A Consumer Digital Twin for Energy Demand Prediction: Development and Implementation Under the SENDER Project (HORIZON 2020)

This paper presents the development and implementation of a consumer Digital Twin (DT) for energy demand prediction under the SENDER (Sustainable Consumer Engagement and Demand Response) project, funded by HORIZON 2020. This project aims to engage consumers in the energy sector with innovative energy service applications to achieve proactive Demand Response (DR) and optimized usage of Renewable Energy Sources (RES). The proposed DT model is designed to digitally represent occupant behaviors and energy consumption patterns using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), which enable continuous learning by processing real-time and historical data in different pilot sites and seasons. The DT development incorporates the International Energy Agency (IEA)—Energy in Buildings and Communities (EBC) Annex 66 and Drivers-Needs-Actions-Systems (DNAS) framework to standardize occupant behavior modeling. The research methodology consists of the following steps: (i) a mock-up simulation environment for three pilot sites was created, (ii) the DT was trained and calibrated using the artificial data from the previous step, and (iii) the DT model was validated with real data from the Alginet pilot site in Spain. Results showed a strong correlation between DT predictions and mock-up data, with a maximum deviation of ±2%. Finally, a set of selected Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) was defined and categorized in order to evaluate the system’s technical effectiveness.