Search Results (11)

The rise in global average surface temperature has promoted the advancement of spring vegetation phenology. However, the response of spring vegetation phenology to different temperature parameters varies. The Mongolian Plateau, one of the largest grasslands in the world, has green-up dates (GUDs) with unclear sensitivity to different temperature parameters. To address this issue, we investigated the responses of GUDs to different temperature parameters in the Mongolian Plateau grasslands. The results show that GUDs responded significantly differently to changes in near-surface temperature (TMP), near-surface temperature maximum (TMX), near-surface temperature minimum (TMN), and diurnal temperature range (DTR). GUDs advanced as TMP, TMX, and TMN increased, with TMN having a more significant effect, whereas increases in DTR inhibited the advancement of GUDs. GUDs were more sensitive to TMX and TMN than to TMP. The sensitivity of GUDs to DTR showed an increasing trend from 1982 to 2015 and showed this parameter’s great importance to GUDs. Our results also show that the spatial and temporal distributions of temperature sensitivity are only related to temperature conditions in climatic zones instead of whether they are arid. Full article

Multiple methods have been developed to identify the transition threshold from the reconstructed satellite-derived normalized difference vegetation indices (NDVI) time series and to determine the inflection point corresponding to a certain phenology phase (e.g., the spring green-up date (GUD)). We address an issue that large uncertainties might occur in the inflection point identification of spring GUD using the traditional satellite-based methods since different vegetation types exhibit asynchronous phenological phases over a heterogeneous ecoregion. We tentatively developed a Maximum-derivative-based (MDB) method and provided inter-comparisons with two traditional methods to detect the turning points by the reconstructed time-series data of NDVI for identifying the GUD against long-term observations from the sites covered by a mixture of deciduous forest and herbages in the Pan European Phenology network. Results showed that higher annual mean temperature would advance the spring GUD, but the sensitive magnitudes differed depending on the vegetation type. Therefore, the asynchronization of phenological phases among different vegetation types would be more pronounced in the context of global warming. We found that the MDB method outperforms two other traditional methods (the 0.5-threshold-based method and the maximum-ratio-based method) in predicting the GUD of the subsequent-green-up vegetation type when compared with ground observation, especially at sites with observed GUD of herbages earlier than deciduous forest, while the Maximum-ratio-based method showed better performance for identifying GUDs of the foremost-green-up vegetation type. Although the new method improved in our study is not universally applicable on a global scale, our results, however, highlight the limitation of current inflection point identify algorithms in predicting the GUD derived from satellite-based vegetation indices datasets in an ecoregion with heterogeneous vegetation types and asynchronous phenological phases, which makes it helpful for us to better predict plant phenology on an ecoregion-scale under future ongoing climate warming. Full article

Variations in snow cover resulting from global warming inevitably affect alpine vegetation growth on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), but our knowledge of such influences is still limited. Here, we investigated the relationship between snow cover and alpine vegetation during 2003–2020 on the TP using the satellite-derived vegetation green-up date (GUD) and metrics of snow cover phenology, namely the snow cover onset date (SCOD), snow cover end date (SCED), snow cover duration (SCD), and snowmelt onset date (SMOD). In this study, we first analyzed the spatiotemporal changes in the GUD and the snow cover phenology metrics on the TP. Pearson’s correlation, gray relation analysis, and linear regression were then employed to determine the impact of snow cover phenology on the GUD. Overall, with the SCOD, SCED, and SMOD delayed by one day, the GUD was advanced by 0.07 and 0.03 days and was postponed by 0.32 days, respectively, and a one-day extension of the SCD resulted in a 0.04-day advance in the GUD. In addition, the roles of vegetation type, topography, and climate factors (temperature and precipitation) in modulating the relationships between snow cover phenology and the GUD were evaluated. The GUD of alpine steppes was negatively correlated with the SCOD and SCED, contrary to that of the other vegetation types. The GUD of alpine steppes was also more sensitive to snow cover phenology than that of other vegetation types. The increase in elevation generally enhanced the sensitivity of the GUD to snow cover phenology. The GUD showed a stronger negative sensitivity to the SCD in warmer areas and a stronger positive sensitivity to the SMOD in wetter areas. Our findings revealed the essential impact of variation in snow cover phenology on the GUD and indicated the complex interference of environmental factors in the relationship between snow cover and vegetation growth. Full article

As the largest and highest alpine ecoregion in the world, the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau (QTP) is extremely sensitive to climate change and has experienced extraordinary warming during the past several decades; this has greatly affected various ecosystem processes in this region such as vegetation production and phenological change. Therefore, numerous studies have investigated changes in vegetation dynamics on the QTP using the satellite-derived normalized-difference vegetation index (NDVI) time-series data provided by the Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). However, the highest spatial resolution of only 250 m for the MODIS NDVI product cannot meet the requirement of vegetation monitoring in heterogeneous topographic areas. In this study, therefore, we generated an 8-day and 30 m resolution NDVI dataset from 2000 to 2020 for the QTP through the fusion of 30 m Landsat and 250 m MODIS NDVI time-series data. This dataset, referred to as QTP-NDVI30, was reconstructed by employing all available Landsat 5/7/8 images (>100,000 scenes) and using our recently developed gap-filling and Savitzky–Golay filtering (GF-SG) method. We improved the original GF-SG approach by incorporating a module to process snow contamination when applied to the QTP. QTP-NDVI30 was carefully evaluated in both quantitative assessments and visual inspections. Compared with reference Landsat images during the growing season in 100 randomly selected subregions across the QTP, the reconstructed 30 m NDVI images have an average mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.022 and a spatial structure similarity (SSIM) above 0.094. We compared QTP-NDVI30 with upscaled cloud-free PlanetScope images in some topographic areas and observed consistent spatial variations in NDVI between them (averaged SSIM = 0.874). We further examined an application of QTP-NDVI30 to detect vegetation green-up dates (GUDs) and found that QTP-NDVI30-derived GUD data show general agreement in spatial patterns with the 250 m MODIS GUD data, but provide richer spatial details (e.g., GUD variations at the subpixel scale). QTP-NDVI30 provides an opportunity to monitor vegetation and investigate land-surface processes in the QTP region at fine spatiotemporal scales. Full article

The vegetation green-up date (GUD) of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is highly sensitive to climate change. Accurate estimation of GUD is essential for understanding the dynamics and stability of terrestrial ecosystems and their interactions with climate. The GUD is usually determined from a time-series of vegetation indices (VIs). The adoption of different VIs and GUD extraction methods can lead to different GUDs. However, our knowledge of the uncertainty in these GUDs on TP is still limited. In this study, we evaluated the performance of different VIs and GUD extraction methods on TP from 2003 to 2020. The GUDs were determined from six Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) derived VIs: normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), enhanced vegetation index (EVI), normalized difference infrared index (NDII), phenology index (PI), normalized difference phenology index (NDPI), and normalized difference greenness index (NDGI). Four extraction methods (β_max, CCR_max, G20, and RC_max) were applied individually to each VI to determine GUD. The GUDs obtained from all VIs showed similar patterns of early green-up in the eastern and late green-up in the western plateau, and similar trend of GUD advancement in the eastern and postponement in the western plateau. The accuracy of the derived GUDs was evaluated by comparison with ground-observed GUDs from 19 agrometeorological stations. Our results show that two snow-free VIs, NDGI and NDPI, had better performance in GUD extraction than the snow-calibrated conventional VIs, NDVI and EVI. Among all the VIs, NDGI gave the highest GUD accuracy when combined with the four extraction methods. Based on NDGI, the GUD extracted by the CCR_max method was found to have the highest consistency (r = 0.62, p < 0.01, RMSE = 11 days, bias = −3.84 days) with ground observations. The NDGI also showed the highest accuracy for preseason snow-covered site-years (r = 0.71, p < 0.01, RMSE = 10.69 days, bias = −4.05 days), indicating its optimal resistance to snow cover influence. In comparison, NDII and PI hardly captured GUD. NDII was seriously affected by preseason snow cover, as indicated by the negative correlation coefficient (r = −0.34, p < 0.1), high RMSE and bias (RMSE = 50.23 days, bias = −24.25 days). Full article

The phenology indicator of vegetation green-up dates (GUD) is prone to being affected by changes in temperature. However, the influencing degree of urbanization-induced temperature warming on vegetation GUDs among different vegetation species along the urban-rural gradient remains inadequately described. In this study, based on the long-term (2001–2019) satellite-derived vegetation GUDs and nighttime land surface temperature (LST) of forests, grasslands, and croplands along the urban-rural gradient with Beijing (China) as a case study area, the responses of vegetation GUDs to temperature changes were quantitatively analyzed, taking into account the vegetation types and distances away from the urban domain. The results show that (1) long-term GUDs and LST are significantly negatively correlated, characterized by a weaker significant correlation near the urban area when compared with its surrounding areas, with the greatest absolute linear correlation coefficients (r) happening at rings 32 km (r_max = −0.93, forests), 20 km and 48 km (r_max = −0.83, grasslands), and 34 km (r_max = −0.82, croplands), respectively; (2) the magnitude of change in GUDs over the past 19 year (2001–2019) are significantly positively correlated with these in LST near the urban area, demonstrating a distance-decay trend, with the greatest advance in GUDs occurring at the ring nearest the urban area, by about 20 days (forests), 24.5 days (grasslands), and 15.6 days (croplands), respectively; (3) the spatial pattern of the response rate of GUDs change to LST change (days K⁻¹) also showed a declining trend with distance, with GUD advanced by 6.8 days K⁻¹ (forests), 7.5 days K⁻¹ (grasslands), and 4.9 days K⁻¹ (croplands) at the closest ring to the urban, decreasing to about 2.3 days K⁻¹ (48 km), 4.1 days K⁻¹ (18 km), and 1 day K⁻¹ (18 km), respectively, indicating a notable influence of temperature warming on vegetation GUDs near the urban domains. Full article

Temperature and precipitation are considered to be the most important indicators affecting the green-up date. Sensitivity of the green-up date to temperature and precipitation is considered to be one of the key indicators to characterize the response of terrestrial ecosystems to climate change. We selected the main grassland types for analysis, including temperate steppe, temperate meadow steppe, upland meadow, and lowland meadow. This study investigates the variation in key meteorological indicators (daily maximum temperature (T_max), daily minimum temperature (T_min), and precipitation) between 2001 and 2018. We then examined the partial correlation and sensitivity of green-up date (GUD) to T_max, T_min, and precipitation. Our analysis indicated that the average GUD across the whole area was DOY 113. The mean GUD trend was −3.1 days/decade and the 25% region advanced significantly. T_max and T_min mainly showed a decreasing trend in winter (p > 0.05). In spring, T_max mainly showed an increasing trend (p > 0.05) and T_min a decreasing trend (p > 0.05). Precipitation showed no significant (p > 0.05) change trend and the trend range was ±10 mm/decade. For temperate steppe, the increase in T_min in March promotes green-up (27.3%, the proportion of significant pixels), with a sensitivity of −0.17 days/°C. In addition, precipitation in April also promotes green-up (21.7%), with a sensitivity of −0.32 days/mm. The GUDs of temperate meadow steppe (73.9%), lowland meadow (65.9%), and upland meadow (22.1%) were mainly affected by T_min in March, with sensitivities of −0.15 days/°C, −0.13 days/°C, and −0.14 days/°C, respectively. The results of this study reveal the response of vegetation to climate warming and contribute to improving the prediction of ecological changes as temperatures increase in the future. Full article

Accurate determination of phenological information of crops is essential for field management and decision-making. Remote sensing time-series data are widely used for extracting phenological phases. Existing methods mainly extract phenological phases directly from individual remote sensing time-series, which are easily affected by clouds, noise, and mixed pixels. This paper proposes a novel method of phenological phase extraction based on the time-weighted dynamic time warping (TWDTW) algorithm using MODIS Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) 5-day time-series data with a spatial resolution of 500 m. Firstly, based on the phenological differences between winter wheat and other land cover types, winter wheat distribution is extracted using the TWDTW classification method, and the results show that the overall classification accuracy and Kappa coefficient reach 94.74% and 0.90, respectively. Then, we extract the pure winter-wheat pixels using a method based on the coefficient of variation, and use these pixels to generate the average phenological curve. Next, the difference between each winter-wheat phenological curve and the average winter-wheat phenological curve is quantitatively calculated using the TWDTW algorithm. Finally, the key phenological phases of winter wheat in the study area, namely, the green-up date (GUD), heading date (HD), and maturity date (MD), are determined. The results show that the phenological phase extraction using the TWDTW algorithm has high accuracy. By verification using phenological station data from the Meteorological Data Sharing Service System of China, the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of the GUD, HD, and MD are found to be 9.76, 5.72, and 6.98 days, respectively. Additionally, the method proposed in this article is shown to have a better extraction performance compared with several other methods. Furthermore, it is shown that, in Hebei Province, the GUD, HD, and MD are mainly affected by latitude and accumulated temperature. As the latitude increases from south to north, the GUD, HD, and MD are delayed, and for each 1° increment in latitude, the GUD, HD, and MD are delayed by 4.84, 5.79, and 6.61 days, respectively. The higher the accumulated temperature, the earlier the phenological phases occur. However, latitude and accumulated temperature have little effect on the length of the phenological phases. Additionally, the lengths of time between GUD and HD, HD and MD, and GUD and MD are stable at 46, 41, and 87 days, respectively. Overall, the proposed TWDTW method can accurately determine the key phenological phases of winter wheat at a regional scale using remote sensing time-series data. Full article

Vegetation green-up date (GUD), an important phenological characteristic, is usually estimated from time-series of satellite-based normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data at regional and global scales. However, GUD estimates in seasonally snow-covered areas suffer from the effect of spring snowmelt on the NDVI signal, hampering our realistic understanding of phenological responses to climate change. Recently, two snow-free vegetation indices were developed for GUD detection: the normalized difference phenology index (NDPI) and normalized difference greenness index (NDGI). Both were found to improve GUD detection in the presence of spring snowmelt. However, these indices were tested at several field phenological camera sites and carbon flux sites, and a detailed evaluation on their performances at the large spatial scale is still lacking, which limits their applications globally. In this study, we employed NDVI, NDPI, and NDGI to estimate GUD at northern middle and high latitudes (north of 40° N) and quantified the snowmelt-induced uncertainty of GUD estimations from the three vegetation indices (VIs) by considering the changes in VI values caused by snowmelt. Results showed that compared with NDVI, both NDPI and NDGI improve the accuracy of GUD estimation with smaller GUD uncertainty in the areas below 55° N, but at higher latitudes (55°N-70° N), all three indices exhibit substantially larger GUD uncertainty. Furthermore, selecting which vegetation index to use for GUD estimation depends on vegetation types. All three indices performed much better for deciduous forests, and NDPI performed especially well (5.1 days for GUD uncertainty). In the arid and semi-arid grasslands, GUD estimations from NDGI are more reliable (i.e., smaller uncertainty) than NDP-based GUD (e.g., GUD uncertainty values for NDGI vs. NDPI are 4.3 d vs. 7.2 d in Mongolia grassland and 6.7 d vs. 9.8 d in Central Asia grassland), whereas in American prairie, NDPI performs slightly better than NDGI (GUD uncertainty for NDPI vs. NDGI is 3.8 d vs. 4.7 d). In central and western Europe, reliable GUD estimations from NDPI and NDGI were acquired only in those years without snowfall before green-up. This study provides important insights into the application of, and uncertainty in, snow-free vegetation indices for GUD estimation at large spatial scales, particularly in areas with seasonal snow cover. Full article

As an important land-surface parameter, vegetation phenology has been estimated from observations by various satellite-borne sensors with substantially different spatial resolutions, ranging from tens of meters to several kilometers. The inconsistency of satellite-derived phenological metrics (e.g., green-up date, GUD, also known as the land-surface spring phenology) among different spatial resolutions, which is referred to as the “scale effect” on GUD, has been recognized in previous studies, but it still needs further efforts to explore the cause of the scale effect on GUD and to quantify the scale effect mechanistically. To address these issues, we performed mathematical analyses and designed up-scaling experiments. We found that the scale effect on GUD is not only related to the heterogeneity of GUD among fine pixels within a coarse pixel, but it is also greatly affected by the covariation between the GUD and vegetation growth speed of fine pixels. GUD of a coarse pixel tends to be closer to that of fine pixels with earlier green-up and higher vegetation growth speed. Therefore, GUD of the coarse pixel is earlier than the average of GUD of fine pixels, if the growth speed is a constant. However, GUD of the coarse pixel could be later than the average from fine pixels, depending on the proportion of fine pixels with later GUD and higher growth speed. Based on those mechanisms, we proposed a model that accounted for the effects of heterogeneity of GUD and its co-variation with growth speed, which explained about 60% of the scale effect, suggesting that the model can help convert GUD estimated at different spatial scales. Our study provides new mechanistic explanations of the scale effect on GUD. Full article

Vegetation phenology plays a critical role in the dynamic response of terrestrial ecosystems to climate change. However, the relationship between the phenology of winter wheat and hydrothermal factors is inadequate, especially in typical agricultural areas. In this study, the possible effects of preseason climate changes on the green-up date (GUD) of winter wheat over the North China Plain (NCP) was investigated, using the MODIS EVI 8-day time-series data from 2000 to 2015, as well as the concurrent monthly mean temperature (T_m), mean maximum (T_max) and minimum temperature (T_min) and total precipitation (TP) data. Firstly, we quantitatively identified the time lag effects of winter wheat GUD responses to different climatic factors; then, the major driving factors for winter wheat GUD were further explored by applying multiple linear regression models. The results showed that the time lag effects of winter wheat GUD response to climatic factors were site- and climatic parameters-dependent. Negative temperature effects with about a 3-month time lag dominated in most of the NCP, whereas positive temperature effects with a zero-month lag were most common in some of the southern parts. In comparison, total precipitation had a negative zero-month lag effect in the northern region, but two lagged months occurred in the south. Regarding the time lag effects, the explanation power of climatic factors improved relatively by up to 77%, and the explanation area increased by 41.20%. Additionally, change in winter wheat GUD was primarily determined by temperature rather than by TP, with a marked spatial heterogeneity of the T_max and T_min effect. Our results confirmed different time lag effects from different climatic factors on phenological processes in spring, and further suggested that both T_max and T_min should be considered to improve the performance of spring phenology models. Full article