From Triple Win to Triple Sin: How a Problematic Future Discourse is Shaping the Way People Age with Technology
Abstract
:1. Introduction
Demographic projections show a rapidly aging population, with the worldwide proportion of people aged over 60 expected to double between 2000 and 2050. As a result, the number of people living with chronic health conditions is increasing and placing demand on healthcare services. There is also an increasing shortage of healthcare professionals, including caregivers for the elderly and registered nurses. Robots have been proposed as one form of assistive device that can help bridge the widening gap between the need and supply of healthcare services. The aged population presents a group who may particularly benefit from healthcare robots. The term ‘aging in place’ acknowledges the fact that the majority of older people in western cultures are living independently in their own homes, and want to stay there as long as possible, thus avoiding the psychologically traumatic and expensive option of moving to a nursing home or hospital away from familiar surroundings, friends and family. Governments and care funders also favour ‘aging in place’ to mitigate the expense of the growing number of aged in care.[2] (pp. 319–320)
2. Reflection upon Methodology
3. From Triple Win to Triple Sin
3.1. Crisis Account of Ageing
Demographic ageing is one of the most serious challenges Europe is facing. According to recent projections, the number of Europeans aged 65 and over will almost double over the next 50 years (…). This trend represents a challenge for public authorities, policy makers, businesses and the non-profit sector, especially as it comes at a time of increasing pressure on public budgets, a steady decline in the number of health personnel and growing demands from older people for care products and services. If this demographic transition is not tackled head-on, it will raise considerable concerns for the financial sustainability of health and care systems. Public spending on health already accounts for 7.8% of GDP in the EU, and by 2060, public expenditure on acute health care and long-term care is expected to increase by 3% of GDP due to ageing.[12]
3.2. Triple Win: Technology as the Savior
The unprecedented change that is occurring in our society represents as much an opportunity as a challenge. The digital transformation that the world is experiencing in the uptake of digital health technology, solutions and services can drive a triple win for Europe; Better Quality of Care for citizens, more efficient and effective health and care delivery systems, and competitiveness (including new economic opportunities, jobs and investment). This triple opportunity can only be seized if we overcome barriers to scaling up innovation in digital health and connected care and positioning these enablers within a wider, comprehensive and co-ordinated programme of change.[21]
Why focus on ageing? The European population is ageing rapidly, but living longer does not necessarily mean living a healthier, more active and independent life. The number of Europeans over 65 will double in the next 50 years, and the number of over 80s will almost triple. Life expectancy will continue to increase, yet unhealthy life years make up around 20% of a person's life. Active and healthy ageing is a societal challenge shared by all European countries, but also an opportunity. It is a chance for Europe to establish itself as a global leader that is capable of providing innovative solutions. […] In this context, the EIP on AHA aims to promote healthy and active ageing. […] It pursues a Triple Win for Europe:—Improving the health and quality of life of Europeans with a focus on older people;—Supporting the long-term sustainability and efficiency of health and social care systems;—Enhancing the competitiveness of EU industry through business and expansion in new markets.[6]
3.3. Triple Sin? Three Problems with the Ageing-and-Innovation Discourse
4. Conclusions: The New Futures of Ageing
Acknowledgments
Author Contributions
Conflicts of Interest
References
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1 | |
2 | In fact, we treat discourse as a heuristic and metaphor here, rather than as an analytic concept. For a thorough introduction to the notions of discourse and discourse analysis, see [10]. |
3 | The home is often represented as the only preferred place to live for older people and as a good place to live. For a critical discussion of this representation in the context of innovation, see [17]. |
4 | Just the Active and Assistive Living (AAL) programme, co-funded by the European Commission, has a budget of 700 million euros. This is just one European programme; there is also funding available from national agencies, both in Europe and elsewhere, and obviously medical and health technology companies are investing in these technologies as well [1]. |
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Neven, L.; Peine, A. From Triple Win to Triple Sin: How a Problematic Future Discourse is Shaping the Way People Age with Technology. Societies 2017, 7, 26. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc7030026
Neven L, Peine A. From Triple Win to Triple Sin: How a Problematic Future Discourse is Shaping the Way People Age with Technology. Societies. 2017; 7(3):26. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc7030026
Chicago/Turabian StyleNeven, Louis, and Alexander Peine. 2017. "From Triple Win to Triple Sin: How a Problematic Future Discourse is Shaping the Way People Age with Technology" Societies 7, no. 3: 26. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc7030026
APA StyleNeven, L., & Peine, A. (2017). From Triple Win to Triple Sin: How a Problematic Future Discourse is Shaping the Way People Age with Technology. Societies, 7(3), 26. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc7030026