Next Article in Journal
The Incidence and Predictors of Solid- and Hematological Malignancies in Patients with Giant Cell Arteritis: A Large Real-World Database Study
Previous Article in Journal
Which National Factors Are Most Influential in the Spread of COVID-19?
Article

Modeling of the Long-Term Epidemic Dynamics of COVID-19 in the United States

1
Wuhan Britain-China School, No.10 Gutian Rd., Qiaokou District, Wuhan 430022, China
2
Institute of Biophysics, School of Physics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China
*
Authors to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Academic Editor: Jozsef Z. Farkas
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18(14), 7594; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18147594
Received: 11 June 2021 / Revised: 4 July 2021 / Accepted: 9 July 2021 / Published: 16 July 2021
(This article belongs to the Section Global Health)
Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) is causing a severe pandemic that has resulted in millions of confirmed cases and deaths around the world. In the absence of effective drugs for treatment, non-pharmaceutical interventions are the most effective approaches to control the disease. Although some countries have the pandemic under control, all countries around the world, including the United States (US), are still in the process of controlling COVID-19, which calls for an effective epidemic model to describe the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. Meeting this need, we have extensively investigated the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 from 22 January 2020 to 14 February 2021 for the 50 states of the United States, which revealed the general principles underlying the spread of the virus in terms of intervention measures and demographic properties. We further proposed a time-dependent epidemic model, named T-SIR, to model the long-term transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in the US. It was shown in this paper that our T-SIR model could effectively model the epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 for all 50 states, which provided insights into the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in the US. The present study will be valuable to help understand the epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 and thus help governments determine and implement effective intervention measures or vaccine prioritization to control the pandemic. View Full-Text
Keywords: COVID-19; epidemic model; transmission; epidemiology; vaccine prioritization COVID-19; epidemic model; transmission; epidemiology; vaccine prioritization
Show Figures

Figure 1

MDPI and ACS Style

Huang, D.; Tao, H.; Wu, Q.; Huang, S.-Y.; Xiao, Y. Modeling of the Long-Term Epidemic Dynamics of COVID-19 in the United States. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, 7594. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18147594

AMA Style

Huang D, Tao H, Wu Q, Huang S-Y, Xiao Y. Modeling of the Long-Term Epidemic Dynamics of COVID-19 in the United States. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2021; 18(14):7594. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18147594

Chicago/Turabian Style

Huang, Derek, Huanyu Tao, Qilong Wu, Sheng-You Huang, and Yi Xiao. 2021. "Modeling of the Long-Term Epidemic Dynamics of COVID-19 in the United States" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18, no. 14: 7594. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18147594

Find Other Styles
Note that from the first issue of 2016, MDPI journals use article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Article Access Map by Country/Region

1
Back to TopTop