Mechanisms Controlling Multiphase Landslide Reactivation at Red Soil–Sandstone Interfaces in Subtropical Climates: A Case Study from the Eastern Pearl River Estuary
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Study Location
3. Methodology
3.1. Field and Laboratory Investigations
3.2. Methodology of Random Forest Model
- (1)
- Data collection and organization. Landslide and rainfall data are collected, and the collected data are cleaned to remove abnormal values, missing values, etc., to ensure the accuracy and reliability of the data. The rainfall data and landslide data are organized in chronological order to facilitate subsequent analysis.
- (2)
- Feature extraction. Extract the characteristic parameters that may be related to the occurrence of landslides, such as daily rainfall, cumulative rainfall, etc., from the rainfall data.
- (3)
- Model building. Input independent variables, including at different time scales, such as daily rainfall, cumulative rainfall in the previous period, and so on. The output-dependent variable, the probability of landslide occurrence, is the main result of the model output, indicating the possibility of landslide occurrence under the given rainfall conditions. A random forest algorithm is chosen to establish the relationship between inputs and outputs. The collected historical rainfall data and landslide data were used to train and validate the model.
- (4)
- Model Validation. The five-fold cross-validation of the model was performed using multiple independent datasets (data cut-off 9:1) to assess its predictive and generalization abilities. Based on the validation results, the multiset model was optimized and adjusted to improve its accuracy and usefulness.
- (5)
- Determination of rainfall thresholds. The interval of the cumulative rainfall in the previous period under the probability of rainfall occurrence obtained from the training results of multiple models is used as the rainfall threshold for landslide occurrence.
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Evolutionary History of Multi-Stage Revival of Landslides
- (1)
- Characterization of the first landslide
- (2)
- Characterization of the second landslide and the first construction change
- (3)
- Characterization of the third landslide and second construction changes
- (4)
- Characterization of the fourth landslide and its relationship with rainfall
4.2. Random Forest Model Outcomes
4.3. The Role of the Red Soil–Sandstone Interface in Influencing Successive Landslides
4.3.1. Landslide Perimeter Determination
4.3.2. Sliding Surface Determination
4.3.3. Interaction and Traction Relationship Between Landslide #1 and Landslide #2
4.4. Mechanisms of Landslide Genesis at the Red Soil–Sandstone Interface
4.4.1. Mechanical Properties of Red Soil and Sandstone
4.4.2. Characteristics of the Red Soil–Sandstone Interface
4.4.3. Landslide Causes Analysis
- (1)
- Endogenous causes
- ①
- Stratigraphic lithology
- ②
- Geomorphological Vulnerability
- (2)
- External causes
- ①
- Rainfall
- ②
- Groundwater dynamics
- ③
- Human interventions
- (3)
- Multi-Factor Coupling Mechanism
- ①
- Hydro-Mechanical Feedback
- ②
- Anthropogenic-Geological Interaction
- ③
- Temporal-Spatial Coupling
- ④
- Progressive Failure Sequence
4.4.4. Landslide Mechanism
5. Summary and Conclusions
- (1)
- Through an in-depth analysis of the 2022 landslide event at the laterite–sandstone interface along the east coast of the Pearl River Estuary, this study reveals the interaction mechanism between landslide occurrence and complex geological conditions, intense rainfall, and human engineering activities. Our results show that the resurrection and evolution of landslides are the result of multistage and multi-factors, especially rainfall as an external trigger, which significantly reduces the physical strength of the soil through infiltration, leading to the occurrence and expansion of landslides. This provides an important reference for us to further understand the complex dynamic process of landslides.
- (2)
- In this study, the relationship between landslide size and rainfall was explored in detail using field survey, UAV photogrammetry, and geologic analysis. Our results show a significant positive correlation between the size of landslides and cumulative rainfall, which further validates the key role of rainfall in landslide occurrence and expansion. This finding is of great practical significance for the prediction, assessment, and prevention of landslide disasters in the future.
- (3)
- This study significantly enhances our understanding of the evolution, destabilization process, and risk mitigation strategies of multiphase laterite–sandstone interface landslide revival along the east coast of the Pearl River Estuary. Despite the in-depth exploration of the causes, mechanisms, and impacts of the event, the relatively short time scales of the data may not be sufficient to fully reflect the impacts of long-term geologic processes and climate change on landslide activities. Future studies should consider introducing monitoring data with longer time scales to more fully assess the dynamic processes of landslides.
- (4)
- The results of this study can be directly applied to landslide risk assessment and mitigation in similar regions, particularly in subtropical climates with red soil–sandstone interfaces. The proposed mitigation strategies, including improved drainage systems and slope reinforcement, can significantly reduce landslide risks. Future research should focus on long-term monitoring of landslide-prone areas to better understand the impacts of climate change and anthropogenic activities on slope stability. Additionally, advanced numerical modeling techniques can be employed to simulate landslide dynamics under different scenarios.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Date (Month/Year) | Location | Main Characteristics | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Crack Length (m) | Maximum Crack Width (m) | Maximum Slide Depth (m) | ||
June 2017 | K903+150–K903+275 s stage slope | 40.00 | 0.20 | 1.50 |
December 2017 | K903+240–K903+290 slope | The height of the staggered platform 17 m outside the top of the slope is approximately 5 m | ||
April 2018 | K903+073–K903+103 first stage slope | The landslide is in the shape of a chair. There is a staggered platform 3 m outside the top of the slope. The first stage of the platform is subdued. |
Test Name | Silty Clay Quick Shear | Silty Clay Consolidation Test | Fully Weathered Sandstone Quick Shear | Fully Weathered Sandstone Consolidation Test | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Items | c (kPa) | φ (°) | av (MPa−1) | Es (MPa) | c (kPa) | φ (°) | av (MPa−1) | Es (MPa) |
Maximum | 24.3 | 22.1 | 0.950 | 8.34 | 23.9 | 17.5 | 0.740 | 4.12 |
Minimum | 15.1 | 6.9 | 0.310 | 2.28 | 23.9 | 17.5 | 0.440 | 2.79 |
Mean | 20.0 | 13.0 | 0.686 | 3.69 | 23.9 | 17.5 | 0.563 | 3.63 |
Numbers | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
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Zhang, Y.; Liao, J.; You, Y.; Li, Z.; Zhou, C.; Liu, Z. Mechanisms Controlling Multiphase Landslide Reactivation at Red Soil–Sandstone Interfaces in Subtropical Climates: A Case Study from the Eastern Pearl River Estuary. Water 2025, 17, 1139. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17081139
Zhang Y, Liao J, You Y, Li Z, Zhou C, Liu Z. Mechanisms Controlling Multiphase Landslide Reactivation at Red Soil–Sandstone Interfaces in Subtropical Climates: A Case Study from the Eastern Pearl River Estuary. Water. 2025; 17(8):1139. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17081139
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhang, Yongxiong, Jin Liao, Yongchun You, Zhibin Li, Cuiying Zhou, and Zhen Liu. 2025. "Mechanisms Controlling Multiphase Landslide Reactivation at Red Soil–Sandstone Interfaces in Subtropical Climates: A Case Study from the Eastern Pearl River Estuary" Water 17, no. 8: 1139. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17081139
APA StyleZhang, Y., Liao, J., You, Y., Li, Z., Zhou, C., & Liu, Z. (2025). Mechanisms Controlling Multiphase Landslide Reactivation at Red Soil–Sandstone Interfaces in Subtropical Climates: A Case Study from the Eastern Pearl River Estuary. Water, 17(8), 1139. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17081139