This section will describe in detail the view of solar and geomagnetic conditions for the period 9–12 October 2024, in which the studied geomagnetic storm occurs. Based on the global TEC maps, the spatial distribution of the ionospheric response is studied in detail, with the main emphasis placed on the effects in the low and equatorial ionosphere.
Solar and Geomagnetic Conditions
The geomagnetic storm recorded on 10–11 October 2024 was caused by a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) that erupted from the sun during the evening on 8 October 2024. (For more information, see the following link:
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g4-severe-storm-watch-10-11-october, accessed on 28 August 2025). The speed of the solar wind recorded by DSCOVR and ACE satellites was 1200 to 1300 km/s.
The choice of parameters to describe the manifestation of geomagnetic storm is related to the interaction of the Earth’s geomagnetic field and all components—this determines the strength of the coupling [
14,
15].
The other types of parameters that are included in the analysis are the Power Index, Kp index and Dst index, which are essential in investigating the variability of geomagnetic activity [
16].
The use of the planetary Kp index is related to tracking subauroral geomagnetic storms on a global scale. The Kp index is defined as a quasi-logarithmic measure from magnetic field measurements at 13 geomagnetic observatories at subauroral latitudes. The time interval is three hours, and the quantity scale is from 0 to 9. The physical processes that explain the variations in the Kp index are geomagnetic pulsations, bays or substorms, sudden commencements, geomagnetic storms and other anomalies, resulting from variations in the ring-current, magnetospheric and ionospheric currents [
17,
18,
19].
The Dst index is derived from low-latitude ground-based observations of deviations in the H-component of the Earth’s geomagnetic field [
20,
21]. The Dst index characterizes the magnetic perturbation near the equator from currents flowing above the ionosphere. As such, it is adjusted for the Sq dayside ionospheric current system and for the secular variation due to changes in the internal magnetic field of the Earth [
22]. The result of enhanced solar wind–magnetosphere interaction and the significant energization in the magnetosphere-ionosphere system under geomagnetic storm conditions are the main physical mechanisms associated with variations in the so-called ring current [
23].
Detailed information about the variations in the solar and geomagnetic indices is shown in
Figure 1. The illustrated parameters Bx, By and the Bz component of IMF (
Figure 1a); solar wind speed (
Figure 1b), the Kp index (
Figure 1c), the Dst index (
Figure 1d) and the Power Index (
Figure 1e) allow an analysis of the type of geomagnetic event according to the accepted classifications.
From
Figure 1a, it can be seen that the Bz component is orientated southward and as a result connects with Earth’s magnetosphere in the hours after 16 UT on 10 October. The most significant negative value of the Bz component of the IMF is in the hours shortly before midnight on October 11 (Bz is about −40 nT/−50 nT). After this moment, the so-called recovery phase begins. The index reaches quiet conditions in the hours around 10 UT on 11 October, when the Bz component shows positive values. The speed of the solar wind (see
Figure 1b) sharply increases (almost doubles) simultaneously with the orientation of the Bz to the south.
According to the displayed behavior of the Kp index for the period 9–12 October 2024, the beginning of the considered event occurs at around 16 UT, when the value of the index rises sharply to around Kp = 7.66. The maximum value of the Kp index is 8.66 in the hours from about 20 UT on 10 October 2024 to midnight on 11 October 2024. According to the behavior of the Kp index, as shown in
Figure 1c, it can be seen that the duration of the geomagnetic storm is one day (from about 16 UT on 10 October to 16 UT on 11 October 2024). Based on the accepted classification of this index, the geomagnetic storm under consideration is classified as “Severe” (G4) (see the following link:
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation, accessed on 28 August 2025).
The manifestation of the other geomagnetic parameter Dst index is illustrated in
Figure 1d. According to its behavior in the hours after 16 UT on 10 October, a sharp decrease in the Dst index values was observed, reaching around −350 nT in the hours shortly after midnight on 11 October (maximum of the considered storm). Through the accepted classification of the Dst index, the geomagnetic storm under consideration is defined as a Severe Storm (Dst values are between −200 nT and −350 nT) [
14]. The interesting thing about the figure for this index is that it does not succeed in illustrating quiet conditions even in the next few days.
The power entering the auroral ovals, as indicated by the Power Index (
Figure 1e), starts to increase around 14 UT on 10 October and reaches a maximum of around 700 GW in the hours around 00 UT on 11 October, then drops to quiet conditions around 15 UT on 11 October.
From the behavior of the parameters shown in
Figure 1, it can be seen that the duration of the storm is about one day. The rising and falling phases are of relatively equal duration, which can be used to estimate the delay of the ionospheric responses. An advantage of the storm in question is that it occurs on days close to the autumnal equinox. The statistical study of Mukhtarov, Bojilova, 2025 [
24], shows that geomagnetic disturbances in the ionosphere in the equinoctial months are relatively symmetrical with respect to both Earth hemispheres. It turns out that the transition from summer to winter meridional circulation suppresses the penetration of heated air from the auroral regions to mid and low latitudes. It also reduces the influence of changes in the O/N
2 ratio on the effects caused by disturbed dynamo, which are the subject of the present study.
Figure 2 shows the variability of the monthly medians for October of TEC as a function of modip latitude and local time. These values characterize the diurnal course of TEC in quiet conditions for the month under consideration. The relative TEC values used in this work were obtained as the deviations of the measured TEC during the storm relative to them.
According to the EIA theory, the splitting of the TEC maximum around the magnetic equator is due to an ExB vertical plasma drift directed upwards, which is caused by eastward-directed currents in the ionospheric region E induced by the neutral zonal wind [
25]. For the month chosen in this investigation, namely October 2024, the splitting of the maximum becomes noticeable around 14 LT, reaches a maximum around 21 LT and disappears around 04 LT (see
Figure 2). The values of average quiet day vertical drift based on Jicamarca data presented in Fejer et al., 1983 [
26], show an almost sinusoidal dependence with a positive maximum around 12 LT.
Negative values of the equatorial vertical drift, at which the “fountain effect” cannot be expected, occur between 18 LT and 06 LT. In the specific month of October 2024, the EIA is out of phase with the equatorial vertical drift, which can be explained by the delay caused by the time required for plasma transport from low to mid-latitudes along the Earth’s magnetic field lines.
Figure 3 shows the global distribution of TEC at specific hours (between 10 UT–18 UT) for the days 10 and 11 October of the studied geomagnetic storm. The maps referring to 10 UT and 12 UT on 10 October illustrate the quiet conditions of the ionosphere and coincide with the medians presented in
Figure 2. At 18 UT on 10 October, an increase in the TEC at lengths of 90 °W (12 LT) and a deepening of the splitting were observed, which could be interpreted as a consequence of the strengthening of the “fountain effect”. At longitudes 60 °E (22 LT), a decrease in TEC is observed. On October 11 at 10 UT, the longitudinal (and local time) distribution of TEC differs significantly from that under quiet conditions. At longitudes around 120 °W (02 LT, night conditions), both an increase in TEC and an expansion of the split region are observed, which can be interpreted as an increase in vertical drift and the “fountain effect”. The opposite is observed in daytime conditions (60 °E, 14 UT) with a decrease in TEC and disappearance of the splitting around the magnetic equator. The difference between 10 and 11 October is particularly strong at 12 UT.
The longitudinal distribution of the storm-induced vertical drift differs significantly from that of the vertical drift under quiet conditions. A second maximum of the TEC appears between 14 UT and 18 UT on 11 October, but without a bifurcation in conditions around sunset (around 18 LT).
The longitudinal distribution of TEC can be described quite well as the sum of the zonal mean value and a cosine with a spatial period of one full angle (360°). The decomposition of ionospheric quantities (including TEC) into zonal mean values and sinusoidal longitudinal distributions (stationary and migrating) is widely used in empirical modeling of ionospheric characteristics.
Figure 4a shows the behavior of the zonal mean value, the amplitude of the cosine (see
Figure 4b) and the phase expressed in local time (see
Figure 4c), which determines the positive maximum of the cosine.
During the geomagnetic storm, the zonal mean TEC did not change considerably, but in the hours around 00 UT on October 11 (around the maximum of the storm), an increase in and expansion of the split of the positive response to ±30 was observed. The amplitude, shown in
Figure 4b, varies widely. After an increase in the second half on 10 October, a strong decrease occurred, registered around 12 UT on 11 October. This result illustrates the particular longitudinal distribution of TEC shown in
Figure 3 during those hours when the storm intensity drops almost close to quiet conditions. The phase of the cosine wave remains almost the same as under quiet conditions (around 14 LT–16 LT) until the middle of the day on 11 October when a sharp shift towards the night hours is observed (see
Figure 4c).
From the analysis of the TEC data, it is found that the storm-induced vertical drift and fountain effect differs greatly in geographical longitude and local time from that under quiet conditions. The conversion of measured (raw) TEC data into relative to quiet conditions TEC can contribute to determining the spatial distribution and temporal evolution of the disturbed vertical drift and “fountain effect”.
As described in Mukhtarov et al., 2018 [
27], the relative TEC calculation procedure effectively filters out all components of the quiet diurnal cycle, including the quiet equatorial drift. It follows that the values of the relative deviation and their spatial and temporal distribution qualitatively represent the spatial and temporal distribution of the disturbed vertical drift and “fountain effect”. To eliminate the effects associated with the thermal impact of the storm on recombination through the O/N
2 ratio, the zonal mean values of relative TEC were subtracted from the relative TEC values. Zonal mean relative TEC is illustrated in
Figure 5.
The figure below shows that in the low-latitude region (30 °N–30 °S), a weak negative response was observed in the second half of the day on 11 October, i.e., after the storm ended in the recovery phase. A strong negative response during the geomagnetic storm is observed only at high latitudes, which is a characteristic feature of the season.
The spatial distribution maps of the relative TEC shown in
Figure 6 and
Figure 7 illustrate the peculiarities of disturbed dynamo effects during the considered geomagnetic storm.
Figure 6 presents the spatial distribution of the ionospheric response for the period 11 October at 08:00 UT–12 October at 02:00 UT. Two symmetrically located positive responses relative to the magnetic equator appear around 16 UT on 10 October at longitudes of about 60 °W, which corresponds to 12 LT. Until 06 UT on 11 October, these responses slowly shift westward to about 90°W, therefore moving from daytime conditions to the nighttime region, which is also observed in
Figure 3. The symmetrical distribution relative to the magnetic equator gives reason to interpret this response as a disturbed “fountain effect”.
An interesting result, which can be seen from
Figure 6, is related to the appearance of an area with a positive ionospheric TEC response between the negative responses, located on the magnetic equator (in the time interval 16 UT–20 UT) around the zero meridian, which at these hours passes from daytime to nighttime conditions. The negative response reaches its maximum at 20 UT on 11 October and gradually decreases until 02 UT on 12 October without moving noticeably.
A similar representation of the spatial distribution of the ionospheric response is shown in
Figure 7. In this particular example, the period 11 October at 08:00 UT–12 October at 02:00 UT is covered. The figure below shows that the positive anomaly of ±30° is formed in the night sector and is more significant in the northern hemisphere. TEC reaches maximum values around 12 UT–14 UT on 11 October. Along with the positive response, two pairs of areas are formed at the same modip latitudes, but one negative pair of responses occurs in daytime conditions, while the other occurs in night conditions. One of the pairs is located in the area of local noon, and the other pair is in the eastern hemisphere in the hours after sunset. The negative nature of the response can be interpreted as a consequence of negative drift caused by downward directed electric fields.
Additional visualization of the longitudinal and local time dependence of disturbed EIA during the considered geomagnetic storm is presented in the maps in
Figure 8. This map shows the behavior of the relative TEC at modip latitudes 40 °N (a, b), equator (c, d) and 40 °S (e, f) depending on longitude and depending on local time from 12 UT on 10 October to 12 UT on 12 October. An area of positive response at both mid-latitudes appears at the beginning of the storm. A noticeable increase was observed during the night on 10 October and throughout the entire 11 October. The positive response is localized around 90 °W at the beginning of the day on 11 October and shifting to 180°W by the end of the day. An area with a negative response is observed at eastern longitudes with a corresponding slow westward shift. The longitudinal structure of the TEC response has a clearly pronounced “zonal wave with wave number 1” character. The slope of the zero value lines, especially on the right column of maps (dependence on local time) clearly shows that the movement of this “wave” from east to west has a phase velocity significantly smaller than the Earth’s rotation speed, which means that the time evolution of disturbed EIA cannot be represented only as a function of local time.
Figure 9 presents the relative TEC approximated by a zonally distributed cosine with a spatial period of 360°. The appropriateness of such a representation follows from
Figure 8. The maps show the Earth’s hemisphere from 180 °W to 180 °E. The central meridian of the maps is 90 °W. Positive responses, which can be associated with a disturbed “fountain effect”, are observed at modip latitudes around 50° and gradually migrate to modip latitudes of 30°. The westward shift of positive responses is much slower than the Earth’s rotation. In almost a day, the response migrates from about 60 °W to about 180 °W, i.e., with a speed about three times slower than the Earth’s rotation speed.
Figure 10a presents the amplitudes of the approximating cosine for all latitudes during the studied geomagnetic storm.
Figure 10b demonstrates the behavior of the phases expressed in geographic degrees.
Figure 10c illustrates the behavior of the phases expressed in local time. As can be seen from the figure, at the beginning of the storm, the amplitude of the two modip latitudes around 45 °N and 45 °S increases after 16 UT at a phase around 0° (local time around noon). After a certain attenuation, the amplitude increases significantly, especially in the northern hemisphere, and reaches a maximum around 14 UT on October 11 (at local time around 04 LT–06 LT). At this time, the energy entering the auroral regions from particle precipitation decreases to that under quiet conditions (see
Figure 1d). By the end of the day on October 11, the amplitude decreases to low values, and the phase smoothly reaches about 180 °W.
Fejer et al., 2008 [
28], in their work, show the generalized dependence of equatorial disturbance dynamo vertical plasma drifts during equinox on satellite data. The authors’ results show a significant local time dependence at all seasons of prompt penetration vertical drifts, which are directed upward during the day and downward at night. Another effect analyzed by the authors’ team is related to the fact that during equinox, the downward disturbance dynamo drifts near sunset are largest in the eastern hemisphere, while the late night upward drifts are largest in the western hemisphere.
As shown in
Figure 3 of this investigation, positive values of vertical drift are observed between 21 LT and 06 LT, and negative values are observed between 17 LT and 21 LT. During the rest of the day, the values of the vertical drift are positive, but very small. The response of the ionospheric TEC during the storm under consideration differs significantly from the local time dependence.
For comparison with the results of the storm considered above (October 2024),
Figure 11 shows analogous representations for the geomagnetic disturbance during 24–25 September 1998. The results obtained for this storm can be compared with the main storm subject of this research for the following reasons: (a) it has practically the same intensity (Kp = 8.33—See
Figure 11a); (b) it has the same duration (about one day); and (c) this disturbance also develops during equinox conditions. The behavior of the zonal amplitude presented in
Figure 11b is very similar to that of the considered storm in October 2024. The maxima of modip latitudes ±30° are observed around 12 UT–14 UT on 25 September, shortly before the end of the storm. However, the phase progression presented in
Figure 11c is different from the main event in October 2024. In the early hours of September 24, the phase is around zero (respectively 360°, eastern longitudes are presented on the map). The phase shifts westward to about 120° in the northern hemisphere and to about 140° in the southern hemisphere. The maxima have phases of about 180°, which means local time around midnight. Despite the noted differences, in this case too, a movement of disturbed EIA in a westerly direction is observed with a phase speed significantly smaller than the Earth’s rotation speed.
In their investigations, the authors Scherliess, L., Fejer, B. G., 1997 [
29], and Abdu et al., 2006 [
30], noted the presence of a delay between the auroral indices and the vertical drift measured around the equator. The values of the delay obtained based on correlation and regression analysis are from 1 to 12 h. A delay varying in such wide limits (half a day) confirms the results obtained in the present study.