Dealing with Carbon Risk and the Cost of Debt: Evidence from the European Market
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Data and Methodology
3. Results and Discussion
4. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A. Robustness Checks
Dependent Variable KD | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | |||||||||||
Carbon | 0.1559 | *** | 0.1684 | *** | 0.1303 | *** | 0.1532 | *** | 0.0588 | *** | 0.0990 | *** | 0.1100 | *** | 0.1697 | *** | 0.1492 | *** | 0.1587 | *** |
(0.0299) | (0.0323) | (0.0300) | (0.0313) | (0.0122) | (0.0327) | (0.0330) | (0.0299) | (0.0299) | (0.0305) | |||||||||||
Size | −0.1044 | *** | −0.0747 | *** | −0.0916 | *** | −0.0504 | *** | −0.1058 | *** | −0.1036 | *** | −0.458 | *** | −0.0858 | *** | −0.0988 | *** | 0.1142 | *** |
(0.0159) | (0.0169) | (0.0159) | (0.0163) | (0.0159) | (0.0164) | (0.0139) | (0.0141) | (0.0159) | (0.0163) | |||||||||||
Profitability | −0.0119 | *** | −0.0082 | *** | −0.0073 | *** | −0.0055 | *** | −0.0119 | *** | −0.0110 | *** | −0.0143 | *** | −0.0155 | *** | −1.4623 | *** | 0.014 | *** |
(0.0002) | (0.0017) | (0.0022) | (0.0016) | (0.0025) | (0.0026) | (0.0025) | (0.0024) | (0.2123) | (0.0024) | |||||||||||
Leverage | 0.0133 | *** | 0.0167 | *** | 0.0123 | *** | 0.0139 | *** | 0.0132 | *** | 0.0161 | *** | 0.0170 | *** | 0.0135 | *** | 0.0134 | *** | 0.0001 | |
(0.0011) | (0.0012) | (0.0011) | (0.0011) | (0.0011) | (0.0012) | (0.0012) | (0.0010) | (0.0011) | (0.0000) | |||||||||||
within estimators | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | ||||||||||
pooling estimators | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | ||||||||||
fixed effect | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | ||||||||||
time effect | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | ||||||||||
country effect | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | ||||||||||
industry effect | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | ||||||||||
F-Stat | 74.281 | *** | 80.645 | *** | 56.324 | *** | 57.104 | *** | 72.464 | *** | 72.993 | *** | 66.436 | *** | 73.159 | *** | 80.486 | *** | 35.264 | *** |
Adj. R-Sq. | 0.0729 | 0.076 | 0.055 | 0.054 | 0.0741 | 0.0759 | 0.0717 | 0.0714 | 0.0784 | 0.0374 | ||||||||||
(11) | (12) | (13) | (14) | (15) | (16) | (17) | (18) | (19) | (20) | |||||||||||
Carbon | 0.1632 | *** | 0.1661 | *** | 0.1383 | *** | 0.1538 | *** | 0.1520 | *** | 0.1289 | *** | 0.1337 | *** | 0.2213 | *** | 0.2004 | *** | 0.1151 | *** |
(0.0308) | (0.0306) | (0.0303) | (0.0299) | (0.0298) | (0.0303) | (0.0303) | (0.0331) | (0.0377) | (0.0267) | |||||||||||
Size | −0.0311 | * | 0.0947 | *** | −0.1527 | *** | −0.0985 | *** | −0.1061 | *** | −0.1562 | *** | −0.1516 | *** | −0.0968 | *** | −0.1506 | *** | −0.0284 | *** |
(0.0146) | (0.0143) | (0.0237) | (0.0160) | (0.0159) | (0.0239) | (0.0237) | (0.0177) | (0.0198) | (0.0141) | |||||||||||
Profitability | −1.9290 | *** | 2.0410 | *** | −0.0098 | *** | −0.0128 | *** | −0.0119 | *** | −0.0103 | *** | −0.0106 | *** | −0.0052 | * | −0.0019 | *** | −0.0151 | *** |
(0.2173) | (0.2170) | (0.0026) | (0.0025) | (0.0025) | (0.0026) | (0.0026) | (0.0027) | (0.0030) | (0.0021) | |||||||||||
Leverage | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0126 | *** | 0.0141 | *** | 0.0133 | *** | 0.0132 | *** | 0.0133 | *** | 0.0093 | *** | 0.0125 | *** | 0.0107 | *** | ||
(0.0000) | (0.0000) | (0.0011) | (0.0040) | (0.0011) | (0.0011) | (0.0011) | (0.0012) | (0.0013 | (0.0009) | |||||||||||
Ln_CAPEX | 0.0456 | *** | 0.0531 | *** | 0.0509 | *** | ||||||||||||||
(0.0170) | (0.0172) | (0.0171) | ||||||||||||||||||
Current ratio | 0.0520 | *** | 0.0564 | *** | 0.0577 | *** | ||||||||||||||
(0.0193) | (0.0192) | (0.0191) | ||||||||||||||||||
MTBV | 0.0001 | 0.0030 | ||||||||||||||||||
(0.0008) | (0.0008) | |||||||||||||||||||
within estimators | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | N | N | N | ||||||||||
pooling estimators | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | Y | Y | Y | ||||||||||
fixed effect | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | N | N | N | ||||||||||
time effect | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | Y | N | N | Y | ||||||||||
country effect | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | Y | N | Y | ||||||||||
industry effect | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | Y | Y | ||||||||||
F-Stat | 30.072 | *** | 41.089 | *** | 62.963 | *** | 60.9717 | *** | 59.208 | *** | 46.249 | *** | 54.098 | *** | 45.099 | *** | 22.383 | *** | 108.381 | *** |
Adj. R-Sq. | 0.2904 | 0.0432 | 0.0769 | 0.0744 | 0.0756 | 0.0790 | 0.0789 | 0.2667 | 0.0711 | 0.5701 |
References
- Anderson, Ronald C., Sattar A. Mansi, and David M. Reeb. 2003. Founding family ownership and the agency cost of debt. Journal of Financial Economics 68: 263–85. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Armstrong, Christopher S., Wayne R. Guay, and Joseph P. Weber. 2010. The role of information and financial reporting in corporate governance and debt contracting. Journal of Accounting and Economics 50: 179–234. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Berk, Jonathan B., and Peter M. DeMarzo. 2017. Corporate Finance, 4th ed. Harlow: Pearson. [Google Scholar]
- Bolton, Patrick, and Marcin Kacperczyk. 2020. Do investors care about carbon risk? NBER Working Paper Series, 26968. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Brealey, Richard A., Stewart C. Myers, and Franklin Allen. 2020. Principles of Corporate Finance, 13th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill. [Google Scholar]
- Chapple, Larelle, Peter M. Clarkson, and Daniel L. Gold. 2013. Capital Market Effects of the Proposed Emission Trading Scheme. Abacus 49: 1–33. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chava, Sudheer. 2014. Environmental externalities and cost of capital. Management Science 60: 2223–47. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Connors, Elizabeth, Holly H. Johnston, and Lucia S. Gao. 2013. The informational value of Toxics Release Inventory performance. Sustainability Accounting, Management and Policy Journal 4: 32–55. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Delis, Manthos D., Kathrin de Greiff, and Steven Ongena. 2019. Being Stranded with Fossil Fuel Reserves? Climate Policy Risk and the Pricing of Bank Loans. Swiss Finance Institute Paper Series, 10–18. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Donadelli, Michael, Patrick Grüning, and Steffen Hitzemann. 2019. Understanding Macro and Asset Price Dynamics during the Climate Transition. Lieutuvus Bankas Discussion Paper Series 18: 1–62. [Google Scholar]
- Dowell, Glen, Stuart Hart, and Bernard Yeung. 2000. Do Corporate Global Environmental Standards Create or Destroy Market Value? Management Science 46: 1059–74. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ettredge, Mike, Karla Johnstone, Mary Stone, and Qian Wang. 2011. The effects of firm size, corporate governance quality, and bad news on disclosure compliance. Review of Accounting Studies 16: 866–89. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French. 1992. The cross section of expected returns. The Journal of Finance 47: 427–65. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French. 1993. Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds. Journal of Financial Economics 33: 3–56. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hart, Stuart L., and Gautam Ahuja. 1996. Does it Pay to be Green? An Empirical Examination of the Relationship between Emission Reduction and Firm Performance. Business Strategy and the Environment 5: 30–37. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hoffmann, Volker. H., and Timo Busch. 2008. Corporate carbon performance indicators: Carbon intensity, dependency, exposure, and risk. Journal of Industrial Ecology 12: 505–520. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Jacobs, Brian W., Vinod R. Singhal, and Ravi Subramanian. 2010. An empirical investigation of environmental performance and the market value of the firm. Journal of Operations Management 28: 430–41. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Jiang, Guohua, Charles M. C. Lee, and Yi Zhang. 2005. Information uncertainty and expected returns. Review of Accounting Studies 10: 185–221. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Jung, Juhyun, Kathleen Herbohn, and Peter Clarkson. 2018. Carbon Risk, Carbon Risk Awareness and the Cost of Debt Financing. Journal of Business Ethics 150: 1151–71. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kelly, Scott, Jaclyn Z. Yeo, Andrew Coburn, Jennifer Copic, Doug Crawford-Brown, Aideen Foley, Eugen Neduv, Danny Ralph, and Farzad Saidi. 2015. Unhedgeable Risk: How Climate Change Sentiment Impacts Investors. Cambridge: University of Cambridge. [Google Scholar]
- Kim, Yeon-Bok, Hyoung Tae An, and Jong Dae Kim. 2015. The effect of carbon risk on the cost of equity capital. Journal of Cleaner Production 93: 279–87. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- King, Andrew A., and Michael J. Lenox. 2001. Does It Really Pay to Be Green? An Empirical Study of Firm Environmental and Financial Performance. Journal of Industrial Ecology 50: 105–16. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Klassen, Robert D., and Curtis P. McLaughlin. 1996. The impact of Environmental Management on Firm Performance. Management Science 42: 1199–214. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Konar, Shameek, and Mark A. Cohen. 2001. Does the market value environmental performance? The Review of Economics and Statistics 83: 281–89. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kumar, Praveen, and Mohammad Firoz. 2018. Impact of carbon emissions on cost of debt-evidence from India. Managerial Finance 44: 1401–17. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Labatt, Sonia, and Rodney R. White. 2007. Carbon Finance: The Financial Implications of Climate Change. Hoboken: Wiley. [Google Scholar]
- Li, Yongqing, Ian Eddie, and Jinghui Liu. 2014. Carbon emissions and the cost of capital: Australian evidence. Review of Accounting and Finance 13: 400–20. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lorca, Carmen, Juan Pedro Sánchez-Ballesta, and Emma García-Meca. 2011. Board effectiveness and cost of debt. Journal of Business Ethics 100: 613–31. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Maaloul, Anis. 2018. The effect of greenhouse gas emissions on cost of debt: Evidence from Canadian firms. Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management 25: 1407–15. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Mahapatra, Sitikantha. 1984. Investor reaction to a corporate social accounting. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting 11: 29–40. [Google Scholar]
- Mishra, Ashok, Christine Wilson, and Robert Williams. 2009. Factors affecting financial performance of new and beginning farmers. Agricultural Finance Review 69: 160–79. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Modigliani, Franco, and Merton H. Miller. 1958. The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment. The American Economic Review 48: 261–97. [Google Scholar]
- Park, Jeong Hwan, and Jung Hee Noh. 2018. Relationship between Climate Change Risk and Cost of Capital. Global Business & Finance Review 23: 66–81. [Google Scholar]
- Pogutz, Stefano, and Angeloantonio Russo. 2009. Eco-efficiency vs. Eco-effectiveness. Exploring the Link between GHG Emissions and Firm Performance. Academy of Management Annual Conference Best Paper Proceedings. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Romilly, Peter. 2007. Business and climate change risk: A regional time series analysis. Journal of International Business Studies 38: 474–80. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Russo, Michael V., and Paul A. Fouts. 1997. A Resource-Based Perspective on Corporate Environmental Performance and Profitability. Academy of Management Journal 40: 534–59. [Google Scholar]
- Sharfman, Mark P., and Chitru S. Fernando. 2008. Environmental risk management and the cost of capital. Strategic Management Journal 29: 569–92. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Subramaniam, Nava, Dina Wahyuni, Barry J. Cooper, Philomena Leung, and Graeme Wines. 2015. Integration of carbon risks and opportunities in enterprise risk management systems: Evidence from Australian firms. Journal of Cleaner Production 96: 407–17. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- United Nations Environment Programme. 2019. Emissions Gap Report 2019. Nairobi: UNEP. [Google Scholar]
- Wellington, Fred, and Amanda Sauer. 2005. Framing Climate Risk in Portfolio Management. Washington, DC: World Resource Institute. [Google Scholar]
- Zhou, Zhifang, Tao Zhang, Kang Wen, Huixiang Zeng, and Xiaohong Chen. 2018. Carbon risk, cost of debt financing and the moderation effect of media attention: Evidence from Chinese companies operating in high-carbon industries. Business Strategy and the Environment 27: 1131–44. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
Panel (a) Cost of debt, % | |||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | ‘10–‘17 | |
Mean | 2.96 | 3.03 | 2.15 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.21 | 0.91 | 0.99 | 1.86 |
Median | 2.83 | 2.78 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.61 | 0.92 | 0.61 | 0.69 | 1.58 |
SD | 1.34 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.21 | 1.17 | 1.14 | 1.42 | 1.21 | 1.57 |
Min | 0.33 | 0.42 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.00 | −0.61 | −0.17 | −0.61 |
Max | 13.69 | 14.04 | 17.88 | 10.63 | 12.05 | 12.05 | 19.24 | 14.57 | 19.24 |
Panel (b) Total CO2 equivalents emissions, Ktons | |||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | ‘10–‘17 | |
Mean | 6517.72 | 6471.56 | 5993.38 | 5279.72 | 4871.83 | 4516.04 | 4538.82 | 4622.07 | 5289.83 |
Median | 329.68 | 379.19 | 346.57 | 289.00 | 248.90 | 238.87 | 244.63 | 245.62 | 273.41 |
SD | 20,352.99 | 20,454.98 | 20,085.01 | 17,811.79 | 17,557.67 | 16,668.57 | 17,024.06 | 16,540.67 | 18,279.38 |
Min | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 0.11 | 0.24 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
Max | 184,825 | 179,930 | 183,600 | 190,000 | 191,000 | 192,000 | 190,000 | 194,000 | 194,000 |
Panel (c) Market value monthly average, M€ | |||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | ‘10–‘17 | |
Mean | 8957.72 | 9521.52 | 9544.43 | 10,663.66 | 11,645.45 | 13,003.66 | 12,248.02 | 13,554.54 | 11,203.37 |
Median | 3135.03 | 3535.72 | 3535.07 | 4139.85 | 4512.50 | 5128.70 | 5149.30 | 5840.21 | 4384.37 |
SD | 16,019.04 | 16,647.67 | 17,455.45 | 19,173.39 | 20,873.50 | 23,719.71 | 21,941.59 | 23,381.00 | 20,270.20 |
Min | 28.11 | 27.12 | 15.22 | 4.45 | 1.04 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
Max | 134,802.26 | 145,983.03 | 154,920.71 | 167,632.26 | 181,991.60 | 234,662.53 | 213,075.74 | 222,870.27 | 234,662.53 |
Panel (d) Return on Asset (ROA), % | |||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | ‘10–‘17 | |
Mean | 8.01 | 7.75 | 6.93 | 6.53 | 6.78 | 5.72 | 6.14 | 6.73 | 6.82 |
Median | 6.26 | 6.43 | 6.04 | 5.63 | 5.41 | 5.14 | 5.40 | 5.99 | 5.79 |
SD | 8.20 | 9.44 | 11.94 | 13.46 | 14.12 | 14.37 | 14.10 | 22.89 | 14.13 |
Min | −12.37 | −47.21 | −32.80 | −70.42 | −53.22 | −90.85 | −57.36 | −417.73 | −417.73 |
Max | 122.08 | 109.51 | 175.04 | 234.42 | 269.11 | 266.67 | 267.24 | 241.29 | 269.11 |
Panel (e) Total Debt on Total Asset, % | |||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | ‘10–‘17 | |
Mean | 25.18 | 25.12 | 26.13 | 26.25 | 26.43 | 26.66 | 26.31 | 25.69 | 25.97 |
Median | 23.05 | 23.48 | 24.23 | 24.79 | 24.44 | 25.10 | 24.31 | 23.76 | 24.23 |
SD | 18.74 | 18.61 | 20.67 | 20.60 | 21.16 | 18.93 | 18.45 | 17.19 | 19.36 |
Min | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Max | 239.50 | 230.61 | 249.85 | 225.50 | 269.79 | 172.69 | 166.61 | 156.10 | 269.79 |
Panel (f) Sample composition by size | |||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | ||
Less than 1000 M€ | 13.92% | 10.85% | 10.92% | 6.74% | 5.06% | 5.94% | 7.83% | 6.98% | |
1000 to 5000 M€ | 47.20% | 48.75% | 50.70% | 49.57% | 48.74% | 43.40% | 40.62% | 37.34% | |
5001 to 10,000 M€ | 18.63% | 17.79% | 16.20% | 19.69% | 20.24% | 20.46% | 23.65% | 23.86% | |
More than 10,000 M€ | 20.25% | 22.60% | 22.18% | 24.01% | 25.97% | 30.20% | 27.90% | 31.82% | |
Total | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | |
Panel (g) Sample composition by Total CO2 equivalents emissions | |||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | ||
<than 100 Ktons | 25.66% | 26.13% | 28.82% | 30.61% | 33.99% | 33.53% | 34.09% | 34.05% | |
101 to 1000 Ktons | 38.37% | 37.84% | 37.12% | 36.69% | 36.15% | 37.96% | 37.50% | 35.99% | |
1001 to 10,000 Ktons | 23.02% | 23.20% | 22.27% | 22.64% | 19.84% | 19.08% | 19.32% | 20.62% | |
>than 10,000 Ktons | 12.95% | 12.84% | 11.79% | 10.27% | 10.22% | 9.44% | 9.09% | 9.34% | |
Total | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
Dependent Variable KD | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coeff. | Std. Error | T-Value | p-Value | ||
Carbon | 0.1559 | 0.0299 | 5.2182 | 1.91 × 10−7 | |
Size | −0.1044 | 0.0159 | −6.5883 | 5.09 × 10−11 | |
Profitability | −0.0119 | 0.0002 | −4.8614 | 1.22 × 10−6 | |
Leverage | 0.0133 | 0.0011 | 12.2722 | <2.20 × 10−16 | |
Residuals: | Min | 1st Quarter | Median | 3rd Quarter | Max |
−2.871 | −0.573 | −0.152 | 0.375 | 12.89 | |
F-Stat | 74.281 | p-Value | <2.20 × 10−16 | ||
Adj. R-Sq. | 0.0729 | ||||
R-Squared | 0.0757 | ||||
Tot. Sum of Squares | 5174.7 | ||||
Res. Sum of Squares | 4783.1 |
© 2020 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Pizzutilo, F.; Mariani, M.; Caragnano, A.; Zito, M. Dealing with Carbon Risk and the Cost of Debt: Evidence from the European Market. Int. J. Financial Stud. 2020, 8, 61. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs8040061
Pizzutilo F, Mariani M, Caragnano A, Zito M. Dealing with Carbon Risk and the Cost of Debt: Evidence from the European Market. International Journal of Financial Studies. 2020; 8(4):61. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs8040061
Chicago/Turabian StylePizzutilo, Fabio, Massimo Mariani, Alessandra Caragnano, and Marianna Zito. 2020. "Dealing with Carbon Risk and the Cost of Debt: Evidence from the European Market" International Journal of Financial Studies 8, no. 4: 61. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs8040061
APA StylePizzutilo, F., Mariani, M., Caragnano, A., & Zito, M. (2020). Dealing with Carbon Risk and the Cost of Debt: Evidence from the European Market. International Journal of Financial Studies, 8(4), 61. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs8040061