Dynamical Transmission and Mathematical Analysis of Ebola Virus Using a Constant Proportional Operator with a Power Law Kernel
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. The Hybrid Fractional Derivative Operator
Main Definitions
3. Fractional-Order Model of Ebola Epidemic
- People who have not been exposed to the Ebola virus are found in the susceptible compartment .
- People in the exposed compartment are those who are exposed to Ebola virus but show no outward clinical symptoms. As of yet, they cannot spread infection. The incubation phase is the name for this time frame. Exposed people then make their way over to the Infectious section.
- People who have the infection begin to exhibit clinical symptoms and can spread it to others. Authorities place infectious patients under sanitary care after the infectious period, which is the average amount of time a person spends in this compartment, and then classify them as hospitalized.
- Although they are receiving treatment, the patients in the compartment are still contagious. Following their stay in the hospital, patients either heal and move into the Recovered compartment or pass into the Dead compartment . We specifically state that there are no hospitalized patients who are no longer able to spread disease in compartment . They are contained in the compartment described below as “Recovered”.
- People who have died from the disease but have not yet been buried are still contagious to others through touch with their bodies. The body is interred after a predetermined amount of time.
- People who have survived the sickness are in compartment . In this compartment, people naturally become immune to the disease-causing agent and stop being contagious [36].
3.1. Existence and Uniqueness of Solutions
- Firstly, we will prove that is a contraction map. For and ,Hence, for the operator ,⟹ is a non-expansive operator.
- Now we will prove that is continuously compact.The absolute modulus of all positively bounded continuous operators , , , , , and specified in (19) is given by the non-zero positive constants , , , , , , , , , , , and , which satisfy the subsequent bounded-ness inequalities. This proves the compactness of .Suppose that is a closed subset of ,For , we findProceeding with this process, we find the maximum norm of as⇒ is a uniformly bounded operator.Now, we will prove that is equi-continuous for . For this purpose, we haveSince is independent of ,is a completely continuous, equi-continuous operator.is relatively compact by Arzela’s theorem.
3.2. Ulam–Hyres Stability
3.3. Analysis of Equilibrium Points
3.4. Disease Free Equilibrium
3.5. Endemic Equilibrium
3.6. Reproductive Number
- When we apply disease effective contact rates of , , and , we get .
- If we increase these disease effective contact rates to , , and , we obtain .
4. Analysis of the Proposed Model
Eigenfunctions of the CPC Operator
5. Numerical Scheme of Proposed Model
6. Results and Discussion
7. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Number of people being recruited in S at a given time | |
The mortality rate | |
The disease effective contact rate in | |
The disease effective contact rate in | |
The disease effective contact rate in | |
The transition rates from to | |
The transition rates from to | |
The illness fatality rate multiplied by the pace at which became | |
The illness survival rate multiplied by the rate of change from to | |
The rate of Ebola victims buried | |
The percentage of persons moving daily between the states of , , and travelling abroad |
Value for [36] | Value for (Estimated) | |
---|---|---|
0.0217 | 0.0217 | |
0.021 | 0.021 | |
0.2500 | 0.3 | |
0.0195 | 0.05 | |
0.2400 | 0.3 | |
0.022 | 0.022 | |
0.15 | 0.15 | |
0.1177 | 0.1177 | |
0.1040 | 0.1040 | |
0.7500 | 0.7500 | |
0.0000024 | 0.0000024 |
Time (Days) | Fractional Order | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0.999 | 0.999 | 0.999 | 0.999 | 0.999 |
1 | 0.9922 | 0.9413 | 0.8878 | 0.8318 | 0.7730 |
2 | 0.9865 | 0.8911 | 0.7964 | 0.7029 | 0.6115 |
3 | 1.0030 | 0.8706 | 0.7463 | 0.6307 | 0.5250 |
4 | 1.0580 | 0.8964 | 0.7517 | 0.6246 | 0.5154 |
5 | 1.1690 | 0.9818 | 0.8221 | 0.6890 | 0.5812 |
6 | 1.3580 | 1.1430 | 0.9680 | 0.8290 | 0.7217 |
7 | 1.6730 | 1.4130 | 1.2120 | 1.0580 | 0.9444 |
8 | 2.2060 | 1.8600 | 1.6010 | 1.4120 | 1.2730 |
9 | 3.1410 | 2.6150 | 2.2350 | 1.9600 | 1.7600 |
10 | 4.7950 | 3.9130 | 3.2850 | 2.8320 | 2.5000 |
Time (Days) | Fractional Order | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.0 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
0.5 | 0.0009992 | 0.0009732 | 0.0009451 | 0.0008108 | 0.0007634 |
1.0 | 0.0009945 | 0.0009431 | 0.0008892 | 0.0006016 | 0.0005351 |
1.5 | 0.0009830 | 0.0009073 | 0.0008301 | 0.0003935 | 0.0003332 |
2.0 | 0.0009600 | 0.0008619 | 0.0007648 | 0.0001985 | 0.0001643 |
2.5 | 0.0009132 | 0.0007890 | 0.0006872 | 0.0005818 | 0.0004827 |
3.0 | 0.0008125 | 0.0006962 | 0.0005858 | 0.0004826 | 0.0003877 |
3.5 | 0.0005935 | 0.0005188 | 0.0004401 | 0.0003614 | 0.0002865 |
4.0 | 0.0001293 | 0.0001964 | 0.0002143 | 0.0002011 | 0.0001709 |
Time (Days) | Fractional Order | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
0.5 | 4.478 | 4.798 | 5.122 | 5.444 | 5.758 |
1.0 | 3.370 | 3.392 | 3.390 | 3.363 | 3.306 |
1.5 | 1.035 | 9.927 | 9.434 | 8.867 | 8.227 |
2.0 | 2.133 | 1.966 | 1.790 | 1.607 | 1.418 |
2.5 | 3.326 | 2.98 | 2.629 | 2.276 | 1.928 |
3.0 | 3.694 | 3.348 | 2.954 | 2.533 | 1.105 |
3.5 | 1.074 | 1.655 | 1.871 | 1.835 | 1.639 |
Time (Days) | Fractional Order | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
0.25 | 3.616 | 4.484 | 5.541 | 6.819 | 8.356 |
0.50 | 5.565 | 6.337 | 7.177 | 8.082 | 9.042 |
0.75 | 2.631 | 2.829 | 3.022 | 3.203 | 3.366 |
1.00 | 7.491 | 7.695 | 7.839 | 7.912 | 7.900 |
1.25 | 1.570 | 1.550 | 1.515 | 1.465 | 1.399 |
1.50 | 2.600 | 2.474 | 2.329 | 2.165 | 1.984 |
1.75 | 3.882 | 3.104 | 2.815 | 2.519 | 2.219 |
2.00 | 2.943 | 2.585 | 2.244 | 1.922 | 1.621 |
2.20 | 6.019 | 4.226 | 2.855 | 1.859 | 1.183 |
Time (Days) | Fractional Order | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
0.25 | 1.032 | 1.435 | 1.986 | 2.736 | 3.748 |
0.50 | 6.303 | 7.770 | 9.518 | 1.158 | 1.398 |
0.75 | 6.609 | 7.534 | 8.521 | 9.552 | 1.060 |
1.00 | 3.265 | 3.500 | 3.717 | 3.906 | 4.056 |
1.25 | 1.026 | 1.043 | 1.049 | 1.042 | 1.021 |
1.50 | 2.260 | 2.187 | 2.090 | 1.970 | 1.828 |
1.75 | 3.309 | 3.087 | 2.732 | 2.429 | 2.122 |
2.00 | 1.224 | 8.693 | 5.701 | 3.288 | 1.449 |
Time (Days) | Fractional Order | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
0.2 | 3.074 | 4.426 | 6.343 | 9.046 | 1.283 |
0.4 | 1.823 | 2.325 | 2.947 | 3.708 | 4.632 |
0.6 | 1.803 | 2.120 | 2.471 | 2.856 | 3.267 |
0.8 | 7.982 | 8.749 | 9.487 | 1.017 | 1.075 |
1.0 | 1.991 | 2.017 | 2.011 | 1.968 | 1.885 |
1.2 | 2.095 | 1.704 | 1.254 | 7.563 | 2.283 |
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Xu, C.; Farman, M. Dynamical Transmission and Mathematical Analysis of Ebola Virus Using a Constant Proportional Operator with a Power Law Kernel. Fractal Fract. 2023, 7, 706. https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract7100706
Xu C, Farman M. Dynamical Transmission and Mathematical Analysis of Ebola Virus Using a Constant Proportional Operator with a Power Law Kernel. Fractal and Fractional. 2023; 7(10):706. https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract7100706
Chicago/Turabian StyleXu, Changjin, and Muhammad Farman. 2023. "Dynamical Transmission and Mathematical Analysis of Ebola Virus Using a Constant Proportional Operator with a Power Law Kernel" Fractal and Fractional 7, no. 10: 706. https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract7100706
APA StyleXu, C., & Farman, M. (2023). Dynamical Transmission and Mathematical Analysis of Ebola Virus Using a Constant Proportional Operator with a Power Law Kernel. Fractal and Fractional, 7(10), 706. https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract7100706