Review on Panic Buying Behavior during Pandemics: Influencing Factors, Stockpiling, and Intervention Strategies
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- The relative impact of numerous factors on panic buying behavior, including the influence of neighbors' behavior, disaster-related news, and empty store shelves.
- The transformation process through which individuals' psychological distress from panic is converted into panic-driven demand.
- Alteration in demand for different product types by panic.
- Changes in social habits and demand patterns during and after the panic.
- Appropriate interventions and the areas of impact.
- Introduces the Socio-Economic Framework of Panic (SEFP) to achieve a more systematic and comprehensive perspective on the occurrence and management of panic situations.
- Categorizes publications related to panic based on the SEFP.
- Summarizes the interventions proposed to mitigate the panic situation.
- Identifies gaps in current studies, formulates a future research agenda, and proposes considerations for policymaking.
2. Search Process
3. The Socio-Economic Framework of Panic (SEFP)
- Influencing factors encompass a variety of internal and external factors that are impacted by crises, leading to a significant disturbance in people’s future expectations. Internal (IN) factors pertain to individuals’ personalities, feelings, and situation, and the external (EX) factors are related to the environment and society [36].
- Panic is an intense distressing emotional response caused by influencing factors, impairing people’s ability to think and react rationally, resulting in panic buying.
- Panic demand is people’s willingness to buy more than their usual demand to alleviate their intense fear.
- Stockpiling is individuals’ aggressive purchasing of goods to fulfill their panic demand, thereby disrupting the balance between demand and supply.
- Supply is an activity performed to respond to market demands.
- Shortage occurs when the supply is unable to meet the panic demand.
- Intervention is any preventive or corrective activity that brings the disrupted demand and supply to its balanced state.
4. Research Review on Panic Buying Behavior
- Influencing factors of panic;
- Transformation of panic into panic demand and stockpiling;
- Interventions at each stage of the SEFP.
4.1. Influencing Factors of Panic
- Internal factors:
- Cognitive response: attitude, cues to action, self-efficacy, affective response on individuals, anticipated regret.
- Perceived scarcity: fear of future unavailability, background rate, outcome expectation.
- Perceived severity: intolerability, perceived lack of control.
- Perceived susceptibility: fear of illness, fear of being affected.
- Anxiety: bad mood, isolation, distrust.
- Displacement.
- External factors:
- Information intensity: shared information, information availability, social media usage, eWOM (electronic Word-of-Mouth), rumors, information quality, effective spread of information and news.
- Community preparedness: conformity of community, normative social influence, social norms, emotional contagion, social trust, demographics.
- Neighboring effect: peer behavior, herd psychology, social influence, social inclination to buy more, observational learning, subjective norms.
- Shortage: supply disruption, sufficiency of supplies, delivery limitation, limited quantity scarcity, empty shelves, food at hand.
- Statistics: death/injury/infection rates, property damages.
- Regulation: governmental intervention, lockdowns, rationing, price changes.
4.2. Transformation of Panic to Panic Demand and Stockpiling
- Definition of selected influencing factors: the studies defined the factors that influenced panic and panic demand.
- Correlation between the influencing factors and panic: the studies provided an explanation of how the influencing factors were correlated with panic and their relative importance in driving panic demand.
- Quantitative estimation of panic demand: the studies clearly outlined a procedure to estimate panic demand based on the influencing factors.
4.3. Intervention Strategies
- Education: This group includes the interventions related to public/governmental education about the phenomenon to increase people’s awareness and resilience. This intervention concentrates on the mitigation of the effects of influencing factors.
- Governmental control: As the key players, governments can impose many types of controls in various stages of the SEFP. For instance, censoring rumors and media reports is a governmental control on the influencing factors. Other controls include regulation of price and shopping times, supply monitoring, and punishment of untoward sellers.
- Information distribution: The goal is to provide clear and reliable information to mitigate the influencing factors. Effective announcements of health guidelines by governments and clear and timely announcements of available stock by retailers are the applicable interventions in this area.
- Sustainable behavior: These interventions are based on the philanthropy of people. These solutions try to raise people’s respect toward others rather than diminish the effect of influencing factors. Even when people are in panic, for example, they can help others to meet their needs. Promoting sustainable consumption behaviors (SCBs) and the willingness to limit demand are two examples.
- Rationing: Found under different names such as “quota policy,” “limiting sales per person,” “purchase limitation for buyers,” and “uniform rationing,” this group tries to avoid shortages and long queues in stores. Rationing can be used as a short-term palliative strategy as it does not consider the root causes of panic but just tries to ensure a better supply [68,76].
- Subsidizing: Subsidies can be employed by governments or business parties. This intervention concentrates on the supply side and tries to promote more production with fewer price hikes or less sale fluctuation.
- Supply resilience: There are many proposed solutions to elevate the suppliers’ resilience. Assurance of stocks, development of governmental storage and distribution systems, concurrent location and routing modeling, development of backup sites and suppliers’ flexibility, product substitution, E-commerce and locally producing strategic items are some of the interventions in this group.
- The relative magnitude of impact, aligned with the proposed SEFP.
- The potential consequences the intervention strategies may have on the supply–demand balance.
- The prerequisites to facilitate successful implementations.
- The expected execution timeframes, as well as the plausible duration of the effect of the intervention.
- The role of key stakeholders within the intervention process.
5. Implications and Future Research
- A detailed understanding of influencing factors: There is a need for further exploration and agreement on the relative importance and effects of influencing factors on panic. Future research needs to identify and analyze a broader range of factors that contribute to panic, considering both internal and external factors. As summarized in the internal and external factors in 4.1, a deeper understanding of the nuances and interactions between these factors will enhance the ability to predict and mitigate panic situations. For example, to what extent will the external factors of information intensity and community preparedness affect each other and people’s internal factors such as anxiety?
- Quantitative modeling of panic demand: Future research should focus on developing quantitative models that can accurately estimate panic demand based on influencing factors. These models should go beyond simplistic representations of fluctuating demand and incorporate the respective effects of each underlying cause and the dynamics of panic buying behavior. By doing so, policymakers and businesses can make informed quantitative decisions to stabilize demand–supply cycles during panic periods.
- The effectiveness of intervention strategies: The effectiveness of intervention strategies needs to be evaluated more rigorously. By identifying the most effective strategies, policymakers can develop evidence-based measures to manage panic situations more efficiently. For example, some strategies will affect situations differently based on customer categories (e.g., gender) and product types (e.g., fresh food and staples). Also, future research should assess the impact of different interventions on the stages of the SEFP and evaluate possible side effects.
- Long-term consumption trends: To ensure the effective long-term planning of stakeholders, it is necessary to investigate the relationships between panic demand and consumption trends before, during, and after a crisis. This understanding will help determine the actual supply quantities needed for consumption. It is worth noting that different product types display distinct usage patterns. For instance, as discussed in Engstrom et al. [59], there was a surge in demand for diabetes medication during a panic situation. Because the consumption remained unchanged, after the panic, new demand decreased as people consumed their stockpiled medicines. In contrast, masks and sanitizers experienced an increase in both demand and consumption during and after a panic situation.
- Psychological factors and tolerance building: Future research should explore strategies to raise individuals’ tolerance and avoid panic buying. While it is not possible to eliminate the influencing factors, people can better tolerate the situation with a deeper understanding of the psychological factors and sustainable consumption behaviors.
- These prospective investigations will deepen our understanding of panic, refine quantitative models, rigorously evaluate interventions, analyze long-term consumption trends, and explore strategies for enhancing individual tolerance to mitigate consumers’ panic buying behavior more effectively.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
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[8] |
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| Survey |
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| Survey |
[14] |
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| Survey |
[15] |
| Simulation | [52] |
| Survey |
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| Text Analytics | [53] |
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| Simulation |
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| Survey |
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[50] |
| Questionnaire | [55] |
| Questionnaire |
[56] |
| Text Analytics | [57] |
| Survey |
[58] |
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| Business Data |
[60] |
| Survey | [61] |
| Survey |
[62] |
| Questionnaire | [63] |
| Text Analytics |
[64] |
| Interview | [65] |
| Business Data |
Investigation Approach | Coverage Area | No. of Papers |
---|---|---|
Survey | Online/offline questionnaires and interviews with consumers or business parties | 20 |
Content Analytics | Text mining and research analytics in reports and social media, especially Twitter | 4 |
Simulation | Data generated by algorithms | 2 |
Transactional Data | Real data of businesses or governments | 2 |
Ref. | Influencing Factors | Model | Key Points |
---|---|---|---|
[13] |
| Simulation |
|
[15] |
| Clustering and Simulation |
|
[38] |
| Simulation |
|
[54] |
| Simulation |
|
[66] |
| Statistical Analytics |
|
[67] |
| Simulation |
|
[68] |
| Simulation |
|
[69] |
| Statistical Analytics |
|
[70] |
| Statistical Analytics |
|
[71] |
| Statistical Analytics |
|
[72] |
| Mathematical Model |
|
Ref. | Interventions | Key Player 1 | Area of Effect 2 | Effective-ness 3 | Dec. Making Method | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Title | Group | |||||
[13] |
| Information Distribution | GOV | Influencing Factors | S | Mathematical Modeling |
| Rationing | GOV | Supply | L | ||
[19] |
| Education | GOV | General | L | Survey |
[21] |
| Supply Resilience | BUS | Supply | L | Mathematical Modeling |
[32] |
| Subsidizing | BUS | General | N | Contextual Discussion |
| Governmental Control | GOV | Supply | N | ||
| Governmental Control | GOV | General | N | ||
| Governmental Control | GOV | Supply | N | ||
[35] |
| Supply Resilience | BUS | Supply | N | Mathematical Modeling |
| Information Distribution | GOV/BUS | General | N | ||
[44] |
| Supply Resilience | BUS | Supply | L | Summary |
[47] |
| Information Distribution | GOV/BUS | Demand/ Stockpiling | N | - |
| Education | GOV | General | N | ||
[56] |
| Education | GOV | Influencing Factors | N | Summary |
| Information Distribution | GOV/BUS | Influencing Factors | N | ||
| Supply Resilience | BUS | Supply | N | ||
| Rationing | GOV | Supply | N | ||
| Governmental Control | GOV | Supply | N | ||
[51] |
| Sustainable Behavior | GOV | Demand/ Stockpiling | L | Survey |
[58] |
| Information Distribution | GOV | Influencing Factors | S | Survey |
| Sustainable Behavior | GOV | General | L | ||
[63] |
| Information Distribution | GOV | Influencing Factors | S | Statistical Analytics |
[65] |
| Information Distribution | GOV/BUS | Influencing Factors | S | Survey |
[67] |
| Rationing | GOV | Supply | N | Mathematical Modeling |
| Rationing | GOV | Supply | N | ||
[68] |
| Rationing | GOV | Supply | N | Simulation |
| Rationing | GOV | Supply | N | ||
| Information Distribution | GOV | Influencing Factors | N | ||
[71] |
| Education | GOV | Demand/ Stockpiling | S | Real Data Analytics |
[76] |
| Subsidizing | GOV | Supply | S | Mathematical Modeling |
| Rationing | GOV/BUS | Demand/ Stockpiling | S | ||
[79] |
| Information Distribution | GOV | General | N | Contextual Discussion |
[80] |
| Supply Resilience | BUS | Supply | S | Mathematical Modeling |
[81] |
| Supply Resilience | BUS | Supply | L | Mathematical Modeling |
[82] |
| Supply Resilience | BUS | Supply | L | Mathematical Modeling |
[83] |
| Subsidizing | BUS | Demand/ Stockpiling/Supply | S | Mathematical Modeling |
[84] |
| Sustainable Behavior | GOV | Demand/ Stockpiling | L | Survey |
[85] |
| Information Distribution | GOV | Influencing Factors | S | Survey |
[86] |
| Rationing | GOV | Demand/ Stockpiling | S | Simulation |
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Share and Cite
Jazemi, R.; Farahani, S.; Otieno, W.; Jang, J. Review on Panic Buying Behavior during Pandemics: Influencing Factors, Stockpiling, and Intervention Strategies. Behav. Sci. 2024, 14, 222. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs14030222
Jazemi R, Farahani S, Otieno W, Jang J. Review on Panic Buying Behavior during Pandemics: Influencing Factors, Stockpiling, and Intervention Strategies. Behavioral Sciences. 2024; 14(3):222. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs14030222
Chicago/Turabian StyleJazemi, Reza, Sajede Farahani, Wilkistar Otieno, and Jaejin Jang. 2024. "Review on Panic Buying Behavior during Pandemics: Influencing Factors, Stockpiling, and Intervention Strategies" Behavioral Sciences 14, no. 3: 222. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs14030222
APA StyleJazemi, R., Farahani, S., Otieno, W., & Jang, J. (2024). Review on Panic Buying Behavior during Pandemics: Influencing Factors, Stockpiling, and Intervention Strategies. Behavioral Sciences, 14(3), 222. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs14030222