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Journal = Modelling
Section = Modelling in Artificial Intelligence

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22 pages, 3664 KB  
Article
Approach to Eye Tracking Scanpath Analysis with Multimodal Large Language Model
by Xiangdong Li, Kailin Yin and Yuxin Gu
Modelling 2025, 6(4), 164; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6040164 - 10 Dec 2025
Abstract
Eye tracking scanpaths encode the temporal sequence and spatial distribution of eye movements, offering insights into visual attention and aesthetic perception. However, analysing scanpaths still requires substantial manual effort and specialised expertise, which limits scalability and constrains objectivity of eye tracking methods. This [...] Read more.
Eye tracking scanpaths encode the temporal sequence and spatial distribution of eye movements, offering insights into visual attention and aesthetic perception. However, analysing scanpaths still requires substantial manual effort and specialised expertise, which limits scalability and constrains objectivity of eye tracking methods. This paper examines whether and how multimodal large language models (MLLMs) can provide objective, expert-level scanpath interpretations. We used GPT-4o as a case study to develop eye tracking scanpath analysis (ETSA) approach which integrates (1) structural information extraction to parse scanpath events, (2) knowledge base of visual-behaviour expertise, and (3) least-to-most and few-shot chain-of-thought prompt engineering to guide reasoning. We conducted two studies to evaluate the reliability and effectiveness of the approach, as well as an ablation analysis to quantify the contribution of the knowledge base and a cross-model evaluation to assess generalisability across different MLLMs. The results of repeated-measures experiment show high semantic similarity of 0.884, moderate feature-level agreement with expert scanpath interpretations (F1 = 0.476) and no significant differences from expert annotations based on the exact McNemar test (p = 0.545). Together with the ablation and cross-model findings, this study contributes a generalisable and reliable pipeline for MLLM-based scanpath interpretation, supporting efficient analysis of complex eye tracking data. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Modelling in Artificial Intelligence)
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18 pages, 2415 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Coupled State Prediction Model for Local Power Grids Under Renewable Energy Disturbances
by Zhixin Suo, Jingyang Zhou, Yukai Chen, Zihao Zhang, Liang Zhao, Shanshan Bai, Pengyu Wang and Kangli Liu
Modelling 2025, 6(4), 161; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6040161 - 5 Dec 2025
Viewed by 143
Abstract
The modern power system is becoming increasingly complex, and the uncertainty in the operation of each link has intensified the possibility of risks emerging. Therefore, efficient risk prediction is of great significance for maintaining the reliable operation of the entire system. In this [...] Read more.
The modern power system is becoming increasingly complex, and the uncertainty in the operation of each link has intensified the possibility of risks emerging. Therefore, efficient risk prediction is of great significance for maintaining the reliable operation of the entire system. In this paper, to address the uncertainty and spatiotemporal coupling in local power grids with renewable integration, an integrated “state prediction–risk assessment–early warning” framework is proposed. A spatiotemporal graph neural network is used to predict node voltage, power, and phase angles under topological constraints, where physics-aware graph attention, disturbance-enhanced temporal modeling, and prediction-smoothing constraints are jointly incorporated to improve sensitivity to renewable fluctuations and ensure stable multi-step forecasting. Furthermore, voltage deviation, power fluctuation, and phase-angle variation are quantified to compute a composite risk index via normalized softmax weighting, with factor contributions enhancing interpretability. Test results on the IEEE 33-bus system under diverse disturbances show improved accuracy and stability over baselines, showing consistently lower MAE/RMSE than three baselines across all disturbance scenarios while pinpointing high-risk nodes and causes, highlighting good engineering potential. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Modelling in Artificial Intelligence)
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33 pages, 8336 KB  
Article
Modeling Global Warming from Agricultural CO2 Emissions: From Worldwide Patterns to the Case of Iran
by Raziyeh Pourdarbani, Sajad Sabzi, Dorrin Sotoudeh, Ruben Fernandez-Beltran, Ginés García-Mateos and Mohammad Hossein Rohban
Modelling 2025, 6(4), 153; https://doi.org/10.3390/modelling6040153 - 24 Nov 2025
Viewed by 201
Abstract
Agriculture is a major source of greenhouse gas emissions, yet predicting temperature increases associated with specific CO2 sources remains challenging due to the heterogeneity of agri-environmental systems. In response, this study presents a machine learning framework that adopts an agri-food system boundary [...] Read more.
Agriculture is a major source of greenhouse gas emissions, yet predicting temperature increases associated with specific CO2 sources remains challenging due to the heterogeneity of agri-environmental systems. In response, this study presents a machine learning framework that adopts an agri-food system boundary (production to retail) and combines systematic model benchmarking, interpretability, and a multi-scale perspective. Seven regression models, including tree ensembles and deep learning architectures, are evaluated on a harmonized dataset covering 236 countries over the 1990–2020 period to forecast annual temperature increases. Results show that gradient-boosted decision trees consistently outperform deep learning models in predictive accuracy and offer more stable feature attributions. Interpretability analysis reveals that spatio-temporal variables are the dominant drivers of global temperature variation, while environmental and sector-specific factors play more localized roles. A country-level case study on Iran illustrates how the framework captures national deviations from global patterns, highlighting intensive rice cultivation and on-farm energy use as key influential factors. By integrating high-performance predictions with interpretable insights, the proposed framework supports the design of both global and country-specific climate mitigation strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Modelling in Artificial Intelligence)
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