Sign in to use this feature.

Years

Between: -

Subjects

remove_circle_outline

Journals

remove_circle_outline

Article Types

Countries / Regions

Search Results (5)

Search Parameters:
Authors = Ashraf Saber Zakey

Order results
Result details
Results per page
Select all
Export citation of selected articles as:
6 pages, 2305 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
Risk Assessment of Possible Hazards of El Dabaa Nuclear Power Plant Using FLEXPART Model
by Nourhan ElShafeey, Mohamed Mohamed Eid, Amgad Saber Mahmoud and Ashraf Saber Zakey
Eng. Proc. 2023, 31(1), 86; https://doi.org/10.3390/ASEC2022-13964 - 30 Jan 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1846
Abstract
New Nuclear Power Plant (NPP), which is under construction in El Dabaa, Egypt, is expected to start working within few years. Such project should be associated with several scientific research works. The suitability of the NPP location as well as the assessment of [...] Read more.
New Nuclear Power Plant (NPP), which is under construction in El Dabaa, Egypt, is expected to start working within few years. Such project should be associated with several scientific research works. The suitability of the NPP location as well as the assessment of the impact of its routine work and accidental failure is among the points that should be addressed. In this work, the contamination risks due to uniform accidental leakage of the radioactive aerosol C137s that continues for eight hours is studied. FLEXPART version 10.4 at high resolution (55 km) is applied using six-hour NCEP FNL (1° × 1°) gridded data to simulate the dispersion and deposition of C137s for the subsequent five days. This process is repeated each day for the period of 2008 to 2018. It is shown that high concentration and total deposition are observed particularly during the summer season. In addition, the consideration of different emission scenarios indicates that Egypt is expected to be strongly affected. Moreover, dispersion and concentration of the radioactive materials is notably influenced by near-surface winds. In conclusion, FLEXPART is considered as a promising tool to explore the possible nuclear hazards under a variety of meteorological conditions. Further, a future study will consider the influence of the horizontal grid spacing and lateral boundary condition using the coupled Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-FLEXPART system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The 3rd International Electronic Conference on Applied Sciences)
Show Figures

Figure 1

15 pages, 6176 KiB  
Article
Evaluation of WRF Microphysics Schemes Performance Forced by Reanalysis and Satellite-Based Precipitation Datasets for Early Warning System of Extreme Storms in Hyper Arid Environment
by Mohamed Mekawy, Mohamed Saber, Sayed A. Mekhaimar, Ashraf Saber Zakey, Sayed M. Robaa and Magdy Abdel Wahab
Climate 2023, 11(1), 8; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11010008 - 27 Dec 2022
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 3750
Abstract
In this paper, we will investigate the influence of the microphysics schemes on the rainfall pattern of the extreme storm that impacted Egypt on 12 March 2020. The aim is to improve rainfall forecasting using the numerical Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model [...] Read more.
In this paper, we will investigate the influence of the microphysics schemes on the rainfall pattern of the extreme storm that impacted Egypt on 12 March 2020. The aim is to improve rainfall forecasting using the numerical Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for an effective Early Warning System (EWS). The performance of six microphysics schemes were evaluated using the Model Object-based Evaluation analysis tool (MODE) forced by three selected satellite-based datasets (CMORPH, PERSIANN, PERSIANN-CCS, etc.) and one reanalysis dataset (ERA5). Six numerical simulations were performed using the WRF model, considering the following microphysics schemes: Lin, WSM6, Goddard, Thompson, Morrison, and NSSL2C. The models were evaluated using both conventional statistical indices and MODE, which is much more suitable in such studies. The results showed that the Lin scheme outperformed the other schemes such as WSM6, Goddard, Thompson, Morrison, and NSSL2C, in rainfall forecasting. The Thompson scheme was found to be the least reliable scheme. An extension for this study is recommended in other regions where the observational rain gauges data are available. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Weather, Events and Impacts)
Show Figures

Figure 1

10 pages, 4273 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
Bias-Correcting the Maximum and Minimum Air Temperatures of Egypt Using a High-Resolution Regional Climate Model (RegCM4)
by Sally Mahmoud Mostafa, Samy Ashraf Anwar, Ashraf Saber Zakey and Mohamed Magdy Abdel Wahab
Eng. Proc. 2023, 31(1), 73; https://doi.org/10.3390/ASEC2022-13852 - 13 Dec 2022
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 1420
Abstract
The regional climate model (RegCM4) was used to project the maximum and minimum air temperatures (Tmax and Tmin) of Egypt considering the worst-case scenario: Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5). To achieve this goal, the spatial pattern of the simulated T [...] Read more.
The regional climate model (RegCM4) was used to project the maximum and minimum air temperatures (Tmax and Tmin) of Egypt considering the worst-case scenario: Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5). To achieve this goal, the spatial pattern of the simulated Tmax and Tmin was first examined. After that, the simulated Tmax and Tmin were bias-corrected in the historical period with respect to station observations using the Linear-Scaling (LS) technique. Finally, the LS was used to correct the two future scenarios. To downscale the RegCM4, the medium resolution of the Earth System Model of the Max Planck Institute (MPI-ESM-MR) was used to provide the lateral boundary condition and sea surface temperature. The results showed that both Tmax and Tmin exhibit the highest increase in the far-future period (2081–2100) particularly over Western Egypt, the Red Sea, and Upper Egypt (by 4–6 °C). Additionally, the RegCM4 performance is remarkably improved when the LS method is used. Such performance is indicated by a low mean bias in the validation period compared to the evaluation period over majority of stations. Further, the added value of the LS is noted in Tmin more than Tmax. Therefore, the RegCM4 can be used to project the Tmax and Tmin using the LS over the location of interest. In addition, using multiple General Circulation Models (GCMs) is necessary to account for uncertainty associated with the atmospheric forcing. Full article
(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The 3rd International Electronic Conference on Applied Sciences)
Show Figures

Figure 1

7 pages, 2598 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
Influence of Agricultural Activity on the Surface Climate of New Delta of Egypt Using the RegCM4
by Amani H. Ali, Zeinab Salah, Samy Ashraf Anwar and Ashraf Saber Zakey
Eng. Proc. 2023, 31(1), 43; https://doi.org/10.3390/ASEC2022-13763 - 1 Dec 2022
Viewed by 1391
Abstract
Land-use changes (e.g., transition from desert to crop) can induce considerable influence on the surface climate and terrestrial water cycle (represented by potential evapotranspiration; PET). Additionally, regional climate models (e.g., RegCM4) can be useful tools for exploring regional changes associated with land-use. In [...] Read more.
Land-use changes (e.g., transition from desert to crop) can induce considerable influence on the surface climate and terrestrial water cycle (represented by potential evapotranspiration; PET). Additionally, regional climate models (e.g., RegCM4) can be useful tools for exploring regional changes associated with land-use. In the present, the influence of a cropped area (of the New Delta of Egypt) on the temperature extremes (Tmax and Tmin), and potential evapotranspiration (PET) was examined using a regional climate model (RegCM4). The MPI-ESM-MR was used as atmospheric forcing to drive the RegCM4 over the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) with 50 km grid spacing and then nested over Egypt with 20 km grid spacing. To consider the effect of the cropped area, two experiments were conducted: the first one is occupied with desert (CTRL) and the other one considers the cropped area (EXP). The two experiments were integrated from 1980 to 2100 considering the moderate future scenario representative concentration pathway 4.5 (RCP45). The results showed that the cropped area induces a reduction in both Tmax and Tmin (by 0.5–2 °C) as well as a reduction in PET (by 5 mm month−1). In summary, RegCM4 can be considered a useful tool to examine the possible effects associated with cropped areas. Additionally, considering other atmospheric forcing is important in order to account for the uncertainty associated with the lateral boundary condition. Full article
(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The 3rd International Electronic Conference on Applied Sciences)
Show Figures

Figure 1

8 pages, 4371 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
Projecting the Potential Evapotranspiration of Egypt Using a High-Resolution Regional Climate Model (RegCM4)
by Samy Ashraf Anwar, Zeinab Salah, Wael Khald and Ashraf Saber Zakey
Environ. Sci. Proc. 2022, 19(1), 43; https://doi.org/10.3390/ecas2022-12841 - 22 Jul 2022
Cited by 7 | Viewed by 1865
Abstract
A regional climate model (RegCM4) was used to project the potential evapotranspiration (PET) of Egypt under two future scenarios: RCP45 and RCP85. Spatially, the RegCM4 has a higher PET under the RCP85 than the RCP45. Among all locations, the RegCM4 was able to [...] Read more.
A regional climate model (RegCM4) was used to project the potential evapotranspiration (PET) of Egypt under two future scenarios: RCP45 and RCP85. Spatially, the RegCM4 has a higher PET under the RCP85 than the RCP45. Among all locations, the RegCM4 was able to capture the monthly variability in PET with respect to the Climate Research Unit (CRU). In addition, the simulated PET was notably improved when a linear regression model (LRM) was used. Further, future PET projects a strong increased trend under the RCP85; meanwhile, future PET projects a weak increased trend under the RCP45. Full article
(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The 5th International Electronic Conference on Atmospheric Sciences)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Back to TopTop