Exploring AI-ESG-Driven Synergies in M&A Transactions: Open Innovation and Real Options Approaches
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Key Literature Review
2.1. AI, Open Innovation, and M&A Strategy
2.2. Strategic Fit and Innovation Synergies: Value in Exchange vs. Value in Development
2.3. Post-Merger Integration and Knowledge Sharing
2.4. ESG Considerations in M&A
2.5. AI, Competitive Advantage, the VRIO Framework, and the ARCTIC Scorecard Extension
- Value: AI enhances efficiency, while OI introduces diverse ideas (Secundo et al., 2025b; Magli & Amaduzzi, 2025). ESG builds long-term value through reputational capital and regulatory resilience (Ground, 2022).
- Rarity: Proprietary AI models and ESG-driven business models are genuinely difficult to imitate (Soubhari et al., 2025; Alam et al., 2025, p. 37).
- Imitability: Complex AI systems and deeply embedded ESG practices demand cultural change and are hard to replicate (Wynsberghe, 2021; Bani-Khaled et al., 2025).
- Organization: Successfully integrating AI, OI, and ESG demands new organizational structures that foster collaboration and support ethical governance (Secundo et al., 2025b; Bujno & Abrash, 2022).
2.6. Real Options Valuation (ROV) Integration
2.7. Theoretical Propositions and Supporting Evidence
3. Research Methodology: Framework Implementation and Scorecard Evaluation
Justification for the Structure of the ARCTIC Framework for AI-ESG-OI M&A Synergies Valuation
4. Research Design: Extending the VRIO Framework with ARCTIC to Forecast Synergies in M&A Driven by AI, ESG, and Open Innovation
ARCTIC Criteria Analyzed with the VRIO Framework
5. From Framework to Practice: Implementing the ARCTIC Scorecard in AI-ESG-OI M&A Evaluation
5.1. Recommended ARCTIC AI-ESG-OI M&A Scorecard
5.2. Evaluating AI-ESG-OI Synergies in M&A: Scorecard Dimensions and Interpretive Framework
6. Data Analysis and Interpretation: Empirical Evidence from Case Study Research
Key Open Innovation Insights from Case Studies
7. Discussion: Open Innovation Patterns and Strategic Flexibility in AI-ESG-OI M&A Deals with Real Options
8. Research Findings, Contributions, and Implications
8.1. ARCTIC Uncovers Strategic Opportunities Beyond VRIO
8.2. Cultural Fit and Capacity to Absorb as Critical Differentiators
8.3. Real Options Reasoning Improves Strategic Flexibility
8.4. ARCTIC as a Predictive and Prescriptive Tool
8.5. Research Question, Theoretical Propositions, and Supporting Examples
8.6. Implications for Corporations
8.7. Implications for Policymakers
8.8. Implications for Society
- Enhanced Labor Practices: Focusing on cultural fit helps prevent post-merger layoffs and improves working conditions by ensuring alignment with social values.
- Environmental Stewardship: Emphasizing ESG encourages the adoption of sustainable practices and reduces the environmental footprint of integrated companies.
- Greater Transparency: Using AI to analyze ESG data and open innovation practices can lead to more transparent corporate operations and increased accountability to the public.
9. Conclusions, Contributions, Limitations, and Future Directions
9.1. Contributions
9.2. Limitations
9.3. Future Research Directions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Appendix A.1. ARCTIC Scorecard Strategic Evaluation Questionnaire
- What unique AI or ESG capabilities does the target offer?
- How do these capabilities fit into our current innovation ecosystem?
- Can we grow these competitive advantages through open innovation networks?
- How relevant are their innovation partnerships to our dynamic capabilities for developing new customer value propositions and innovating our business model?
- Does the target align with our ESG and AI roadmaps?
- Is the target active on open innovation platforms or consortia?
- What are the technical challenges of integration?
- How complex are the target’s OI relationships and data-sharing practices?
- Does AI significantly transform established forms of open innovation?
- What is the expected timeline for achieving AI and ESG synergies?
- How fast can we activate the target’s OI networks?
- Are there quick wins to help build momentum?
- What infrastructure is required to deploy AI and ESG tools?
- Are there scalable OI models like federated learning or shared platforms?
- How will we handle stakeholder expectations and compliance?
- Does the target demonstrate a culture of openness and innovation?
- How well do our ESG values and innovation mindsets align?
- Can we build trust and teamwork between both organizations?
Appendix A.2. Implementing the ARCTIC Framework via the Questionnaire in Appendix A.1
Appendix B. Key AI-ESG-OI Insights of Case Studies
Cases | Key AI-ESG-OI Insights |
---|---|
1. L’Oréal/Aesop (2023) | AI enhances OI through crowdsourced eco-design (e.g., Green Sciences Platform), while ESG commitments draw in OI partners. |
2. Microsoft/LinkedIn (2016) | AI enables new OI markets (e.g., GitHub Copilot for ESG tech collaboration), aligning with social impact goals. |
3. Amazon/Whole Foods (2017) | Failed to leverage AI for OI, such as sharing synthetic data with suppliers, or for ESG transparency. |
4. Amazon/Zoox (2020) | AI replaces traditional OI (e.g., in-house R&D over open AV alliances), which creates ESG integration risks. |
5. Ahold Delhaize (2016) | Key AI-ESG-OI insights show that sustainability leadership could not make up for lagging AI-OI (e.g., no federated learning for supply chain ESG data). |
6. Samsung/Harman (2016) | Embedded AI (connected cars) enables OI ecosystems for sustainable mobility (e.g., open EV battery patents). |
Case | Key AI-ESG-OI Insights |
---|---|
Tesco–Carrefour (2018–2021) | Baseline for low AI-ESG-OI ambition: Procurement alliance without AI/OI tools for ESG (e.g., shared carbon accounting). |
Amazon/One Medical (2022) | Highlights AI-ESG-OI tradeoffs: Health tech’s privacy risks (synthetic data potential) versus social impact (open-access diagnostics). |
Amazon/Souq.com (2017) | Geographic expansion challenges: AI-ESG is deprioritized in favor of market share, leading to missed OI opportunities (e.g., local sustainability crowdsourcing). |
Appendix C. Important Terms Glossary
References
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Stages | Description | Key Focus/Purpose |
---|---|---|
1. Cross-Border M&A Context | Understanding the global landscape for mergers and acquisitions. | Establishing a complex backdrop for strategy decisions. |
2. Influence of AI, ESG, & Open Innovation | Understanding how these key factors influence M&A opportunities and risks. | Identifying the main drivers and obstacles for synergy creation. |
3. ARCTIC Framework Application | Starting a systematic assessment using the ARCTIC dimensions. | Structuring the analytical approach for a comprehensive assessment. |
4. ARCTIC Dimensions (A, R, C, T, I, C) | Analyzing the deal in terms of Advantages, Relevance, Capacity to Absorb, Time, Implementation, and Cultural Fit. | Leading a detailed investigation into various strategic aspects. |
5. Strategic Questions | Posing specific questions related to each ARCTIC dimension, including AI, ESG, and OI. | Gathering specific information and insights for assessment. |
6. ARCTIC AI-ESG M&A Scorecard | Applying a structured scoring system (1–5 scale) based on criteria for each dimension. | Measuring the qualitative aspects of AI-ESG-OI synergies. |
7. Open Innovation Insights | Identifying patterns of how AI interacts with OI (enhancing, enabling, replacing, or conflicting) and its ESG implications. | Understanding how AI-driven OI models influence synergy potential, ESG alignment, and cultural fit in M&A. |
8. Real Options Valuation for Synergies | Applying real options methodology to value the identified collaborative synergies. | Quantifying strategic flexibility, risks, and potential value amid uncertainty. |
9. Prediction & Valuation of Collaborative Synergies | Synthesizing all analyses to predict and assign a value to potential synergies. | Reaching an informed decision regarding the M&A transaction’s value. |
Aspect | Research Methodology | Research Design |
---|---|---|
Focus | Why the ARCTIC framework is developed and how it builds on and extends the VRIO model | How the ARCTIC framework is applied through operationalization, scoring, and case study analysis |
Purpose | To justify the conceptual and theory-building approach for evaluating AI–ESG–OI synergies in M&A | To provide a structured plan for applying the ARCTIC framework to real-world M&A cases |
Scope | Conceptual development of a multidimensional evaluation model (ARCTIC) integrating strategic, innovation, and ESG theory | Application of the model through a 30-point scorecard and six illustrative M&A case studies |
Includes | - Integration of strategic management, innovation, and sustainability literature - Qualitative comparative analysis - Development of ARCTIC as an extension of VRIO | - Operationalization of six ARCTIC dimensions via strategic questions - Scorecard-based evaluation - Case study selection and analysis |
Flexibility | Methodological stance is stable (conceptual and theory-building) | Design allows adaptation of the scorecard and questions across industries and M&A contexts |
Example Question | Why is a multidimensional framework needed to assess AI–ESG–OI synergies in M&A? | How will the ARCTIC scorecard be used to evaluate strategic fit and integration complexity in selected cases? |
Example | Developing the ARCTIC framework to capture dynamic, ecosystem-based value in M&A scenarios | Applying the ARCTIC scorecard to analyze case studies (e.g., Microsoft–LinkedIn and Amazon–Whole Foods) for synergy potential |
Feature | Likert Scale | ARCTIC AI-ESG-OI M&A Scorecard |
---|---|---|
With 1 representing “Strongly Disagree” and 5 representing “Strongly Agree.” | Rate each criterion from 1 “Low” to 5 “High” | |
Purpose | Measures attitudes, opinions, or agreement (e.g., “Strongly agree” to “Strongly disagree”) | Evaluates specific AI-ESG-OI related criteria in M&A decisions |
Scale Labels | Often uses verbal anchors (e.g., “Strongly disagree”, “Neutral”, “Strongly agree”) | Uses numerical ratings (1 = Low, 5 = High) without verbal anchors |
Context | Common in surveys, psychology, social sciences | Tailored for business strategy, AI, ESG, and OI analysis, and M&A evaluation |
Interpretation | Focuses on sentiment or opinion | Focuses on performance, relevance, or risk of AI, ESG, and OI factors |
Design | Usually generic and standardized | Often customized to fit the ESG framework and strategic goals |
Example Comparison | Likert Scale Question: “I believe ESG factors are important in M&A decisions.” Response: 1 (Strongly disagree) to 5 (Strongly agree) | ARCTIC Scorecard Criterion: “Environmental due diligence quality” Rating: 1 (Low quality) to 5 (High quality) |
ARCTIC Dimension | VRIO Link | Core Concept & AI/ESG/OI Integration | Key Strategic Questions | Scorecard Criteria (Sample) & Holgersson et al. (2024) Insights |
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A: Advantages (Strategic & Operational Gains) | Rarity & Imitability | How AI enhances gains through predictive analytics & ESG intelligence. OI enhances AI by enabling access to external innovation assets, thereby gaining benefits. | What unique AI or ESG capabilities do the target offer? How do these fit into our OI ecosystem? Can we scale via OI networks? |
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R: Relevance (Strategic Alignment) | Value | How well the target aligns with the acquirer’s strategic goals, including ESG commitments and digital maturity. OI enables AI and adds a layer by assessing collaboration openness & role in innovation ecosystems. | How relevant are their innovative partnerships to our dynamic capabilities? Does the target align with our ESG and AI roadmaps? Is the target active in OI platforms? | AI: How do companies’ AI and technology roadmaps align (e.g., AI for sustainability versus profit-only automation)?
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C: Capacity to Absorb (Integration Challenges) | Organization | Challenges in integrating technology, organizations, and regulations. OI adds complexity with IP sharing, partner coordination, & ecosystem governance. | What are the technical challenges to integration? How intricate are the target’s OI relationships and data-sharing practices? Does AI reshape established OI forms? |
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T: Time (Speed of Value Realization) | Organization | AI can accelerate due diligence and integration, while ESG and OI initiatives may require longer timelines. ARCTIC evaluates the balance between immediate benefits and long-term innovation value. | What is the expected timeline for achieving AI/ESG synergies? How quickly can we activate the target’s OI networks? Are there quick wins? | AI: Can AI tools accelerate ESG process integration?
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I: Implementation (Feasibility & Scalability) | Organization | Feasibility of integrating AI, ESG, and OI capabilities, including technical readiness, governance structures, and stakeholder engagement. | What infrastructure is required to implement AI/ESG tools? Are scalable OI models available? How will we handle stakeholder expectations and ensure compliance? | AI: Is there an AI-powered PMI tracker (e.g., ESG KPI dashboards with predictive alerts)?
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C: Cultural Fit (Innovation & Sustainability Mindsets) | Organization | Critical for successful integration, including openness to experimentation, transparency, and shared values. OI emphasizes absorptive capacity and a culture of collaboration. | Does the target demonstrate a culture of openness and innovation? How aligned are our ESG values and innovation mindsets? Can we foster trust and collaboration? |
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Case | Why Include? | Key AI-ESG Insights |
---|---|---|
1. L’Oréal/Aesop (2023) | Gold standard for high AI-ESG synergy (Modi Face AI + B Corp ESG). Perfect benchmark. | How Luxury Beauty Aligns AI Personalization with Radical Sustainability. |
2. Microsoft/LinkedIn (2016) | Demonstrates data-driven AI (Azure) and social ESG (skills training). Shows strong cultural fit. | Scaling ESG impact with AI-driven expertise networks. |
3. Amazon/Whole Foods (2017) | Cautionary tale of cultural and ESG clashes despite retail tech potential. | Labor disputes and slow AI adoption weakened ESG value. |
4. Amazon/Zoox (2020) | Tests long-term bets (AVs) versus immediate ESG returns. Highly complex. | Balancing R&D timelines with climate commitments (net-zero logistics). |
5. Ahold Delhaize (2016) | ESG-focused merger with poor AI integration. Contrasts with tech-driven deals. | Can sustainability leadership make up for slow AI innovation? |
6. Samsung/Harman (2016) | IoT/AI combined with automotive ESG (e.g., electric vehicles). Although understudied strategic. | Embedded AI in connected cars enables sustainable mobility. |
Case | Role in Paper: Key AI-ESG Insights |
---|---|
Tesco–Carrefour (2018–2021) | Displays procurement-focused alliances with limited AI-ESG ambitions (baseline comparison). |
Amazon/One Medical (2022) | Highlights health tech’s unique AI-ESG potential (privacy versus social impact tradeoffs). |
Amazon/Souq.com (2017) | Illustrates geographic expansion pitfalls where AI-ESG is deprioritized. |
Criterion | Samsung/Harman (2016) | Score (/5) | Microsoft/LinkedIn (2016) | Score (/5) |
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Advantages | AI: Harman’s automotive AI (infotainment, ADAS) complements Samsung’s IoT/5G capabilities. ESG: Harman’s eco-friendly audio tech aligns with Samsung’s sustainability goals. | 5/5 | AI: LinkedIn’s data and Microsoft’s Azure AI created synergies, such as talent analytics. ESG: LinkedIn’s “Green Skills” taxonomy aligns with Microsoft’s carbon-negative initiatives goals. | 4/5 |
Relevance | AI: Shared focus on connected cars and smart cities. ESG: Both are committed to reducing e-waste (Harman’s recyclable materials, Samsung’s Circular Economy pledge). | 5/5 | AI: Strong fit (cloud/AI + professional data). ESG: Shared digital inclusion goals (e.g., LinkedIn Learning for underserved communities). | 5/5 |
Capacity to Absorb | AI: Minimal tech hurdles (Harman already uses Samsung chips). ESG: Harmonized supply chain sustainability standards. | 4/5 | AI: Data privacy and API integration challenges. ESG: Few conflicts, both prioritize transparency. | 3/5 |
Time of Integration | AI: Quickly integrating Harman’s audio AI into Samsung’s Bixby ecosystem. ESG: Implemented Harman’s energy-efficient manufacturing methods by 2018. | 5/5 | AI: Rapid Azure integration (e.g., AI-powered LinkedIn recommendations). ESG: Swift alignment on skills-for-climate-jobs initiatives. | 4/5 |
Implementation Plan | AI: Clear roadmap for AI-driven in-car experiences. ESG: Public 2020 sustainability targets for the automotive division. | 4/5 | AI: Clear roadmap (e.g., Dynamics 365 + LinkedIn Sales Navigator). ESG: Public pledges (e.g., 250K green skills trained by 2025). | 4/5 |
Cultural Fit | AI: Collaborative R&D culture (e.g., joint innovation labs). ESG: Mutual emphasis on green tech and ethical sourcing. | 4/5 | AI: Shared ethics (e.g., responsible AI principles). ESG: Both committed to workforce upskilling and DEI. | 5/5 |
Total Score | 27/30 | 25/30 | ||
Verdict | High synergy—Tech/ESG alignment accelerated auto-tech growth. | High synergy—AI-driven product integration, ESG-enhanced social impact. | ||
Post-M&A Reality | AI: Harman’s tech powered Samsung’s Digital Cockpit, leading to a 30% revenue growth by 2020. ESG: Achieved 95% recyclable materials in Harman products by 2022. AI-ESG: Harman’s automotive AI combined with Samsung’s scale enabled rapid market penetration. | AI: LinkedIn’s premium subscription revenue increased by 25% in 2023, reaching $1.7 billion, mainly driven by the adoption of AI-powered features. ESG: “Global Skills Initiative” trained over 80 million people in green and digital skills. |
Criterion | Amazon/Whole Foods (2017) | Score (/5) | L’Oréal/Aesop (2023) | Score (/5) |
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Advantages | - AI: Amazon’s logistics AI combined with Whole Foods’ physical stores creates omnichannel dominance. - ESG: Whole Foods’ organic supply chain enhances Amazon’s sustainability credibility. | 4/5 | - AI: L’Oréal’s AI beauty tech (ModiFace) plus Aesop’s cult following equals hyper-personalization. - ESG: Aesop’s vegan, sustainable branding boosts L’Oréal’s ESG metrics. | 5/5 |
Relevance | - AI: High alignment (Amazon’s tech + Whole Foods’ premium retail). - ESG: Partial fit (Amazon’s labor controversies vs. Whole Foods’ “conscious capitalism”). | 3/5 | - AI: Perfect fit (L’Oréal’s digital tools and Aesop’s experiential retail). - ESG: Aesop’s B Corp status aligns with L’Oréal’s “Green Beauty” goals. | 5/5 |
Capacity to Absorb | - AI: Integrating Amazon’s cashierless technology into Whole Foods faced operational hurdles. - ESG: Culture clash over worker wages and unionization. | 2/5 | - AI: Minimal—Aesop’s minimalist operations integrate easily. - ESG: Shared cruelty-free and sustainable sourcing standards. | 4/5 |
Time of Integration | - AI: Rapid rollout of Prime discounts, but full tech integration took years. - ESG: Slow progress in harmonizing labor standards. | 3/5 | - AI: Rapid rollout of AI-powered Aesop skincare recommendations. - ESG: Immediate boost to L’Oréal’s ESG credibility. | 5/5 |
Implementation Plan | - AI: Utilized data analytics to enhance Whole Foods’ inventory management. - ESG: Lacks a clear ESG roadmap after the merger. | 2/5 | - AI: Leveraged L’Oréal’s AI to boost Aesop’s e-commerce growth. - ESG: Published a public roadmap to expand Aesop’s sustainability practices worldwide. | 4/5 |
Cultural Fit | - AI: Whole Foods resisted Amazon’s automation-heavy culture. - ESG: Worker protests over pay disparities. | 2/5 | - AI: Both value tech-enabled, human-centered beauty. - ESG: Shared focus on ethical sourcing and storytelling. | 5/5 |
Total Score | 16/30 | 28/30 | ||
Verdict | Moderate risk—ESG and cultural gaps diminish synergies. | High synergy—AI/ESG driving accelerated growth. | ||
Post-M&A Reality | - AI Success: Prime integration boosted sales, but technology adoption lagged behind expectations. - ESG Failures: Labor disputes and brand decline damage reputation. | AI/ESG Win: Aesop’s sales increased 50% in 2023, driven by AI personalization and ESG storytelling as main factors drivers. |
Criterion | Amazon/Zoox (2020) | Score (/5) | Amazon/Souq.com (2017) | Score (/5) | Amazon/One Medical (2022) | Score (/5) |
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Advantages | AI: Zoox’s autonomous vehicle (AV) AI complements Amazon’s logistics. ESG: Potential for zero-emission last-mile delivery. | 4/5 | AI: Limited immediate AI integration; potential for Amazon’s AI tools in MENA e-commerce. ESG: Access to emerging market with sustainability growth potential. | 3/5 | AI: Health-tech potential. ESG: Healthcare access. | 4/5 |
Relevance | AI: Strong fit (Amazon’s robotics + Zoox’s AV tech). ESG: Aligns with Amazon’s Climate Pledge (net-zero by 2040). | 4/5 | AI: Basic e-commerce AI alignment (recommendation engines). ESG: Some alignment in digital inclusion for MENA region. | 3/5 | AI: Strong (AI diagnostics). ESG: Social impact alignment. | 5/5 |
Capacity to Absorb | AI: High (integrating Zoox’s AI with Amazon’s systems). ESG: Regulatory hurdles in sustainable transport. | 3/5 | AI: Minimal initial technical integration required. ESG: Cultural and regulatory differences in ESG standards. | 4/5 | AI: Data privacy risks. ESG: Regulatory concerns compliance. | 3/5 |
Time of Integration | AI: Slow (AV tech requires lengthy testing). ESG: Long-term ESG benefits (e.g., EV fleets). | 3/5 | AI: Gradual rollout of Amazon’s AI tools. ESG: Slow ESG alignment because of market differences. | 3/5 | AI: Moderate (API integration). ESG: Focus on long-term health equity. | 4/5 |
Implementation Plan | AI: Gradual rollout, such as pilot programs in select cities. ESG: No clear short-term ESG milestones. | 3/5 | AI: Lacks a clear public roadmap for AI integration. ESG: Shows basic adoption of Amazon’s sustainability practices. | 2/5 | AI: EHR integration. ESG: Public health goals. | 4/5 |
Cultural Fit | AI: Both emphasize innovation but differ in their risk appetite. ESG: Zoox’s sustainability focus aligns with Amazon’s Climate Pledge. | 4/5 | AI: Both focus on e-commerce but operate at different scales. ESG: Partial alignment on digital accessibility. | 3/5 | AI: Ethics alignment. ESG: Shared (Diversity, Equity, Inclusion) DEI goals. | 4/5 |
Total Score | 21/30 | 18/30 | 24/30 | |||
Verdict | Moderate potential—long-term AI-ESG benefits but high complexity and slow integration. | Moderate potential—focus on market expansion with limited initial AI-ESG integration. | High synergy: AI-ESG in healthcare. | |||
Post-M&A Reality | - AI: Zoox testing AVs in over 3 U.S. cities (2024). - ESG: No significant ESG impact yet; possible future synergy with Amazon’s EV fleet. | - AI: Gradual adoption of Amazon’s recommendation algorithms. - ESG: Some sustainability practices adopted, but no major initiatives. | - AI: Growth in health analytics.—ESG: Wins in accessibility. |
Criterion | Ahold Delhaize (2016 Merger) | Score (/5) | Tesco–Carrefour (2018–2021 Alliance) | Score (/5) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Advantages | AI: Supply chain optimization. ESG: Emphasis on strong sustainability (e.g., circular economy). | 4/5 | AI: Minimal AI use. ESG: Coordinated purchasing to save costs, limited ESG innovation. | 3/5 |
Relevance | AI: Moderate alignment with a focus on efficiency. ESG: High shared priorities such as net-zero and ethical sourcing. | 4/5 | AI: No strategic AI alignment. ESG: Partial overlap (sustainable sourcing). | 2/5 |
Capacity to Absorb | AI: Data silos in logistics. ESG: Regional reporting differences (EU/US). | 3/5 | AI: No integration. ESG: Varying supplier standards (UK/EU). | 1/5 |
Time of Integration | AI: Potential for automated ESG reporting. ESG: Rapid procurement wins. | 4/5 | AI: No AI acceleration. ESG: Slow ESG collaboration. | 2/5 |
Implementation Plan | AI: Lacks AI-driven PMI tools. ESG: Has public goals but no AI integration. | 3/5 | AI: No AI roadmap. ESG: No joint ESG milestones. | 1/5 |
Cultural Fit | AI: Ethical AI alignment. ESG: Strong shared values (worker rights, climate). | 5/5 | AI: Lacks AI culture. ESG: Only superficial sustainability efforts. | 2/5 |
Total Score | 23/30 | 11/30 | ||
Verdict | Moderate potential for synergy—Strong ESG but requires AI integration. | Limited synergy—Procurement focus causes missed AI-ESG opportunities. | ||
Post-M&A Reality | - AI: Improved logistics but no breakthrough innovation. - ESG: Achieved 2025 carbon goals early. | - AI: No noticeable AI impact. - ESG: Cost savings but lacks ESG leadership. |
OI Pattern | Representative Cases | AI Role | ESG Link | Insight Summary |
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OI-Enhancing AI | L’Oréal, Microsoft | AI tools such as ModiFace and GitHub Copilot enhance traditional OI practices like crowdsourcing and open application programming interfaces (APIs). | ESG transparency (e.g., B Corp certification) attracts new OI partners and green tech collaborations. | AI strengthens existing OI mechanisms and supports ESG through openness and trust. |
OI-Enabling AI | Samsung, Microsoft | AI facilitates new forms of OI, such as federated learning for ESG data and open patent ecosystems. | Shared infrastructure (e.g., Azure) enhances ESG impact through skills training and carbon tracking. | AI creates novel OI pathways that expand ESG collaboration and scalability. |
OI-Replacing AI | Amazon/Zoox | Proprietary AI systems replace traditional OI, like autonomous vehicles replacing open mobility alliances. | Increases ESG risks due to less accountability and transparency. | AI might undermine OI and ESG goals if it replaces collaborative ecosystems. |
OI-Cultural Fit | Amazon/Whole Foods vs. Microsoft | Closed AI systems and anti-union culture conflict with OI and ESG values. | Microsoft’s open-skills approach contrasts with Amazon’s restrictive policies practices. | Cultural misalignment between AI and OI values can weaken ESG and innovation potential. |
ARCTIC Criterion | ROV Opportunity | Valuation Approach | Allocated Case Studies | Key Risk Factors | Risk Mitigation Strategies |
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Advantages | Option to scale AI-ESG tech across markets | Growth option pricing | L’Oréal/Aesop: Scalable AI personalization and ESG branding. Microsoft/LinkedIn: AI-powered ESG training and technology collaboration. Amazon/One Medical: Potential to expand AI diagnostics and ESG healthcare access. | L’Oréal/Aesop: Low risk; ESG branding and AI personalization are broadly appealing worldwide, but luxury market ESG expectations differ. Microsoft/LinkedIn: Low to moderate risk; global expansion may be affected by regulatory and cultural ESG differences. Amazon/One Medical: Moderate risk; healthcare regulations and privacy issues might restrict ESG growth across regions. | Conduct ESG localization audits; co-develop ESG standards with regional partners; pilot AI-ESG tools in diverse regulatory environments before full rollout |
Relevance | Option to pivot AI for ESG adjacencies | Switching option valuation | Microsoft/LinkedIn: Shifting AI tools to focus on ESG tech collaboration. Samsung/Harman: Redirecting IoT/AI toward sustainable mobility. Amazon/Souq.com: Missed chance to shift toward local ESG/OI initiatives. | Microsoft/LinkedIn: Low risk; flexible AI tools and strong ESG culture support strategic pivots. Samsung/Harman: Moderate risk; ESG mobility pivots depend on regional infrastructure and policy support. Amazon/Souq.com: High risk; expansion prioritizes scale over ESG/OI localization, missing regional innovation potential. | Establish regional ESG-OI innovation hubs, engage local stakeholders in ESG co-design, and integrate local sustainability metrics into AI platforms. |
Capacity to Absorb | Option to delay or abandon if integration fails | Deferral (American call)/Abandonment (American put) options | Amazon/Zoox: High R&D complexity and ESG uncertainty. Amazon/Zoox: High risk; long R&D cycles and lack of open alliances increase ESG uncertainty. Amazon/Whole Foods: High risk; labor tensions and closed AI systems hinder ESG transparency and stakeholder trust. Amazon/One Medical: Moderate to high risk; ethical AI and data privacy concerns challenge ESG integration in health tech. Amazon/Whole Foods: Cultural and ESG misalignment. Amazon/One Medical: Privacy versus social impact tradeoffs complicate ESG integration. | Amazon/Zoox: High risk; long R&D cycles and lack of open alliances increase ESG uncertainty. Amazon/Whole Foods: High risk; labor tensions and closed AI systems obstruct ESG transparency and stakeholder trust. Amazon/One Medical: Moderate to high risk; ethical AI and data privacy concerns challenge ESG integration in health tech. | Use modular integration plans with exit checkpoints; implement AI ethics boards; harmonize ESG standards through third-party frameworks (e.g., Global Reporting Initiative(GRI),Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB) |
Time of Integration | Compound option to accelerate with AI tools | Compound timing options | Microsoft/LinkedIn: AI accelerates ESG scaling. Samsung/Harman: AI-enabled mobility platforms speed ESG deployment. | Microsoft/LinkedIn: Low risk; mature AI infrastructure enables quick ESG rollout. Samsung/Harman: Moderate risk; ESG acceleration could be delayed due to regulatory timelines and ecosystem readiness. | Align ESG timelines with AI deployment cycles; use AI to simulate ESG impact scenarios; phase ESG implementation alongside AI rollouts. |
Implementation Plan | Sequential (staged) investment options | Compounded real options | Samsung/Harman: Staged rollout of connected car ESG platforms. Ahold Delhaize: ESG milestones are present, but AI integration is weak. Amazon/Zoox: Long-term staged investment in AV and ESG logistics. | Samsung/Harman: Low to moderate risk; success depends on ecosystem adoption and open standards. Ahold Delhaize: Moderate risk; ESG goals lack AI support, risking execution delays. Amazon/Zoox: High risk; long-term ESG returns are uncertain, and a lack of OI partnerships increases isolation. | Invest in AI infrastructure before scaling ESG efforts; integrate ESG KPIs into AI dashboards; leverage open innovation platforms to crowdsource ESG implementation ideas. |
Cultural Fit | Deferral options to align values for long-term ESG-OI success or Abandonment options | Deferral (LearniMicrosoft/LinkedIn: Strong cultural alignment around open innovation and ESG. Amazon/Whole Foods: Cultural misalignment hampers ESG-OI potential. Tesco/Carrefour: Weak cultural and strategic fit for AI-ESG-OI ambitions.ng)/Abandonment real options | Microsoft/LinkedIn: Strong cultural alignment around open innovation and ESG. Amazon/Whole Foods: Cultural misalignment undermines ESG-OI potential. Tesco/Carrefour: Weak cultural and strategic fit for AI-ESG-OI ambitions. | Microsoft/LinkedIn: Low risk; shared values and open innovation culture reinforce ESG integration. Amazon/Whole Foods: Moderate to high risk; anti-union stance and closed systems hinder ESG-OI alignment. Tesco/Carrefour: High risk; procurement-driven culture lacks innovation mindset and strategic ESG integration. | Conduct cultural due diligence pre-merger; launch cross-cultural ESG-OI training programs; co-create ESG-OI charters with employees and partners |
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Čirjevskis, A. Exploring AI-ESG-Driven Synergies in M&A Transactions: Open Innovation and Real Options Approaches. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18, 561. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18100561
Čirjevskis A. Exploring AI-ESG-Driven Synergies in M&A Transactions: Open Innovation and Real Options Approaches. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2025; 18(10):561. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18100561
Chicago/Turabian StyleČirjevskis, Andrejs. 2025. "Exploring AI-ESG-Driven Synergies in M&A Transactions: Open Innovation and Real Options Approaches" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 18, no. 10: 561. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18100561
APA StyleČirjevskis, A. (2025). Exploring AI-ESG-Driven Synergies in M&A Transactions: Open Innovation and Real Options Approaches. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 18(10), 561. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18100561