Global Warming and the Elderly: A Socio-Ecological Framework
Highlights
- Two global trends, including the aging of populations worldwide and the acceleration of climate change with increasingly frequent extreme weather events, may contribute to a healthcare crisis toward the end of the current century.
- Heat-related mortality among adults ages 60 and above has increased by 167% since the 1990s, with global warming now occurring at three times the rate of the pre-industrial era.
- The study proposes a socio-ecological framework that considers both drivers and mitigation strategies for addressing heat-related illness in the elderly from the perspectives of global climate and policy, social determinants of health, and the individual.
- It will be essential to improve heat emergency warning systems and critical care management for older adults to prevent unnecessary morbidity and mortality in the wake of global warming.
- Healthcare providers play an essential role in reducing the risks for heat-related illness through patient education regarding the symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke.
- Advocacy for changes in public policy related to the built environment will be key to this effort, including addressing the problems of urban heat islands, providing public cooling centers during heat emergencies, and promoting the use of universal design concepts to improve pedestrian pathways for persons with limited mobility
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Methods
Research Question
3. Results
3.1. A Population Health Approach at the Intersection of Two Global Trends
3.2. Heat Health Terminology
3.3. Physiology and Climatology
3.4. Population Health Planning
3.5. Low- and Middle-Income Nations
4. Discussion
4.1. Population Aging and Physiological Vulnerability
4.1.1. Aging of Global Populations
4.1.2. Physical and Cognitive Decline in Healthy Aging and Chronic Disease
4.2. Heat-Related Illness Pathophysiology in Older Adults
4.2.1. Physiology of Heat Stress, Heat Strain, and Heat-Related Illnesses
4.2.2. Effects of Medications on Heat Tolerance
4.2.3. Classical and Exertional Heatstroke
4.2.4. Contact Burns
4.3. Social and Behavioral Determinants of Heat Vulnerability
4.3.1. Impact of Race, Ethnicity, Economic Status, and Sexuality
4.3.2. Behavioral Factors Influencing Heat Illness Vulnerability
4.4. Integrating Findings Within a Socio-Ecological Framework
Socio-Ecological Framework
4.5. Environmental and Structural Drivers of Heat Risk
4.5.1. Global Warming
4.5.2. Extreme Weather Events
4.5.3. The Built Environment: Urban Heat Islands
4.5.4. Social Drivers of Inequality
4.6. Population Health Strategies and Risk Reduction
4.6.1. Risk Reduction Strategies
4.6.2. Heat Warning Systems
4.6.3. Heat Action Plans
4.6.4. Modifications to the Built Environment
4.6.5. Universal Design and Personal Mobility
4.6.6. Heat Safety Education
4.6.7. Interior Environments
4.6.8. Addressing Health-Related Social Needs
4.7. Implications for Low- and Middle-Income Countries
Community Planning in Low-and-Middle-Income Countries
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Authors and Publication Date | Country of Origin | Primary Focus |
|---|---|---|
| ADA.gov [13] | USA | Standards/Accessible design |
| Anu et al., 2023 [14] | South Africa | Effects of climate change on older adults |
| Arnell, 2022 [15] | UK | Implications of climate change for emergency planning |
| Balmain et al., 2018 [16] | Australia | Aging and thermoregulatory control |
| Bouchama et al., 2022 [17] | Saudi Arabia | Classical and exertional heatstroke |
| Cabeza et al., 2018 [5] | USA | Neuroscience of healthy aging |
| CDC, US, 2005 [18] | USA | Interaction of medications with heat |
| CDC, US, 1995 [19] | USA | Chicago heatwave of 1995 |
| Chaseling et al., 2024 [6] | USA | Reduction of cardiac strain on older adults in extreme heat |
| Chow et al., 2012 [12] | USA | Heat island effect, policy implications |
| Clark et al., 2024 [7] | USA | Demographic groups at risk from extreme heat |
| Cornu et al., 2024 [20] | Belgium | Urban green spaces and mortality among older adults |
| Crimmins et al., 2016 [21] | USA | Impacts of climate change on human health in the US |
| Curran-Groome et al., 2025 [22] | USA | Mobile homes, climate extremes and policy |
| Dalip et al., 2015 [23] | Australia | ED visits by older adults during an Australian heat wave |
| Domingo et al., 2024 [24] | Canada | Role of CHWs in heat-related illness in LMCs |
| Eady et al., 2016 [25] | Canada | Mixed methods study of perceptions about heat illness among older adult residents in Waterloo, Canada |
| East West Center, 2020 [26] | USA | Economic challenges from an aging population in Asia |
| Environmental Law Institute, 2017 [27] | USA | Indoor air quality guide for renters |
| Environmental Protection Agency, 2022 [28] | USA | Safety of the indoor environment |
| European Environment Agency, 2025 [29] | Denmark | Global and European temperature trends |
| Fuster, 2017 [30] | USA | Changes in global healthcare due to the aging of populations |
| Gauer & Meyers, 2019 [4] | USA | Explanation of heat-related illness |
| GSA, Section 508, n.d. [31] | USA | Universal design |
| Harrington et al., 1995 [32] | USA | Pavement burns |
| Harrington et al., 2016 [33] | New Zealand | Temperature extremes in low-and-middle-income nations |
| Harrington & Otto, 2023 [34] | New Zealand | Underestimated climate risks from population aging |
| Hasan et al., 2021 [35] | Pakistan | Community-based interventions for prevention of heat-related illness |
| Hong et al., 2023 [36] | China | Responses of global health systems to challenges associated with population aging |
| Hopp et al., 2018 [37] | USA | Medical diagnoses for patients admitted to hospitals for heat-related illness |
| Hunter et al., 2016 [38] | USA | Behavioral health considerations for older adults |
| Ica.Ca.gov, n.d. [39] | USA | Overview of vulnerable populations for heat-related illness |
| Jih et al., 2018 [40] | USA | The relationship between chronic disease and food insecurity among older adults |
| Ji et al., 2025 [41] | USA | Functional disability among socially isolated older adults |
| Johar, H. et al., 2025 [42] | Malaysia | Community-based heat adaptation interventions |
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| Wu et al., 2020 [72] | Case study | Performance of heat health warning systems in Shanghai, China |
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Russin, N.H.; Martin, M.P.; McElhinny, M. Global Warming and the Elderly: A Socio-Ecological Framework. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2026, 23, 164. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23020164
Russin NH, Martin MP, McElhinny M. Global Warming and the Elderly: A Socio-Ecological Framework. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2026; 23(2):164. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23020164
Chicago/Turabian StyleRussin, Nina Hanenson, Matthew P. Martin, and Megan McElhinny. 2026. "Global Warming and the Elderly: A Socio-Ecological Framework" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 23, no. 2: 164. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23020164
APA StyleRussin, N. H., Martin, M. P., & McElhinny, M. (2026). Global Warming and the Elderly: A Socio-Ecological Framework. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 23(2), 164. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23020164

