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Keywords = intersection sight distance (ISD)

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23 pages, 733 KB  
Article
Ordinal Probit Modeling of Injury Severity Risks at Visually Obstructed Intersections with Bootstrap Validation
by Irfan Ullah, Ahmed Farid and Khaled Ksaibati
Modelling 2026, 7(3), 97; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling7030097 - 19 May 2026
Viewed by 416
Abstract
Road intersection crashes remain a major contributor to injuries due to complex conflict patterns and multimodal interactions. Among the factors influencing intersection safety, inadequate intersection sight distance (ISD) attributed to roadside sight obstructions can limit drivers’ ability to respond to conflicting movements, potentially [...] Read more.
Road intersection crashes remain a major contributor to injuries due to complex conflict patterns and multimodal interactions. Among the factors influencing intersection safety, inadequate intersection sight distance (ISD) attributed to roadside sight obstructions can limit drivers’ ability to respond to conflicting movements, potentially affecting crash injury outcomes. Despite its importance, visual obstruction has rarely been examined as a distinct context in traffic crash injury severity modeling. This study investigates crash injury severity at visually obstructed intersections using an ordinal probit modeling framework applied to 951 intersection crashes documented with sight obstruction as a contributing factor in Wyoming over the period 2014 through 2023. Crash data were analyzed to identify the effects of driver behavior, vehicle characteristics, roadway geometry, environmental conditions, and traffic control on ordered injury severity outcomes ranging from property damage only (PDO) to fatal and serious injury. Nonparametric bootstrap resampling with 1000 iterations was employed to assess parameter stability and construct empirical confidence intervals. Average marginal effects were estimated to quantify the change in probability of each injury severity level associated with key predictors. The results indicate that alcohol involvement produces the largest severity shift, reducing the probability of PDO outcomes by 51.2 percentage points while increasing the probability of fatal and serious injury by 34.2 percentage points. Hillcrest grade locations increase fatal and serious injury risk by 14.4 percentage points, while adverse road surface conditions, including snowy, icy, and wet pavements, consistently reduce fatal and serious injury probability by 12.5 to 15.1 percentage points, reflecting behavioral adaptation to visually salient hazard cues. Bootstrap validation confirms strong parameter stability across all estimates, with 94% of parameters showing bootstrap standard errors within 25% of their asymptotic counterparts. By formally establishing visually obstructed intersections as a dedicated severity modeling context and integrating systematic bootstrap validation, this study contributes both substantive and methodological insights to support evidence-based prioritization of intersection safety improvements. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Modelling Techniques in Transportation Engineering)
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19 pages, 602 KB  
Article
Examining the Effects of Sight Distance, Road Conditions, and Weather on Intersection Crash Severity: A Random Parameters Logit Approach with Heterogeneity in Means and Variances
by Irfan Ullah, Ahmed Farid and Khaled Ksaibati
Safety 2025, 11(4), 117; https://doi.org/10.3390/safety11040117 - 27 Nov 2025
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 1836
Abstract
Intersections represent critical crash locations on road networks necessitating targeted safety interventions. This study employs a random parameters ordered logit (RPOL) model with heterogeneity in means to analyze injury severity contributing factors across 9108 Wyoming intersection crashes that occurred from 2007 to 2017. [...] Read more.
Intersections represent critical crash locations on road networks necessitating targeted safety interventions. This study employs a random parameters ordered logit (RPOL) model with heterogeneity in means to analyze injury severity contributing factors across 9108 Wyoming intersection crashes that occurred from 2007 to 2017. The analysis reveals that crashes on principal and minor arterial intersections are consistently associated with higher risks of severe/fatal injuries, while urban intersections exhibit less severe consequences, likely due to lower speeds and enhanced infrastructure. Adverse weather conditions, particularly snowy and icy road surfaces, increase the likelihood of property-damage-only (PDO) outcomes while reducing severe/fatal injuries. Temporal trends show a decline in crash severity over time, coinciding with advances in vehicle safety and policy improvements. Key behavioral factors, including left turn maneuvers and driver’s age heterogeneity, influence crash outcomes, whereas intersection sight distance (ISD) had no significant effect on crash severity underscoring data limitations requiring advanced analysis methods. This study’s findings prioritize the reconsideration of arterial intersection design, urban safety enhancements, and behavior-focused countermeasures for intersection safety. Full article
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25 pages, 5857 KB  
Article
Evaluation of the Intersection Sight Distance at Stop-Controlled Intersections in a Mixed Vehicle Environment
by Jana Sarran and Sean Sarran
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(5), 245; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16050245 - 23 Apr 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2443
Abstract
The introduction of autonomous vehicles (AVs) on roadways will result in a mixed vehicle environment consisting of these vehicles and manual vehicles (MVs). This vehicular environment will impact intersection sight distances (ISDs) due to differences in the driving behaviors of AVs and MVs. [...] Read more.
The introduction of autonomous vehicles (AVs) on roadways will result in a mixed vehicle environment consisting of these vehicles and manual vehicles (MVs). This vehicular environment will impact intersection sight distances (ISDs) due to differences in the driving behaviors of AVs and MVs. Currently, ISD design values for stop-controlled intersections are based on AASHTO’s guidelines, which account only for human driver behaviors. However, with AVs in the traffic stream, it is important to assess whether the existing MV-based ISDs are compliant when an AV is present at an intersecting roadway. Hence, this study utilizes the Monte Carlo Simulation method to compute the PNC of various object locations on the major and minor roadways for possible vehicle interaction types in a mixed vehicle environment at a stop-controlled intersection. Scenarios generated considered these variables and the major roadway speed limits and sight distance triangles (SDTs). ISD non-compliance was determined by examining the PNC metric, which occurred when the demand exceeded the supply. The results indicated that when AV–MV interaction was present at the intersection, the MV-based ISD design was non-compliant. However, it is possible to correct this non-compliance issue by reducing the AV speed limit. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Recent Advances in Autonomous Vehicles)
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29 pages, 6913 KB  
Article
Intersection Sight Distance in Mixed Automated and Conventional Vehicle Environments with Yield Control on Minor Roads
by Sean Sarran and Yasser Hassan
Smart Cities 2025, 8(3), 73; https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities8030073 - 23 Apr 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1840
Abstract
Intersection sight distance (ISD) requirements, currently designed for driver-operated vehicles (DVs), will be affected once automated vehicles (AVs) enter the driving environment. This paper examines the ISD for intersections with a yield control on a minor road in a mixed DV-AV environment. Five [...] Read more.
Intersection sight distance (ISD) requirements, currently designed for driver-operated vehicles (DVs), will be affected once automated vehicles (AVs) enter the driving environment. This paper examines the ISD for intersections with a yield control on a minor road in a mixed DV-AV environment. Five potential conflict types with different ISD requirements are modeled as a minor-road vehicle proceeds to cross the intersection, turns right, or turns left. Furthermore, different models are developed for each conflict type depending on the vehicle types on the minor and major roads. These models, along with the intersection geometry, establish the system demand and supply models for ISD reliability analysis. A surrogate safety measure is developed and used to measure ISD non-compliance and is denoted by the probability of unresolved conflicts (PUC). The models are applied to a case study intersection, where PUC values are estimated using Monte Carlo Simulation and compared to an established target value relating to the DV-only traffic of 0.00674. The results show that AV-related traffic has higher overall PUC values than those of DV-only traffic. A corrective measure, reducing the AV speed limit on the minor-road approaches by 3 to 4 km/h, decreases the overall PUC to values below those of the target PUC. Full article
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18 pages, 2417 KB  
Article
Intersection Sight Distance Characteristics of Turbo Roundabouts
by Akshay Salwan, Said M. Easa, Narayana Raju and Shriniwas Arkatkar
Designs 2021, 5(1), 16; https://doi.org/10.3390/designs5010016 - 8 Mar 2021
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 4395
Abstract
A turbo roundabout uses spiral circulatory roads for effectively counteracting the problems faced in modern multilane roundabouts. First developed in 1996, the turbo roundabout has an advantage over the conventional roundabout regarding capacity and safety. Turbo roundabouts are still in the developing phase [...] Read more.
A turbo roundabout uses spiral circulatory roads for effectively counteracting the problems faced in modern multilane roundabouts. First developed in 1996, the turbo roundabout has an advantage over the conventional roundabout regarding capacity and safety. Turbo roundabouts are still in the developing phase in North America, but even in the European subcontinent where they exist in large numbers, reliable analytical studies on the critical parameters of roundabout visibility are lacking. Visibility (sight distance) helps to shape the geometry of the intersection and aids in safety. This paper presents the mathematical characteristics of the intersection geometry and intersection sight distance (ISD) of the turbo roundabout. Mathematical formulas are presented for the sight distance from the approaching vehicle to the conflicting-entering and circulating vehicles. The maximum lateral clearances to the conflicting vehicles are derived using mathematical optimization. The developed analytical method is verified graphically using AutoCAD. To assist in practical applications, design aids for the maximum lateral clearance are presented. The presented method and design aids should aid in promoting safety at turbo roundabouts. Full article
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20 pages, 2599 KB  
Article
Reliability Analysis of Intersection Sight Distance at Roundabouts
by Said M. Easa, Yang Ma, Shixu Liu, Yanqun Yang and Shriniwas Arkatkar
Infrastructures 2020, 5(8), 67; https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures5080067 - 6 Aug 2020
Cited by 11 | Viewed by 5126
Abstract
This paper presents a reliability-based method for the design of intersection sight distance (ISD) at traffic roundabouts using the linear and nonlinear deceleration profiles of the entry vehicles. The reliability method is based on the first-order second moment method which is simple and [...] Read more.
This paper presents a reliability-based method for the design of intersection sight distance (ISD) at traffic roundabouts using the linear and nonlinear deceleration profiles of the entry vehicles. The reliability method is based on the first-order second moment method which is simple and relatively accurate compared with advanced methods. The nonlinear deceleration profile includes a shape parameter that produces the linear profile as a special case. Deterministic and reliability-based formulas for the required ISD for an approaching vehicle are developed for the entry vehicle on the left and the vehicle on the circulating roadway. Then, the design values of the ISD legs, applicable to any type of roundabout, are presented for different probabilities of non-compliance (Pnc) and different coefficients of variations. For the special case of single-lane symmetrical roundabouts, which have a well-defined geometry, the lateral clearance needs are established. The sensitivity analysis shows that ISD is very sensitive to both the mean and variance of the critical headway. The results show that the deterministic method results in ISD values that correspond to a very small Pnc, indicating that the method is very conservative. The proposed method, which provides flexibility in selecting ISD for any given Pnc, should be of interest to highway designers and practitioners to promote roundabout safety. Full article
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