Search Results (6)

The causes of sore throat are complex. It can be caused by diseases of the pharynx, adjacent organs of the pharynx, or even systemic diseases. Therefore, a lack of medical knowledge and experience may cause misdiagnoses or missed diagnoses in sore throat diagnoses, especially for general practitioners in primary hospitals. This study aims to develop a computer-aided diagnostic system to assist clinicians in the differential diagnoses of sore throat. The computer-aided system is developed based on the Dynamic Uncertain Causality Graph (DUCG) theory. We cooperated with medical specialists to establish a sore throat DUCG model as the diagnostic knowledge base. The construction of the model integrates epidemiological data, knowledge, and clinical experience of medical specialists. The chain reasoning algorithm of the DUCG is used for the differential diagnoses of sore throat. The system can diagnose 27 sore throat-related diseases. The model builder initially tests it with 81 cases, and all cases are correctly diagnosed. Then the system is verified by the third-party hospital, and the diagnostic accuracy is 98%. Now, the system has been applied in hundreds of primary hospitals in Jiaozhou City, China, and the degree of recognition for doctors to the diagnostic results of the system is more than 99.9%. It is feasible to use DUCG for the differential diagnoses of sore throat, which can assist primary doctors in clinical diagnoses and the diagnostic results are acceptable to clinicians. Full article

This study presents an industrial fault diagnosis system based on the cubic dynamic uncertain causality graph (cubic DUCG) used to model and diagnose industrial systems without sufficient data for model training. The system is developed based on cloud native technology. It contains two main parts, the diagnostic knowledge base and the inference method. The knowledge base was built by domain experts modularly based on professional knowledge. It represented the causality between events in the target industrial system in a visual and graphical form. During the inference, the cubic DUCG algorithm could dynamically generate the cubic causal graph according to the real-time data and perform the logic and probability calculations based on the generated cubic DUCG models, visually displaying the dynamic causal evolution of faults. To verify the system’s feasibility, we rebuild a fault-diagnosis model of the secondary circuit system of No. 1 at the Ningde nuclear power plant based on the new system. Twenty-four fault cases were used to test the diagnostic accuracy of the system, and all faults were correctly diagnosed. The results showed that it was feasible to use the cubic DUCG platform for fault diagnosis. Full article

A dynamic uncertain causality graph (DUCG) is a probabilistic graphical model for knowledge representation and reasoning, which has been widely used in many areas, such as probabilistic safety assessment, medical diagnosis, and fault diagnosis. However, the convention DUCG model fails to model experts’ knowledge precisely because knowledge parameters were crisp numbers or fuzzy numbers. In reality, domain experts tend to use linguistic terms to express their judgements due to professional limitations and information deficiency. To overcome the shortcomings of DUCGs, this article proposes a new type of DUCG model by integrating Pythagorean uncertain linguistic sets (PULSs) and the evaluation based on the distance from average solution (EDAS) method. In particular, experts express knowledge parameters in the form of the PULSs, which can depict the uncertainty and vagueness of expert knowledge. Furthermore, this model gathers the evaluations of experts on knowledge parameters and handles conflicting opinions among them. Moreover, a reasoning algorithm based on the EDAS method is proposed to improve the reliability and intelligence of expert systems. Lastly, an industrial example concerning the root cause analysis of abnormal aluminum electrolysis cell condition is provided to demonstrate the proposed DUCG model. Full article

Shale-gas sweet-spot evaluation as a critical part of shale-gas exploration and development has always been the focus of experts and scholars in the unconventional oil and gas field. After comprehensively considering geological, engineering, and economic factors affecting the evaluation of shale-gas sweet spots, a dynamic uncertainty causality graph (DUCG) is applied for the first time to shale-gas sweet-spot evaluation. A graphical modeling scheme is presented to reduce the difficulty in model construction. The evaluation model is based on expert knowledge and does not depend on data. Through rigorous and efficient reasoning, it guarantees exact and efficient diagnostic reasoning in the case of incomplete information. Multiple conditional events and weighted graphs are proposed for specific problems in shale-gas sweet-spot evaluation, which is an extension of the DUCG that defines only one conditional event for different weighted function events and relies only on the experience of a single expert. These solutions make the reasoning process and results more objective, credible, and interpretable. The model is verified with both complete data and incomplete data. The results show that compared with other methods, this methodology achieves encouraging diagnostic accuracy and effectiveness. This study provides a promising auxiliary tool for shale-gas sweet spot evaluation. Full article

Although hepatitis B is widespread, it is hard to cure. This paper presents a new and more accurate model for the diagnosis and treatment of hepatitis B. Based on previous research, the diagnosis and treatment modes were combined into one. By adding more influencing factors and risk factors, the overall diagnosis and treatment model will be further expanded, and a richer and more detailed overall diagnosis and treatment model will be constructed. Reverse logic gates are used in the model to improve the accuracy of the treatment planning. The new unified model is more accurate in subdividing diagnosis results, and it is more flexible and accurate in providing dynamic treatment plans. The prediction process and the static diagnosis process of the model are symmetric, and the related sub-graph is symmetric in structure. In addition, an algorithm for predicting the response probability of treatment scheme is developed, so as to predict the subsequent treatment effects of the current treatment scheme, such as the probability of drug resistance. The results show that this method is more accurate than other available systems, and it has encouraging diagnostic accuracy and effectiveness, which provides a promising help for doctors in diagnosing hepatitis B. Full article

Hepatitis B is a widespread epidemic in the world, but so far no single drug has been shown to kill or eliminate the Hepatitis B virus and heal people with chronic Hepatitis B virus infection. Based on comprehensive investigations to relevant characteristics of Hepatitis B, a diagnostic modelling and reasoning methodology using Dynamic Uncertain Causality Graph is proposed. The symptoms, physical signs, examinations results, medical histories, etiology, pathogenesis and other factors were included in the diagnosis model. In order to reduce the difficulty of building the model, a modular modeling scheme is proposed, which provides multi-perspectives and arbitrary granularity for the expression of disease causality. The chain reasoning algorithm and weighted logic operation mechanism are introduced to ensure the correctness and effectiveness of diagnostic reasoning under incomplete and uncertain information. In addition, the causal view of the potential interactions between diseases and symptoms visually shows the reasoning process in a graphical way. In the relevant model, the model of the diagnostic process and the model of the therapeutic process are symmetrical. The results show that, even with incomplete observations, the proposed methodology achieves encouraging diagnostic accuracy and effectiveness, providing a promising assistance tool for physicians in the diagnosis of Hepatitis B. Full article