A Survival Analysis Based on Forensic Investigation of Motorcycle Road Traffic Accidents in the Athens Metropolitan Area During 2021–2023
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
3. Results
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Variable | Category | Frequency | Percent | Median (IQR) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| General Demographics | ||||
| Sex | Male | 89 | 94.68% | |
| Female | 5 | 5.32% | ||
| Age | 40.5 (27–53) | |||
| Nationality | Greek | 80 | 85.11% | |
| Other | 14 | 14.89% | ||
| Time and Distance | ||||
| Time to Arrive | <60 min | 36 | 54.55% | |
| >60 min | 30 | 45.45% | ||
| Distance to Hospital | 10.4 (5.25–16.65) | |||
| Social History Data (Obtained Through Interviews of the Relatives of the Deceased) | ||||
| Alcohol | Yes | 15 | 21.13% | |
| No | 56 | 78.87% | ||
| Smoking | Yes | 62 | 77.50% | |
| No or stopped | 18 | 22.50% | ||
| Substance | Yes | 19 | 23.46% | |
| No | 62 | 76.54% | ||
| Pre-Existing Medical Conditions (Obtained Through Interview of the Relatives of the Deceased) | ||||
| Cardiovascular Disease | No | 78 | 82.98% | |
| Yes | 16 | 17.02% | ||
| Metabolic Disease | No | 92 | 97.87% | |
| Yes | 2 | 2.13% | ||
| Decreased Mobility | No | 91 | 96.81% | |
| Yes | 3 | 3.19% | ||
| Psychiatric Condition | No | 89 | 96.74% | |
| Yes | 3 | 3.26% | ||
| Injuries Sustained, as Ascertained by the Post-Mortem Examination | ||||
| Head Injury | No | 25 | 26.60% | |
| Yes | 69 | 73.40% | ||
| Neck Injury | No | 73 | 77.66% | |
| Yes | 21 | 22.34% | ||
| Chest Injury | No | 21 | 22.34% | |
| Yes | 73 | 77.66% | ||
| Abdominal Injury | No | 40 | 42.55% | |
| Yes | 54 | 57.45% | ||
| Upper Limb Injury | No | 65 | 69.15% | |
| Yes | 29 | 30.85% | ||
| Lower Limb Injury | No | 65 | 69.15% | |
| Yes | 29 | 30.85% | ||
| Multiple Injuries | No | 31 | 32.98% | |
| Yes | 63 | 67.02% | ||
| Variable | Group | Median Survival Time (Days) | Hazard Ratio | 95% CI | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| General Demographics | |||||
| Sex | Male (Ref) | 0.07 | 0.44 | 0.16–1.23 | 0.118 |
| Female | 5.9 | ||||
| Age | ≤40 years (median) (ref) | 0.07 | 0.84 | 0.56–1.26 | 0.396 |
| >40 years | 0.081 | ||||
| Nationality | Greek | 0.073 | 1.43 | 0.80–2.55 | 0.23 |
| Other | 0.066 | ||||
| Time and Distance | |||||
| Time to Arrive | ≤60 min (golden hour) (ref) | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.12–0.41 | <0.001 |
| >60 min | 0.115 | ||||
| Distance to Hospital | ≤10 km (median) (ref) | 0.081 | 1.34 | 0.877–2.06 | 0.173 |
| >10 km | 0.073 | ||||
| Social History Data (Obtained Through Interview of the Relatives of the Deceased) | |||||
| Alcohol | Yes | 0.05 | 1.74 | 1.12–3.11 | 0.049 |
| No (ref) | 0.07 | ||||
| Smoking | Yes (ref) | 0.068 | 0.7 | 0.41–1.21 | 0.204 |
| No (never or stopped) | 0.097 | ||||
| Substance | Yes | 0.073 | 1.04 | 0.62–1.74 | 0.893 |
| No (ref) | 0.073 | ||||
| Pre-Existing Medical Conditions (Obtained Through Interview of the Relatives of the Deceased) | |||||
| Cardiovascular | Yes | 0.083 | 0.94 | 0.54–1.61 | 0.808 |
| No (ref) | 0.073 | ||||
| Metabolic | Yes | 0.035 | 1.99 | 0.49–8.19 | 0.338 |
| No (ref) | 0.073 | ||||
| Decreased Mobility | Yes | 0.073 | 0.97 | 0.31–3.09 | 0.962 |
| No (ref) | 0.073 | ||||
| Psychiatric Condition | Yes | 0.093 | 0.65 | 0.20–2.08 | 0.473 |
| No (ref) | 0.073 | ||||
| Injuries Sustained, as Ascertained by the Post-Mortem Examination | |||||
| Head Trauma | Yes | 0.07 | 0.94 | 0.59–1.5 | 0.782 |
| No (ref) | 0.08 | ||||
| Neck Trauma | Yes | 0.066 | 1.62 | 1.04–2.67 | 0.047 |
| No (ref) | 0.081 | ||||
| Thorax Trauma | Yes | 0.07 | 2.15 | 1.3–3.56 | 0.003 |
| No (ref) | 5.85 | ||||
| Abdominal Trauma | Yes | 0.068 | 1.79 | 1.16–2.77 | 0.009 |
| No (ref) | 0.079 | ||||
| Upper Limb Trauma | Yes | 0.073 | 1.09 | 0.69–1.69 | 0.707 |
| No (ref) | 0.073 | ||||
| Lower Limb Trauma | Yes | 0.062 | 1.26 | 0.81–1.96 | 0.312 |
| No (ref) | 0.078 | ||||
| Multiple Injuries | Yes | 0.066 | 1.94 | 1.24–3.02 | 0.004 |
| No (ref) | 0.2 | ||||
| Variable | Adjusted Hazard Ratio | 95% Conf. Interval | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Time to Arrive | 0.54 | 0.28–1.03 | 0.06 |
| Multiple Injuries | 1.93 | 0.97–3.82 | 0.06 |
| Positive Toxicological Examination for Psychoactive Substances | 2.12 | 1.16–3.88 | 0.015 |
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Tousia, A.; Kouzos, D.; Katsos, K.; Ketsekioulafis, I.; Papoutsis, I.; Ntona, A.; Georgiadis, N.; Sergentanis, T.N.; Spiliopoulou, C.A.; Sakelliadis, E.I. A Survival Analysis Based on Forensic Investigation of Motorcycle Road Traffic Accidents in the Athens Metropolitan Area During 2021–2023. Forensic Sci. 2025, 5, 68. https://doi.org/10.3390/forensicsci5040068
Tousia A, Kouzos D, Katsos K, Ketsekioulafis I, Papoutsis I, Ntona A, Georgiadis N, Sergentanis TN, Spiliopoulou CA, Sakelliadis EI. A Survival Analysis Based on Forensic Investigation of Motorcycle Road Traffic Accidents in the Athens Metropolitan Area During 2021–2023. Forensic Sciences. 2025; 5(4):68. https://doi.org/10.3390/forensicsci5040068
Chicago/Turabian StyleTousia, Athina, Dimitris Kouzos, Konstantinos Katsos, Ioannis Ketsekioulafis, Ioannis Papoutsis, Artemisia Ntona, Nikolaos Georgiadis, Theodoros N. Sergentanis, Chara A. Spiliopoulou, and Emmanouil I. Sakelliadis. 2025. "A Survival Analysis Based on Forensic Investigation of Motorcycle Road Traffic Accidents in the Athens Metropolitan Area During 2021–2023" Forensic Sciences 5, no. 4: 68. https://doi.org/10.3390/forensicsci5040068
APA StyleTousia, A., Kouzos, D., Katsos, K., Ketsekioulafis, I., Papoutsis, I., Ntona, A., Georgiadis, N., Sergentanis, T. N., Spiliopoulou, C. A., & Sakelliadis, E. I. (2025). A Survival Analysis Based on Forensic Investigation of Motorcycle Road Traffic Accidents in the Athens Metropolitan Area During 2021–2023. Forensic Sciences, 5(4), 68. https://doi.org/10.3390/forensicsci5040068

