4.1. Sedimentological and Geochemical Characteristics of Source Rock-Bearing Stratigraphic Units
The base of the Furongian in the study area lies at depths ranging from 2731 m in the northwest, through 3137 m in the east, to 4425 m in the southwest [
1,
2]. The Furongian section (including Piaśnica and Sępopole formations) is relatively thin, varying from 9 m in the northwest to only 0.5–1.0 m in the east and south. It is dominated by clastic facies: shaly and silty rocks with a high carbonate admixture to the west, sandy facies to the northeast, and purely carbonate facies to the southeast (
Figure 1). The distribution of organic carbon is uneven, with low values (0.4–1.2 wt%) in the southeast and the highest values (4.4–5.2 wt%) observed in the northwest.
At the onset of the Dapingian–Floian (Arenig), the coarser-grained Furongian clastics were replaced by shaly facies with an even higher carbonate content (
Figure 1). The thickness of the Dapingian–Floian section (Kopalino, Słuchowo and Pieszkowo Fms.) ranges from 18 to 33 m in the northern part of the study area and decreases sharply to about 7 m in the south [
1,
2]. Organic carbon content varies significantly across the area and reflects facies changes: higher TOC values (1.2–1.6 wt% and 4.8–5.2 wt%) are associated with shale facies in the northwest and northeast, respectively, while lower values (0.1–0.4 wt%) correspond to carbonate-dominated settings.
The Darriwilian (Llanvirn; Kopalino, Sasino Kielno Fms.) section of the Middle Ordovician is 1 to 12 m thick and is composed primarily of organic-rich carbonate facies with TOC values of 1.4–1.9 wt% in the north. Shaly facies of this age are minor. The increasing carbonate trend observed from the Furongian to the Darriwilian ends abruptly with the onset of the Sandbian (Caradoc), when fine-grained, organic-rich shales became dominant throughout the north-central Baltic Basin.
The Sandbian section (Sasino Fm.) consists almost entirely of organic-rich shales, with little to no carbonate content, though calcareous shales and siltstones occur locally (
Figure 1). The combined thickness of the Sandbian and Lower Katian (Caradoc; Sasino Fm.) sections is greater along the northern edge of the study area (25–32 m) than in the southeastern and southern parts (13–15 m) [
1,
2]. TOC content ranges from 1.2–1.6 wt% in the southwest and northeast to 2.2–2.8 wt% in the northwest.
The Upper Katian and Hirnantian (Ashgill; Prabuty Fm.) are dominated by shale facies, with significant carbonate content particularly in the northern and northwestern sectors (
Figure 1). While the northwest is clearly carbonate dominated with shale admixtures, the southern part is predominantly shales with minimal carbonate presence. Organic-rich lithologies are found mainly in the north-central area, with TOC values of 3.0–5.0 wt%. The thickness of this section ranges from 5 to 10 m.
The Llandovery (Pasłęk Fm.) marks a period of widespread, monotonous fine-grained clastic sedimentation across the study area, lasting until the end of the Pridoli. This interval is dominated by organic-rich shale facies, particularly in the northwest and northeast, with TOC values between 1.4 and 2.0 wt%. The thickness of the Llandovery section ranges from 40 to 66 m.
The Wenlock is also composed mainly of shales and siltstones, though these are relatively organic-lean, with TOC values of 0.5–0.7 wt%. The section thickens from 127 m along the northern edge to 324 m in the south [
1,
2].
The low variation in thickness of the Furongian–Llandovery deposits across the 80–90 km long and 80 km wide study area suggests deposition in a distal part of the basin (
Figure 1), with a uniformly low sedimentation rate (
Figure 2). The estimated sedimentation rates for the Furongian to Upper Katian–Hirnantian interval range from 1 to 7 m/Ma, increasing to 19 m/Ma in the Llandovery (
Figure 2). Despite the distal setting, the depositional environment was relatively shallow and high-energy, likely limiting the preservation of organic matter. Bottom-water oxygenation likely fluctuated between dysoxic and temporarily anoxic conditions. However, laminated black shales devoid of bioturbation are rare and usually occur as thin intercalations or individual layers (1 to several meters thick), forming source rock intervals within the Furongian, Dapingian–Floian, Lower Katian–Sandbian, Hirnantian–Upper Katian, and Lower Llandovery (
Figure 3).
Overall, the stratigraphic sections are dominated by dark-colored siltstones and claystones (dark gray, green, brown, cherry-brown and red-brown). Black and semi-black lithologies are rare and often show signs of reworking by bottom currents and benthic fauna (
Figure 1), including bioturbation, trace fossils, and in situ benthic organisms (J. Pacześna & T. Podhalańska, pers. comm.), such as trilobites, brachiopods, bivalves, gastropods, ostracods, and echinoderms. Other sedimentary features indicating a shallow, energetic, and at least dysoxic environment include discontinuity surfaces, washing marks, and cross-bedding (
Figure 1; refs. [
1,
2]). An exception is the Darżlubie region, characterized by fine-grained laminated rocks devoid of bioturbation and macrofossils. These sediments likely accumulated under dysoxic or dysoxic–anoxic conditions, possibly in a basin-floor depression.
The Furongian–Darriwilian interval was dominated by a shallowing shelf environment and an increasing proportion of carbonates, reaching a peak in the Darriwilian. This ~39-million-year period was likely unfavorable for organic matter preservation due to well-oxygenated bottom waters and carbonate-dominated facies with abundant benthic fauna. In the Darriwilian, carbonate deposits covered the entire study area, comprising 65%–100% of the lithology. At the onset of the Sandbian, fine-grained clastics buried the carbonates, likely due to deepening of the shelf. However, this shift did not eliminate benthic fauna or significantly reduce bottom energy. Trilobites, brachiopods, and bivalves remain common throughout the Sandbian, Katian and Hirnantian sections, along with erosional surfaces and scour (washing) marks [
1,
2].
A more substantial change in bottom-water oxygenation likely occurred in the Llandovery, coinciding with progressive basin subsidence of ~20 m/Ma during the Early Llandovery. This may have increased water column height by several tens of meters, fostering longer-lasting anoxic conditions and bottom stagnation. Additionally, extensive deglaciation at the Ordovician–Silurian boundary [
38] likely contributed to a global sea-level rise. The shallow marine depositional environment was likely widespread across the region at the time, extending from Estonia and Lithuania [
39,
40] to southern Poland [
41].
4.2. Stratigraphic Position of the Source Rocks Within the Study Area
The stratigraphic distribution of source rocks in the study area indicates the presence of three to five individual and discrete source rock intervals, typically of limited thickness. Source rocks with fair and good petroleum potential (PP > 3 mg HC/g rock and >6 mg HC/g rock, respectively) are found from the Furongian (Piaśnica, Sępopole Fms.) through the Sandbian, Katian, Hirnantian, and into the lowermost Llandovery. However, their thickness generally varies within a narrow range of approximately 2–15 m. Geochemical data suggest that some source rock intervals form continuous, correlatable horizons traceable between boreholes (
Figure 3), whereas others occur as isolated lenticular bodies, possibly exhibiting onlap geometries.
The Furongian source rocks are present throughout the entire stratigraphic section only in the Żarnowiec IG1 and Darżlubie IG1 boreholes. Southward and eastward, this interval thins significantly, measuring less than 1 m in the Gdańsk IG1 borehole, where fine-grained clastics transition into carbonates. Due to limited sampling within the Dapingian–Floian interval, source rock distribution appears sporadic and is restricted to short sections in the Żarnowiec IG1 and Hel IG1 boreholes. This patchy dataset is incomplete and warrants further investigation. A similarly limited sampling applies to the Darriwilian, which was examined only in the Darżlubie IG1 borehole, where source rocks are also thin. In other boreholes, the absence of core samples prevented a more comprehensive assessment. In contrast, the Sandbian and Lower Katian intervals were sampled extensively, allowing for the identification of Sandbian source rocks in the Żarnowiec IG1 and Darżlubie IG1 boreholes, and Lower Katian source rocks across the entire study area. Detailed examination of the Upper Katian and Hirnantian sections revealed source rocks only in the Darżlubie IG1 and Hel IG1 boreholes. However, in the lowermost Llandovery, source rocks are present throughout the entire study area and can be correlated among all boreholes included in this study (
Figure 3;
Table A1,
Table A2,
Table A3,
Table A4 and
Table A5 in
Appendix A).
The stratigraphic occurrence of organic-rich rocks suggests that optimal environmental conditions—such as nutrient availability and distribution within the water column, high primary productivity in surface waters, efficient organic matter transport to the seafloor, and bottom-water redox conditions conducive to preservation—were achieved only during a specific phase of basin evolution. This favorable phase began in the Furongian and lasted until the latest Early Llandovery. It was the only period in the geological history of the central-northern onshore Baltic Basin when conditions supported significant organic matter production, accumulation, and preservation. Core descriptions, partially preserved cores, and literature data indicate that no comparable source rocks are present in the older or younger stratigraphic intervals. During the Furongian–Lower Llandovery, the basin was located at approximately 30–40° S paleolatitude. Its morphology characterized by optimal length, width, and depth [
7]—along with favorable sediment supply [
27], nutrient availability and ocean current distribution, created ideal conditions for plankton blooms and surface-water organic productivity. During this time, the Baltic Basin represented a shallow shelf bordered by land masses to the east, northeast, west, and northwest [
7,
42], which supplied detrital sediments and nutrients. Subsequently, the Furongian–Lower Llandovery source rocks were affected by the Caledonian tectonic phase [
28], leading to basin deepening and rapid burial. This rapid burial, particularly in the Ludlow and Pridoli periods, reached rates of several hundred meters per million years. Tectonic reorganization of the basin, affecting its size, depth and accommodation space, likely diminished basin productivity, while the input of large volumes of clastic material diluted the preserved organic matter (
Figure 2).
4.3. Petrographic Characterization of the Furongian-Lower Llandovery Source Rocks
The petrographic characterization of the source rocks in the study area is based on a compilation of publications that provide general lithological descriptions of the stratigraphic sections encountered in the examined boreholes. Foundational sources include the works of [
1,
2,
18,
19], which supply lithological and geological information on the analyzed cores. Additional and more recent data are derived from [
33], which applied modern thin section analysis techniques, such as SEM and XRD.
The authors of the present article have limited the lithological and petrographic descriptions to intervals classified as source rocks, averaging characteristics across boreholes where appropriate.
The Furongian source rocks from the Żarnowiec IG1 and Darżlubie IG1 boreholes are predominantly composed of claystones (50%–70%) and limestones (20%–35%), with minor amounts of slightly coarser clastic material such as sandstones (10%–15%) (
Figure 1). The claystones are typically deeply black and bituminous, interbedded with gray and black limestones. Pyrite occurs frequently in the form of concretions, seams, and disseminated crystals. In the Żarnowiec IG1 borehole, these units are additionally interbedded with sandy limestones and fine-grained muddy sandstones, commonly cemented with calcite. The limestones are usually gray to dark gray, occurring as irregular layers, lenses, and seams, often bituminous and impregnated with pyrite, sometimes forming concretions. In the Darżlubie IG1 borehole, organodetrital and fine-crystalline limestones are more prevalent. Further south and east, the Furongian source rocks, initially dominated by fine-grained clastics, transition into gangue sandstones (Hel IG1), and ultimately into petroleum-nonprospective carbonates in the Gdańsk IG1 borehole.
Due to incomplete sampling, the petrographic characteristics of the Floian and Dapingian sections are fragmentary and do not provide a comprehensive representation. In the Hel IG1 borehole, the Dapingian section is dominated by black claystones interbedded with micritic, fine-crystalline, and organodetrital limestones. Conversely, in the Żarnowiec IG1, Dapingian organic-rich gray-brownish claystones are present only as interbeds within carbonate-dominated sequences of marly limestones. The Darriwilian source rocks, recorded only in the Darżlubie IG1 borehole, consist of black organic-rich claystones with Fe-zooid inclusions, bentonite intercalations, and pyrite.
The Sandbian source rocks in the Żarnowiec IG1 and Darżlubie IG1 boreholes are mainly composed of claystones black, strongly shaly, calcareous rocks impregnated with pyrite and interbedded with bentonites. In the Darżlubie IG1 borehole, non-calcareous dark gray claystones with gray-green spots are more common. These rocks are characterized by a directional texture, dispersed organic matter, carbonate micrite, fine rhombohedral dolomite and ankerite crystals, and xenomorphic calcite. Quartz dominates the detrital framework, with feldspars and micas as minor constituents (
Figure 4).
The Lower Katian source rocks are petrographically homogeneous across the study area. They consist of very fine-grained, black, bituminous, strongly shaly claystones enriched in pyrite, which often occurs in seams and aggregates (
Figure 5). Bentonite laminae are common and occur as intercalations in all examined boreholes. These claystones are occasionally muddy or silty and often calcareous, with abundant carbonate micrite, rhombohedral dolomite, and calcite xenomorphs. Organic matter is present in substantial quantities and occurs in a dispersed form. Quartz silt-sized grains dominate the detrital framework, accompanied by minor feldspar and mica grains, often aligned with cross-bedding structures.
The Upper Katian claystone source rocks, dark gray to black in color were found in the Darżlubie IG1, Hel IG1, and Gdańsk IG1 boreholes. These rocks are typically shaly, bituminous, and occasionally muddy, with common pyrite clusters.
Hirnantian source rocks, identified only in the Darżlubie IG1 borehole, consist of gray to greenish claystones with multiple interbeds of black, organic-rich, shaly, and bituminous claystones.
The stratigraphically youngest source rocks, attributed to the lowermost Llandovery, are present across the entire study area with remarkable continuity. However, they exhibit slight lithological variations between boreholes. In the Żarnowiec IG1 and Darżlubie IG1, the source rocks are gray to greenish, dominated by calcareous and dolomitic claystones with occasional interbeds of black organic-rich shale. In contrast, the Hel IG1, Kościerzyna IG1, and Gdańsk IG1 boreholes feature distinctly dark gray to black, planar-laminated, shaly, bituminous claystones impregnated with pyrite. In the Hel IG1 borehole, these claystones are associated with gray detrital, clayey or marly limestones, which are also shaly and planar-laminated.
Although the main lithological intervals containing source rocks suggest a dynamic and generally oxygenated (oxic to dysoxic) bottom environment, petrographic evidence points to occasional, short-lived reductions in oxygen levels likely reaching dysoxic conditions. While strictly anoxic conditions were probably rare, their localized and short-term occurrence in small depressions on the sea floor cannot be excluded. The interpretation of redox conditions presented here is based on the synthesis of published petrographic and paleontological data [
1,
2,
18,
19] rather than on direct geochemical proxies. In particular, the occurrence of benthic, oxygen-dependent fauna in the Furongian source rocks [
27] and the sporadic presence of brachiopods in the Sandbian and Katian sections indicate intervals of at least moderate oxygenation. In contrast, the complete absence of benthic fauna and the dominance of planktonic fossils in the Lower Llandovery deposits suggest deposition under persistently dysoxic or possibly anoxic conditions.
4.4. Petrological Characteristics of Organic Matter in Furongian–Lower Llandovery Source Rocks of the Baltic Basin
All Lower Paleozoic stratigraphic sections of the Polish part of the Baltic Basin are characterized by a relatively uniform composition of organic matter, dominated by two main components. The prevailing macerals are dispersed zooclasts of animal origin and liptinitic material, consisting of graptolite remains and a mixture of liptodetrinite and alginite [
4,
9,
35,
36,
43]. The preservation state of the graptolite remains varies significantly—from highly degraded and fragmented specimens, both mechanically and biologically, to well-preserved individual examples [
35,
43] (
Figure 6). Their sizes range from several micrometers to several hundred micrometers. In addition to graptolite remains, oil-related products such as solid bitumen are also commonly present. In the fine-grained sediments of the Furongian–Llandovery interval, organic components are intensely fragmented and intimately mixed with clay minerals, forming organic-mineral associations (
Figure 6).
As vitrinite is absent in Lower Paleozoic strata, reflectance measurements have been conducted on graptolite remains [
4,
9,
35,
36]. These graptolite-based reflectance measurements are methodologically accepted in [
35], but carry a degree of interpretative uncertainty due to the advanced degradation of the organic matter, which is composed of highly transformed, carbonized, chitinous material [
44]. Nevertheless, these measurements consistently show a typical increase in reflectance with depth across the study area and in all examined stratigraphic intervals.
Reflectance values in the Furongian section range from approximately 1.2% to 1.4%. In the Dapingian–Floian interval, reflectance is around 1.3%, while younger Ordovician sections, such as the Sandbian–Lower Katian and Upper Katian–Hirnantian, yield values between 1.0% and 1.3% (
Table 1). The Llandovery section generally shows values around 1.2%. Overall, these intervals exhibit limited variation in reflectance, with the notable exception of the Kościerzyna IG1 borehole. Here, due to deeper burial of the Dapingian–Llandovery section, reflectance values are higher, ranging from 1.7% to 1.8%, indicating advanced thermal maturity (
Table 1).
Published petrographic and palynological data [
1,
2,
18,
19] provide evidence for the presence of both algal and graptolitic remains within the Furongian–Llandovery sections, indicating a mixed marine organic input. Based on these observations, it can be inferred that the organic matter had a consistent, dual-source origin dominated by planktonic organisms, mainly graptolites and algae. After the death of plankton in surface waters, the organic material was transported to the seabed, where it became admixed with fine-grained detrital sediments. The abundance of fragmented zooclasts of graptolitic origin and liptodetrinite fragments suggests intense biological and mechanical degradation, likely related to sediment reworking by bottom currents and bioturbation. This interpretation of organic matter origin and degradation processes is proposed in the present study as a synthesis of previously published microscopic and compositional data.
Reflectance measurements on zooclasts suggest thermal maturity levels corresponding to the condensate zone or the boundary between the condensate and dry gas windows. However, these findings are partially inconsistent with observed oil shows and Tmax data from Rock-Eval pyrolysis, which indicate oil window maturity in most of the study area, including the Żarnowiec IG1, Darżlubie IG1, and Hel IG1 boreholes, and condensate zone maturity in the Gdańsk IG1 borehole (
Figure 7). The Kościerzyna IG1 borehole is the exception, with Tmax data supporting condensate/dry gas maturity.
Given the absence of vitrinite and the reliance on graptolite remains, the reflectance values may be slightly overestimated, a discrepancy also noted by [
3,
44,
45]. According to our interpretation, such overestimation could have led to the misclassification of some source-rock intervals into maturity zones that are too high. Therefore, the evaluation of thermal maturity in the Lower Paleozoic sections characterized by highly degraded and difficult-to-interpret organic matter requires particular methodological caution. In this study, it is suggested that Rock-Eval Tmax data may provide more reliable maturity assessments. Moreover, applying conversion methods specifically developed for graptolite reflectivity, as proposed by [
44,
45], could help minimize these discrepancies. The application of the proposed correction factors [
44] reduces the reflectance values of vitrinite-like organic fragments from
Table 1 by 0.11%–0.22%. As a result, the adjusted reflectance values range from 0.89 to 1.18% for the Żarnowiec IG1, Darżlubie IG1, and Gdańsk IG1 boreholes, placing these samples within the oil window zone.
4.5. Organic Matter Content, Type, Maturity and Petroleum Potential of the Source Rocks
The kerogen present in the Furongian–Llandovery source rocks is classified as type II and consists mainly of marine organic matter, predominantly zooclasts of animal origin, such as the planktonic graptolite remains described earlier with only minor algal components. This homogeneous kerogen composition results largely from the limited contribution of terrestrial organic matter. Variations in kerogen properties are primarily reflected in differences in the hydrogen index (HI), which stem from changing proportions of algal matter to zooclasts (notably in the Furongian interval) and varying thermal maturity (e.g., Kościerzyna IG1; see
Figure 8).
Furongian source rocks from the Żarnowiec IG1 and Darżlubie IG1 boreholes are dominated by highly hydrogen-depleted organic matter of marine origin, with HI values averaging 59–130 mg HC/g TOC. These rocks contain high total organic carbon (TOC) contents: 5.4–7.8 wt% in Żarnowiec IG1 and 4.0–8.7 wt% in Darżlubie IG1. The kerogen exhibits very low oxygen index (OI) values (0–6 mg CO
2/g TOC) and high residual carbon (RC) contents, averaging 88%–94%. An upward increase in TOC within the Furongian interval suggests progressive expansion of oxygen-deficient conditions favorable for organic matter preservation (
Figure 3). According to the TOC vs. petroleum potential classification (
Figure 9), the Furongian section comprises fair to good quality source rocks. However, the coexistence of high TOC (4.0–8.7 wt%), low HI (59–130 mg HC/g TOC), and very high RC (88%–94%) near the immature–early oil window maturity boundary is unusual. This suggests that, despite significant organic content, the rocks may offer only limited petroleum potential. Laterally, the Furongian source rocks thin to about 1 m or disappear entirely toward the south and southeast (e.g., Kościerzyna IG1 and Gdańsk IG1).
The Dapingian–Floian organic-rich interval is present only in the Żarnowiec IG1, Darżlubie IG1, and Hel IG1 boreholes (
Figure 3). The kerogen here is thermally mature, at the transition from late diagenesis to early oil window stages. TOC values range from 4.8 to 9.6 wt%, with residual carbon averaging 92%. Despite fair to good TOC values, the HI remains low (61–135 mg HC/g TOC), suggesting limited petroleum potential.
Darriwilian source rocks have been identified solely in the Darżlubie IG1 borehole. TOC values range from 1.0 to 2.9 wt%, with HI values between 96 and 214 mg HC/g TOC. These rocks are thermally mature (oil window) and represent fair petroleum potential (
Figure 9).
The Sandbian and Lower Katian source rocks are laterally continuous and occur in all studied boreholes, forming a well-defined organic-rich interval, especially at the top of the Lower Katian section (
Figure 3). Compared to the Furongian interval, this kerogen is richer in hydrogen (HI: 127–340 mg HC/g TOC;
Figure 8). TOC values range from 1.0 to 5.9 wt%, with OI values between 2 and 12 mg CO
2/g TOC and RC contents of 63%–83%. As in the Furongian, an upward increase in TOC is visible. This interval contains good to very good quality source rocks (
Figure 9) and is thermally mature, lying within the oil window. Maturity distribution is spatially variable: the oil window dominates in the northern and eastern parts of the study area, whereas maturity increases southward and westward, reaching overmature conditions in the Kościerzyna area. In zones where the rocks are within the oil window, they have good potential for oil generation. Geochemically, the Sandbian–Lower Katian source rocks seem to have better petroleum potential than those of the Furongian. In the Kościerzyna IG1 borehole, the Sandbian–Lower Katian interval is overmature (Tmax: 488–593 °C), with depleted HI (1–21 mg HC/g TOC) and petroleum potential (0.02–0.70 mg HC/g rock), despite TOC values of 1.5–3.2 wt%. The organic matter here is dominated by unproductive residual carbon (av. 98%).
Another organic-rich section, of Upper Katian–Hirnantian age, is mostly limited to the Darżlubie IG1 and Hel IG1 boreholes (
Figure 3). The kerogen in this section is thermally mature (oil window) and TOC values range from 0.7 to 7.4 wt%, with residual carbon content averaging 63%–85%. These rocks have fair to good petroleum potential.
The youngest and most laterally continuous source rock interval is found in the Lower Llandovery. This section is present in all studied boreholes (
Figure 3) and is characterized by a broad range of TOC (0.6–8.8 wt%) and HI (90–367 mg HC/g TOC). Most of the section lies within the oil window maturity range; however, higher maturity levels corresponding to the wet gas zone are recorded in the Gdańsk IG1 borehole. In contrast, the Kościerzyna IG1 borehole contains fully degraded, hydrogen-depleted kerogen with HI values of only 7–33 mg HC/g TOC (
Figure 8). Petroleum potential across the section varies from poor to very good. As in the Sandbian–Lower Katian interval, rocks in Kościerzyna IG1 appear to have already expelled their hydrocarbons, as indicated by low Rock-Eval parameters (S
1, S
2, PC) and high RC values (av. 98%). These overmature rocks now lack present-day petroleum potential.
To place the obtained results in a broader regional context, the geochemical characteristics of the studied rocks were compared with previously published data from equivalent Upper Cambrian–Lower Silurian formations in Lithuania and Baltoscandia.
Exceptionally good source rocks have been reported in the Upper Cambrian, Ordovician, and Lower Silurian sections of the Baltic Basin in Baltoscandia and Lithuania. Their significantly higher petroleum potential compared to Polish onshore equivalents likely reflects different kerogen characteristics. In these regions, kerogen is enriched in hydrogen-rich phytoplankton, such as Tasmanites [
15,
16,
46,
47], G. prisca [
48], and microbial mats [
42], forming liptodetrinite- and alginite-rich source rocks (up to 20% liptinite; [
47]). In contrast, Polish shales are dominated by hydrogen-poor, planktonic and animal-derived organic matter, often mixed with liptodetrinite macerals, resulting in low reactivity. While Lower Silurian shales in Lithuania are considered the main oil source rocks in the region, their Polish equivalents, although petroleum generative, appear significantly less potent. This discrepancy may result from kerogen composition: in Poland, it is dominated by optically vitrinite-like constituents, possibly formed through thermal alteration of liptinite (G. Nowak, pers. comm.; ref. [
35]). In the Holy Cross Mountains, located southeast of the Baltic Basin on the East European Platform, organic matter of marine origin (algal and bacterial) has also been recorded in Ordovician–Silurian formations [
41]. However, its geochemical parameters are much poorer than those from the Baltic Basin, and it shows no petroleum potential. Other studies, e.g., [
49], confirm that maceral composition is critical for petroleum potential in fine-grained rocks, with a high content of fatty acid-rich algae being a key factor in oil generation.
4.6. Bitumen Analysis in the Source Rock of the Study Area
Since most of the source rock intervals are located within the oil window maturity zone, clearly evidenced in the Żarnowiec IG1, Darżlubie IG1, Hel IG1, and Gdańsk IG1 boreholes, the analysis of oil content becomes a key component of the geological petroleum assessment. This information is valuable for both scientific research and industrial applications, as it may influence petroleum exploration strategies, resource estimation, and risk assessment.
Geochemical analyses of light and heavy oil fractions, resins with asphaltenes, and kerogen content indicate that the studied source rocks are only weakly impregnated with bitumen. They do not exhibit the characteristics of commercially viable, oil-saturated reservoirs (
Table 2). Within the oil-mature Darriwilian–Llandovery interval, kerogen is clearly the dominant component, while light and heavy oil contents remain low. A further reduction in oil content is observed in the gas-mature section of the Kościerzyna IG1 borehole.
These findings suggest that source rocks in the onshore sector of the Polish part of the Baltic Basin may contain only minor quantities of oil. Detailed geochemical data confirm a kerogen-dominated composition, with high kerogen contents (average 32.70 mg HC/g rock, reaching up to 95.58 mg HC/g rock) and low concentrations of light and heavy oils, ranging from 0.02 to 1.75 and 0.04 to 2.91 mg HC/g rock, respectively. In the Kościerzyna IG1 borehole, a certain amount of resins and asphaltenes was detected, which could indicate a bituminous level (TPIr > 0.4). However, even these values remain relatively low.
Comparison with a reference sample from a known tar-rich interval shows that economically viable oil-bearing rocks should contain significantly higher concentrations of heavy oils (
Table 2). Additionally, shale oil reservoirs are typically characterized by much higher amounts of free hydrocarbons (S
1 parameter), as demonstrated by [
49], which is not observed in the studied shales.
4.7. Kinetic Studies of the Sandbian-Lower Katian Samples from the Kętrzyn IG1 Well
The Kętrzyn IG1 well, which contains organic-rich and thermally immature Sandbian–Lower Katian samples from Sasino Fm., provides an excellent opportunity for geochemical and kinetic investigations. The aim of the kinetic modeling was to simulate how these potential high-quality source rocks (
Figure 10A,B) might behave at greater burial depths in the western part of the basin, including the research area [
50]. The Optkin kinetic model was applied to evaluate the transformation ratio of kerogen (
Figure 10A) and the potential amount of hydrocarbons generated (
Figure 10B). Although the Kętrzyn IG1 well is located in the eastern sector of the Polish part of the Baltic Basin, (well east of the study area), the thickness of the Sandbian–Lower Katian interval (Sasino Fm.) is remarkably consistent across several wells (~13 m in Kętrzyn IG1, ~13 m in Gdańsk IG1, ~35 m in Darżlubie IG1, and ~34 m in Żarnowiec IG1). The sedimentological characteristics in these wells are also similar [
27,
51,
52]. In both the Kętrzyn IG1 and the studied cores especially of Katian age (upper part of the Sasino Fm.), the dominant lithologies are shales and mudstones, accounting for approximately 93–100 vol.% of the section. This strong lithological similarity supports the interpretation that the organic-rich interval in the Kętrzyn IG1 represents a lithological equivalent of that found in the study area.
At the Kętrzyn site, the organic-rich Sandbian–Lower Katian interval is thermally immature, with measured values of ~0.5% Ro and 427 °C Tmax. The latter indicates a late diagenetic stage, just prior to the onset of hydrocarbon generation. Additionally, TOC values in the samples exceed the threshold of 2 wt%, which is sufficient for kinetic modeling (
Figure 10B, inset). The geochemical data confirm that these samples represent excellent potential source rocks for modeling purposes, with high petroleum potential, elevated TOC content (
Figure 9), and a dominance of Type II kerogen (
Figure 8).
A 1D burial and thermal history model was developed to identify the primary factor controlling kerogen thermal maturity in the study area. Modeling was performed using data from multiple boreholes, all of which revealed a consistent burial history [
32,
53]. Each 1D model indicates a phase of rapid burial during the early Wenlock to late Ludlow, lasting approximately 7–8 million years (
Figure 11). This episode, likely associated with regional Caledonian tectonic restructuring of the basin [
13,
52,
54], appears to have been the main driver of thermal maturation in the region. Consequently, a high heating rate scenario was selected for the Optkin modeling (
Figure 10A,B). A heating rate of 25 °C/min produced results consistent with rapid burial and relatively low kerogen transformation efficiency—unfavorable conditions for hydrocarbon generation.