The Pattern of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5N1 Outbreaks in South Asia
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Methods
2.1. Sources of HPAI Outbreak Data
2.2. Epidemiological and Microbiological Data
2.3. Time Periods
2.4. Statistical Analysis
2.5. Mapping the H5N1 Outbreak in Poultry and in Humans
2.6. Phylogenetic Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Descriptive Epidemiology of H5N1 Outbreaks in Poultry and Birds
3.2. Temporal Patterns of H5N1 Outbreaks in Poultry and Birds
3.3. Distribution of H5N1 Clades in Poultry and Birds
3.4. Other Reported Subtypes of Avian Influenza in Poultry and Birds
3.5. Human Cases
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Country | H5N1 Outbreaks in Poultry and Wild Birds | Total Reported Human Cases ofH5N1 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Number of Outbreaks | Date of Initial Outbreak | Date of Last Outbreak | ||
Afghanistan | 26 | 6 March 2006 | 23 January 2018 | No reported cases |
Bangladesh | 561 | 5 February 2007 | 15 December 2018 | 8 |
Bhutan | 24 | 18 February 2010 | 6 April 2019 | No reported cases |
India | 148 | 27 January 2006 | 23 March 2019 | No reported cases |
Maldives | - | No reported outbreak | - | No reported cases |
Nepal | 253 | 8 January 2009 | 18 June 2019 | 1 |
Pakistan | 51 | 23 February 2006 | 17 June 2008 | 3 |
Sri Lanka | - | No reported outbreak | - | No reported cases |
Variables | Afghanistan | Bangladesh | Bhutan | India | Maldives | Nepal | Pakistan | Sri Lanka | Total (%) | * RR (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Species | ||||||||||
Wild birds | 2 | 6 | - | 20 | - | 4 | 2 | - | 34 (3) | Ref. |
Domestic poultry | 24 | 555 | 24 | 128 | - | 249 | 49 | - | 1029 (97) | 30.26 (21.5–42.6) |
Husbandry practices | ||||||||||
Backyard farm | 21 | 45 | 20 | 100 | - | 40 | 4 | - | 230 (22) | Ref. |
Commercial farm | 3 | 510 | 4 | 28 | - | 208 | 44 | - | 797 (75) | 3.47 (2.99–4.01) |
Wild | 2 | 6 | - | 20 | - | 5 | 3 | - | 36 (3) | 0.15 (0.11–0.22) |
Season | ||||||||||
Summer (April–June) | 0 | 72 | 2 | 12 | - | 44 | 15 | - | 145 (14) | Ref. |
Monsoon (July–October) | 0 | 14 | 2 | 6 | - | 150 | 5 | - | 177 (17) | 1.2 (0.98–1.52) |
Winter (November–March) | 26 | 475 | 20 | 130 | - | 59 | 31 | - | 741 (70) | 5.11 (4.28–6.1) |
Year | Afghanistan | Bangladesh | Bhutan | India | Nepal | Pakistan | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2006 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 32 |
2007 | 9 | 68 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 110 |
2008 | 0 | 225 | 0 | 59 | 0 | 7 | 291 |
2009 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 43 |
2010 | 0 | 30 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 47 |
2011 | 0 | 170 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 179 |
2012 | 0 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 59 |
2013 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 203 | 0 | 209 |
2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
2015 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
2016 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
2017 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
2018 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 29 |
2019 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 27 |
Total | 26 | 561 | 24 | 148 | 253 | 51 | 1063 |
Countries | Clades (Year of Detection) | Host Species |
---|---|---|
Afghanistan | 2.2 (2006), 2.2.3 (2006) | Chicken |
Bangladesh | 2.2 (2007), 2.2.2 (2007), 2.2.3 (2007), 2.3.2 (2009), 2.3.4 (2011), 2.3.2.1 (2011), 2.3.2.1a (2015), 2.3.4.2 (2011) | Chicken, duck, geese, turkey, quail |
Bhutan | 2.2 (2010), 2.2.2 (2010), 2.2.3 (2010), 2.3.2.1 (2012) 2.3.2.1a (2012) | Chicken |
India | 2.2 (2006), 2.2.2 (2008), 2.2.3 (2008), 2.3.2 (2011), 2.2.2.1 (2008), 2.3.2.1 (2011), 2.3.2.1a (2011), 2.3.2.1c (2014) | Chicken, duck, turkey |
Maldives | - | - |
Nepal | 2.2 (2010), 2.3.2 (2010), 2.3.2.1 (2010) | Chicken, duck |
Pakistan | 2.2 (2006), 2.2.3 (2006) | Chicken |
Sri Lanka | - | - |
Countries | Subtypes | Host Species |
---|---|---|
Afghanistan | H5N1 | Chicken, turkey |
Bangladesh | H5N1, H5N6, H5N2, H5N3, H9N2, H1N1, H1N2, H1N3, H1N4, H2N3, H2N4, H3N2, H3N5, H3N6, H3N8, H4N1, H4N2, H4N6, H6N1, H6N2, H6N7, H7N9, H10N7, H11N1, H11N2, H11N6, H11N9, H11N3 | Chicken, duck, geese, turkey, quail |
Bhutan | H5N1 | Chicken |
India | H5N1, H5N8, H9N2, H4N6, H11N1 | Chicken, duck, turkey |
Maldives | - | - |
Nepal | H5N1 | Chicken, duck |
Pakistan | H5N1, H7N3, H9N2, H3N1 | Chicken, duck, geese, peacock, pigeon, pheasant, swan |
Sri Lanka | - | - |
Country | Year of Detection | Total Cases | Total Deaths | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2007 | 2008 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2015 | 2019 | |||
Bangladesh | - | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - | 8 | 1 |
Pakistan | 3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | 1 |
Nepal | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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Chowdhury, S.; Hossain, M.E.; Ghosh, P.K.; Ghosh, S.; Hossain, M.B.; Beard, C.; Rahman, M.; Rahman, M.Z. The Pattern of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5N1 Outbreaks in South Asia. Trop. Med. Infect. Dis. 2019, 4, 138. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed4040138
Chowdhury S, Hossain ME, Ghosh PK, Ghosh S, Hossain MB, Beard C, Rahman M, Rahman MZ. The Pattern of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5N1 Outbreaks in South Asia. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease. 2019; 4(4):138. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed4040138
Chicago/Turabian StyleChowdhury, Sukanta, Mohammad Enayet Hossain, Probir Kumar Ghosh, Sumon Ghosh, Muhammad Belal Hossain, Cindy Beard, Mahmudur Rahman, and Mohammed Ziaur Rahman. 2019. "The Pattern of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5N1 Outbreaks in South Asia" Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease 4, no. 4: 138. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed4040138
APA StyleChowdhury, S., Hossain, M. E., Ghosh, P. K., Ghosh, S., Hossain, M. B., Beard, C., Rahman, M., & Rahman, M. Z. (2019). The Pattern of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5N1 Outbreaks in South Asia. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease, 4(4), 138. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed4040138