1. Introduction
In China, a major rice producer, more than 60% of the population consumes rice as a staple food. In recent years, however, food safety incidents have occurred frequently, such as cadmium and mildew contaminations in rice. These incidents have raised concerns about rice safety and demonstrated the need for stricter requirements for rice safety supervision. Rice processing safety is an important basis for rice security, so it critical for evaluating the security risk of the rice processing chain.
Currently, food risk assessment methods include qualitative assessment methods, quantitative assessment methods, and qualitative–quantitative comprehensive risk assessment methods [
1]. Qualitative assessment methods are mainly based on the knowledge and experience of the expert to analyze risk indexes [
2,
3,
4], including the index scoring method [
5], Delphi method [
6], and hazard analysis and critical point control (HACCP) method [
7]. For example, Du et al. [
8] investigated a weighting method based on an expert knowledge structure analysis, which effectively considered the opinions of various experts and improved the consensus of the cluster. However, the qualitative evaluation method relies too much on subjective factors and cannot be used to accurately construct an early warning model.
Quantitative assessment methods are data-driven models [
9]. They are based on data to establish a mathematical model and use the mathematical model to calculate the risk value of the index [
10]; these models include the random forest algorithm [
11], support vector machine (SVM) [
12], and back-propagation (BP) network [
13]. For example, Fang et al. [
14] combined the red cabbage anthocyanin label with a BP neural network to propose a smart phone application, forming a simple system that could quickly scan the label and identify the freshness of fish in real time. However, quantitative evaluation methods have problems, such as an overdependence on data.
The qualitative and quantitative comprehensive analysis method is the combination of qualitative and quantitative evaluation methods [
15], and it is the focus of current research. These methods include the analytic hierarchy stage (AHP) [
16], fuzzy comprehensive evaluation [
17], and cloud model [
18]. AHP is a method that builds a risk judgment matrix and combines it with the hierarchical structure model through the establishment of expert opinions. It essentially quantifies the empirical judgments of decision makers but lacks responsiveness to actual data. Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation can be applied to the analysis and evaluation of both subjective and objective indexes, and it can describe the fuzzy features in the evaluation problem well [
19]. The cloud model can describe the randomness, fuzziness, and correlation of concepts in natural language and then transform the quantitative risk value and interval with the qualitative language set according to the membership degree theory. It is widely used in risk assessment. At present, the normal cloud model is the most commonly used method. Xu et al. [
20] used the normal cloud model to evaluate the quality of red wine and realized the conversion between quantitative data and the qualitative evaluation level. However, there are still some limitations in the practical application. First, the normal cloud model uses a numerical point to represent an evaluation level. In terms of actual production risk assessment, the risk level is a numerical interval, which can have a certain impact on the evaluation results. Second, weighting methods are usually used to obtain a weight for a single dimension, which leads to inaccurate weight acquisition. Finally, the classification of risk levels in the current research is mostly based on national standards, which are put forward for general situations. However, the conditions of different processing chains vary, and the threshold interval of the national standard may introduce errors into the values of model parameters, resulting in inaccurate evaluation results.
Table 1 shows a comparison of the advantages and disadvantages of various risk evaluation methods.
Some scholars have conducted research on the above problems. In terms of actual production risk assessment, the evaluation level of the trapezoidal cloud model is a numerical interval, so a model is used for risk assessment. Zhang et al. [
21] applied the trapezoidal cloud model to the risk assessment of subway fire accidents, revealing the superiority of the trapezoidal cloud model. Wang et al. [
22] used asymmetric trapezoidal cloud (ATC) models to analyze an illustrative case study involving the evaluation of industrial sewage discharge. The current weighting methods include AHP, grey correlation analysis, and the coefficient of variation method. To establish a successful energy cooperation, Papapostolou et al. [
23] combined AHP with the fuzzy technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (Fuzzy TOPSIS) methods for adopting the most appropriate strategic plan. To combine subjective and objective weights, Niu et al. [
24] proposed a method combining AHP and information entropy weights to evaluate and predict the health status of production lines. However, the above weighting methods are static, and the results obtained after weight acquisition are fixed values, which cannot be changed according to changes in production conditions. Xin et al. [
25] proposed a dynamic weight mechanism and introduced a variable weight coefficient to replace the constant weight with a variable weight. Zhao et al. [
26] used an exponential function to model the dynamic weight mechanism. However, the above variable weight coefficient and the base number of exponential functions are obtained from expert experience, which is too subjective. Finally, Qian et al. [
27] introduced Atanassov’s interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets (AIVIFS) to improve the ladder cloud model, and they gave an example for the grade evaluation of COVID-19. However, AIVIFS are limited to describing quantitative information, and in the case of quantitative expression, their description may be vague, which is inconvenient for applications. Therefore, it is more appropriate to provide estimates by a verbal value than a numerical value. Yu et al. [
28] applied AIVILNs to improve the trapezoidal cloud model to evaluate the eutrophication of a specific water environment.
Based on the above literature, two problems have yet to be solved. First, most of the current weighting methods are static, and the results obtained after weight acquisition are fixed values, which cannot be changed according to changes in production conditions. Moreover, the variable weight coefficient and dynamic weight parameters of the dynamic weight methods are obtained by experts’ experience, which is too subjective. Second, existing research is restricted to describing quantitative information, and in the case of referring to quantitative expression, the descriptions made by them can be ill-defined, creating inconvenience in application. Therefore, it is more suitable to provide assessments by means of linguistic values rather than numerical values.
This paper presents a risk assessment of rice processing chain hazards based on a multidimensional trapezoidal cloud model. The proposed method was validated by processing chain data.
The main work of this paper is as follows:
(1) The multidimensional trapezoidal cloud model is used for the risk assessment of a rice processing chain to realize the transformation between quantitative hazard data and the qualitative evaluation level;
(2) AIVILNs are introduced to determine the model parameters, and the digital feature determination method of the trapezoid cloud model is improved to overcome the unreliable evaluation results and low identification caused by the inherent national standard classification threshold in the trapezoid cloud model;
(3) The concept of dynamic weight is introduced, and the dynamic weight mechanism is modeled by using an exponential function model. The constant weight is replaced with variable weights, making the weight determination more reliable.