Data Mining Approaches in Predicting Entrepreneurial Intentions Based on Internet Marketing Applications
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- How do the distinct modeling assumptions and mechanisms of linear regression, tree-based methods, and support vector machines affect the accuracy and stability of predictive outcomes when applied to enterprise data from transitional economies?
- In what ways does adapting data mining approaches to the unique characteristics of transitional economies support the reliability and interpretability of predictive insights compared to methods that are not adapted to these contexts?
2. Research Background
2.1. Entrepreneurship and Developing Business in the Digital Age
2.2. Internet Marketing in Modern Business
2.3. Entrepreneurial Intentions
2.4. Synthesis of Literature Review
2.5. Existing Knowledge Gap and Hypotheses
- There is a lack of research in the domain of entrepreneurial intentions and the application of Internet marketing in transitional countries. The existing studies in this domain only partly address entrepreneurship intentions and have not been analyzed in the context of Internet marketing [116,119,121,123,125].
- There is not a large body of literature that has analyzed multiple data analysis tools.
- H1: Website optimization (WOPT) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN).
- H2: Social media marketing (SMM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN).
- H3: E-mail marketing (EMAIL) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN).
- H4: Content marketing (CMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN).
- H5: Customer relationship management (CRM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN).
- H6: Online advertising (OAD) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN).
- H7: Data management and analytics (DMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN).
3. Methodology
3.1. Research Framework
- Defining the main objective: The goal was to demonstrate how data mining algorithms can be used to predict entrepreneurship intentions based on Internet marketing factors. Various potential predictors were considered.
- Literature review: A concise presentation of the relevant theoretical concepts was provided, focusing on modern business environments.
- Data collection: A structured survey was designed, distributed, and used to gather data. The data were then compiled into a single dataset for analysis using different statistical methods.
- Statistical methods: This study applied a range of statistical techniques including linear regression, logistic regression, QUEST, CHAID, SVM, and FNN.
- Results and discussion: The findings were analyzed to determine whether it is possible to predict entrepreneurial intentions based on Internet marketing factors.
3.2. Applied Tools and Techniques
3.2.1. Reliability Test
3.2.2. Linear and Logistic Regression Approach
3.2.3. Quick, Unbiased, Efficient, Statistical Tree—QUEST
- Speed and accuracy: Its accuracy remains stable even at higher processing speeds, making it efficient without sacrificing precision.
- Handling missing values: Unlike the CART (classification and regression tree) algorithm, which uses surrogate splits for missing data, QUEST applies imputations, offering a more robust approach.
- Categorical predictors: It effectively handles categorical predictor variables with multiple categories, providing flexibility across different data types.
- Lack of bias in variable selection: The algorithm avoids bias in variable selection prior to splitting, ensuring fairer and more accurate decision-making processes.
- Data types: QUEST is applicable to nominal, ordinal, and continuous values. It uses ANOVA for ordinal and continuous values, and Pearson’s χ2 for categorical values, making it adaptable across various datasets.
- Pruning via cross-validation: The use of cross-validation in pruning ensures that the resulting model is both generalizable and efficient.
- Flexibility with split types: QUEST supports variate splits as well as combinations of linear splits, improving its versatility in different scenarios.
- These features make QUEST a suitable algorithm for the given data structure and classification objectives.
3.3. Chi-Squared Automatic Interaction Detection—CHAID
3.4. Support Vector Machine
3.5. Feed-Forward Neural Network—FNN
4. Results
4.1. Linear and Logistic Regression Results
4.2. QUEST and CHAID Decision Trees
- Social media marketing (SMM);
- Email marketing (EMAIL);
- Customer relationship management (CRM);
- Online advertising (OA);
- Data management and analytics (DMA).
- −
- If the business regularly updates its social media with relevant content, then the probability of considering entrepreneurship is high:
- −
- Class yes = 75.26% (those who said yes to entrepreneurship);
- −
- Class no = 24.74% (those who said no to entrepreneurship).
- −
- If the business does not update its social media, then the likelihood of considering entrepreneurship drops slightly:
- −
- Class yes = 70.00%;
- −
- Class no = 30.00%.
- −
- If the social media content is aligned with the target audience’s interests and needs, the likelihood of entrepreneurship remains high:
- −
- Class yes = 75.34%;
- −
- Class no = 24.66%.
- −
- If the content is not aligned with the audience but the business still updates its social media, the likelihood of entrepreneurship is still strong:
- −
- Class yes = 75.00%;
- −
- Class no = 25.00%.
- −
- For businesses without regular social media updates, if they have strong CRM strategies focused on both customer retention and acquisition, the likelihood of entrepreneurship remains high:
- −
- Class yes = 78.57%;
- −
- Class no = 21.43%.
- −
- If the business lacks CRM strategies focused on retention and acquisition, the likelihood of entrepreneurship decreases:
- −
- Class yes = 50.00%;
- −
- Class no = 50.00%.
- −
- If the business’s online advertising campaigns are creative and attention-grabbing, there is a high likelihood of considering entrepreneurship:
- −
- Class yes = 78.95%;
- −
- Class no = 21.05%.
- −
- If the online advertising is not creative, the likelihood of entrepreneurship is slightly lower but still significant:
- −
- Class yes = 77.76%;
- −
- Class no = 22.24%.
- −
- For businesses with creative advertising, if they effectively use analytics to improve their marketing strategies, the likelihood of entrepreneurship remains high:
- −
- Class yes = 75.00%;
- −
- Class no = 25.00%.
- −
- If businesses with creative advertising do not use analytics, the likelihood of considering entrepreneurship is still relatively strong but slightly higher:
- −
- Class yes = 85.71%;
- −
- Class no = 14.29%.
4.3. SVM and FNN
5. Discussion
5.1. Assessing the Results
5.2. Hypotheses Assessment
- H1: Website optimization (WOPT) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H2: Social media marketing (SMM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Did not gain support.
- H3: Email marketing (EMAIL) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Did not gain support.
- H4: Content marketing (CMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H5: Customer relationship management (CRM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Did not gain support.
- H6: Online advertising (OAD) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Did not gain support.
- H7: Data management and analytics (DMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H1: Website optimization (WOPT) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H2: Social media marketing (SMM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H3: Email marketing (EMAIL) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H4: Content marketing (CMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H5: Customer relationship management (CRM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H6: Online advertising (OAD) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H7: Data management and analytics (DMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Did not gain support.
- H1: Website optimization (WOPT) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Did not gain support.
- H2: Social media marketing (SMM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H3: Email marketing (EMAIL) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H4: Content marketing (CMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Did not gain support.
- H5: Customer relationship management (CRM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H6: Online advertising (OAD) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H7: Data management and analytics (DMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H1: Website optimization (WOPT) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H2: Social media marketing (SMM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H3: Email marketing (EMAIL) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H4: Content marketing (CMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H5: Customer relationship management (CRM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H6: Online advertising (OAD) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H7: Data management and analytics (DMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H1: Website optimization (WOPT) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H2: Social media marketing (SMM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H3: Email marketing (EMAIL) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H4: Content marketing (CMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H5: Customer relationship management (CRM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H6: Online advertising (OAD) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H7: Data management and analytics (DMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H1: Website optimization (WOPT) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H2: Social media marketing (SMM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H3: Email marketing (EMAIL) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H4: Content marketing (CMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). is failed to be rejected.
- H5: Customer relationship management (CRM) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H6: Online advertising (OAD) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
- H7: Data management and analytics (DMA) positively affects the entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN). Failed to be rejected.
5.3. Research Questions
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
First Predictor: Website Optimization (WOPT) | ||
---|---|---|
Label | Variable | Available Answers |
WONAV | The enterprise’s website is easy to navigate. |
|
WOSEO | The website is optimized for search engines (SEO). |
|
WOUP | The content on the website is regularly updated to reflect current offers and information. |
|
WOCH | The website offers a seamless checkout process for online purchases. |
|
Second Predictor Group: Social Media Marketing (SMM) | ||
Code | Attribute | Available Answers |
SMUP | Social media channels are regularly updated with relevant and engaging content. |
|
SMROI | The company effectively measures the return on investment (ROI) of its social media marketing efforts |
|
SMFI | Financial goals are easily achieved. |
|
SMRES | The company responds quickly and appropriately to customer inquiries and comments on social media. |
|
SMIN | The company engages with influencers or brands that align with its values for broader reach. |
|
Third Predictor Group: Email Marketing (EMAIL) | ||
Code | Attribute | Available Answers |
EMPE | The company’s email marketing campaigns are personalized and relevant. |
|
EMAC | Emails that are frequently sent are acceptable to consumers. |
|
EMCO | The company effectively uses email marketing to communicate offers, news, and updates. |
|
EMSEG | Email segmentation is effectively used to tailor messages to different audience segments. |
|
Fourth Predictor Group: Content Marketing (CMA) | ||
Code | Attribute | Available Answers |
CMVAL | The content provided by the company (e.g., blogs, videos, infographics) is informative and valuable. |
|
CMAL | Content is consistently aligned with the interests and needs of the target audience. |
|
CMSAL | The company effectively uses content marketing to generate sales and leads. |
|
CMPR | Content is effectively shared and promoted across various channels. |
|
Fifth Predictor Group: Customer Relationship Management (CRM) | ||
CODE | Attribute | Available Answers |
CRPE | The company offers personalized recommendations based on previous interactions and consumer preferences. |
|
CROS | Online support channels (e.g., chatbots, live chat) provide quick and efficient solutions to problems. |
|
CRCR | CRM strategies are clearly focused on customer retention as much as on acquiring new customers. |
|
Sixth Predictor Group: Online Advertising (OAD) | ||
CODE | Attribute | Available Answers |
OAREV | The company’s online ads are relevant to consumers. |
|
OACRE | Online advertising campaigns are creative and attention-grabbing. |
|
OATAR | The company effectively uses targeted advertising to reach its audience. |
|
OAPER | The company tracks and analyzes the performance of its online advertising campaigns. |
|
Seventh Predictor Group: Data Management and Analytics (DMA) | ||
CODE | Attribute | Available Answers |
DMIM | The company effectively uses analytics to improve its online marketing strategies. |
|
DMPER | Data collected online are used to personalize the experience with the company. |
|
DMTR | The company is transparent about the data it collects and how they are used. |
|
DMFOR | The company uses predictive analytics to forecast trends and adjust marketing strategies accordingly. |
|
Dependent Variable: Entrepreneurship Intentions (ENTIN) | ||
CODE | Attribute | Available Answers |
ENTEX | I would consider entrepreneurship to expand the existing business. |
|
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Methodology Aspects | Info |
---|---|
Number of completed surveys | 137 (n = 137) |
Participants |
|
Enterprise | The majority of enterprises were small (35%) and medium (45,25%). This was expected as the majority of enterprises in the Republic of Serbia are micro and small enterprises. |
Study length | 3 months (finalized in 2024) |
Sample structure | Managers/directors/owners of micro-, small-, medium-sized, and large enterprises |
Conducted data analysis |
|
Predictor groups |
|
Dependent variable |
|
WOPT | SMM | CMA | CRM | OAD | DMA | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tolerance | 0.566 | 0.457 | 0.746 | 0.793 | 0.691 | 0.594 | 0.460 |
VIF | 1.802 | 2.172 | 1.304 | 1.219 | 1.567 | 2.002 | 2.231 |
Independent Variables (Predictor Groups) | Dependent Variable | Standardized Coefficients | p |
---|---|---|---|
Website optimization (WOPT) | Entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN) | 0.271 | 0.000 |
Social media marketing (SMM) | 0.214 | 0.214 | |
Email marketing (EMAIL) | −0.062 | 0.000 | |
Content marketing (CMA) | 0.366 | 0.000 | |
Customer relationship management (CRM) | 0.219 | 0.621 | |
Online advertising (OA) | 0.058 | 0.057 | |
Data management and analytics (DMA) | 0.137 | 0.004 |
Predictor | Dependent Variable | β | p | 95% CI | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Website optimization (WOPT) | Entrepreneurship intentions (ENTIN) | 0.82 | 0.000 | 0.97 | 1.47 |
Social media marketing (SMM) | 0.94 | 0.001 | 0.78 | 0.84 | |
Email marketing (EMAIL) | 0.91 | 0.001 | 1.11 | 1.74 | |
Content marketing (CMA) | 0.95 | 0.000 | 0.73 | 0.98 | |
Customer relationship management (CRM) | 0.79 | 0.001 | 0.84 | 1.11 | |
Online advertising (OA) | 0.90 | 0.000 | 0.98 | 1.24 | |
Data management and analytics (DMA) | 0.77 | 0.188 | 0.73 | 0.97 |
Positive class | 1 |
Number of observations in the training set | 137 |
Bias | 0.000 |
Number of support vectors | 65 |
Features used (independent variables) | Website optimization (WOPT) Social media marketing (SMM) Email marketing (EMAIL) Content marketing (CMA) Customer relationship management (CRM) Online advertising (OA) Data management and analytics (DMA) |
From/To | 0 | 1 | Total | % Correct |
---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 18 | 9 | 28 | 86.74 |
1 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 73.55 |
Total | 15 | 8 | 23 | 76.44 |
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© 2024 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Krivokuća, M.; Bakator, M.; Ćoćkalo, D.; Vidas-Bubanja, M.; Makitan, V.; Djordjević, L.; Novaković, B.; Ugrinov, S. Data Mining Approaches in Predicting Entrepreneurial Intentions Based on Internet Marketing Applications. Appl. Sci. 2024, 14, 11778. https://doi.org/10.3390/app142411778
Krivokuća M, Bakator M, Ćoćkalo D, Vidas-Bubanja M, Makitan V, Djordjević L, Novaković B, Ugrinov S. Data Mining Approaches in Predicting Entrepreneurial Intentions Based on Internet Marketing Applications. Applied Sciences. 2024; 14(24):11778. https://doi.org/10.3390/app142411778
Chicago/Turabian StyleKrivokuća, Milan, Mihalj Bakator, Dragan Ćoćkalo, Marijana Vidas-Bubanja, Vesna Makitan, Luka Djordjević, Borivoj Novaković, and Stefan Ugrinov. 2024. "Data Mining Approaches in Predicting Entrepreneurial Intentions Based on Internet Marketing Applications" Applied Sciences 14, no. 24: 11778. https://doi.org/10.3390/app142411778
APA StyleKrivokuća, M., Bakator, M., Ćoćkalo, D., Vidas-Bubanja, M., Makitan, V., Djordjević, L., Novaković, B., & Ugrinov, S. (2024). Data Mining Approaches in Predicting Entrepreneurial Intentions Based on Internet Marketing Applications. Applied Sciences, 14(24), 11778. https://doi.org/10.3390/app142411778