | −54.62 | −490.48 | −167.46 | −1,348.6 |
dES | −10.22% | 1.44% | −4.45% | −5.77% | −15.64% | 170.02% | |
Energy intensity | ΔCEI | −554.67 | −74,444.77 | −494.5 | −711.04 | −360.42 | −22,515.99 |
dEI | −45.62% | −67.10% | −40.32% | −8.36% | −33.66% | 2,838.65% | |
Economic structure | ΔCYS | −2,746.71 | 26,899.91 | −46.05 | 61.36 | −218.6 | 3,100.75 |
dYS | −225.91% | 24.24% | −3.76% | 0.72% | −20.42% | −390.92% | |
Economic activity | ΔCPCG | 4,176.32 | 142,804.16 | 1,659.79 | 8,806.69 | 1,647.83 | 17,786.79 |
dPCG | 343.49% | 128.71% | 135.34% | 103.57% | 153.90% | −2,242.43% | |
Population | ΔCP | 465.14 | 14,090.52 | 161.79 | 836.52 | 169.34 | 2,183.84 |
dP | 38.26% | 12.70% | 13.19% | 9.84% | 15.82% | −275.32% |
5. Conclusions and Policy Prescriptions
Acknowledgements
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Chen, L.; Yang, Z.; Chen, B. Decomposition Analysis of Energy-Related Industrial CO2 Emissions in China. Energies 2013, 6, 2319-2337. https://doi.org/10.3390/en6052319
Chen L, Yang Z, Chen B. Decomposition Analysis of Energy-Related Industrial CO2 Emissions in China. Energies. 2013; 6(5):2319-2337. https://doi.org/10.3390/en6052319
Chicago/Turabian StyleChen, Liang, Zhifeng Yang, and Bin Chen. 2013. "Decomposition Analysis of Energy-Related Industrial CO2 Emissions in China" Energies 6, no. 5: 2319-2337. https://doi.org/10.3390/en6052319
APA StyleChen, L., Yang, Z., & Chen, B. (2013). Decomposition Analysis of Energy-Related Industrial CO2 Emissions in China. Energies, 6(5), 2319-2337. https://doi.org/10.3390/en6052319