2. Literature Review
Western scholars and Chinese scholars have different research emphases on enterprise capacity construction and utilization. While Western scholars have mainly explained the problem of overcapacity construction from the perspective of macroeconomic cycle fluctuations and the strategic behavior of firms to defend themselves against potential competitors, Chinese scholars have focused more on the problem of overcapacity and underutilization of capacity in China from the perspective of the country’s development stage and special institutional environment. The former has concentrated on the impact of market factors, while the latter has focused on non-market factors based on the realities in China.
In the context of macroeconomic cycles, firms choose to actively maintain a certain amount of excess capacity for reasons such as smoothing demand fluctuations and reducing production costs, while they passively retain a certain amount of excess capacity due to the specificity of their assets. When the macroeconomy is booming, firms will invest more, and when the boom dissipates into a recession, firms will not immediately dispose of their idle capacity [
2]. According to the theory of smooth demand fluctuation, the capacity decision of enterprises is an intertemporal dynamic behavior, and there is great uncertainty in economic life. In order to cope with the sudden growth of market demand in the future, enterprises will choose to maintain a certain amount of excess capacity [
3,
4]. Stiglitz (1999) argued that adjusting capacity at any time according to demand fluctuations requires a large adjustment cost, and the storage cost for storing this part of capacity in the short term is far lower than the adjustment cost, so it is a more rational business decision for enterprises to store this part of capacity [
5]. Pindyck (1986) described the micro-mechanism of a firm’s passive retention of a certain amount of excess capacity; due to the irreversibility of investment and the specialized nature of assets, firms have no way of disposing of this capacity when demand falls, that is, enterprises face large exit barriers due to the specialized nature of production factors and are therefore forced to passively retain excess capacity [
4]. In addition, the strategic behavior of firms to defend themselves against potential competitors may also lead to excess capacity. On the one hand, in a monopolistic competition market, where the timing of the entry of new competitors and the impact of that entry on their own market share are unknown, firms’ capacity adjustments do not match the actual market demand they face, leading to a situation of overcapacity [
6,
7]. On the other hand, under oligopolistic market conditions, incumbents tend to adopt predatory behaviors in order to ward off potential competitors, creating an excess capacity in the market through capacity expansion strategies and thus sending credible deterrent signals to potential entrants [
8,
9].
As China is still in the period of economic transition, the market operation mechanism is not mature, and domestic scholars are more focused on China’s development stage and special institutional environment and other non-market factors in studying the phenomenon of overcapacity unique to China, and the main views can be divided into the “development stage theory” and the “institutional environment theory”. The “development stage theory “, which focuses on the dynamic development of the economy, believes that enterprises in developing countries are prone to consensus on promising industries in the future, and due to incomplete information, enterprises do not have enough information on the total investment volume and are prone to “surge” in investment, which leads to the formation of overcapacity [
10,
11]. Alternatively, it may be argued that in the early stages of the industry, market demand faces greater uncertainty and high-efficiency enterprises will invest cautiously to avoid risks, thus leaving market space for inefficient enterprises. This leads to the underutilization of capacity due to the low market concentration rate [
12]. The “institutional environment theory”, based on the fact that China is still at the stage of economic transition, suggests that local governments have the incentive to intervene in the investment and production behavior of local enterprises due to both financial interests and political promotion, leading to duplication and overcapacity [
13,
14]. In order to promote local economic growth during their tenure, government departments provide land to enterprises at low prices to increase their investment and production, while in order to better assist enterprises in their investment, local governments also coordinate matching loans for enterprises and connive at their pollution emissions, which significantly externalizes their risk and production costs. The combined effect of these factors makes the private investment costs of enterprises less than the social costs, leading to over-investment and overcapacity. In addition, inappropriate government intervention is also evident in the formation of market segmentation and in preventing the exit of excess capacity. Local governments may erect barriers to entry for foreign enterprises in order to maintain or expand local gains. The market segmentation brought about by local protectionism inhibits the free flow of factors between regions, which is detrimental to industrial integration and regional specialization and leads to low levels of capacity utilization [
15]. State-owned enterprises (SOEs) tend to have the distinctive characteristics of heavy fixed assets and a large number of employees. When attempting to exit the market due to poor business performance, SOEs face constraints not only from their production factors but also from local government control. In order to stabilize employment, government departments often provide policy subsidies to poorly-run SOEs, forcing them to remain in the industries. Yang (2013) similarly pointed out that SOEs face greater exit barriers in the exit process due to their special characteristics, which carry more social responsibility [
16].
In recent years, Western scholars’ research on enterprise capacity construction and its utilization rate has declined, while domestic scholars have gradually shifted the focus of their research from exploring the causes of overcapacity to resolving China’s overcapacity when discussing China’s particular overcapacity problem. Since overcapacity at the industry level is basically reflected by enterprise capacity, scholars have focused their research on improving enterprise capacity utilization. Specifically, Chinese scholars discuss three areas: import and export trade; foreign direct investment; and technological innovation.
The impact of export trade on firms’ capacity utilization can be categorized into direct and indirect effects. The direct effect refers to the fact that export trade helps enterprises to expand overseas markets and effectively drives the consumption of excess capacity [
17]; the indirect effect consists of two aspects, one, under export trade, enterprises face stricter consumers, in order to meet the higher product quality preferences of foreign consumers, enterprises need to improve the technical content and quality level of their products. As a result, it leads to greater market competitiveness of enterprises’ products and a decrease in capacity idleness. Second, export trade makes enterprises face more fierce market competition, and in order to gain a foothold in the market, enterprises have to improve their productivity and reduce production costs, and there is a positive relationship between productivity improvement and capacity utilization [
18]. The positive effect of import trade on capacity utilization is more focused on the impact of technology spillover effects of imported products on improving the quality of firms’ products [
19]. The impact of FDI on firms’ capacity utilization is broadly similar to that of export trade, but in addition to the direct and indirect benefits, FDI also has a production transfer effect. Transferring a firm’s marginal production line to less developed regions, not only directly eliminates backward production capacity but also releases the production factors occupied by the marginal production line, improving the firm’s resource allocation efficiency and alleviating overcapacity [
20]. Compared with export and import trade and foreign direct investment, the impact of technological innovation on firms’ capacity utilization is more intuitive on the production and supply side. On the production side, technological innovation can bring about improvements in production methods and processes, resulting in higher production performance, lower production costs, and higher production efficiency, thus positively contributing to capacity utilization [
21]. On the supply side, technological innovation promotes the upgrading of enterprises’ products and services, and enhances their core competition. By implementing differentiation strategies through innovation, enterprises can attract customers and gain customer recognition, which in turn drives up market share and capacity utilization [
22]. However, some other scholars hold the opposite view on the impact of technological innovation on capacity utilization. Since technological progress is not always Hicks-neutral, when it favors capital, the rapid expansion of the capital factor can catalyze the formation of excess capacity [
23]. Further, the “inverse factor endowment structure” bias of technological progress can also cause problems such as insufficient domestic demand and loss of technical efficiency [
24].
In the field of capacity building and utilization, the focus of research has shifted from finding the causes of overcapacity to resolving it and improving enterprises’ capacity utilization. Technological innovation is an important source of motivation for enterprises to flourish and industries to transform and upgrade, and it is not difficult to find that the effect of import and export trade and foreign direct investment on the capacity utilization of enterprises can also be achieved through technological innovation, so it is of great importance to deeply discuss the relationship between technological innovation and the capacity utilization of enterprises. In addition, most of the literature on the relationship between technological innovation and enterprise capacity utilization usually focuses on technological innovation in a broad sense, while it is worth exploring further whether the uncertainty of the impact of technological innovation on enterprise capacity utilization is related to the intensity of innovation. Therefore, this paper takes manufacturing A-share listed companies as the research sample and, based on the study by Liao et al. (2020), classifies technological innovation into breakthrough innovation and incremental innovation [
25], focusing on exploring the impact of the different intensity of technological innovation on the capacity utilization of manufacturing firms. The main marginal contributions of this paper are as follows. Firstly, it enriches the research on the impact of technological innovation on the capacity utilization of enterprises. This paper explores the relationship between technological innovation of different intensities and the capacity utilization of enterprises by dividing technological innovation into breakthrough technological innovation and incremental technological innovation, and finds that breakthrough technological innovation more substantially drives the capacity utilization of enterprises, providing a theoretical and practical basis for the government to introduce targeted innovation incentive policies. Secondly, it investigates the regulatory role of the institutional environment and deepens the research on the relationship between technological innovation and the capacity utilization of enterprises. The article finds that a good institutional environment can stimulate enterprises’ willingness to innovate, and at the same time provide a solid guarantee for their innovation. This finding has important practical implications, that is, when implementing the innovation-driven development strategy, it is important to ensure the efficiency of market competition, provide a good ecosystem of financial service entities, and improve the regulations related to intellectual property rights. Thirdly, differences in the nature of ownership were explored. The sub-sample regression finds that SOEs have better innate conditions to carry out innovative activities, and technological innovation can increase the capacity utilization of SOEs to a greater extent. This finding suggests that local government agencies should provide a good ground for innovation activities by non-state-owned SMEs.