Demand Analysis Models to Support Cultural Tourism Strategy: Application of Conjoint Analysis in North Sardinia (Italy)
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Study Area: The Anglona and Coros Region in North Sardinia
2.1. The Tourism Offer
2.2. The Tourism Demand
3. Literature Review: Techniques for Evaluating Preferences and Estimating “Non-Market” Goods
- possessing the ability to manage and analyze contexts in which the good and its changes from the status quo are multi-dimensional. This implies that one can assess the different WTP referring to individual attributes and consequently rank them according to the importance given to them;
- avoid the explicit question of willingness to pay, but price is entered as a characteristic of the good (cost attribute) and varies according to the different scenarios proposed;
- measuring each type of use and non-use value.
- Policy scenario: it must be based on and defined by the status quo scenario, this may not only represent the current situation, but also what will emerge if no action is taken on the current situation. This last aspect is very useful when applying the method to cultural or landscape assets, as the status quo situation may represent the absence of restoration and enhancement interventions, or only the presence of ordinary maintenance of the asset.
- Attribute and level selection: this phase is the core of CA techniques. In fact, one has to choose those attributes that are relevant and significant for the user and the researcher in the definition of the good, then one has to choose the levels proper to each attribute, these must present substantial differences between them so as to be easily understood by the respondent. The levels can be represented as an alternative to the status quo, this type has advantages in structuring the scenario and should therefore be used more. Preliminary investigative tools such as informal interviews or focus groups are useful at this stage, as they allow one to understand whether the chosen attributes and levels are ambiguous or not.
- Preference analysis model: all possible combinations of attributes with their levels will make up the so-called full factorial, e.g., with two attributes defined on three levels the full factorial will be equal to 9, which correspond to the possible combinations. Obviously, as the number of attributes and, consequently, the number of levels increases, the number of combinations will be higher and higher, which is why it will be complicated for the respondent to administer the questionnaire. According to the literature, there are several possibilities regarding the maximum number of choices to be presented to the user: Adamowicz and Boxail propose a number ranging from 1 to 32 choices [36]; Hanley, Wright and Adamowicz suggest a maximum of eight choices [37]; Kroes and Sheldon suggest limiting the choices to between 9 and 16 [38]. Thus, given the difficulty in presenting too many choices, two methods are used to reduce complexity: the fractional factorial which represents a selection of the full factorial, which, obviously, the smaller it is, the lesser the model’s ability to understand certain interactions between attributes; and the blocking method which consists of segmenting the full factorial into blocks of combinations [39]. The first method, fractional factorial, is the most widely used since it allows unrealistic combinations to be excluded.
- Combination of the choice sets: involves the creation of the different choice sets, in each of which the previously defined ‘status quo’ option must be present, as it allows the measurement of the variation in well-being and the marginal WTP. Furthermore, such a large number of alternatives must be chosen so as not to incur distortions during the decision-making process; this can occur when the alternatives are so numerous that “tiredness” and “repetitiveness” in responses occur. The presentation of alternatives to respondents takes place on random processing of the profiles (or cards) obtained. These may be labeled or unlabeled. The former, as opposed to the latter, present a concise description of the policy scenario.
- The structure of the questionnaire: it is presented by interview according to the usual methods. The typology chosen varies according to the persons interviewed and the resources present, but it is preferable to conduct direct interviews on site so as to accompany the interviewees throughout the questionnaire, especially during the first choices. The questionnaire is composed of three different sections: the first includes an introductory part where the reason and purpose of the research will be explained, but also the scenario to which it refers and possible variations; the second part consists of the presentation of the various choice sets and the users’ choice; finally, the third part is used to obtain information on the respondent’s socio-economic situation, thus with questions concerning the level of education, income and age. As far as the number of respondents is concerned, one can rely on McCallum’s “rule of thumb” [40], which states that at least 50 respondents should be assigned to each choice set. Or, according to Roscelli [41]:(n × t × a)/c > 500.
- Econometric analysis: once the answers have been obtained, the results are analyzed. “The reference theoretical model implies that for each individual i, a given level of utility is associated with each alternative j. Alternative j will be chosen if and only if the relative utility associated with it is, in the set of choices, the higher one. This utility may depend both on the characteristics (attributes) of the good and on the socio-economic characteristics of individuals” [39] (p. 137). Hanemann [42] then specifies the indirect utility function composed of an observable element (V) and an unobservable, stochastic one (ε) by the researcher and is therefore considered as random. This function is expressed according to the following formula:Uij = Vij + εijP[Uig > Uih) ∀ h ≠ g] = P[(x′ igβ − x′ ihβ) > (εih − εig)]−β non-market attribute/β monetary attribute = marginal WTP for the attribute
4. Materials and Methods
5. Results
5.1. Socio-Economic Survey
5.2. Econometric Analysis
5.3. Willingness to Pay
5.4. Relationship between Choice and Socioeconomic Context
6. Discussion
7. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Attributes | Levels |
---|---|
Cultural heritage (CH) | Conservation and protection of cultural heritage in the state of fact |
(Cons. CH) Enhancement of the Nuragic period itinerary (Nuragic) | |
Enhancement of the Medieval era itinerary (Medieval) | |
Sports, fitness and green (SFITGR) | Conservation and protection of green areas in the state of fact (Cons. Green) |
Enhancement of recreation places and green areas (Green Areas) Enhancement of places for sports activities (Sport) | |
Food and wine (F and W) | No food and wine experience (No F and W) |
Enhancement of stops for tasting of traditional dishes (Trad. Dishes) | |
Experience inside a local business (Experience) | |
Transportation (TRAN) | Transportation vehicle to be provided by the user (NoTran) |
Use of a shuttle (Shuttle) Use of an electric car (Electric Car) |
ID Card | Cultural Heritage | Sport, Fitness and Green | Food and Wine | Transportation | Cost |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Medieval | Green Areas | Experience | No Tran | 31–50€ |
2 | Medieval | Sport | No F and W | Shuttle | Above 50€ |
3 | Nuragic | Cons. Green | Experience | Shuttles | Above 50€ |
4 | Nuragic | Sport | Trad. Dishes | No Tran | 31–50€ |
5 | Nuragic | Green Areas | No F and W | No Tran | 31–50€ |
6 | Cons. CH | Sport | Experience | Electric car | 31–50€ |
7 | Cons. CH | Cons. Green | No F and W | No Tran | 10–30€ |
8 | Medieval | Cons. Green | Trad. Dishes | Electric car | Above 50€ |
9 | Cons. CH | Green Areas | Trad. Dishes | Shuttle | 30–50€ |
Characteristics | Total | Residents | Visitors | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sex | Female | 57% | 53% | 60% |
Male | 41% | 45% | 38% | |
I prefer not to answer | 2% | 2% | 2% | |
Age | 18–25 years | 9% | 9% | 9% |
26–35 years | 19% | 9% | 30% | |
36–50 years | 20% | 22% | 17% | |
55–65 years | 26% | 37% | 14% | |
Above 65 years | 26% | 23% | 30% | |
Household | 1 person | 9% | 9% | 10% |
2 persons | 21% | 22% | 22% | |
3 persons | 28% | 35% | 35% | |
4 persons | 34% | 27% | 27% | |
More than 4 persons | 8% | 7% | 7% | |
Level of studies | Middle school | 5% | 6% | 5% |
High school | 47% | 53% | 41% | |
Bachelor’s degree | 15% | 13% | 17% | |
Master’s degree | 28% | 25% | 30% | |
PhD | 5% | 3% | 7% | |
Employment | Employee | 41% | 42% | 38% |
Homemaker | 4% | 6% | 1% | |
Freelancer | 17% | 21% | 14% | |
Student | 18% | 9% | 28% | |
Unemployed | 6% | 8% | 3% | |
Retiree | 9% | 9% | 10% | |
In other condition | 5% | 5% | 6% | |
Income | Less than 10,000€ | 31% | 27% | 35% |
10,000–26,000€ | 40% | 45% | 34% | |
26,0005–55,000€ | 25% | 24% | 26% | |
55,000–75,000€ | 2% | 2% | 3% | |
75,000–120,000€ | 1% | 1% | 1% | |
More than 120,000€ | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Residents | Visitors | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Attributes | Levels | β coeff. | Std. Err. | β coeff. | Std. Err. |
CH | Cons. CH | −0.056 | 0.047 | −0.007 | 0.08 |
Nuragic | −0.112 | 0.094 | −0.013 | 0.159 | |
Medieval | −0.168 | 0.141 | −0.02 | 0.239 | |
SFITGR | Cons. Green | 0.027 | 0.031 | 0.057 | 0.053 |
Green Areas | 0.054 | 0.063 | 0.115 | 0.107 | |
Sport | 0.081 | 0.094 | 0.172 | 0.160 | |
F and W | No F and W | 0.048 | 0.033 | 0.081 | 0.057 |
Trad. Dishes | 0.095 | 0.067 | 0.163 | 0.114 | |
Experience | 0.143 | 0.1 | 0.244 | 0.171 | |
TRAN | No Tran | −0.028 | 0.039 | −0.01 | 0.066 |
Shuttle | −0.056 | 0.078 | −0.02 | 0.133 | |
Electric car | −0.085 | 0.117 | −0.03 | 0.199 | |
Cost | 10–30€ | 0.023 | 0.07 | −0.014 | 0.118 |
31–50€ | 0.046 | 0.139 | −0.027 | 0.236 | |
More than 50€ | 0.069 | 0.209 | −0.041 | 0.355 | |
Constant | 0.378 | 0.129 | 0.21 | 0.219 |
Scenario | Residents | Visitors |
---|---|---|
1 | 0.425 | 0.512 |
2 | 0.325 | 0.382 |
3 | 0.449 | 0.437 |
4 | 0.46 | 0.495 |
5 | 0.326 | 0.336 |
6 | 0.507 | 0.562 |
7 | 0.392 | 0.317 |
8 | 0.316 | 0.339 |
9 | 0.461 | 0.434 |
Attributes | Levels | Residents | Visitors |
---|---|---|---|
CH | Cons. CH | −2.42€ | −0.51€ |
Nuragic | −4.85€ | −0.95€ | |
Medieval | −7.27€ | −1.46€ | |
SFITGR | Cons. Green | 1.17€ | 4.16€ |
Green Areas | 2.34€ | 8.39€ | |
Sport | 3.51€ | 12.55€ | |
F and W | No F and W | 2.08€ | 5.91€ |
Trad. Dishes | 4.11€ | 11.9€ | |
Experience | 6.19€ | 17.81€ | |
TRAN | No Tran | −1.21€ | −0.73€ |
Shuttle | −2.42€ | −1.46€ | |
Electric car | −3.68€ | −2.19€ |
Attributes | Levels | Middle School | High School | Bachelor’s Degree | Master’s Degree | PhD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CH | Cons. CH | −4.65€ | −4.19€ | −1.16€ | −1.42€ | 1.32€ |
Nuragic | 9.3€ | −8.54€ | −2.32€ | −2.89€ | 2.62€ | |
Medieval | 14€ | −12.7€ | −3.48€ | −4.31€ | 3.93€ | |
SFITGR | Cons. Green | 4.82€ | 5.48€ | 2.48€ | 3€ | 1.63€ |
Green Areas | 9.7€ | 10.96€ | 4.97€ | 6.15€ | 3.26€ | |
Sport | 14.53€ | 16.61€ | 7.51€ | 9.21€ | 4.89€ | |
F and W | No F and W | 2.85€ | 10€ | 3.15€ | 3.94€ | 2.19€ |
Trad. Dishes | 5.17€ | 19.83€ | 6.34€ | 7.89€ | 4.39€ | |
Experience | 7.73€ | 29.83€ | 9.5€ | 11.84€ | 6.63€ | |
TRAN | No Tran | −0.98€ | −2.9€ | −0.19€ | −1€ | 0.95€ |
Shuttle | −1.97€ | −5.64€ | −1.82€ | −2€ | 1.87€ | |
Electric car | −3€ | −8.54€ | −2.73€ | −3€ | 2.83€ |
Attributes | Levels | Employee | Freelancer | Student | Unemployed | Retiree | In Other Condition | Homemaker |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CH | Cons. CH | −0.13€ | −1.83€ | −5.91€ | −0.05€ | −2.85€ | −0.72€ | −4.28€ |
Nuragic | 0.64€ | −3.66€ | −11.8€ | −0.1€ | −5.71€ | −1.45€ | −8.57€ | |
Medieval | 0.99€ | −5.49€ | −17.6€ | −0.16€ | −8.92€ | −2.18€ | −12.8€ | |
SFITGR | Cons. Green | 0.88€ | 0.95€ | 12.5€ | 0.36€ | 9.64€ | 0.11€ | 26€ |
Green Areas | 1.76€ | 1.94€ | 25€ | 0.7€ | 19.2€ | 0.22€ | 52€ | |
Sport | 2.64€ | 2.9€ | 37.6€ | 1.07€ | 29.2€ | 0.34€ | 78.2€ | |
F and W | No F and W | 1.52€ | 1.36€ | 11.9€ | 1.25€ | 15.7€ | 0.09€ | 22.1€ |
Trad. Dishes | 3€ | 2.73€ | 24€ | 2.53€ | 31€ | 0.16€ | 44.2€ | |
Experience | 4.6€ | 4€ | 36€ | 3.79€ | 46.7€ | 0.29€ | 66.4€ | |
TRAN | No Tran | −0.05€ | −0.98€ | −3.52€ | 0.56€ | −7.5€ | −0.25€ | −26.4€ |
Shuttle | −0.13€ | −2€ | −7.04€ | 1.11€ | −15.3€ | −0.51€ | −52.8€ | |
Electric car | −0.19€ | −3€ | −10.5€ | 1.67€ | −22.8€ | −0.77€ | −79.2€ |
Attributes | Levels | Less than 10,000€ | 10,000–26,000€ | 26,000–55,000€ | 55,000–75,000€ | 75,000–120,000€ | More than 120,000€ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CH | Cons. CH | 4.67€ | −1.79€ | −1.15€ | 1.23€ | 0.6€ | −1.87€ |
Nuragic | 9.19€ | −3.49€ | −2.21€ | 2.46€ | 0.99€ | −3.75€ | |
Medieval | −13.8€ | −5.28€ | −3.36€ | 3.7€ | 1.5€ | −5.62€ | |
SFITGR | Cons. Green | 11.1€ | 3.39€ | 4.33€ | 0.11€ | 0.56€ | 0.61€ |
Green Areas | 22€ | 6.69€ | 8.58€ | 0.23€ | 1.12€ | 1.83€ | |
Sport | 33.2€ | 10€ | 12.9€ | 0.4€ | 2.69€ | 2.75€ | |
F and W | No F and W | 12.6€ | 6.41€ | 5.66€ | 0.17€ | 0.44€ | 0.29€ |
Trad. Dishes | 25.4€ | 12.7€ | 11.3€ | 0.32€ | 0.89€ | 0.58€ | |
Experience | 38.2€ | 19.1€ | 16.9€ | 0.5€ | 1.35€ | 0.88€ | |
TRAN | No Tran | −2.9€ | −2.07€ | −0.44€ | 0.32€ | 0.33€ | −1.7€ |
Shuttle | −5.8€ | −4.15€ | −0.88€ | 0.67€ | 0.67€ | −3.42€ | |
Electric car | 8.7€ | −6.22€ | −6.22€ | 1€ | 0.99€ | −5.12€ |
Cultural Heritage | Sport, Fitness And Green | Food and Wine | Transportation |
---|---|---|---|
Conservation and protection of cultural heritage in the state of fact | Enhancement of places for sports activities | Experience inside a local business | Transportation vehicle to be provided by the user |
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Coscia, C.; Pasquino, F. Demand Analysis Models to Support Cultural Tourism Strategy: Application of Conjoint Analysis in North Sardinia (Italy). Land 2023, 12, 2150. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12122150
Coscia C, Pasquino F. Demand Analysis Models to Support Cultural Tourism Strategy: Application of Conjoint Analysis in North Sardinia (Italy). Land. 2023; 12(12):2150. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12122150
Chicago/Turabian StyleCoscia, Cristina, and Francesca Pasquino. 2023. "Demand Analysis Models to Support Cultural Tourism Strategy: Application of Conjoint Analysis in North Sardinia (Italy)" Land 12, no. 12: 2150. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12122150
APA StyleCoscia, C., & Pasquino, F. (2023). Demand Analysis Models to Support Cultural Tourism Strategy: Application of Conjoint Analysis in North Sardinia (Italy). Land, 12(12), 2150. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12122150