The Burden of Lip and Oral Cavity Cancer Among Women Across 204 Countries and Territories in the Context of the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Data Collection
2.1.1. MPOWER Scores
2.1.2. Lip and Oral Cavity Cancer Rates
2.1.3. Socio-Demographic Index (SDI)
2.2. Study Design
2.3. Statistical Analysis
- If the APC and its 95% CI are positive, the trend or slope is increasing.
- If the APC and its 95% CI are negative, the trend or slope is decreasing.
- If the 95% CI crosses zero, the trend or slope is considered stable, indicating no significant change.
3. Results
Analysis by Socio-Demographic Index
4. Discussion
Limitations
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
LOC | Lip and oral cavity cancer |
WHO-FCTC | World Health Organization Framework Convention on Tobacco Control |
DALYs | Disability-adjusted life years |
SDI | Socio-demographic Index |
APC | Annual Percent Change |
95% CI | 95% Confidence Interval |
IQR | Interquartile range |
ST | Smokeless tobacco |
PAF | Population attributable fraction |
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APC | Group | Incidence [95% CI] | Mortality [95% CI] | DALYs [95% CI] | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trend | G1 | 0.78 [−0.07 ± 1.64] | Stability | −0.14 [−0.86 ± 0.58] | Stability | 0.01 [−0.90 ± 0.94] | Stability |
G2A | 0.48 [0.19 ± 0.77] | Increasing | 0.22 [−0.08 ± 0.51] | Stability | 0.05 [−0.23 ± 0.33] | Stability | |
G2B | 1.23 [0.92 ± 1.54] | Increasing | 0.42 [0.12 ± 0.72] | Increasing | 0.28 [0.03 ± 0.53] | Increasing | |
Slope | G1 | 1.65 [0.42 ± 2.91] | Increasing | 2.26 [1.20 ± 3.33] | Increasing | 1.81 [0.46 ± 3.18] | Increasing |
G2A | 0.48 [0.06 ± 0.90] | Increasing | 0.16 [−0.26 ± 0.58] | Stability | 0.18 [−0.22 ± 0.59] | Stability | |
G2B | 0.50 [0.05 ± 0.95] | Increasing | 0.71 [0.29 ± 1.14] | Increasing | 0.43 [0.06 ± 0.79] | Increasing |
APC | Group | Incidence [95% CI] | Mortality [95% CI] | DALYs [95% CI] | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trend | G2A | 0.38 [0.08 ± 0.69] | Increasing | 0.30 [0.06 ± 0.53] | Increasing | 0.13 [−0.12 ± 0.38] | Stability |
G2B | 0.51 [0.14 ± 0.88] | Increasing | 0.30 [−0.02 ± 0.62] | Stability | 0.27 [−0.05 ± 0.59] | Stability | |
Slope | G2A | 0.28 [−0.15 ± 0.70] | Stability | −0.17 [−0.51 ± 0.16] | Stability | −0.04 [−0.38 ± 0.30] | Stability |
G2B | 0.64 [0.14 ± 1.15] | Increasing | 0.20 [−0.24 ± 0.63] | Stability | 0.04 [−0.39 ± 0.48] | Stability |
APC | Group | Incidence [95% CI] | Mortality [95% CI] | DALYs [95% CI] | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trend | G1 | 0.78 [−0.07 ± 1.64] | Stability | −0.14 [−0.86 ± 0.58] | Stability | 0.01 [−0.90 ± 0.94] | Stability |
G2A | 0.83 [0.55 ± 1.11] | Increasing | 0.01 [−0.26 ± 0.28] | Stability | −0.14 [−0.33 ± 0.05] | Stability | |
G2B | 1.82 [1.36 ± 2.28] | Increasing | 0.84 [0.43 ± 1.25] | Increasing | 0.65 [0.28 ± 1.03] | Increasing | |
Slope | G1 | 1.65 [0.42 ± 2.91] | Increasing | 2.26 [1.20 ± 3.33] | Increasing | 1.81 [0.46 ± 3.18] | Increasing |
G2A | 0.72 [0.32 ± 1.13] | Increasing | 1.16 [0.77 ± 1.56] | Increasing | 0.97 [0.70 ± 1.25] | Increasing | |
G2B | 0.11 [−0.55 ± 0.76] | Stability | 0.53 [−0.06 ± 1.13] | Stability | 0.19 [−0.34 ± 0.73] | Stability |
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Hagen, L.M.; Gasparini, L.R.; da Silva, B.M.; Cunha, A.R.d.; Hugo, F.N.; Amenábar, J.M. The Burden of Lip and Oral Cavity Cancer Among Women Across 204 Countries and Territories in the Context of the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2025, 22, 1464. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22101464
Hagen LM, Gasparini LR, da Silva BM, Cunha ARd, Hugo FN, Amenábar JM. The Burden of Lip and Oral Cavity Cancer Among Women Across 204 Countries and Territories in the Context of the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2025; 22(10):1464. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22101464
Chicago/Turabian StyleHagen, Laila Menezes, Larissa Rodrigues Gasparini, Bruna Machado da Silva, Amanda Ramos da Cunha, Fernando Neves Hugo, and José Miguel Amenábar. 2025. "The Burden of Lip and Oral Cavity Cancer Among Women Across 204 Countries and Territories in the Context of the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 22, no. 10: 1464. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22101464
APA StyleHagen, L. M., Gasparini, L. R., da Silva, B. M., Cunha, A. R. d., Hugo, F. N., & Amenábar, J. M. (2025). The Burden of Lip and Oral Cavity Cancer Among Women Across 204 Countries and Territories in the Context of the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 22(10), 1464. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22101464