Neonatal Sepsis as Organ Dysfunction: Prognostic Accuracy and Clinical Utility of the nSOFA in the NICU—A Systematic Review
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Protocol and Registration
2.2. Eligibility Criteria
2.3. Information Sources and Search Strategy
2.4. Study Selection and Data Extraction
2.5. Risk of Bias
3. Results
4. Discussion
4.1. Summary of Evidence
4.2. Limitations
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| First Author (Year) | Country/Region | Setting/Design | Population/Phenotype | N (Infants/Episodes) | Time Window/Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleiss (2021) [18] | US multicenter | Multicenter cohort | Preterm infants with late-onset infection | 259 | Evaluation; serial (+6, +12 h) |
| Xu (2023) [19] | China | Single-center, retrospective | Very preterm (≤32 wk) within 72 h after birth; BPD outcome | 238 | Early postnatal (≤72 h) |
| Shi (2022) [20] | China | Retrospective cohort | Neonates with RDS in NICU | 1281 | Admission; whole stay |
| Kurul (2024) [21] | Netherlands | Preterm with suspected LOI | Morbidity and mortality | 706 | T0, +6, +12 h (serial) |
| Zeigler (2023) [22] | US | VLBW; HeRO vs. nSOFA | Sepsis/mortality prediction | 956 | Evaluation; +12 h |
| Wynn (2021) [23] | US multicenter | Validation study | All NICU admissions (prognosis) | 20,152 | Admission and serial windows |
| Wynn (2020) [24] | US single-center | Bacteremic VLBW with LOS | Mortality discrimination | 60 | T0, +6, +12 h |
| Poggi (2023) [25] | Italy | Retrospective | ≤32 wk with LONS | 112 | T0, +6, +12, +24 h; vs. SIRS |
| Al Gharaibeh (2025) [26] | US | Single-center, retrospective | All neonates with LOI evaluations | 1481 | T0 and +6 h; eval-specific mortality |
| Kraja (2024) [27] | Turkey | Single-center, retrospective | Very preterm with culture-proven LOS | 106 | 9 time points incl. pre-/post-eval up to 48 h |
| Yeo (2023) [28] | Multicenter | Prospective cohort | Early-onset infection | 104 | Evaluation; serial; mortality |
| Lobo (2022) [29] | Brazil | Retrospective | VLBW with LONS | 1574 | Evaluation; mortality predictor |
| Poggi (2025) [30] | Italy | Retrospective | Preterm with LONS; respiratory outcomes | NR | T0/+6/+12/+24; respiratory endpoints |
| Berka (2022) [31] | Czech Republic | Single-center | <32 wk within 72 h after birth | 423 | Peak nSOFA (first 72 h) vs. outcomes |
| Lewis (2022) [32] | US multicenter | Retrospective | Preterm with NEC (≥IIA) | 259 | Evaluation; death and surgery/death |
| Hao (2024) [33] | China | Retrospective | ≤32 wk; compare nSOFA vs. CRIB-II vs. SNAPPE-II | 759 | Admission; mortality; and short-term morbidities |
| First Author (Year) | Timing Assessed | AUROC/AUC (95% CI) | Reported Threshold/Operating Points or Key Performance Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wynn (2020) [24] | T0; +6; +12 h | T0 0.77 (0.62–0.92); +6 0.79; +12 0.93 (0.86–0.997) | ≥4 associated with much higher mortality at each window (e.g., +12 h 71% vs. 7%). |
| Fleiss (2021) [18] | Eval; +6; +12 h | Max(T0/T6) 0.88 (0.84–0.91); center ranges T0 0.71–0.95, T6 0.77–0.96, T12 0.78–0.96 | Discrimination improved at +6 versus T0 across centers. |
| Poggi (2023) [25] | T0; +6; +12; +24 h | At T0, nSOFA 0.950 vs. SIRS 0.569 (p = 0.0002) | Best cut-off at T0 = 4; T0 and +6 were independent predictors. |
| Al Gharaibeh (2025) [26] | T0; +6 h | T0 0.76 (0.71–0.81); +6 0.82 (0.78–0.87) | Cut-off ≥ 2: Se 87%, Sp 66%, NPV 99% (all LOI evals). |
| Zeigler (2023) [22] | +12 h | 0.91 (+12 h) | Compared with HeRO analysis in VLBW infants. |
| Yeo (2023) * [28] | T0; +6 h; T0–6 max | T0 0.76; +6 0.89; T0–6 max 0.87 | EOS cohort; +6 h outperformed T0. |
| Lewis (2022) * [32] | Eval/serial (NEC) | Death 0.87; Surgery/death 0.84 | Discrimination for death and for surgery/death composite. |
| Hao (2024) [33] | Admission | nSOFA 0.90 vs. SNAPPE-II 0.82 vs. CRIB-II 0.79 | nSOFA significantly higher than CRIB-II/SNAPPE-II. |
| Kurul (2024) [21] | T0; +6; +12 h | NR | At +6 h, aOR per 1-point = 1.31 for 10-day mortality; also associations with BPD/ROP |
| Wynn (2021) [23] | Admission/serial | “Good-to-excellent” across centers/BW/time | Multicenter validation across 20,152 NICU admissions. |
| Kraja (2024) [27] | Multiple (−6 to +48 h) | NR | nSOFA > 4 at assessment associated with ~7–16× mortality risk (adj. ~9–18×). |
| Lobo (2022) [29] | Early after LONS onset | 0.92 | Brazilian VLBW LONS cohort; strong performance reported. |
| Berka (2022) * [31] | ≤72 h after birth | NR | Early nSOFA predicted mortality/serious morbidity in very preterms. |
| Shi (2022) * [20] | NICU stay (RDS) | NR | Mortality risk increased per point |
| Poggi (2025) * [30] | T0; +6; +12; +24 h | NR | Study focused on respiratory outcomes |
| Xu (2023) * [19] | ≤72 h after birth | NR | Study focused on BPD prediction. |
| Lavilla (2022) * [12] | Hourly kinetics | NR | Organ dysfunction trajectories in extremely preterm infants. |
| First Author (Year) | Primary Outcome(s) | Adjusted Per-Point Effect (OR/HR, 95% CI) | Other Non-Overlapping Findings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wynn (2020) [24] | Mortality (LOS VLBW) | NR | Marked risk separation at ≥4 across T0/+6/+12; +12 h performed best with large mortality gap (71% vs. 7%). |
| Fleiss (2021) [18] | Mortality (LOI) | NR | Improvement from T0 → +6 observed across centers; center-specific performance broad but consistently “good.” |
| Poggi (2023) [25] | LONS mortality vs. SIRS | NR | nSOFA at T0 and +6 independently predicted death in multivariate models, outperforming SIRS at T0. |
| Al Gharaibeh (2025) [26] | LOI-specific mortality | NR | Cut-off ≥ 2 yielded high NPV (99%); effect persisted in VLBW subgroup. |
| Zeigler (2023) [22] | Sepsis/mortality prediction | NR | Joint analysis with HeRO monitoring; nSOFA retained strong discrimination at +12 h. |
| Yeo (2023) [28] | EOS mortality | NR | +6 h outperformed T0; early serial assessment was key (T0–6 max better than T0). |
| Lewis (2022) [32] | NEC death; surgery/death | NR | nSOFA discriminated both death and surgery/death; supports use beyond bacteremia. |
| Hao (2024) [33] | Mortality ≤ 32 wk | NR | nSOFA outperformed CRIB-II/SNAPPE-II in the same cohort at admission. |
| Kurul (2024) [21] | 10-day mortality; BPD; ROP | aOR 1.31 per point at +6 h (1.22–1.40) mortality; BPD aOR 1.30 (1.13–1.50); ROP aOR 1.24 (1.09–1.41) for nSOFA burden | Burden metric (count of timepoints with nSOFA ≥ 4 from −6 to +48 h) tracked severe morbidity risk. |
| Shi (2022) [20] | RDS mortality (NICU) | aHR 1.48 per point (1.32–1.67); high vs. low group aHR 19.35 (4.41–84.95) | Mortality rose steeply with increasing nSOFA; results robust after PS-matching. |
| Xu (2023) [19] | BPD (≤72 h post-birth) | NR (independent association) | Early nSOFA associated with later BPD; broadened use beyond infection episodes. |
| Poggi (2025) [30] | Respiratory outcomes (LONS) | OR 1.68 (1.34–2.10) for increased respiratory support at +24 h; OR 1.56 (1.21–2.01) for invasive ventilation; OR 1.39 (1.10–1.77) for failure to return to baseline support (all per-point) | nSOFA also associated with severe ROP (OR 1.30, 1.02–1.66). |
| Berka (2022) [31] | Mortality; serious morbidity (≤72 h) | NR | Early nSOFA within 72 h after birth predicted adverse outcomes in very preterms. |
| Lobo (2022) [29] | LONS mortality (VLBW) | NR | Strong association between early post-onset nSOFA and sepsis-attributable death in Brazilian cohort. |
| Kraja (2024) [27] | LOS mortality (very preterm) | NR | Scores > 4 linked to ~7–16× crude and ~9–18× adjusted mortality odds across windows. |
| Wynn (2021) [23] | All-cause NICU mortality | NR | Good–excellent discrimination across BW strata and time after admission in 20k+ infants. |
| Lavilla (2022) [12] | Adverse outcomes in extremely preterm | NR | Hourly organ dysfunction trajectories (nSOFA components) linked with adverse outcomes; supports serial monitoring. |
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Cerbu, B.; Boia, M.; Pantea, M.; Ignat, T.; Dima, M.; Enatescu, I.; Rotea, B.; Rotea, A.; David, V.; Iacob, D. Neonatal Sepsis as Organ Dysfunction: Prognostic Accuracy and Clinical Utility of the nSOFA in the NICU—A Systematic Review. Diagnostics 2026, 16, 349. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16020349
Cerbu B, Boia M, Pantea M, Ignat T, Dima M, Enatescu I, Rotea B, Rotea A, David V, Iacob D. Neonatal Sepsis as Organ Dysfunction: Prognostic Accuracy and Clinical Utility of the nSOFA in the NICU—A Systematic Review. Diagnostics. 2026; 16(2):349. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16020349
Chicago/Turabian StyleCerbu, Bogdan, Marioara Boia, Manuela Pantea, Teodora Ignat, Mirabela Dima, Ileana Enatescu, Bogdan Rotea, Andra Rotea, Vlad David, and Daniela Iacob. 2026. "Neonatal Sepsis as Organ Dysfunction: Prognostic Accuracy and Clinical Utility of the nSOFA in the NICU—A Systematic Review" Diagnostics 16, no. 2: 349. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16020349
APA StyleCerbu, B., Boia, M., Pantea, M., Ignat, T., Dima, M., Enatescu, I., Rotea, B., Rotea, A., David, V., & Iacob, D. (2026). Neonatal Sepsis as Organ Dysfunction: Prognostic Accuracy and Clinical Utility of the nSOFA in the NICU—A Systematic Review. Diagnostics, 16(2), 349. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16020349

