Tick-Bite “Meteo”-Prevention: An Evaluation of Public Responsiveness to Tick Activity Forecasts Available Online
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Google Trends Data
2.2. Epidemiological Data
2.3. Weather-Derived Tick-Activity Index (TAI)
2.4. Statistical Analysis
2.5. Computer Simulation
2.5.1. Model 1
2.5.2. Model 2
3. Results
3.1. Data Analysis
3.2. Simulations
4. Discussion
Supplementary Materials
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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# | Search Query | Czech Rep. | Germany | Austria | Switzerland |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | tick activity | „aktivita klíšťat“ (2285/20.8) | „zeckenaktivität“ (2251/15.8) | (0) | (0) |
tick occurrence | „výskyt klíšťat“ (2085/20.8) | „zecken vorkommen“ (2804/30.0) | (0) | (0) | |
tick weather | (0) | „zeckenwetter“ (3141/26.2) | ditto * (193/0.1) | ditto * (178/0.1) | |
tick risk | (0) | „zeckengefahr“ (6037/55.8) | ditto * (1596/7.3) | ditto * (1158/8.5) | |
2 | tick bite | „kousnutí klíštětem“ (3492/45.8) | „zeckenstich/-biss“ (6417/97.3, 5724/100) | ditto * (5875/52.3, 5236/99.2) | ditto * (5452/75.8, 5294/98.8) |
tick-borne encephalitis | „klíšťová encefalitida“ (5087/96.5) | „FSME“ (7066/100) | ditto * (6287/100) | ditto * (5023/100) | |
Lyme borreliosis | „Lymská borelióza“ (10,090/100) | „borreliose“ (10,499/100) | ditto * (8159/100) | ditto * (6018/100) | |
3 | weather | „počasí“ (9745/100) | „wetter“ (10,464/100) | ditto * (11,665/100) | ditto * (13,603/100) |
resort/tourist attraction | Lipno dam (4681/100) | Königssee (9515/100) | Hallstatt (8081/100) | Interlaken (12,472/100) |
Search Query | Tick-Borne Encephalitis | Lyme Borreliosis | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lag in Weeks | Lag in Weeks | ||||||||||
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||
Czech Rep. | tick activity | 28.9 | 34.3 | 39.8 | 45.2 | 50.2 | 25.0 | 27.7 | 30.6 | 33.8 | 37.0 |
tick occurrence | 32.5 | 37.0 | 41.1 | 44.6 | 47.2 | 20.9 | 22.8 | 24.7 | 26.5 | 31.2 | |
weather | 68.5 | 70.2 | 71.7 | 73.1 | 74.4 | 54.2 | 56.1 | 57.7 | 59.1 | 60.1 | |
Germany | tick weather | 31.4 | 38.0 | 44.2 | 49.6 | 54.1 | 23.9 | 28.2 | 32.5 | 36.7 | 40.6 |
tick occurrence | 31.2 | 37.6 | 43.5 | 48.6 | 52.2 | 23.4 | 27.6 | 31.7 | 36.0 | 39.4 | |
tick risk | 44.8 | 50.7 | 55.8 | 60.2 | 63.5 | 33.6 | 38.1 | 42.1 | 45.9 | 49.4 | |
weather | 75.8 | 76.7 | 76.9 | 76.6 | 76.2 | 65.1 | 67.6 | 69.5 | 70.7 | 70.9 | |
Switzerland | tickbite (-stich) | 58.3 | 60.9 | 61.8 | 63.2 | 61.6 | 54.3 | 55.4 | 56.7 | 57.4 | 56.2 |
tick bite (-biss) | 52.8 | 56.6 | 58.7 | 60.3 | 59.1 | 51.0 | 51.9 | 52.7 | 54.3 | 53.5 | |
sentinel data | 51.1 | 54.4 | 57.2 | 56.3 | 55.8 | 48.6 | 49.2 | 50.3 | 50.4 | 48.8 |
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Zeman, P. Tick-Bite “Meteo”-Prevention: An Evaluation of Public Responsiveness to Tick Activity Forecasts Available Online. Life 2023, 13, 1908. https://doi.org/10.3390/life13091908
Zeman P. Tick-Bite “Meteo”-Prevention: An Evaluation of Public Responsiveness to Tick Activity Forecasts Available Online. Life. 2023; 13(9):1908. https://doi.org/10.3390/life13091908
Chicago/Turabian StyleZeman, Petr. 2023. "Tick-Bite “Meteo”-Prevention: An Evaluation of Public Responsiveness to Tick Activity Forecasts Available Online" Life 13, no. 9: 1908. https://doi.org/10.3390/life13091908