1. Introduction
For decades, concern has existed in Canada and many other countries over the extensive use of hospitals by terminally-ill and dying people [
1]. One of the chief concerns is that most deaths take place in hospital and after an escalation in hospitalizations over the last year of life [
1,
2,
3,
4]. Not only has this end-of-life (EOL) hospital utilization raised care appropriateness and quality of care questions, but it has also raised major healthcare cost and opportunity cost issues such as the inaccessibility of hospital beds for uses other than palliative or EOL care [
1,
2,
3,
4,
5,
6,
7,
8]. In recent years, however, a potential shift out of hospital has been recognized in a number of developed countries, including Canada [
9,
10,
11]. In Canada, where high hospital occupancy rates and subsequent long waits and waitlists for hospital care are serious socio-political issues, it is important to know if this shift out of hospital has continued or if hospitalized death and dying has remained predominant in all regions of Canada. To that end, recent Canadian hospital inpatient data were analyzed to answer two questions: (1) what proportion of deaths in provinces and territories across Canada are occurring in hospital now? and (2) who is dying in hospital now?
Canada is comprised of 10 provinces ranging across its southern regions and three territories spread across its northern regions, each of which is relatively autonomous is relation to planning and providing healthcare services. However, all must ensure reasonable access for all of their citizens to a wide range of publicly-funded and publicly-managed hospital and medical services in keeping with the 1984 Canada Health Act. Canada is the second largest country in the world, but sparsely populated with only 36.7 million citizens. The vast majority (around 80%) of citizens live in cities and other urban areas, most of which are located near the southern border with the United States of America.
3. Results
As outlined in a previous research overview publication [
12], 1,864,730 admissions to hospitals across Canada (excluding Quebec) occurred in the 2014–2015 year and 88,100 (3.5%) of these admissions ended in death. With a total of 200,614 deaths occurring in the 2014–2015 year across Canada outside of Quebec [
13], these hospital deaths represent 43.9% of all deaths that year. However, as shown in
Table 1, considerable variance in the proportion of deaths occurring in hospital were noted across the three sparsely populated northern territories (i.e., Yukon Territory, Northwest Territories, and Nunavut) as well as across the nine more heavily populated and more extensively urbanized provinces. Hospital deaths ranged from only 6.6% of total deaths in the Yukon Territory to 15.2% in the Northwest Territories, and from 40.9% of total deaths in the province of British Columbia to 57.0% in the province of New Brunswick. As such, the proportion of provincial or territorial deaths occurring in hospital was consistently much higher in the provinces than the three territories across the northern regions of Canada.
As shown in
Table 2, the people who died in hospital were more often older and male, and they died after a relatively short hospital stay with a diagnosis most commonly of “factors influencing health status and contact with the healthcare system”. This diagnosis indicates no specific illness that is potentially treatable is present. It is often used for patients nearing an inevitable death and who are thus appropriate recipients for palliative care.
Moreover, patients who died in hospital were most often admitted to hospital from their homes or private residences (69.6%), after having been admitted through the emergency department (79.0%) and following an arrival by ambulance (70.5%). Although 29.2% of all hospital deaths occurred in or after admission to a special care unit (such as an Intensive Care Unit (ICU) or Coronary Care Unit (CCU)), less than 1% of hospital decedents died during an intervention (such as cardiopulmonary resuscitation or surgery).
Regardless, considerable cross-Canada differences in the characteristics of patients who died in hospital were noted. Moreover, considerable cross-Canada differences in EOL hospital utilization were noted.
Table 2 contains outlier findings for the territories and provinces of Canada (excluding Quebec), with these outlier findings presented to demonstrate the wide range of province to province and territory to territory, as well as province to territory differences.
4. Discussion
This study clearly reveals that hospitals are no longer the predominant place of death and dying in Canada as a whole (excluding Quebec, as no data from this province were available for analysis), with only 43.9% of all deaths occurring in hospital in the fiscal year of 2014–2015. This finding is in stark contrast to the peak rate of 80.5% in the 1994 calendar year [
14]. As the majority of deaths in Canada occurred in hospital for many years before and after 1994 [
10], this pronounced shift of death and thus also dying and EOL care out of hospital is remarkable. Moreover, this shift is remarkable, if not highly unusual, as it occurred without any specific enabling national political or other national plan to encourage and support death and dying outside of hospital.
This substantial reduction in the proportion of total deaths occurring in hospital is not exclusive to Canada. As indicated, many other developed countries are experiencing a shift out of hospital, with an increasing proportion of deaths if not the majority of deaths occurring in other places such as nursing homes and private or primary residences [
5,
8,
9,
15,
16,
17]. The reduction in these countries in both the apparent need for and the resultant use of hospitals for EOL care purposes has been associated with enhanced and more accessible palliative home care services, nursing home expansion and onsite nursing home EOL care advancements, and increased or sustained government funding for free-standing hospices [
5,
8,
9,
15,
16,
17].
It is therefore notable that the Canadian province of British Columbia, which had the lowest percentage of hospital deaths among the provinces at 40.9%, has had a province-wide EOL care plan since 2013 [
18]. This plan followed a 2006 EOL care policy that was designed to support the planning of EOL primary care and other community-based EOL care options [
18]. This policy and subsequent planning might explain why more people in that province die in place and without the apparent need for hospital admission and inpatient EOL care.
It is also possible that palliative care advancements over the last two decades in British Columbia and elsewhere across Canada have been influential for this shift of death and thus also EOL care out of hospital, as advancements in palliative knowledge, skills, equipment, and services have been considerable in recent years. Indeed, a recent literature review identified palliative care developments as one of three primary influences for deaths to be increasingly taking place outside of Canadian hospitals [
19]. Another influence was determined to be a reduction in the actual availability of hospital beds as a consequence of cross-Canada hospital bed closures, coupled with the reduced social desirability of hospital-based EOL care [
19]. The third influence was identified as recent socio-demographic developments, notably population aging, increased multiculturalism, and more social acceptance of dying—all of which have contributed to a greater diversity in accepted EOL care practices as well as a change the general public’s EOL care preferences [
19]. It is well established now that most people would prefer to die at home, if they have that choice available to them [
20].
These are remarkable influences given the increasing number of deaths and increasing proportion of deaths that were occurring in Canadian hospitals each year from at least 1950, if not before, through to 1994 [
21]. This hospitalization trend is thought to have been due to major cross-Canada hospital construction and modernization developments that made hospitals more accessible as well as more socially acceptable. At the same time, changing family structures, such as women increasingly working outside of the home, made EOL care in the home much less possible [
21].
More recently, the 2015 Health Accord in Canada, a policy promise made by a political party that was subsequently elected to become the current reigning federal government of Canada, mandated that a higher proportion of the federal funding transfer to the provinces and territories for healthcare was to be used to expand home care services. This political promise, with directed funding increases for home care over the four-year political term of 2015 to 2019, may prove to be a significant factor for supporting and sustaining the shift of death and dying out of hospital [
22]. The need for more palliative home care services was made clearly evident by this study, as of all admissions to hospital that ended in death, only 3.6% were from homes receiving publicly-funded home care services. In contrast, 67.0% of admissions to hospital ending in death were from homes where no publicly-funded home care services were provided. This is not the first time that the need for more palliative home care has been identified in Canada [
23]. Moreover, a growing body of evidence is demonstrating the effectiveness of palliative home care services for stabilizing the dying process through meeting existing and emerging EOL care needs, while simultaneously reducing EOL hospital admissions and emergency department utilization [
24].
As such, the greatest need for high quality EOL care now appears to be enhanced home-based support so more deaths can take place at home and in ways that meet the needs of both the dying person and their family caregivers. However, some gender considerations appear to be relevant to consider, as we found that with the exception of Prince Edward Island, males were more often admitted to hospital to die there as compared to females. This gender difference suggests the need for better targeting of home care services. Unfortunately, the Canadian hospital database does not report marital status. However, it may be that the higher proportion of males dying in hospital is associated with unmarried, divorced, and widowed men not having spousal or other family support available to them when they are dying. It is also possible that hospital deaths are high among married men with spouses, the most common informal care provider [
25]. Spouses may reach a point where they can no longer provide unsupported EOL care at home; informal caregiver overburden is a well-established and long-standing issue in Canada [
26].
This study surprisingly revealed that cancer is not a major factor for hospitalized death, as under 10% of all hospital decedents were diagnosed with cancer. As cancer has been the most common cause of death in Canada for at least two decades, and it remains the most common cause of death now in Canada [
27], it will be important to determine why many of those diagnosed with terminal cancer are dying outside of hospital now. However, research, policy, and practice attention should be aimed at the majority of people who are dying in hospital; those with end-stage circulatory and end-stage respiratory illnesses, and also those with the non-specific International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD-10) Chapter XXI diagnosis of “factors influencing health status and contact with health services”. The identified diversity across provinces and territories in relation to these terminal diagnoses and their related EOL hospital utilization indicates that each province and territory should develop their own EOL care strategies to support people diagnosed with these illnesses so they are appropriately cared for in place.
Concerted cross-Canada attention also needs to be focused on people diagnosed with “factors influencing health status and contact with health services”, the most common diagnosis among all hospital decedents. As mentioned above, this diagnosis indicates that no specific illness exists that is potentially treatable, and it is often given to patients who are close to death, a time when palliative care is appropriate. Non-hospital deaths should be possible for all persons with this diagnosis.
With the exception of deaths taking place in special care units such as the ICU and CCU, where efforts to save life are likely to be appropriately attempted in most if not all cases [
28], the predominance of hospital deaths occurring after an ambulance arrival and an emergency department visit indicates that a potentially avoidable health crisis or family caregiver crisis led to a hospital death. With a relatively short median final hospital stay of only 7 days, this also indicates that short-term intensive palliative support at home or in other non-hospital places such as nursing homes may not only avert the need for hospital-based EOL care but also prevent these crises. This emphasis on preventing crises is timely, as the vast majority of deaths in Canada and most other developed countries are not sudden or unexpected now [
29]. High quality EOL care over the dying trajectory is thus increasingly possible to plan for. The use of flags in hospital databases to identify people who are nearing the end of life may be a necessary first step.