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  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access

25 November 2021

4 Pages

Developing a Method to Simulate and Evaluate Effects of Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change on Wheat Crop Production: A Challenging Multi-Criteria Analysis †

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1
ARVALIS–Institut du Végétal, Station Expérimentale, 91720 Boigneville, France
2
INRAE, UE115 Domaine Expérimental d’Epoisses, 21000 Dijon, France
3
INRAE-INPT-ENSAT-EI-Purpan, Université de Toulouse, UMR 1248 AGIR, 31326 Castanet-Tolosan, France
4
INRAE, UMR1402 ÉcoSys, AgroParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay, 78850 Thiverval-Grignon, France

Abstract

Adaptation of cropping management strategies is necessary to ensure the sustainability of our agriculture, which is facing threats arising from climate change. A methodology is proposed to find out and compare the most promising adaptation strategies in this context considering both biotic and abiotic stresses. A set of pre-selected strategies were evaluated based on economic, plant health and environmental criteria. A dedicated workflow combining the STICS crop model, epidemiological models and multi-criteria analysis was designed, implemented and tested for a wheat production situation. Flexible by design, this methodology can consider different criteria weights to be used as an exchange support with stakeholders.

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