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Article

Reliability Analysis of Residential Photovoltaic Systems Across Five Climatic Zones: Performance, Degradation, and Fault Trends

by
Mahmoud Dhimish
1,*,
Romênia Vieira
2 and
Peter Behrensdorff Poulsen
1
1
Department of Photonics Engineering, Technical University of Denmark, 4000 Roskilde, Sjælland, Denmark
2
Department of Engineering and Technology, Semi-Arid Federal University, Mossoró 59625-900, RN, Brazil
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Energies 2025, 18(23), 6125; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18236125 (registering DOI)
Submission received: 18 October 2025 / Revised: 18 November 2025 / Accepted: 21 November 2025 / Published: 22 November 2025
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Research on Photovoltaic Modules and Devices)

Abstract

This study analyses the long-term reliability of 100 residential PV systems monitored for 7–11 years across 33 countries and five climate zones. System performance was evaluated using the temperature-corrected performance ratio (PRTcorr), following IEC 61724-1, while annual degradation rates were calculated using RdTools, which separates long-term trends from interannual variability. Inverter and MPPT reliability were assessed through a defined fault-likelihood metric, representing the percentage of time the measured AC or DC power fell more than 15% below the manufacturer-reported expected power for at least two consecutive intervals. The results show a strong association between climate conditions and system performance. Mediterranean climates record the highest PRTcorr (0.84 ± 0.02), while desert regions show the lowest values (0.73 ± 0.04). Annual degradation rates range from −0.69 ± 0.15%/year in Mediterranean climates to −3.13 ± 0.64%/year in desert climates. Inverter fault likelihood is highest in desert regions (4.05%) and lowest in temperate climates (1.5%), while MPPT fault likelihood ranges from 10.25% in desert zones to 5.4% in Mediterranean zones. By integrating PRTcorr, long-term degradation trends, and inverter/MPPT fault behavior within a cross-climate framework, the study provides an evidence-based understanding of how environmental stressors shape PV system reliability.
Keywords: photovoltaic systems; reliability analysis; degradation rate; fault likelihood; perfor-mance ratio photovoltaic systems; reliability analysis; degradation rate; fault likelihood; perfor-mance ratio

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MDPI and ACS Style

Dhimish, M.; Vieira, R.; Poulsen, P.B. Reliability Analysis of Residential Photovoltaic Systems Across Five Climatic Zones: Performance, Degradation, and Fault Trends. Energies 2025, 18, 6125. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18236125

AMA Style

Dhimish M, Vieira R, Poulsen PB. Reliability Analysis of Residential Photovoltaic Systems Across Five Climatic Zones: Performance, Degradation, and Fault Trends. Energies. 2025; 18(23):6125. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18236125

Chicago/Turabian Style

Dhimish, Mahmoud, Romênia Vieira, and Peter Behrensdorff Poulsen. 2025. "Reliability Analysis of Residential Photovoltaic Systems Across Five Climatic Zones: Performance, Degradation, and Fault Trends" Energies 18, no. 23: 6125. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18236125

APA Style

Dhimish, M., Vieira, R., & Poulsen, P. B. (2025). Reliability Analysis of Residential Photovoltaic Systems Across Five Climatic Zones: Performance, Degradation, and Fault Trends. Energies, 18(23), 6125. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18236125

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