Loan Portfolio Management and Bank Efficiency: A Comparative Analysis of Public, Old Private, and New Private Sector Banks in India
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
- li represents the amount of the ith loan
- ri is the rate of interest for the ith loan;
- fj refers to the funds received from the jth source;
- Cj refers to the cost of funds;
- PDk is the probability of default for the kth loan;
- LGDk is the loss, given a default occurs, on the kth loan;
- EADk is the exposure, upon default, for the kth loan.
2.1. Priority Sector Lending
2.2. Secured Lending
2.3. Term Loans
2.4. Working Capital Loans
3. Methods
3.1. Measuring Efficiency
3.2. Data Envelopment Analysis and Choice of Approach
- θ represents the efficiency score of DMU0
- yrj is the amount of the rth output produced by the jth DMU;
- xij is the amount of the ith input consumed by the jth DMU;
- λj is the weight assigned to each DMU;
- yr0 and xi0 represent the inputs and output of DMU0.
3.3. Definitions of the DEA Variables
3.4. Choice of Inputs in the Efficiency Model
3.5. Sample and Procedure
3.6. Analysis Technique
- Examination of the series for stationarity and cointegration
- The data comprised a time series, thereby necessitating a stationarity test to mitigate the risk of the findings being spurious (Granger and Newbold 2003). A cointegration test was performed to assess long-term equilibrium, which was necessitated by the fact that the variables under analysis may indicate a long-term linear relationship.
- Testing for heteroskedasticity
- The study used generalized least squares regression (GLS) to assess the impact of the predictor variables on the predicted. We first tested for heteroskedasticity, as GLS is useful in instances where the error term displays heteroskedasticity. To this end, we used the modified Wald test for heteroscedasticity in the group data. This approach was deemed relevant because the panel data were related to multiple banks over a period.
- Obtain the efficiency scores
- Because the main focus is on the impact of lending variables on efficiency, it was necessary to first obtain efficiency scores using the data envelopment analysis approach.
- Hausman testing for model specification
- GLS regression can be conducted using a fixed-effects or random-effects approach, and it is important to assess which approach is the most effective. We used the specification test proposed by Hausman (Hausman 1978) to identify the endogeneity of the regressors and determine the appropriate model.
- Generalized Least Squares (GLS) regression
- A GLS approach was used, considering the proportion of loans in the loan portfolio as predictors and efficiency scores as the predicted variable.
4. Results
4.1. Descriptive Statistics
- ⮚
- Term loans: Loans that have a maturity of more than a year. These loans have a specified maturity and are payable in installments or bullet form (Reserve Bank of India 2023).
- ⮚
- Secured loans: Loans that are covered fully by the value of tangible security (Reserve Bank of India 2023).
- ⮚
- Priority sector loans: Lending that impacts weaker sections and employment-intensive sectors and those that affect large sections of the population (Government of India 2023).
- ⮚
- Working capital loans: These loans are made available by banks for acquiring current assets (MSME 2023).
4.2. Stationarity Test and Cointegration
4.3. Modified Wald Test for Groupwise Heteroskedasticity
4.4. Hausman Test
4.5. Hypothesis Testing
4.6. Significance Level of Coefficients
- bankgeneration = public sector banks
- bankgeneration = new private banks
- bankgeneration = old private banks
5. Discussion
Hypothesis | Outcome |
H1: The impact of priority sector lending on efficiency differs significantly between public sector banks, old private banks, and new private banks | Failed to be rejected |
H2: The impact of secured loans on efficiency differs significantly between public sector banks, old private banks, and new private banks. | Not supported |
H3: The impact of term loans on efficiency differs significantly between public sector banks, old private banks, and new private banks. | Failed to be rejected |
H4: The impact of working capital loans on efficiency differs significantly between public sector banks, old private banks, and new private banks. | Failed to be rejected |
6. Conclusions
Implications
7. Limitations and Future Direction
Funding
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A. Output of GLS Regression Conducted on Public Sector Banks
Random-effects GLS regression | Number of obs = 222 | |||
Group variable: DMU | Number of groups = 27 | |||
R-squared | Obs per group: | |||
Within = 0.0696 | min = 5 | |||
Between = 0.0158 | avg = 8.2 | |||
Overall = 0.0422 | max = 10 | |||
Corr(u_i, X = 0 (assumed) | Wald chi2(4) = 12.16 | |||
Prob > chi2 = 0.0162 | ||||
lnvrs | Coefficient | Robust std.err | z | P > |z| |
Term loans | −0.1091531 | 0.0514893 | −2.12 | 0.034 |
Priority sector loans | −0.0310516 | 0.0227257 | −1.37 | 0.172 |
Secured loans | 0.0459941 | 0.0503023 | 0.91 | 0.361 |
Working capital loans | −0.0560047 | 0.033676 | −1.66 | 0.096 |
Constant | −0.1624963 | 0.0504512 | −3.22 | 0.001 |
Appendix B. Output of GLS Regression Conducted on New Private Sector Banks
Random-effects GLS regression | Number of obs = 102 | |||
Group variable: DMU | Number of groups = 12 | |||
R-squared | Obs per group: | |||
Within = 0.1290 | min = 3 | |||
Between = 0.2391 | avg = 8.5 | |||
Overall = 0.1641 | max = 10 | |||
Corr(u_i, X = 0 (assumed) | Wald chi2(4) = 31.78 | |||
Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 | ||||
lnvrs | Coefficient | Robust std.err | z | P > |z| |
Term loans | 0.2196623 | 0.104742 | 2.10 | 0.036 |
Priority sector loans | −0.0454201 | 0.0117382 | −3.87 | 0.000 |
Secured loans | −0.0520763 | 0.0389006 | −1.34 | 0.181 |
Working capital loans | 0.0604249 | 0.0287216 | 2.10 | 0.035 |
Constant | 0.0624266 | 0.0667834 | 0.93 | 0.350 |
Appendix C. Output of GLS Regression Conducted on Old Private Sector Banks
Random-effects GLS regression | Number of obs = 103 | |||
Group variable: DMU | Number of groups = 12 | |||
R-squared | Obs per group: | |||
Within = 0.0055 | min = 3 | |||
Between = 0.4438 | avg = 8.6 | |||
Overall = 0.1262 | max = 10 | |||
Corr(u_i, X = 0 (assumed) | Wald chi2(4) = 11.53 | |||
Prob > chi2 = 0.0212 | ||||
lnvrs | Coefficient | Robust std.err | z | P > |z| |
Term loans | −0.0245703 | 0.0240851 | −1.02 | 0.308 |
Priority sector loans | 0.0429099 | 0.0375057 | 1.14 | 0.253 |
Secured loans | 0.1524177 | 0.1323614 | 1.15 | 0.250 |
Working capital loans | −0.0437002 | 0.0238258 | −1.83 | 0.067 |
Constant | −0.0392795 | 0.0362569 | −1.08 | 0.279 |
Appendix D. Kao Panel Cointegration Test
H0: No cointegration | Number of panels = 50 | |
Ha: All panels are cointegrated | Avg. number of periods = 6.54 | |
Cointegrating vector: Same | ||
Panel means: Included | Kernel: Bartlett | |
Time trend: Not included | Lags: 1.32 (Newey-West) | |
AR parameter: Same | Augmented lags: 1 | |
Statistic | p-value | |
Modified Dickey–Fuller test | −1.7801 | 0.0375 |
Dickey–Fuller test | −5.5606 | 0.0000 |
Augmented Dickey–Fuller test | −1.4638 | 0.0716 |
Unadjusted modified Dickey–Fuller test | −6.1030 | 0.0000 |
Unadjusted Dickey–Fuller test | −7.8572 | 0.0000 |
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Inputs | Outputs |
---|---|
Deposits | Loans |
Net worth | Other income |
Operating Expenses | Investments |
Fixed assets |
Variable | Obs | Mean | Std. Dev. | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Priority sector loans | 427 | −1.009 | 0.292 | −2.831 | −0.004 |
Term loans | 427 | −0.588 | 0.289 | −2.007 | 0.003 |
Secured loans | 427 | −0.183 | 0.183 | −2.139 | 0.007 |
Working capital loans | 427 | −1.013 | 0.553 | −4.986 | −0.206 |
Variable | Obs | Test Statistic | p Value |
---|---|---|---|
Priority sector loan to total loans | 50 | 1.6743 | 0.0470 |
Working capital loan to total loans | 50 | 5.5372 | 0.0000 |
Secured loans to total loans | 50 | −0.4820 | 0.6851 |
Term loan to total loans | 50 | 12.1599 | 0.0000 |
Statistic | p-Value | |
---|---|---|
Modified Dickey–Fuller test | −1.7801 | 0.0375 |
Dickey–Fuller test | −5.5606 | 0.0000 |
Augmented Dickey–Fuller test | −1.4638 | 0.0716 |
Unadjusted modified Dickey–Fuller test | −6.1030 | 0.0000 |
Unadjusted Dickey–Fuller test | −7.8572 | 0.0000 |
Statistics | Value |
---|---|
Chi-square | 2.4 × 109 |
Degrees | 50 |
Pr > ChiSq | <0.0001 |
Variables | Coefficients | Sig. |
---|---|---|
Constant | −0.1625 | 0.001 |
Term loans | −0.1092 | 0.034 |
Priority sector loans | −0.0311 | 0.172 |
Secured loans | 0.046 | 0.361 |
Working capital loans | −0.056 | 0.096 |
Variables | Coefficients | Sig. |
---|---|---|
Constant | 0.0624266 | 0.350 |
Term loans | 0.2196623 | 0.036 |
Priority sector loans | −0.0454201 | 0.000 |
Secured loans | −0.0520763 | 0.181 |
Working capital loans | 0.0604249 | 0.035 |
Variables | Coefficients | Sig. |
---|---|---|
Constant | −0.0392795 | 0.279 |
Term loans | −0.0245703 | 0.308 |
Priority sector loans | 0.0429099 | 0.253 |
Secured loans | 0.1524177 | 0.250 |
Working capital loans | −0.0437002 | 0.060 |
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Venugopal, S.K. Loan Portfolio Management and Bank Efficiency: A Comparative Analysis of Public, Old Private, and New Private Sector Banks in India. Economies 2024, 12, 81. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies12040081
Venugopal SK. Loan Portfolio Management and Bank Efficiency: A Comparative Analysis of Public, Old Private, and New Private Sector Banks in India. Economies. 2024; 12(4):81. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies12040081
Chicago/Turabian StyleVenugopal, Santhosh Kumar. 2024. "Loan Portfolio Management and Bank Efficiency: A Comparative Analysis of Public, Old Private, and New Private Sector Banks in India" Economies 12, no. 4: 81. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies12040081
APA StyleVenugopal, S. K. (2024). Loan Portfolio Management and Bank Efficiency: A Comparative Analysis of Public, Old Private, and New Private Sector Banks in India. Economies, 12(4), 81. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies12040081