Search Results (6)

This study addresses the critical challenge of optimizing water resource allocation in fragmented citrus cultivation zones, particularly in Anfusi Town, a key citrus production area in China’s middle-lower Yangtze River region. To overcome the limitations of traditional deterministic models and spatially heterogeneous water supply–demand dynamics, an innovative framework integrating interval two-stage stochastic programming (ITSP) with long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks is proposed. The LSTM component forecasts irrigation demand and supply under climate variability, while ITSP optimizes dynamic allocation strategies by quantifying uncertainties through interval analysis and balancing economic returns with hydrological risks. Key results demonstrate an 8.67% increase in system-wide benefits compared to baseline practices in the current year scenario. For the planning year (2025), the model identifies optimal water distribution thresholds: an upper limit of 3.85 × 10⁶ m³ for high-availability zone A and lower limits of 1.62 × 10⁶ m³ for moderate-to-low-availability zones B and C. These allocations minimize water scarcity penalties while maximizing net benefits, prioritizing local over external water sources to reduce costs. The study innovates by integrating stochastic-economic analysis with spatial prioritization of high-marginal-benefit zones and uncertainty robustness via interval analysis and two-stage decision making. By bridging a research gap in citrus irrigation optimization, this approach advances sustainable water management in complex agricultural systems, offering a scalable solution for regions facing fragmented landscapes and climate-driven water scarcity. Full article

Drought is one of the most complex natural hazards, characterized by its slow onset, persistent nature, diverse sectoral impacts (e.g., agriculture, water resources, ecosystems), and dependence on meteorological, hydrological, and socioeconomic factors. Over the years, significant scientific effort has been devoted to developing methodologies that address its multifaceted nature, reflecting the interdisciplinary challenges of drought analysis. However, previous reviews have typically focused on individual methods, while this study presents a unified, multidisciplinary framework that integrates multiple drought analysis methods and links them to key factors guiding method selection. To address this gap, five widely used methods—index-based, remote sensing, threshold-level methods (TLM), impact-based methods, and the storyline approach—are critically evaluated from a multidisciplinary perspective. In addition, the study examines spatial and temporal trends in scientific publications, illustrating how the application of these methods has evolved over time and across regions. The primary objective of this review is twofold: (1) to provide a holistic, state-of-the-art synthesis of these methods, their applications, and their limitations; and (2) to evaluate and prioritize the critical decision-making factors, including drought type, data type/availability, study scale, and management objectives that influence method selection. By bridging this gap, the paper offers a conceptual decision-support framework for selecting context-appropriate drought analysis methods. However, challenges remain, including the vast diversity of methods beyond the scope of this review and the limited consideration of less influential factors such as user expertise, computational resources, and policy context. The paper concludes with insights and recommendations for optimizing method selection under varying circumstances, aiming to support both drought research and effective policy implementation. Full article

The increasing frequency and intensity of hydrological events driven by climate change, particularly floods, present significant challenges for the design, construction, and maintenance of bridges and culverts. Additionally, the inadequate capacity of existing structures has resulted in substantial financial burdens on governments due to flood-related damages and the costs of their rehabilitation and replacement. A further concern is the oversight of existing hydraulic design standards, which primarily emphasize structural capacity and flood height, often overlooking broader social and environmental implications as two main pillars of sustainability. This oversight becomes even more critical under changing climatic conditions. This paper proposes a flood risk-based framework for the sustainable design, construction, and modification of bridge and culvert infrastructure in response to climate change. The framework integrates flood risk modeling with environmental and socio-economic considerations to systematically identify and assess vulnerabilities in existing infrastructure. A multi-criteria analysis (MCA) approach is employed to rapidly evaluate and integrate climate change, social, and environmental factors, such as population density, industrial activities, and the ecological impacts of floods following construction, alongside conventional hydrologic and hydraulic design criteria. The study utilizes hydrologic and hydraulic analyses, incorporating transportation networks (including roads, railways, and traffic) with socio-economic data through a GIS-based flood risk classification. Two case studies are presented: the first prioritizes the replacement of existing main bridges and culverts in the Ankara River Basin using the proposed MCA framework, while the second focuses on substructure sizing for a planned high-speed railway section in Mersin–Adana–Osmaniye–Gaziantep, Türkiye, accounting for climate change and upstream reservoirs. The findings highlight the critical importance of adopting a comprehensive and sustainable approach that integrates advanced risk assessment with resilient design strategies to ensure the long-term performance of bridge and culvert infrastructure under climate change. Full article

Water quality management in large basins demands tools that balance scientific rigor with computational efficiency to avoid paralysis by analysis. While traditional models offer detailed insights, their complexity and resource intensity hinder timely decision-making. To address this gap, we present AFAR-WQS, an open-source MATLAB™ toolbox that introduces a novel integration of assimilation factors with graph theory and a Depth-First Search (DFS) algorithm to rapidly simulate 13 water quality determinants across complex topological networks. AFAR-WQS resolves cumulative processes in networks of up to 30,000 segments in just 163 s on standard hardware, enabling real-time scenario evaluations. Its object-oriented architecture ensures scalability, allowing customization for urban drainage systems or macro-basin studies while maintaining computational efficiency. Case studies demonstrate its utility in prioritizing sanitation investments, assessing water quality at the national scale and fostering stakeholder collaboration through participatory workshops. By bridging the gap between simplified and complex models, AFAR-WQS supports adaptive management in contexts of hydrological uncertainty, regulatory compliance, and climate change. The toolbox is freely available at GitHub, offering a transformative approach for integrated water resource management. Full article

Urban flooding presents acute challenges in heritage cities, where dense populations and valuable cultural assets coexist. While Nature-Based Solutions (NbSs) have been widely studied, their implementation in heritage cities remains underexplored due to spatial constraints and cultural sensitivities. This study develops a quantitative evaluative framework integrating the Spatial Multi-Criteria Evaluation (SMCE) and NbSs to address urban flooding in Quanzhou, a UNESCO World Heritage site. In GIS-based spatial analysis, the framework prioritizes high-risk zones by synthesizing hydrological and socio-economic factors. The analysis reveals that the Surface Runoff Coefficient (SRC) contributes 30% to urban flooding exposure, with high building congestion and elevated PM2.5 levels exacerbating risks by 17% and 16.8%, respectively. Vulnerability mapping underscores the critical role of cultural heritage, accounting for 71.1% of the vulnerability index, and highlights priority townships such as Linjiang, Kaiyuan, and Lizhong, with integrated exposure and vulnerability rates of 11.8%, 10.3%, and 9.5%, respectively. This study proposes four NbS models tailored to heritage urban landscapes, with Solution I—direct surface infiltration—identified as the most applicable, covering 170.9 ha, followed by Solution II—subterranean stormwater infiltration—at 52.3 ha. Despite limited spatial feasibility (1.3–33.5% of township areas), the framework demonstrates significant potential for integrating NbSs with existing grey infrastructure, contributing to flood risk mitigation and broader sustainability goals. The findings provide actionable insights for urban planners and policymakers, offering a replicable methodology for the deployment of NbSs in heritage-rich urban contexts worldwide. By bridging flood risk management with cultural preservation, this work advances the discourse on resilient and sustainable urban planning. Full article

Globally, most bridges fail due to hydrological causes such as scouring or flooding. Therefore, using a hydrological approach, this study proposes a methodology that contributes to prioritizing the intervention of bridges to prevent their collapse. Through an exhaustive literature review, an evaluation matrix subdivided into four dimensions was developed and a total of 18 evaluation parameters were considered, distributed as follows: four environmental, six technical, four social, and four economic. This matrix was applied to eight bridges with a history of hydrological problems in the same river and validated through semi-structured interviews with specialists. Data were collected through field visits, journalistic information, a review of the gauged basin’s historical hydrological flow rates, and consultations with the population. Modeling was then conducted, which considered the influence of gullies that discharge additional flow using HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS, before being calibrated. The application of the matrix, which is an optimal tool for prioritizing bridge interventions, revealed that five bridges have a high vulnerability with scores between 3 and 3.56, and three bridges have a medium vulnerability with scores between 2.75 and 2.94. The hydrological multidimensional approach, which can be adapted for similar studies, contributes to a better decision-making process for important infrastructure interventions such as riverine bridges. Full article