Search Results (3)

The air transportation system is composed of multiple elements and belongs to a complex socio-technical system. It is difficult to assess the risk of an aircraft fault because it could constantly change during operation and is influenced by numerous factors. Although traditional methods such as Failure Mode, Effects, and Criticality Analysis (FMECA) and Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) can reflect the degree of fault risk to a certain extent, they cannot accurately quantify and evaluate the fault risk under the multiple influences of human factors, random faults, and external environment. In order to solve these problems, this article proposes a fault risk assessment method for aircraft control systems based on a fault risk composite assessment framework using the Improved Risk Priority Number (IRPN) as the basis for the fault risk assessment. Firstly, a Bayesian network (BN) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) are introduced into the traditional evaluation framework, and a hybrid prediction model combining static and dynamic failure probability is constructed. Subsequently, this paper uses the functional resonance analysis method (FRAM) by introducing a risk damping coefficient to analyze the propagation and evolution of fault risks and accurately evaluate the coupling effects between different functional modules in the system. Finally, taking the fault of a jammed flap/slat drive mechanism as an example, the risk of the fault is evaluated by calculating the IRPN. The calculation results show that the comprehensive failure probability of the aircraft control system in this case is 3.503 × 10⁻⁴. Taking into account the severity, the detection, and the risk damping coefficient, the calculation result of IRPN is 158.00. According to the classification standard of the risk level, the failure risk level of the aircraft belongs to a controlled risk, and emergency measures need to be taken, which is consistent with the actual disposal decision in this case. Therefore, the evaluation framework proposed in this article not only supports a quantitative assessment of system safety and provides a new method for fault risk assessments in aviation safety management but also provides a theoretical basis and practical guidance for optimizing fault response strategies. Full article

The high reliability demand of the machining center emphasizes the accuracy of the fault risk evaluation. In the traditional fault risk evaluation research of the machining center, the influence of fault mode is mostly based on subjective recommendation or does not consider the propagation and diffusion of fault, which makes the risk evaluation results different from the real situation. Therefore, this paper presents a framework to evaluate the fault risk for machining center components. A certain type of machining center is considered as a case study. The fault mode frequency ratio of components is calculated by fault mode analysis. The fault rate calculation is conducted based on the Johnson method. Considering that different fault modes have different influences on fault propagation breadth and depth, the hypergraph theory is used to build a hypernetwork model. The propagation and diffusion influence degree are defined to describe the propagation and diffusion process of faults. Then, the comprehensive influence degree of fault mode is calculated. The risk evaluation is realized by considering the component fault rate, fault mode frequency ratio, and the comprehensive influence degree of fault mode. The method proposed in this paper can provide a reference for the formulation of risk strategies for the machining center. Full article

Reliability is a major performance index in the electromechanical product conceptual design decision process. As the function is the purpose of product design, the risk of scheme design is easy to be caused when there is a failure (i.e., function failure). However, existing reliability analysis models focus on the failure analysis of functions but ignore the quantitative risk assessment of conceptual schemes when function failures occur. In addition, design information with subjectivity and fuzziness is difficult to introduce the risk index into the early design stage for comprehensive decisions. To fill this gap, this paper proposes a conceptual scheme decision model for mechatronic products driven by the risk of function failure propagation. Firstly, the function structure model is used to construct the function fault propagation model, so as to obtain the influence degree of the subfunction failure. Secondly, the principle solution weight is calculated when the function failure is propagated, and the influence degree of the failure mode is integrated to obtain the severity of the failure mode on the product system. Thirdly, the risk value of failure mode is calculated by multiplying the severity and failure probability of failure mode, and the risk value of the scheme is obtained based on the influence relationship between failure modes. Finally, the VIKOR (Višekriterijumska Optimizacija i kompromisno Rešenje) method is used to make the optimal decision for the conceptual scheme, and then take the cutting speed regulating device scheme of shearer as an example to verify the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed decision model. Full article