3.1. LST Analysis
To comprehensively analyze the SUHI trends within the study area, our initial step involves examining the temporal variations of LST using Landsat 5, 7, and 8 imagery. This is depicted in
Figure 5, illustrating the median, maximum, and minimum LST values during the summer period from 1985 to 2023. It is worth noting that the median LST value is calculated across the entire study area, providing an overview of the overall temperature trends. Meanwhile, the maximum and minimum LST values are calculated for the pixel with the highest and lowest temperatures recorded each year during the summer period, offering insights into localized temperature extremes. This visualization highlights the temporal variations of LST, shedding light on the magnitude and temporal patterns of SUHI over the specified time frame. To ensure a robust representation of all years within the considered period, years with only one available image for the summer period were excluded from the analysis.
Figure 5 also displays the number of available images for each year. The years excluded from the study were then 1999, 2006, 2007, and 2008.
Figure 5 illustrates the rising temperatures in the study area, particularly in recent years, attributable in part to the phenomenon of global warming, as well as the ongoing urbanization of the region. Analysis of land use data provided by the Emilia Romagna Region reveals a notable increase in the percentage of land consumption for the Municipality of Sassuolo, reaching 30.71% by 2022. Based on available data, starting from 2006, the net increase in land consumption has exceeded 50 hectares [
41]. This upward trend underscores the impact of urban expansion on local temperature dynamics, highlighting the interplay between environmental factors and anthropogenic activities. These results are consistent with the scientific literature, where several studies have been addressed to understand the relationship between urban density and LST when computed with multi-temporal Landsat imagery [
6,
42]. The literature analysis revealed a positive correlation between higher temperatures and levels of urban growth, with a quadratic relation for daytime and a coefficient of determination
r2 around 0.98–0.99 that decreased to 0.95–0.96 for nighttime [
6,
43]. Areas characterized by high-rise structures and economic activities experienced the most pronounced impact of the heat island phenomenon [
44,
45].
The median LST ranges from a minimum of 31.6 °C to a maximum of 46.0 °C. The peak values are observed in the years following 2000, with the highest median LST recorded in 2022. It is important to note and emphasize that Landsat images are acquired around 10 am, when urban surfaces are still absorbing heat, and certainly do not reflect the peak temperatures of the day.
Looking at median LST, the results obtained from the Mann–Kendall test reveal compelling evidence of a significant positive trend over the analyzed period. The tau statistic of 0.67 and the low
p-value of 2.26 × 10
−8 indicate a robust and consistent upward trend in LST. Moreover, the calculated slope of 0.292 further confirms the magnitude of this trend. This slope represents the rate of change in LST over time. Specifically, it implies that if the current trend continues, we can expect an increase of 2.92 °C in LST over ten years. This trend is deemed significant at the 99% confidence level, suggesting a high level of certainty in the observed increase in LST. The obtained trend is consistent with the literature studies that found, in several worldwide locations, values from 0.017 to 0.32 °C [
46,
47].
We also aimed to obtain a comprehensive overview of the relationship between temperature hotspots and albedo, which is a key parameter for its influence on the distribution and intensity of the SUHI phenomenon. Thus, we decided to focus only on impervious surfaces given the well-known negative correlation between LSTs and albedos in these kind of surfaces (for vegetation, we need to consider the evapotranspiration process as well), which has already been investigated in several studies [
48,
49].
Figure 6 shows the LST map of 1 August 2018, clipped on anthropic impervious surfaces retrieved from the Corine Land Cover map of 2017 [
50] of the Emilia Romagna region. Side by side, we report the WV3 surface reflectance image represented in natural colors to highlight how LSTs in the southern residential area are lower than those in the northern industrial area, where LST peaks reach up to 52 °C. To correlate LST with different types of urban surfaces,
Figure 6 also includes the albedo map from the WV3 image that highlights critical areas in the industrial zone, where low albedo values correspond to high LSTs.
The negative correlation between LST and albedo, as illustrated in
Figure 6, unveils crucial insights into the SUHI phenomenon and mitigation strategies. Areas exhibiting high LST and low albedo values indicate surfaces that absorb more solar radiation, contributing significantly to localized heat buildup. Understanding this relationship offers opportunities for proactive urban planning and sustainable development practices [
48].
High LST coupled with low albedo areas represent urban heat hotspots, intensifying the UHI effect. These regions experience elevated temperatures, impacting human health, energy consumption for cooling, and overall urban microclimate quality [
4]. The concentration of such heat-prone zones highlights areas requiring targeted interventions to reduce thermal stress and enhance urban livability.
Identifying surfaces with low albedo and high LST not only helps understand the exacerbation of the SUHI phenomenon, but also guides interventions using high albedo solar-reflective materials. Implementing cool roofs, reflective pavements, green infrastructure, and urban forestry in these zones can mitigate heat absorption, lower surface temperatures, and reduce energy demands for cooling buildings [
51]. These measures not only enhance local thermal comfort, but also promote energy efficiency and sustainability in urban environments.
Insights from the LST–albedo relationship guide urban planners, policymakers, and stakeholders in prioritizing UHI mitigation efforts. Integrating heat mitigation strategies into urban design standards, zoning regulations, and building codes can foster climate-resilient cities [
52].
3.2. Spectral Analysis
Initially, the standard error of the mean (SEM) was calculated for WV3 imagery to assess the homogeneity of the selected ROIs. The SEM provides insights into the variability of sample means around the population mean, aiding in the determination of whether the chosen ROIs exhibit uniform characteristics or not.
In particular, the SEM measures the precision of the sample mean estimate as an approximation of the population mean. It quantifies the dispersion or variability of sample means around the population mean. The SEM is calculated by dividing the population standard deviation by the square root of the sample size. It provides important information about the accuracy of the sample mean in representing the population mean, taking into account sample variability and sample size.
The formula for calculating the SEM is:
where:
Researchers often use SEM to assess the reliability and precision of sample means in estimating population parameters. A smaller SEM indicates greater precision, meaning that the sample mean is a more accurate representation of the population mean.
Table 4 shows SEM values computed for each ROI and for each WV3 band. For the VNIR bands, surfaces such as Bituminous membrane, Parking with cobblestones, and Asphalt parking exhibit remarkably low SEM values, indicating high precision in the sample mean estimates. This suggests that the spectral characteristics of these surfaces in the VNIR region are stable and are minimally affected by temporal variations or aging effects. On the other hand, the Polyolefin roof, while maintaining relatively low SEM values, shows slightly more variation compared to the aforementioned surfaces. This variation may imply greater sensitivity to environmental or aging impacts, leading to subtle changes in spectral signatures over time.
Turning to the SWIR bands, surfaces like the aged tiles roof and the new tiles roof display higher SEM values, particularly in the SWIR bands. This suggests greater variability in sample mean estimates over time or increased sensitivity to aging or environmental effects in the SWIR region. The precision differences observed between VNIR and SWIR bands may also stem from the varying spatial resolutions of the WV3 satellite in these spectral regions. The higher spatial resolution in the VNIR bands allows for finer detail capture, potentially enhancing precision in surface characterization and reducing the influence of small-scale variations or aging effects. Conversely, the lower spatial resolution in the SWIR bands may lead to more aggregated or generalized spectral information, which could contribute to increased variability in sample mean estimates, especially for surfaces sensitive to spatial heterogeneity or aging impacts.
It is important to consider these variations when using spectral data for urban analyses, especially for surfaces prone to temporal changes. Despite some surfaces showing increased SEM in the SWIR bands compared to the VNIR bands, they still maintain acceptable levels of precision. This indicates that despite spectral variations in the SWIR region, sample mean estimates remain reliable for urban analysis purposes.
Therefore, a WV3 image was used for a qualitative and quantitative comparison of surface reflectance spectra for the selected ROIs using statistical parameters. In particular, to assess deviations between the two spectra (simulated and satellite-derived), the RMSE was employed, following the guidelines outlined by Wald [
53]. An essential aspect of this comparison process is the temporal interval between the satellite image acquisition in 2018 and the ground measurement campaign in 2023. This time-lapse encompasses the natural aging process experienced by materials, which can significantly affect their characteristics. Unfortunately, simultaneous ground and satellite measurements were not feasible due to temporal constraints. However, addressing this temporal gap and conducting synchronized measurements will be a focal point for future investigations.
The most complete comparison was achieved for the bituminous membrane, as measurements were acquired from the satellite and both ground instruments, i.e., the spectroradiometer and the spectrophotometer.
As illustrated in
Figure 7, the spectral signature of this surface, derived from satellite data, was juxtaposed with ground instrument data.
Figure 8 presents graphical representations of all six investigated surfaces: the polyolefin roof, the aged and new tiles roofs, the asphalted car park, the bituminous membrane, and the cobblestone parking.
The spectral resampling of high-resolution spectra acquired using a ground instrument, aimed at simulating the behavior of the WV3 satellite, has yielded promising outcomes despite the temporal gap between the WV3 image acquisition and the ground campaign.
Notably, highly absorbent surfaces, like bituminous membranes, displayed minimal susceptibility to the aging process. The spectra extracted from the satellite image are effectively substitutable with those obtained through instrumental measurement. Similar patterns hold for surfaces with diverse textures, such as car parks paved with cobblestones. For tiled surfaces, the situation is more complicated. Remote sensing characterization faces greater difficulties and is not immediately attainable, primarily due to the evolving nature of the surfaces themselves. More pronounced deviations are evident, particularly within the SWIR spectral region. These deviations can be attributed to the aging process that surfaces undergo over time, and also to the coarse spectral resolution of WV3 in the SWIR region compared to the VNIR. In the case of the Polyolefin roof, the impact of aging becomes apparent. Spectra measured both from the satellite and on-site exhibit a similar trend, albeit with lower reflectance values recorded in 2023. This particular roof is a “cool” white-colored covering, known for experiencing a rapid decline in solar reflectance in the initial years post-application [
54]. In this case, ensuring proper surface maintenance becomes fundamental to mitigate this decline in its reflective properties. Aging effects on the Polyolefin roof are depicted in the spectral measurements, revealing insights into the surface’s response to environmental conditions over time. Analogous trends and correlations have been identified in the related literature studies, emphasizing the robustness and reproducibility of our findings across different contexts [
55,
56].
Table 5 provides an insight into the mean RMSE values computed using the single RMSE values for each WV3 band across each ROI and urban surface type. RMSE serves as a measure of the discrepancy between measured and predicted values, with lower RMSE values indicating higher measurement accuracy. The RMSE values, falling within the 3–4% range, are considered acceptable due to their alignment with the total uncertainty inherent in spectrophotometer/spectroradiometer measurements [
16,
43]. Among the surfaces analyzed, the “Parking with cobblestones” area stands out for its remarkably low RMSE of 0.01. This suggests a strong agreement between the observed and predicted data, likely because cobblestone surfaces offer a consistent and easily measurable texture. Moving on to the “Bituminous membrane” surfaces, both measurements taken with the ASD Fieldspec 4 and the Spectrophotometer show good agreement with RMSE values of 0.02 and 0.03, respectively. This indicates reliable results from both methods, affirming their effectiveness in assessing bituminous membrane surfaces. The “Asphalt parking” ROI demonstrates a RMSE of 0.06, suggesting a moderate level of accuracy in measurements. Asphalt surfaces typically absorb more solar radiation, contributing to higher urban heat island effects. When comparing the RMSE values for the “Polyolefin roof”, “Aged tiles roof”, and “New tiles roof” regions, we find them ranging from 0.10 to 0.14. These values indicate a moderate to slightly higher level of deviation, all falling well below the acceptable threshold of 4%. The observed RMSE values suggest a probable influence of aging on surface characteristics.
Our findings underscore the efficacy of satellite imagery analysis for characterizing homogeneous surfaces like bituminous membranes and cobblestone parking lots. These materials exhibit stable characteristics over time, minimizing the impact of aging on their spectral signatures and allowing image acquisition at any temporal moment. Conversely, surfaces such as brick or cool materials are notably influenced by aging effects, affecting the reliability of satellite-derived characterizations beyond image acquisition.
Hence, materials like bituminous membranes and cobblestone parking lots could potentially be well-characterized using satellite data rather than ground measurements. These surfaces play a pivotal role in effective SUHI mitigation strategies, especially through the strategic application of cool materials. The precision offered by satellite data allows for a comprehensive understanding of these surfaces, enabling targeted interventions to combat the UHI effect and enhance overall urban climate resilience.
3.3. Albedo Analysis
Table 6 showcases a comparison between the solar reflectance (albedo) values obtained through satellite imagery (WV3) on the chosen ROIs and those measured on the ground using the Fieldspec spectroradiometer. Additionally, the ground-measured values have been post-processed to simulate satellite-derived data, aligning with the AM1GH and E891BN standards. This comparison provides insight into the congruence between ground-based measurements and satellite-derived estimations of solar reflectance.
The comparison of solar reflectance values between satellite-derived data from WV3 and ground measurements using the Fieldspec spectroradiometer, considering the AM1GH and E891BN standards for simulation, reveals interesting patterns across different urban surfaces.
When examining the parking with cobblestones, the solar reflectance values exhibit remarkable consistency across all datasets. This suggests a strong alignment between satellite-derived and ground-measured values for this particular surface type.
In the case of the aged tiles roof, a distinctive trend becomes apparent. The satellite-derived value of 0.21 is noticeably lower than both simulated ground measurements. This discrepancy underscores the role of aging in altering the surface’s reflectance characteristics. Similarly, the new tiles roof also showcases the impact of aging on reflectance. The satellite-derived value of 0.21 is lower compared to the simulated ground measurements, reinforcing the idea that aging affects the reflectance properties of this surface type.
For the Bituminous Membrane, the close alignment of values across all datasets (0.12 for the satellite and 0.11 for both simulated ground measurements) suggests a minimal influence of aging on these particular surface’s reflectance properties.
Lastly, examining the Asphalt Parking, a significant discrepancy arises. The satellite-derived value of 0.16 is notably lower than the values from simulated ground measurements. This divergence underscores the significance of considering the unique characteristics and conditions of each surface when interpreting reflectance data.
To summarize, the comparative analysis underscores the intricate relationship between satellite-derived observations and simulated ground measurements of solar reflectance values. Various factors, such as aging, surface properties, and measurement standards, contribute to the complexities in reconciling these datasets. However, the results obtained are promising, indicating the potential of satellite-based approaches for this type of characterization. The low RMSE values and minimal differences in albedo for certain surfaces hint at the efficacy and reliability of utilizing satellite data in such analyses. Evidence from albedo comparisons between ground-based and satellite measurements further confirms the trends observed in spectral analyses. WV3 satellite imagery emerges as a reliable substitute for ground-based measurements, especially for homogeneous urban surfaces with low albedo. However, for surfaces affected by aging effects, the timing of image acquisition remains crucial. These findings are consistent with the literature review, where surface albedo has been compared and correlated with ground measurements, especially to validate the satellite product for MODIS or Landsat [
57,
58,
59].
These findings suggest strategic approaches for UHI mitigation based on satellite data. One recommendation is to leverage satellite imagery for urban surface classification, identifying areas where cool materials can be effectively applied to reduce surface temperatures. For instance, targeting regions with high surface temperatures and low albedo in satellite images can guide interventions such as the installation of reflective roofing materials or green infrastructure.
Moreover, real-time monitoring using satellites can help track changes in surface properties, guiding maintenance schedules for high-reflectance surfaces to sustain their cooling effects over time. Regular assessments through satellite imagery can also inform urban planners and policymakers about the effectiveness of UHI mitigation strategies, allowing for adaptive measures based on evolving urban heat patterns.
In addition to direct interventions, satellite-based data can support urban planners in developing heat-resilient urban designs. By integrating land surface temperature and albedo data from satellites into urban planning tools, cities can optimize green spaces, building orientations, and material choices to minimize heat absorption and maximize cooling through natural means.