Digital Twins for Space Battery Management Systems: A Comprehensive Review of Different Approaches for Predictive Maintenance and Monitoring
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Li-Ion Battery Degradation Mechanisms
2.1. Working Mechanism of Li-Ion Batteries
2.2. Micro Degradation Mechanisms
- The formation of a Solid Electrolyte Interface (SEI):When lithium reacts with the electrolyte, a solid layer forms on the electrode. This consumes some of the lithium ions, reducing the total amount available for intercalation. This leads to electrode isolation and deactivation, ultimately reducing capacity [26].
- Electrolyte decomposition during the charge and discharge cycles, particularly at the electrode interface, leads to reduction reactions, consuming both the electrolyte and its solvent [15]. Moreover, this process can generate impurities in the electrolyte that usually catalyze the occurrence of side reactions further aggravating lithium loss [25].
- Another key mechanism is lithium plating, where instead of intercalating into the electrode, lithium forms a metallic layer on its surface. While some plated lithium may be stripped off during discharge, a portion often reacts with the electrolyte, forming more SEI that isolates the metal lithium that is no longer available for cycling [27].
- Particle cracking within the electrode is induced by the repeated expansion and contraction of active material particles during cycling. Over time, this mechanical fatigue leads to fractures in the electrode, reducing the number of active sites available for lithium-ion intercalation [27]. Moreover, the fracturing of electrode particles exposes fresh surfaces that exacerbate lithium consumption, contributing to both further SEI formation and lithium plating.
- Another type of LAM can occur when the active material begins to peel away due to mechanical stress. This process reduces the surface area available for lithium intercalation, contributing to a gradual loss of capacity [17].
2.3. Space Environment and Macro Degradation Mechanisms
- Radiation: It can impact the cathode materials, resulting in an increase in grain size due to irradiation, enforcing the capacity loss. Furthermore, the radiation-induced electrolyte decomposition may also play a role in the degradation process. Experiments on Li-ion batteries show cathode grain coarsening and electrolyte decomposition under high irradiation, with capacity losses of up to 8–10% at doses of several Mrad [29,30]
- Vacuum: This condition significantly impacts battery performance, leading to electrolyte leakage and outgassing phenomena [22]. Outgassing involves gas formation within the battery, which can escape and contaminate sensitive satellite components. Additionally, batteries can suffer from electrolyte leakage or swelling, particularly in pouch cells, when exposed to vacuum conditions [31]. Thermal-vacuum tests at typically show negligible mass variation and capacity changes within 5% [23].
- Temperature: High temperatures can exceed the tolerance limits of most commercial lithium-ion batteries [32], leading to processes such as lithium loss, active material reduction, and SEI film formation [33]. Conversely, the extremely low temperatures in space can compromise battery functionality by lowering electrolyte conductivity, causing electrode passivation, lithium-ion depletion, and slowing electrochemical reactions [34,35]. Research indicates that low temperatures affect battery life more intensively than high temperatures.In particular, sub-zero cycling has been reported to significantly shorten battery lifetime compared with elevated temperature conditions [35]. For instance, cycling at low temperature can increase the aging rate by about one order of magnitude compared to room temperature, significantly reducing service life [36].
- Vibrations: During satellite launch, vibrations constitute another factor that can impact battery functionality, inducing LAM or mechanical damage to battery packs. Orientation-dependent tests reported capacity losses up to 9.5% in cylindrical cells under radial-axis vibration, while prismatic and pouch formats showed smaller but non-negligible degradation [23,37].
- Charge/Discharge Rate: High-rate discharges increase the formation of passivation films, elevate internal resistance, and cause more heat generation, which accelerates ageing [38,39]. Moreover, if the battery experiences high charging rates, which can lead to uneven SEI formation, the lithium consumption is increased [40]. Research on various loading modes for lithium-ion storage batteries has revealed that the charge/discharge cycle at a current of 1 C is the most resource-efficient, with test results indicating that this mode best preserves battery life compared to others [41].
- Depth of Discharge (DOD): Higher DOD (percentage of a battery’s capacity used during each cycle) can lead to localized damage due to phase transitions in the battery materials. Lowering the DOD can reduce stress on the battery, extending its life [42]. However, the effects of DOD are relatively minor compared to other factors like temperature and charge rate [43].
- Cut-off voltage: High charging cut-off voltages (overcharging) cause irreversible degradation by promoting lithium metal deposition and reducing electrode capacity due to excessive polarization [35]. Low discharge cut-off voltages (over-discharge), lead to an increase in side reactions and a decrease in the active material of the battery, which accelerates the ageing [17]. In some cases, adjusting the cut-off voltage led to significantly better capacity retention after numerous cycles, extending the service life [44].
2.4. Li-Ion Battery Anomalies
- Capacity fade refers to the gradual decline in a lithium-ion battery’s ability to hold a charge [46]. This phenomenon can be significantly influenced by several factors. When a battery experiences overcharging, overdischarging, or high temperatures, lithium plating, SEI film formation, and side reactions occur [46,47,48]. These processes lead to irreversible Loss of Active Material and faster capacity degradation. Conversely, when the battery operates under undercooling conditions, the lithium diffusion in the graphite can be decreased, causing a quick fade in capacity [49]. Moreover, increased cycling rates can accelerate capacity degradation due to the Loss of Lithium Inventory and the growth of the SEI layer on the electrode surface [47]. Also, vacuum and radiation can cause a discharge capacity reduction in battery cells. To assess battery suitability for space, a leak test is typically performed [50,51].
- Increased Internal Resistance hinders efficient charge and discharge cycles, reducing overall battery performance [46]. In the charging and discharging processes, excessive working temperatures can result in increased internal resistance if the rate of heat generation significantly outpaces the rate of heat dissipation [32]. The over-discharge affects electron transport and hides the deintercalation of the lithium ions, resulting in a progressive increase in the internal resistance [52]. Furthermore, SEI thickening and lithium plating at the microlevel impede ion and electron flow within the battery [53].
- Thermal Runaway is a critical anomaly in lithium-ion batteries characterized by an uncontrollable self-sustaining exothermic reaction. This phenomenon typically triggered by internal short circuits, overcharging, high-rate cycling, or exposure to elevated external temperatures. Once initiated, it involves electrolyte decomposition, SEI breakdown, cathode degradation, and flammable gas release, which accelerate heat generation and can ultimately result in fires, explosions, and catastrophic failure of the cell [44]. Recent research has advanced the understanding of thermal runaway mechanisms, thermal stability of cell components, and mitigation strategies, including flame-retardant electrolytes, high-resistance separators, and external protection layers. Experimental studies have shown that these materials can delay thermal runaway onset and safety valve rupture, significantly enhancing emergency response [54,55].
- Internal Short Circuits can occur as a result of lithium plating, which promotes the growth of lithium dendrites [46]. As the battery temperature rises, it further activates side reactions such as SEI film decomposition and cathode material degradation, potentially leading to sudden failures like internal short circuits [56]. Additionally, high-rate charging and discharging can generate exothermic side reactions that heighten the risk of internal short circuits [44,46]. The risks of internal short circuits within cells are also enforced by the vibrational environment that characterizes space applications.
3. Digital Twin in Space Battery Management
3.1. Battery Management System Description
- State of Charge (SOC): This index represents a measure of the stored charge. SOC is generally defined as follows:where represents the battery’s capacity in its current state, while denotes the capacity when the battery is fully charged. Accurate SOC monitoring is crucial for maintaining optimal battery performance and efficiently managing charging, ensuring battery longevity and reliability [21].
- State of Health (SOH): An index that measures the degradation state of the battery with respect to the beginning of life (BOL) conditions. Typically, end of life (EOL) is reached when the battery’s SOH decreases to 80% [21]. SOH can be mathematically defined as follows:where represents the current full charge capacity and denotes the battery’s nominal capacity. Accurate SOH estimation is essential for several reasons: it aids in predicting RUL, and it informs adaptive charging strategies that help prevent further degradation [21]. Several definitions of SOH exist, including capacity-based, internal resistance-based [15], and many others depending on the definition of the Heath Index (HI) [62,63,64,65]. The capacity-based SOH definition is usually adopted as the primary metric due to its ability to reflect usable energy and the overall aging of the battery. Internal resistance- and HI-based SOH definitions can be used as complementary metrics for real-time monitoring or the early detection of degradation when direct capacity measurement is not feasible.
- Remaining Useful Life (RUL): The index refers to the number of charge/discharge cycles remaining until the battery reaches its end of life [21]. Continuous charging and discharging lead to capacity degradation, eventually requiring battery replacement when the capacity falls to 70–80% of its initial value [66]. Estimating RUL is critical for ensuring reliable and safe operation for proactive maintenance, minimizing unexpected breakdowns, and enhancing the overall lifespan of the battery system. A graphical representation of the RUL is reported in Figure 4.
- Fault Diagnosis: The BMS is responsible for the detection and control of faults by means of different integrated algorithms [67]. The system prevents overcharging, deep discharging, short circuits, and thermal runaway by monitoring key parameters and incorporating controllers, actuators, and sensors [68,69].
- Thermal Management: Temperature plays a significant role in the battery’s lifespan [70], as operating outside the recommended thermal range can degrade the battery’s materials and reduce its efficiency. By maintaining a balanced temperature, as determined by the manufacturer, the system helps preserve battery life and functionality.
- Cell balancing: This comprises balancing circuitry and a control strategy to maintain charge uniformity among cells. The balancing process can be either passive, dissipating excess charge as heat, or active, transferring energy from high to low SOC cells. Effective cell balancing optimizes battery capacity utilization, prolongs lifespan by reducing uneven wear, enhances safety by preventing overcharging and overheating, ensures consistent performance, and reduces maintenance needs by promoting balanced cell usage throughout the pack [21].
3.2. The Digital Twin Concept
- The physical layer is the real-world object or system monitored by the DT, typically equipped with sensors and other monitoring devices to capture real-time data. These sensors track various attributes—such as temperature, pressure, or motion—and enable comprehensive data collection and processing, forming the data foundation of the DT [75]. Moreover, the physical entity continuously sends updated status data to the DT, which returns diagnostic insights and optimized commands, ensuring the physical side adapts to changes in real time [76].
- The virtual layer is the digital replica of the physical entity, consisting of several models which replicate the state and behavior of the physical layer, using the recorded data for dynamic reconfiguration and model coupling [77]. The virtual component performs data processing and analysis, making it the intelligence core of the DT, enabling diagnosis, fault detection, and RUL prediction. Virtual models can be constructed using physics-based methods or data-driven models powered by Machine Learning (ML) and AI, which are essential for quick adaptation and analysis in data-rich environments [47,78].
- The communication layer between the physical and virtual layers operates bidirectionally, allowing a continuous exchange of information. Real-time condition data from the physical layer is transmitted to the digital layer, allowing it to dynamically mirror the state of its physical counterpart and support advanced diagnostic and prognostic functions. Conversely, the digital layer can send feedback or optimization parameters back to the physical layer, facilitating predictive maintenance, performance adjustments, and system optimization based on analyzed data. Therefore, the bidirectional data connection is a fundamental feature of the communication layer, ensuring real-time synchronization and an accurate reflection of operational conditions [71].
3.3. Applications of Digital Twin in BMSs
4. Classification of Methods for DT of BMSs
4.1. Experimental Methods
4.1.1. Direct Measurements
- Internal Resistance: The degradation process is reflected by an increasing trend in internal resistance. Therefore, tracking the changes in resistance over time is well suited to real-time SOH monitoring due to its low computational demands [84,85,86]. In Figure 6b, the increasing trend of the internal resistance over the cycles is reported. Techniques such as pulse current tests further refine resistance measurements by assessing ohmic and polarization resistances under various conditions, thus capturing the impact of temperature and SOC [87,88].
- Coulomb counting, or ampere-hour (Ah) counting: Following the capacity behavior over the cycles (see Figure 6a), it is possible to characterize the degradation mechanism. SOH and SOC can be estimated by measuring the total charge transferred into or out of the battery [89]. The Coulomb counting method has limitations and potential errors in practical applications. Factors such as temperature, charge and discharge rates, and usage patterns can impact its accuracy. Consequently, it is often necessary to combine coulometric counting with other evaluation methods for a more reliable assessment of battery life [17]. Recent improvements include integrating Coulomb counting with Differential Voltage Analysis (DVA) for more accurate, real-time SOH estimation and combining it with weighted ampere-hour methods to enhance precision [90].
- Cycle number counting estimates SOH by comparing the manufacturer’s specified total life cycle count with the current cycle count. This method mainly records complete discharges. For partial cycles, conversion coefficients are used to standardize different depths into equivalent full cycles, which can be obtained through experimental testing [91]. To address the partial cycles, Saxena et al. [92] propose a model which analyzes capacity loss in relation to mean SOC and ΔSOC.
- Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy (EIS) is a strong laboratory tool to study the electrochemical process inside the battery, and it can be used as a diagnostic tool [93,94]. However, its utility is limited by cost, calibration complexity, and testing requirements, which restrict potential use onboard spacecraft [17]. To overcome these challenges, alternative real-time impedance measurement methods are emerging, including techniques based on initial charging voltage responses and SOH estimation through impedance-related indicators [62,95,96]. Recent advances also focus on optimizing EIS test parameters and adopting faster diagnostic methods [97].

4.1.2. Indirect Measurements
- Incremental Capacity Analysis (ICA) is valuable for diagnosing battery SOH by correlating peak features with battery capacity, particularly in high-current and random usage patterns [99,100]. In Figure 7a, the incremental capacity as a function of voltage shows the decreasing behavior of the curve as the number of cycles increases. The ICA’s dependence on low-noise, constant-current profiles limits real-world applicability. To counter this, methods such as model-free fitting and high current-rate adaptations enable ICA under noisy conditions, enhancing accuracy in Battery Management Systems [101,102,103,104,105].
- Sample Entropy (SE) is used to assess battery health by quantifying the complexity and predictability of time-series data. Recent enhancements include improved capacity estimators using voltage sequences under the Hybrid Pulse Power Characterization (HPPC) profile [106]. Additionally, sample entropy is utilized to estimate the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries by analyzing surface temperature dynamics during the charging process [107]. To reduce the computational demands of the sample entropy technique, various approaches have been proposed, including a fuzzy entropy-based SOH estimator [108] and a method utilizing fusion weights from multi-scale sample entropy [109].
- Q(V) Curve analysis is another method for SOH estimation, focusing on the evolution of the capacitance-voltage Q(V) curve across cycles; Figure 7a. In this context, Deng et al. [110] propose a voltage segmentation strategy that incorporates filtering techniques for non-monotonic curves, resulting in low estimation errors.
- Charging/Discharging Curve: As batteries degrade, their charging and discharging curves change, serving as valuable indicators for SOH evaluation. Many researchers have focused on constant-voltage (CV) charging data, finding a strong correlation with the SOH [111,112]. In [113], a novel SOH estimator that utilizes partial CV charging data is proposed. This approach incorporates a curve reconstruction method to accurately predict the capacity. Additionally, a dynamic characteristic of the charging current has been shown to be a robust parameter related to battery aging [114]. Another approach focuses on health indicators derived from discharge curves, examining the effects of depth-of-discharge, current, and temperature on the health indicator [64].
- Differential Voltage Analysis (DVA): The distance between curves in the DV curves (Figure 7c) quantifies electricity participation in two-phase transitions, aiding capacity fading analysis [93]. Innovative techniques use the DV curve to accurately detect degradation mechanisms and the end of life of cells in efficient online applications [115,116]. DVA can be combined with other experimental techniques, such as the Coulomb counting method for precise SOH calculation [90], or ICA to improve the reliability of SOC estimation [117].
4.2. Model-Based Methods
4.2.1. Electrochemical Methods (EMs)
4.2.2. Equivalent Circuit Models (ECMs)
4.3. Data-Driven Methods
4.3.1. Statistical Methods
4.3.2. Empirical Methods
4.3.3. Vector Machine Methods
4.3.4. Neural Network
- Feed-Forward Neural Networks are one of the most fundamental and simple types of ANNs. In these networks, information flows in a single direction: from the input layer, through more hidden layers, to the output layer—without any feedback connections. Due to their ability to model complex nonlinear relationships, FFNNs are widely used for monitoring and predicting the performance of lithium-ion batteries. For example, You et al. developed a real-time RUL estimation method using FFNNs based on historical battery data [185]. A notable study used data from a constant current constant voltage (CC-CV) charging experiment to train battery models, achieving accurate SOH predictions [186]. Furthermore, Driscoll employs an FFNN to estimate the SOH of the battery, using the extraction of characteristics from the voltage, current, and temperature profiles observed during charging [187]. In a related effort, Bonfitto introduced an FFNN prediction method combining SOH and SOC estimations, demonstrating that the interdependence of these factors within a recursive framework significantly improves prediction accuracy [188].
- Backpropagation Neural Networks (BPNNs) are FFNNs trained with a backpropagation algorithm. BPNNs are often enhanced by incorporating optimization algorithms for selecting optimal weights. For instance, H. Li [189] proposed an intelligent Digital Twin model for BMSs, using a BPNN and a whale optimization algorithm (WOA) to estimate and diagnose battery health by leveraging historical battery data from real scenarios. Additionally, M. Wu [190] employed a BPNN in combination with PCA and PSO to optimize the model for more accurate SOH predictions.
- The Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is a type of single hidden-layer feedforward neural network (SLFN). ELM uses a fast, closed-form solution for the output layer weights, making it computationally efficient. These ANNs are suitable for regression problems in which indirect health indicators that show a strong correlation with capacity are used for estimation [191,192].
- Deep Belief Networks (DBNs) consist of multiple layers of restricted Boltzmann machines (RBMs), followed by a layer of backpropagation neural networks (BPNNs). The stacked RBMs are used to extract significant information from the data, while the BPNN is employed for making predictions. In the study by Cao [25], 17 health indicators are extracted during the charging process. These indicators include metrics like charge capacity and sample entropy, which effectively represent the internal thermodynamic reactions of the batteries. The extracted HIs are then employed for capacity estimation using a DBN model.
- Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are structured with convolutional layers, pooling layers, and fully connected layers, distinguishing themselves from traditional fully connected networks by their ability to automatically extract features from raw data. The architecture allows for efficient computation and the handling of large datasets [193]. In the context of SOC estimation, Bhatta [194] demonstrated that a CNN could achieve competitive performance by optimizing hyperparameters such as the number of filters in the convolutional layers. Additionally, J.Yao [195] proposed a CNN method leveraging partial segments of charging and discharging data for capacity estimation, effectively minimizing discrepancies between different battery types and improving accuracy. Despite their advantages, CNNs require a substantial amount of training data and can be computationally intensive. For instance, B. Zhou [196] introduced an attention mechanism within a CNN to enhance prediction accuracy by allowing the model to focus on specific sequence parts. This method proved both time-efficient and accurate in RUL prediction, utilizing a sliding window technique for processing raw data.
- Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are a class of neural networks designed to process sequential data by incorporating feedback connections. This structure allows the network to retain information from previous time steps, which it uses to influence current predictions. However, when the effective information interval is long, the reverse propagation of the RNN network will produce the phenomenon of gradient disappearance or explosion. To solve these two problems, some scholars propose a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network, gated recurrent unit (GRU) neural network, Bi-LSTM neural network, and Evolving Elman neural network (EENN) [197]. In this context, different studies propose an LSTM-based approach to RUL and SOH estimation, achieving impressive results, considering the aging characteristics extracted from the voltage, current, and temperature [198,199,200,201,202]. In reference [203], a GRU is established to evaluate the SOC. Additionally, S.Seol et al. [204] employ two recurrent neural network models, LSTM and GRU, evaluating the improvement in SOH estimation accuracy when synthetic data is added to the original dataset. Moreover, S.Yun [205] proposes a Bi-LSTM for SOC estimation, dealing with limited access to the current and voltage data in satellite applications. In another approach, Hong [206] integrates Bi-LSTM with an attention mechanism to predict SOH and compare RUL estimation performance under varied initial conditions. For satellite applications, D. Zhang [207] developed an SOH estimation strategy based on the Evolving Elman Neural Network (EENN) by using the in-orbit discharging voltage data.
4.3.5. Fusion Methods
- Data–Data Fusion: This combines multiple data-driven algorithms to improve SOC, SOH, and RUL estimations. Moreover, studies [212,213,214,215] combine the CNN with the LSTM used as a typical encoder-decoder. In [216], the authors take fusion by integrating CNN with LSTM for assessing the battery’s RUL and boosting prediction precision within a reasonable computation time. The CNN is also used in combination with the GRU, enabling the model to effectively extract significant local features while emphasizing their importance during training. For example, Y. Liu [217] uses CNNs to estimate the maximum discharging capacity, which is then used by a GRU to deduce the RUL. To maximize the strengths of each model, Fan et al. [218] proposed a GRU-CNN hybrid model to estimate the SOH under various discharge conditions. Other methodologies, including statistical models, demonstrate powerful results when combined with neural networks. Gao et al. [219] employ an Elman neural network and GPR to model battery aging, with a Bi-LSTM component for capacity error correction. Liu’s [220] research uses LSTM for long-term dependency capture and GPR to assess uncertainty, effectively addressing capacity regeneration phenomena. Che [221] integrates GPR to optimize the health indicator extraction and applies an RNN to directly forecast RUL. Uncertainty quantification is further refined in Kim’s [222] work with a variational LSTM (VarLSTM) model using Monte Carlo dropout to predict battery degradation and RUL with reliable uncertainty estimates.
- Model-Data Fusion: Approaches that fuse model-based and data-driven methods have become central to advancing lithium-ion battery health and life predictions. One prominent fusion strategy involves embedding physical constraints directly within neural networks to guide model training and enhance interpretability; Figure 11. For example, J. Ye’s [223] Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN) incorporates specific physical relationships between health indicators and SOH, creating constraints that guide the learning process and improve prediction accuracy. Similarly, S. Singh [224] embeds Fick’s diffusion law into a PINN, integrating partial differential equations of battery chemistry into the network. This approach allows the model to capture electrochemical dynamics accurately, translating these constraints into the network’s optimization function, which supports SOC and SOH predictions that are rooted in physical principles. Similarly, Y. Wang’s [225] Physics-Informed Recurrent Neural Network (PIRNN) introduces electrochemical impedance constraints in the NN loss function, allowing the network to capture the diffusion dynamics of lithium-ion cells. Another approach focuses on combining physics-based simulated data with experimental observations in a hybrid data structure. T. Hofmann’s [226] study, for instance, trains an LSTM model on a dataset that fuses outputs from a P2D model, lab experiments, and field data from electric vehicles. This hybrid dataset captures various SOH stages, enabling the model to align internal battery states with measurable SOH indicators. Lastly, methods utilize statistical fusion within hybrid architectures to incorporate both physical models and data-driven filtering for noise reduction and uncertainty management. For example, Z. Lyu’s [227] Model-Data Fusion framework integrates a Thevenin model with GPR and particle filtering to estimate SOH dynamically.
4.3.6. Datasets
4.4. Model Updating Methods
4.4.1. Statistical Filters
- Kalman Filter typically involves a two-step process: first, the filter predicts the output parameters, and then it updates the identified battery parameters to refine accuracy [236]. However, for highly nonlinear systems such as lithium-ion batteries, standard KF may struggle to achieve the desired precision under real operational conditions, limiting its standalone use. Enhanced methods like Unscented Kalman filter (UKF) [237,238], extended Kalman filter (EKF) [239], and adaptive extended Kalman filter (AEKF) [240] were thus introduced to better manage these nonlinearities and improve the accuracy of estimations. Furthermore, a double-extended Kalman filter (DEKF) approach, combined with an ECM, has shown robust performance in lithium-ion applications by offering improved reliability compared to traditional KF methods [241]. Some authors have integrated Kalman filtering with feature extraction techniques. For example, a method using ICA and a weighted Kalman filter has demonstrated enhanced prediction accuracy for lithium-ion battery SOH by building Gaussian nonlinear feature mappings based on extracted health factors [242]. Further improvements have explored joint filtering techniques, such as combining an H-infinity filter with UKF for online parameter updates, yielding higher robustness and estimation accuracy in battery applications [243]. In recent advancements, Kalman filtering has also been combined with AI techniques to improve battery state estimation. For instance, an integration of a GRU with the AKF is proposed to enhance the estimation of the SOC across varying temperatures [244]. This model initially estimates SOC with a GRU, followed by refinement using an adaptive KF to enhance robustness.
- Particle Filter (PF) leverages Bayesian estimation and the Monte Carlo method, using particle sets to represent the probability density function in any state-space model [15]. PF does not require data to follow a Gaussian distribution, making it ideal for nonlinear, non-Gaussian filtering. To improve robustness, variations in PF address issues like particle scarcity and noise disturbances. The Unscented Particle Filter (UPF), for example, is used to refine SOC estimation with improved accuracy [245]. Other improved approaches combine H-infinity filtering (HIF) with PF, offering better tolerance to model inaccuracies and noise uncertainties, providing high robustness for SOC estimations [246,247]. In recent advancements, a hybrid approach combining Gaussian Process Regression with PF has shown effective SOH and RUL estimation for lithium-ion batteries. These models suppress noise in online battery data, allowing PF to track capacity degradation and predict RUL with high accuracy [227,248]. Despite its benefits, PF is computationally demanding, requiring extensive processing time, especially for complex environments with large sample sets, which limits its real-time prediction capabilities. To improve stability and reduce computation time, scholars have proposed using different time scales for state and parameter estimation, which prevents the recurrent alteration of system variables, a common cause of destabilized predictions and extended response times [14]. Additionally, in [249], the authors emphasize the importance of carefully selecting sample sizes to balance calculation speed and accuracy for battery state estimation using two different PF models.
4.4.2. Transfer Learning
- Fine-tuning involves retraining some layers of a pre-trained model with a small amount of data from the target domain, assuming that the relationships between input parameters and output states are consistent across domains. A graphical representation of the fine-tuning algorithm is reported in Figure 13. This approach is particularly useful when limited data is available from the target domain, as it allows models to be quickly adjusted for specific tasks. For instance, Deng et al. used data on early ageing to recognise degradation patterns and then applied fine-tuning to improve the accuracy of SOH evaluations in a specific domain [110]. Similarly, Yao [195] proposed a method where a model trained on a large battery dataset was fine-tuned with limited target data (only a small segment of charge/discharge cycles), significantly enhancing capacity estimation. In this contest, CNNs have also been widely used in conjunction with Transfer Learning to improve battery health estimation, particularly when dealing with limited data [251]. LSTM networks have also found application in Transfer Learning for battery health prediction, particularly for SOH estimation. Tan proposed an LSTM model, showing superior prediction accuracy across various datasets. Their Transfer Learning-based LSTM approach, fine-tuned on domain-specific data, outperformed other models, highlighting its robustness in handling battery health estimation [252]. Kim [222] developed a VarLSTM-TL model for RUL prediction, demonstrating how fine-tuning can reduce the effort required to gather extensive data, making it effective for new battery types with minimal data.
- Domain adaptation focuses on minimizing the feature distribution gap between the source and target domains to improve model generalization and accuracy. Techniques such as symmetric feature transformation and the integration of domain discrepancy losses are employed to align the source and target domains, ensuring the model adapts better to the new domain. Che et al. [221] applied domain adaptation with a GRU to predict RUL under fast-charging conditions. They used online model self-correction and threshold adjustment to adapt the model during operational cycles. Furthermore, Shen et al. [253] demonstrated the use of deep CNNs and domain adaptation for capacity estimation, refining the model using data from a source domain before adapting it to the target domain.

5. Discussions
5.1. Comparison and Analysis
- Accuracy: Quantification of the deviation between predicted and actual values in estimating SOC, SOH, and RUL. Experimental methods, rooted in precise laboratory measurements, achieve the highest accuracy (1.0) due to their direct observation of battery parameters. Model-based approaches follow with a slightly lower score (0.75), as their accuracy depends on the fidelity of the underlying physical models. Data-driven techniques, assigned a score of 0.85, can achieve high accuracy when trained on high-quality datasets. Fusion approaches, which integrate physical models with data-driven learning, achieve a balance between theoretical consistency and empirical adaptability, yielding an accuracy score of 0.9.
- Adaptability: Represents the ability of a method to integrate real-time data and adjust its predictions dynamically. Considering the two macro categories of model updating reported in Section 4.4, Statistical Filters and Transfer Learning, each category is assigned a score of 0.5 if it has been used in the literature in conjunction with one of these updating methods. For instance, experimental methods are static and receive a score of 0 due to their inability to adapt to new data. Model-based approaches improve on this by incorporating Statistical Filters, and are therefore a score of 0.5 is assigned. Data-driven and fusion techniques achieve the highest adaptability, as they leverage both Statistical Filters and Transfer Learning to continuously refine predictions based on new data, earning them a score of 1.0.
- Versatility represents the ability of a method to estimate multiple key battery parameters: SOH, SOC, and RUL. The method’s versatility is quantified based on the number of outputs it can reliably predict, with a score of 0.33 assigned per output identified in the literature. Experimental methods (0.66) primarily focus on direct measurement and are typically used to estimate SOH and SOC, but they lack the capability to predict RUL. Model-based approaches (1.0) can estimate SOH, SOC, and RUL. Data-driven and fusion techniques (1.0) offer the highest versatility, as they can be trained to estimate SOC, SOH, and RUL simultaneously, provided they have access to sufficient historical and operational data.
- Computational efficiency evaluates the computational resources required by each method, considering both algorithmic complexity and processing demands. Experimental methods, which primarily rely on direct measurements, have no significant computational burden and thus receive the highest score (1). Model-based approaches exhibit a range of computational requirements. Equivalent Circuit Models (ECMs) are relatively lightweight (0.7) due to their simplified mathematical representations, whereas Electrochemical Models are computationally intensive (0.3) due to their need for solving complex partial differential equations. Consequently, the overall score for model-based approaches is set at 0.5, reflecting an average between these two subcategories. Data-driven techniques, while computationally expensive during training due to large-scale optimization and neural network processing, tend to be more efficient during inference. Given this trade-off, they are assigned a score of 0.5. Fusion approaches, which integrate both physical models and data-driven techniques, further increase computational demands by incorporating physics-based constraints into the loss function during training. While this enhances model accuracy and robustness, it also results in greater complexity, leading to an overall score of 0.7.
- Reliability evaluates a method’s robustness to uncertainties, including noisy data, variations in operational conditions, and sensitivity to initial parameters. Experimental methods achieve a moderate score (0.5) because, while they are reliable in controlled environments, they lack adaptability to real-world conditions. Model-based approaches demonstrate slightly better reliability (0.65) as they incorporate well-established physical principles, but their performance is dependent on accurate parameterization and can degrade under real-world uncertainties. Data-driven techniques (0.75) are sensitive to data quality and availability, although advanced preprocessing and robust training strategies can mitigate some of these issues. Fusion approaches, which combine physical modeling with adaptive data-driven techniques, achieve the highest reliability (1.0). By leveraging the strengths of both methodologies, they compensate for the weaknesses of purely data-driven methods while improving the adaptability of physics-based models, resulting in superior robustness to varying operational conditions and uncertainties.
5.2. Practical Implementation Considerations for Space-Oriented Digital Twin BMSs
5.3. Challenges and Future Prospects
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Cause | Degradation Mechanism | Effect |
|---|---|---|
| Radiation | Cathode grain growth and electrolyte decomposition | Capacity fade, accelerated aging |
| Vacuum | Electrolyte leakage and outgassing; swelling or deformation of pouch cells | Capacity fade, contamination of satellite subsystems |
| High Temperature | Accelerated SEI growth, lithium loss, and active material | Capacity fade, increased internal resistance, risk of thermal runaway, and internal shot circuit |
| Low Temperature | Reduced electrolyte conductivity, electrode passivation, sluggish electrochemical reactions | Increased internal resistance, lithium loss, rapid capacity degradation |
| Vibration | Mechanical stress causing electrode particle cracking and delamination | Internal short circuits, capacity loss, reduced reliability |
| C∖D Rate | Lithium Loss, SEI formation, the lithium consumption and the formation of passivation films are increased | Capacity fade, higher resistance, risk of thermal runaway and internal short circuit |
| DOD | Particle cracking and phase transitions, worsening SEI formation | Capacity fade, possible internal short circuits |
| Over Charge | Lithium metal deposition, excessive polarization, SEI breakdown, and cathode degradation | Capacity fade, internal short circuits, thermal runaway |
| Over Discharge | Increase in side reactions and a decrease in the active material | Increased resistance, accelerated degradation, risk of thermal runaway |
| Methodology | Pro | Cons | Algorithm | Outputs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exp. | Indirect | Easy to implement with good accuracy; suitable real-time monitoring; highly accurate in lab environments. | Requires specific conditions often unavailable in real scenarios; temperature variations and incomplete cycles reduce accuracy. | C/D Curve | SOH: [64,113,114] |
| DVA | SOH: [115,116] | ||||
| SOC: [117] | |||||
| ICA | SOH: [99,100,101,102,103,104,105] | ||||
| Q(V) | SOH: [110,228] | ||||
| SE | SOH: [106,107,108,109] | ||||
| Direct | Simple, fast, and accurate in lab settings with low computational complexity; provides detailed degradation data. | Need frequent recalibration; sensitive to incomplete charge cycles, temperature; requires advanced instruments. | C/Ah count | SOH: [90] | |
| SOC: [89] | |||||
| Cycle Number | SOC: [92] | ||||
| IR | SOH: [84,85,86] | ||||
| EIS | SOH: [62,93,94,95,96] | ||||
| SOC: [94] | |||||
| Model-Based | EM | Provides insights into battery chemical processes; high prediction accuracy when well calibrated. | Complex and computationally intensive; difficult parameter identification; real-time limitations. | P2D | SOH: [120] |
| SPM | SOH: [123,124,125,127] | ||||
| SOC: [122] | |||||
| RUL: [123,125] | |||||
| TEM | SOH: [126] | ||||
| ECM | Few parameters and simple equations; high computational efficiency and ease implementation. | Poor accuracy, limited ability to capture degradation mechanisms; requires precise paramater initialization. | Thevenin | SOH: [133,141,143] | |
| SOC: [133,138] | |||||
| RC | SOH: [140] | ||||
| SOC: [135,136,137,139,142] | |||||
| Data-Driven | Statistical | High scalability; wide range of applications; high accuracy; provides confidence intervals. | Relies on the accuracy of the model; needs comprehensive data; large amount of calculation and complex super parameters. | Bayesian | SOH: [145,146,147,149,150] |
| RUL: [144,148,149,151] | |||||
| MC | RUL: [155,156] | ||||
| HMM | SOH: [152,153,154] | ||||
| Empirical | Less battery knowledge required; simple mathematical structure with fast calculations; easy to establish with promising results. | Requires large datasets and is highly sensitive to data quality; low generalization ability; the degradation mechanism is not explicitly defined. | Exponential | SOH: [165] | |
| RUL: [162,163,164,165,166,167] | |||||
| Polynomial | SOH: [158] | ||||
| RUL: [159] | |||||
| Data-Driven | Vector Machine | Simple to operate with flexible parameter control; requires fewer samples and involves a small amount of computation. | Kernel function parameters are sensitive and may lead to overfitting; poor stability in long-term estimation accuracy. | SVM | SOH: [169,170,171,172,176,177,179] |
| SOC: [168,178,229] | |||||
| RUL: [171,174,229] | |||||
| RVM | SOH: [180] | ||||
| RUL: [175,181,182,183,184] | |||||
| Neural Network | Battery knowledge not required; only requires data for training; highly accurate operation, capable of modeling complex relationships in battery performance. | Computationally intensive; requires large datasets for training; overfitting and poor generalization are common; highly dependent on the quality of training data. | FNN | SOH: [185,186,187,188] | |
| SOC: [188] | |||||
| BPNN | SOH: [189,190] | ||||
| SOC: [189] | |||||
| ELM | SOH: [192] | ||||
| RUL: [25] | |||||
| CNN | SOC: [194,195] | ||||
| RUL: [193,196] | |||||
| RNN | SOH: [204,207,208,209] | ||||
| SOC: [203,205,211] | |||||
| RUL: [198,199,200,201,202,206,210] | |||||
| Fusion | Data-Data | Provides high accuracy and reliability of estimation results. | High complexity; computationally intensive; performance heavily relies on the quality and compatibility of the combined data. | NN + NN | SOH: [212,214,218] |
| SOC: [215] | |||||
| RUL: [212,213,216,217] | |||||
| Statistical + NN | SOH: [222] | ||||
| RUL: [219,220,221] | |||||
| Model-Data | High accuracy and reliability; enhances predictive performance by leveraging the physical interpretability of models with the adaptive precision of data-driven techniques. | High complexity; computationally intensive; challenging to implement and requires careful integration of both data-driven and model-based methods. | PINN | SOH: [223,224,226] | |
| SOC: [224,225] | |||||
| ECM + Statistical | SOH: [227] | ||||
| RUL: [227] | |||||
| Database | Description | Observables | Ref. |
|---|---|---|---|
| NASA | Cylindrical 18650 lithium-ion cells (34 cells) tested at 24 °C, 43 °C, and 4 °C. The charging protocol used a CC of either 1 A or 5 A up to 4.2 V, followed by a CV phase until 0.02 A. Discharges were performed at CC of 2 A, 4 A, and 1 A; additional tests used a square wave discharge at 4 A or multiple CC discharge patterns. | Voltage, Current, Temperature, Capacity, EIS impedance. | [98] |
| NASA-Randomized Usage | 28 cylindrical 18650 lithium-ion cells tested at 25 °C and 40 °C. Charging was performed under a CC mode at 2 A until 4.2 V, followed by CV until 0.02 A. Discharge involved randomized selection of current loads varying between 0.5 A and 5 A. | Voltage, Current, Temperature, Capacity, EIS Impedance. | [230] |
| CALCE | Cylindrical 18650 cells, as well as prismatic and pouch cells, tested at 0 °C, 25 °C, and 45 °C. Charging protocols include CC at 2 A or 0.5 A up to 4.2 V, followed by CV phase until 0.02 A. Discharge modes include CC at 0.1 A and different dynamic current profiles, including standardized drive cycles and real-world usage simulations. | Voltage, Current, Capacity, Impedance, Internal Resistance. | [231] |
| Oxford | Long-term cycling of eight pouch lithium-ion cells tested at 40 °C. Charging employed a CC-CV protocol. The discharge followed the Urban Artemis Driving Profile. | Voltage, Current, Temperature, Capacity, EIS. | [232] |
| Bird Constellation | On-orbit data from four 1U CubeSats, focusing on EPS data under space conditions. | Voltage, Current, Temperature. | [233] |
| Toyota | Data from 124 cylindrical LFP/graphite batteries cycled at 30 °C. Charging protocols include one or two step fast CC protocol. Discharge modes include CC at 4C. | Voltage, Current, Temperature, Capacity, Internal Resistance. | [234] |
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Sbarra, R.G.; Pasquali, M.; Coppotelli, G.; Gaudenzi, P.; di Ienno, D.; Ciancarelli, C.; Picci, N. Digital Twins for Space Battery Management Systems: A Comprehensive Review of Different Approaches for Predictive Maintenance and Monitoring. Energies 2025, 18, 5858. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18215858
Sbarra RG, Pasquali M, Coppotelli G, Gaudenzi P, di Ienno D, Ciancarelli C, Picci N. Digital Twins for Space Battery Management Systems: A Comprehensive Review of Different Approaches for Predictive Maintenance and Monitoring. Energies. 2025; 18(21):5858. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18215858
Chicago/Turabian StyleSbarra, Roberto Giovanni, Michele Pasquali, Giuliano Coppotelli, Paolo Gaudenzi, Davide di Ienno, Carlo Ciancarelli, and Niccolò Picci. 2025. "Digital Twins for Space Battery Management Systems: A Comprehensive Review of Different Approaches for Predictive Maintenance and Monitoring" Energies 18, no. 21: 5858. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18215858
APA StyleSbarra, R. G., Pasquali, M., Coppotelli, G., Gaudenzi, P., di Ienno, D., Ciancarelli, C., & Picci, N. (2025). Digital Twins for Space Battery Management Systems: A Comprehensive Review of Different Approaches for Predictive Maintenance and Monitoring. Energies, 18(21), 5858. https://doi.org/10.3390/en18215858

