4.1. Baseline Regression
In
Table 3, we present the results of the effects of green innovation on stock liquidity in the current year when the green patent is granted (column 1) and the following year (column 2). The economically significant coefficient of GI and stock liquidity, −0.0006, indicates that an increase in green innovation leads to a reduction in the spread, which means an increase in stock liquidity. Economically speaking, when there is a one-unit increase in green innovation, the spread is reduced by six basis points, yielding lower holding costs for investors. As a result of lower holding costs, the stock becomes more liquid (
Amihud & Mendelson, 1986b). While the coefficient may appear numerically small, the reduction in spread is tremendous, as in market asset pricing research, basis points are the economically relevant unit, and changes in even one basis point are meaningful (
Stoll, 2000).
To benchmark this effect, prior studies document that major liquidity shocks, such as the introduction of algorithmic trading or market automation, typically reduce quoted spreads by only a few basis points. For example,
Hendershott et al. (
2011) report liquidity improvements on the order of several basis points following the introduction of algorithmic trading activity (
Hendershott et al., 2011), the most significant advance in finance. Against this backdrop, a 6bp reduction attributable to green innovation is comparable in magnitude to well-known structural liquidity improvements studied in the literature.
Relative to the mean quoted spread in our sample (0.0397 or 397 bps), this effect represents approximately a 1% improvement in liquidity for a 100% increase in our GI measure. Given that patent grants constitute a purely informational signal rather than a mechanical market design change, an effect of this size is economically non-trivial and indicates a meaningful reassessment of firm-specific risk by market participants.
Moreover, we also document that impact of a firm’s GI on its stock liquidity is not only immediate but also sustained into the subsequent period as the coefficient continues to be significant in the subsequent year. The fact that the magnitude of the effect (−0.0006) does not decay in the subsequent year indicates that the market views green patenting as a durable, non-transitory signal of firm quality or responsible corporate behavior. This signal consistently reduces the perceived information asymmetry and holding costs for investors, thus sustainably enhancing stock liquidity. In short, the coefficients in both years demonstrate that the market efficiently prices green innovation, and the liquidity benefit it provides is immediate and lasts at least one full year. Our findings are consistent with
Huynh and Xia (
2021)’s finding that GI pays off (
Huynh & Xia, 2021).
To affirm that endogeneity is not a concern and that our baseline results are not influenced by the differences in the control variables, we conduct propensity score matching (PSM) for firms in our sample. This approach helps avoid selection bias arising from firm-specific characteristics (
Rosenbaum & Rubin, 1983). We start PSM by identifying treatment and control groups in our sample. The treatment groups are the firms with at least one green patent count, and the control groups are the firms with no green patent count. Next, we match treated and controlled firms in the groups with a caliper of 0.05 and a neighbor of 3 based on the control variables used in the baseline regression (
Table 3). The sample size is reduced because of the score-matching process. We then rerun the baseline regression using the matched sample in PSM and report the results in
Table 4.
Panel A of
Table 4 shows the univariate tests of means between the treatment and control groups. The differences in means are trivial among treatment and control groups, indicating that selection bias is not a problem in our sample and that PSM removes the disparities between groups. For example, the difference in the mean of size between groups is 0.08, which is minimal compared to the overall value of size. Furthermore, the differences between the means of capital expenditure, book leverage, and R&D are all less than 0.01, supporting that the differences are trivial. We then regress the ex-post stock liquidity on GI using the matched sample and display the regression results in Panel B of
Table 4. The statistically significant negative coefficient of the LnGreen patent variable shows that our baseline results remain unchanged. This outcome confirms that the baseline finding is robust and not driven by selection bias related to observable firm characteristics.
4.2. Baseline Regression: DiD Approach
In the previous sections, we have shown that GI increases stock liquidity and used the PSM approach to confirm that selection bias is not a concern in our sample construction. In this section, we employ the DiD approach to further determine the effects of GI on stock liquidity. This approach compares the ex-post firm performances on stock liquidity to ex-ante performances surrounding given exogenous events. Exogenous regulatory/policy shocks may alter the management’s judgment and decisions on GI, but they do not directly influence stock liquidity; therefore, the DiD approach helps determine the causality by ruling out the possibility of reverse causality that firms with high stock liquidity green innovate. Furthermore, with the inclusion of firm fixed effects, the DiD approach also controls for the unobserved, firm-specific, and time-invariant variable differences.
To ensure our results are robust, we utilize significant exogenous regulatory shocks as quasi-natural experiments in our DiD approach. In Oct 2018, America’s Water Infrastructure Act (AWIA) required community water systems to conduct “Risk and Resilience Assessments” and mandated new standards for water quality and infrastructure, forcing firms to seek green innovation to meet new resilience standards. The regulatory events listed before altered the management’s decision on GI, but did not introduce direct liquidity in the stock market.
In Column 1 of
Table 5, we create a post-event dummy, PostAWIA, equaling 1 if observations start in 2019, to represent the effect of AWIA, and 0 otherwise. We then have the dummy variables interact with the LnGreen patent to derive the interaction variable for our analysis. Our finding supports our baseline regression that GI increases stock liquidity following the occurrences of those exogenous regulatory shocks. In Column 2 of
Table 5, we add a temporal placebo test. We re-estimate the models by shifting the “Post” dummy to two years prior to the actual events, and create a placebo AWIA dummy for the placebo test. We find no significant interaction effects between LnGreen Patent and Placebo AWIA, supporting the validity of our original timing.
The negative and statistically significant coefficient on the interaction term between green innovation and the PostAWIA indicator suggests that the liquidity-enhancing effect of green innovation becomes stronger following the AWIA event. In Column 1 of
Table 5, it is shown that before AWIA, a one unit increase in GI is associated with a 3bps reduction in spread; but, following AWIA, there is an extra 6bps reduction in the spread. This result indicates that green innovation is more strongly valued by market participants once environmental risks become more salient.
Flammer and Kacperczyk (
2015) also provide robust evidence that enacting policies that require directors to consider stakeholder interests leads to a significant increase in the number of patents and citations (
Flammer & Kacperczyk, 2015). This positive effect of exogenous shocks on innovation is particularly pronounced in consumer-focused industries.
Given that GI is a publicly verifiable outcome of a firm’s environmental commitment, it serves as a response to this stakeholder pressure. Therefore, GI is not solely a random investment, but a strategic outcome. This strategic transparency allows GI to reduce information asymmetry concerning climate risk, thereby leading to increased stock liquidity. This mechanism aligns with CSR literature showing that socially responsible actions enhance market quality. For example,
X.-Y. Lin et al. (
2024) find a positive relation between corporate social responsibility and stock liquidity through the reduction in information asymmetry (
X.-Y. Lin et al., 2024).
4.3. The Contingent Analysis of Climate Risk
Recent global environmental disasters underscore the fact that climate change presents a major operational risk for businesses (
Ferdous et al., 2024). This risk manifests in various forms, including direct physical damage to firms’ assets and indirect disruptions throughout complex supply chain networks (
Huang et al., 2018). Consequently, the existing academic literature has increasingly focused on how market participants interpret this exposure. Scholars have observed that investors specifically recognize climate change exposure as a significant source of business risk, leading to the belief that this exposure negatively influences both a firm’s financial results and its non-financial performance metrics (
Krueger et al., 2020).
For example,
Huynh and Xia (
2021) document that corporate bonds that are more sensitive to negative climate change news subsequently yield lower future returns, which is consistent with the asset pricing theory that reflects investors’ demand for assets that offer a robust hedge against climate risk. Furthermore, when investors are concerned more about climate risks, they are more willing to turn to bonds issued by companies that maintain superior environmental performance (
Huynh & Xia, 2021). Similarly, in the equity market,
Ardia et al. (
2023) reveal a divergence in the stock prices and returns, with the stock prices of green firms tending to appreciate during periods of heightened climate change concerns, while the prices of brown firms experience depreciation during these periods (
Ardia et al., 2023).
Antoniuk and Leirvik (
2021) point out that stock market investors quickly react to information on climate change and price stocks based on the information they receive (
Antoniuk & Leirvik, 2021). Based on signaling theory, the key distinction lies in the costliness, verifiability, and irreversibility of the signal. GI, measured by granted green patents, represents a costly and externally verified investment decision. Patent grants require substantial R&D expenditures, regulatory scrutiny, and technical validation, making them difficult to imitate and costly to reverse. As such, GI constitutes a “hard” signal that conveys credible information about a firm’s technological capabilities, regulatory preparedness, and long-term production strategy. As liquidity providers are primarily concerned with uncertainty about future cash flows, regulatory exposure, and firm adaptability to environmental transitions, GI becomes an effective signaling mechanism to liquidity providers.
Therefore, we hypothesize that GI further increases stock liquidity as a hard signal, reducing information asymmetry among investors in the context of more climate change exposure and risk. To be more specific, as green patents are considered a public, legally documented, and externally validated disclosure of innovative activity, the uncertainty surrounding the firm’s true commitment to environmental strategy and future climate-related risk is rapidly minimized following a green patent grant. With lower information asymmetry, market makers face reduced adverse selection risk. Consequently, they are willing to quote tighter prices, leading to a narrower quoted spread and increased stock liquidity in the context of climate change exposure.
Sautner et al. (
2023) create a metric to quantify firm-level exposure to climate change, specifically designed for predicting organizational performance outcomes during the transition to net zero. They utilize a machine learning-based algorithm for keyword discovery to pinpoint climate change exposures, encompassing regulatory impacts and new opportunities. The core of their measure involves tracking the frequency of terms such as ‘uncertainties’ and ‘risks,’ and associated synonyms, within textual contexts that discuss topics related to climate change (
Sautner et al., 2023).
Specifically, for the climate change exposure variable that we refer to in the original article, it is the broad measure of how much a firm is affected by climate change. It counts the frequency of climate-related keywords (e.g., “global warming,” “greenhouse gas,” and “carbon”) mentioned during an earnings call, normalized by the total number of words in the transcript. A higher value indicates that climate change is a more salient topic for the firm’s management and analysts. It represents the overall “attention” or “exposure” the firm has to climate issues, regardless of whether that exposure is positive or negative.
Regulatory risk captures the specific exposure that a firm faces regarding government actions and climate policies. This sub-measure focuses on keywords related to “carbon tax,” “emissions trading,” “regulations,” or “cap and trade,” which reflects the firm’s sensitivity to transition risks. Negative sentiment variable captures the extent to which climate-related discussions are framed in negative terms. The algorithm of
Sautner et al. (
2023) identifies climate-related bigrams and checks if they are associated with negative language (e.g., “loss,” “damage,” “threat,” and “crisis”). A more negative sentiment score indicates that the management perceives climate change primarily as a source of financial or operational distress.
We consolidate firm-level values of climate change exposure, regulatory risks, and negative sentiments provided by
Sautner et al. (
2023) to our sample and display the regression results on GI and stock liquidity contingent on climate change in
Table 6. In column (1) of
Table 6, the climate change exposure variable measures the extent to which firms’ businesses are exposed to climate change risk. When we have our main independent variable, GI, interact with climate change exposure, we spot a significant negative relation (−0.1296) between GI and quoted spread in the context of higher climate change exposures. In column (2), we have GI interact with the firm-specific climate change regulatory risk to examine whether GI benefits stock liquidity by mitigating firms’ regulatory risks due to climate change. We also notice a significant negative relation (−11.8748) between the interaction term and the relative quoted spread. Given that the quoted spread is a measure of stock illiquidity, we conclude that GI helps increase stock liquidity.
Most importantly, we specifically focus on GI and stock liquidity in the presence of firms’ negative news on climate change in column (3). The existing finance literature has documented that as uncertainty about the stock’s true value increases, the market maker must increase the spread to compensate for the higher probability of being exploited by an informed trader, thus increasing the adverse selection risk premium (
Glosten & Milgrom, 1985;
Kyle, 1985). Since negative news on climate change adds uncertainties to firms’ business risk, we should expect a wider spread as the compensation for the increased information asymmetry between informed and noisy traders. GI, acting as a means to reduce information asymmetry related to climate-related risk, should help reduce the spread, increasing stock liquidity.
The sentiment scores are all negative to represent negative news, and a more negative climate change sentiment score indicates more negative news for the specific firm. In column (3), we create a dummy, High Negative Climate Change Sentiment, that equals 1 for firms with a higher-than-median negative sentiment score, and 0 otherwise. We then have the dummy interact with the GI to test the contingency. The significant coefficient of the interaction term (−0.0003) strongly proves that GI helps increase stock liquidity for firms with more negative news on climate change risks.
Climate variables are measured on very small scales, as the means for climate change exposure and regulatory risk are 0.0009 and 1.64 × 10−6, respectively. Interaction coefficients capture the liquidity effect of GI that is contingent on the climate variables.
We find that the liquidity-enhancing effect of green innovation is highly contingent on firms’ climate-related risk exposure and related topics. The interaction between green innovation and climate change exposure is negative and statistically significant, indicating that the reduction in bid–ask spreads associated with green innovation is stronger for firms more exposed to climate change. Economically speaking, a one standard deviation (0.0022) increase in the climate change exposure variable is associated with an extra 3 bps reduction in spread.
Similarly, a one standard deviation (0.0003) increase in the regulatory risk variable is associated with an extra 3 bps reduction in spread. The coefficient of −0.0003 in Column (3) of
Table 6 indicates that for firms in the high-negative sentiment group, having GI is associated with an additional 3 bps reduction in the bid–ask spread compared to firms with the same patenting level in the low-negative sentiment group. This suggests that green innovation serves as a more potent signal of future viability when management expresses greater concern regarding climate-related risks.
4.4. The Contingent Analysis of Conservative Financial Reporting Practice
Our prior analyses suggest that GI enhances stock liquidity by reducing information asymmetry. However, the initial investment in GI often constitutes a significantly uncertain project that introduces new business risks and potential volatility to a firm’s operations. In other words, although GI reduces current information asymmetry and environmental risks and, therefore, increases stock liquidity, the uncertain nature of GI introduces volatility and information asymmetry for future periods. To mitigate uncertainties and future information asymmetry, we encourage companies to adopt conservative reporting practices.
Conservative reporting practice, also known as accounting conservatism, is an established practice that mandates firms to prioritize the recognition of bad news (adverse losses) over favorable news (gains). The objective of this asymmetric reporting is to provide users with financial statements with a more reliable and realistic evaluation of a firm’s organizational performance, through deliberate understatements of potential gains and overstatements of potential losses (
Basu, 1997). Researchers have shown the benefits of adopting conservative reporting practices, including a higher level of accounting disclosure (
Iatridis, 2011), a better information environment (
LaFond & Watts, 2008), and reduced stock price declines (
J. B. Kim & Zhang, 2016).
Moreover,
Y. Kim et al. (
2013) document that accounting conservatism reduces holding costs and increases seasoned equity offerings (SEO) announcement returns by mitigating the negative impacts of information asymmetry (
Y. Kim et al., 2013). Consistent with
Y. Kim et al. (
2013)’s finding,
X. Li (
2015)’s study also reveals that firms practicing accounting conservatism have a lower cost of equity and debt (
X. Li, 2015). According to Amihud and Mendelson (1986), lower holding costs and less required returns of equity reduce the quoted spread, increasing stock liquidity (
Amihud & Mendelson, 1986b). Therefore, we hypothesize that the firm’s choice of accounting conservatism can successfully mitigate this residual uncertainty, thereby strengthening the positive GI and liquidity relation.
To quantify the degree of accounting conservatism, we collect company financial statement data from Compustat and monthly stock return data from CRSP. Consistent with established methodology (
Basu, 1997;
Khan & Watts, 2009), we exclude observations with missing values for the variables utilized in the accounting conservatism estimation, we remove firm-year observations reporting negative assets, book value of equity, or sales, and we exclude observations where the fiscal year-end price per share is less than
$1. To calculate the corporation’s annual return, we cumulate the CRSP monthly returns beginning from the fourth month after the fiscal year end. Utilizing the conditional accounting conservatism measure developed by
Khan and Watts (
2009), we have the following equation:
Earningit is net income before extraordinary items scaled by a lagged market value of equity for firm i in year t. D is a dummy equaling one if firm i’s return is negative in year t, and zero otherwise. R is the annual return for firm i in year t. Size is the natural log of market value of equity, MTB is the ratio of market value of equity to book value at the end of the year, and leverage is the sum of short- and long-term liabilities scaled by market value of equity.
We then regress Equation (3) to obtain cross-sectional estimates λ1 to λ4 for our accounting conservatism measure, C-Score:
C-Score, developed by
Khan and Watts (
2009), indicates how conservative the management practices’ reporting standards are. A high (lower) C-Score represents that the firm has more conservative (aggressive) accounting numbers on its financial statements to shareholders. We have the C-Score interact with the LnGreen patent and report the regression results in
Table 7. The significant negative coefficient of the interaction term, −0.0007, suggests that with conservative reporting practices in effect, firms mitigate the potential negative impacts on information asymmetry and uncertainties due to GI and further increase stock liquidity.
Accounting conservatism is measured on a continuous scale with a mean of 0.2161 and a standard deviation of 0.4224. Interaction coefficients capture the marginal change in the liquidity effect of GI that is contingent on the variation in reporting conservatism. We find that the liquidity-enhancing effect of green innovation becomes stronger as firms adopt more conservative financial reporting practices. In Column (1) of
Table 7, the coefficient (−0.0007) of the interaction term indicates that a one standard deviation increase in accounting conservatism is associated with an extra 3bp reduction in spread, suggesting that conservative accounting practices effectively reduce the endogenous operational risks of GI through the reduction in information asymmetry.
4.5. Robustness Test
In this section, we substitute the relative quoted spread with two other well-established stock illiquidity measures, Amihud’s illiquidity measure and RToTR illiquidity measure, to ensure that our baseline regression result is still robust for different measures. The Amihud’s illiquidity measure, RtoVit, is computed as Equation (5):
where RtoV
it is the Amihud’s illiquidity measure for stock i in year t, D
it is the number of trading days for stock i in year t, |R
id| is the absolute return of stock i on day d of year t, and V
id is the monetary volume of stock i on day d of year t.
Arguing that Amihud’s illiquidity measure has limitations on the false representation that small-cap stocks are more illiquid and on negligence on the trading frequency dimension of stock liquidity,
Florackis et al. (
2011) propose a price impact ratio, RtoTRi, measured as the average ratio of daily absolute stock return to its turnover ratio (
Florackis et al., 2011). The calculation of the RtoTR ratio is shown in Euqation (6):
where RtoTR
it is
Florackis et al. (
2011)’s illiquidity measure for stock i in year t, Dit is the number of trading days for stock i in year t, |R
id| is the absolute return of stock i on day d of year t, and TR
id is the turnover ratio of stock i on day d of year t.
We show regression results of the alternative illiquidity measure in
Table 8, where column (1) includes RtoV ratio as the main dependent variable, while column (2) includes RtoTR ratio as the main dependent variable. In column (1), where RtoV
it is the dependent variable, the coefficient on LnGreen Patent is a highly statistically significant negative value, −0.1719. Similarly, in column (2), where RtoTR
it is the dependent variable, the coefficient on LnGreen Patent is also highly significant and negative, −4.1785. Since both RtoVit and RtoTR
it are structured such that a negative coefficient signifies increased liquidity, the significant negative coefficients in column (1) and (2) prove that although different measures of stock liquidity are in use, the negative relation between GI and stock liquidity still exists, suggesting that the relation between green innovation and stock liquidity holds regardless of the liquidity proxy used.