1. Introduction
All types of large-scale projects have resettlement and livability assessment issues, and many areas with safety risks, such as nuclear plants, landfills, and natural disaster risk areas, require the same resettlement efforts. We consider a coal mine subsidence area as a research example. China is the largest coal mining country in the world, and the western Loess Plateau is one of the world’s main coal-mining area. According to the “2022–2028 China Coal Industry Market Development Research and Future Plan Report”, China produced about 4 billion tons of coal in 2021, accounting for 47% of the total global coal production, of which coal mines in the Loess Plateau account for more than one third. The Loess Plateau region is characterized by complex and varied landscapes, gullies and ravines, lacking water resources, and a fragile ecological environment. Each year, ground collapse areas caused by underground coal mining sum up to approximately 500 km
2, endangering the safety of mining construction facilities and the daily life of the residents, and leading to the deterioration of the regional ecological environment [
1,
2,
3,
4,
5]. At present, when mining coal under a township region with a high settlement density in China, coal mining techniques such as infill mining and strip mining are often used to alleviate surface deformation and ensure building safety. Using the above coal mining techniques has the drawbacks of low operating efficiency, high production costs, and low coal mining efficiency. Furthermore, traditional villages on the Loess Plateau are scattered and the main buildings are made of brick and tile with a low deformation resistance. Therefore, the most common solution to prevent the negative consequences of coal mining in village areas is village resettlement [
6]. That is, the villages are concentratedly resettled to a more livable area outside the mining area before mining commences.
In past research, the resettlement works have been divided into three categories [
7]: development-induced resettlement [
8,
9], urbanization-driven resettlement [
10,
11], and ecological resettlement [
12,
13]. For ecological resettlement, after the 2004 Chuetsu Earthquake, the local government carried out a resettlement project. In the course of their work, the local government found that the collective resettlement project was financially cheaper than a small-scale residential area renovation project. In collective resettlement projects, three-quarters of the total construction cost of new site development is borne by the national government, and the individual households participating in the project build their own houses [
14]. Mining-induced displacement and resettlement should be classified as development-induced resettlement. The criteria for resettlement location selection are mostly based on quantitative and semi-quantitative methods following national standards, expert opinions, and previous experiences. However, these methods are not necessarily based on scientific knowledge. Hence, a science-based and efficient system for evaluating the suitability of potential resettlement areas would be desirable. The key to solving the resettlement location selection problem is to establish an effective evaluation index system and corresponding evaluation methods to comprehensively assess the suitability of resettlement areas. The shifting behavior of social space can also be analyzed in terms of human interactions and wealth distribution across multiple scales using fine-grained data. Balsa-Barreiro et al. analyzed rural population migration by mapping population dynamics at local scales using Spatial Networks. In their work, the presence of urban dynamics in areas rarely addressed in the mainstream literature on urban studies is identified [
15,
16].
As an assessment criterion, the concept of livability was introduced, which serves as a key parameter for assessing the suitability of the living area.
To model livability, the first tasks are figuring out which aspect of human resettlement factors should be involved and defining the exact meaning of livability. Alavizadeh et al. researched the definition of livability carefully and investigated the status of livability from the viewpoint of the rural population in villages of Kashmar County [
17]. Livable resettlement locations are those where residents are able and willing to settle long-term. In a livable resettlement location, residents enjoy perceived quality housing, reliable utilities, nearby social infrastructure, neighborhoods, security, and a sense of permanence. Generally, livability includes two core concepts: quality of life, which is based on opportunity and achievement, and an optimized external and internal environment that directly affects the lives of residents. Thus, livability can be defined as the ability of a place to achieve the desired or ideal quality of life for the people who live in it. In other words, it is a combination of concern for the environment and quality of life [
18,
19]. Hence, the evaluation model of livability should take into account some human settlement factors that can have an impact on the residents’ quality of life, including, for example, the dwelling environment, ecological health, infrastructure, public facilities, and economic development. In earlier studies, factors such as living area per capita, population density, vegetation cover per capita, livestock and poultry breeding area per capita (livestock breeding has a high cost for ecological health [
20]), road area per capita, village road hardening rate, number of nursing home beds per capita, number of village health room beds per capita, arable land per capita, and the proportion of villagers engaged in the coal industry (mining jobs can bring better economic income to villagers) were considered as human settlement factors [
21,
22].
In most studies conducted so far, models were semi-quantitative and semi-deterministic. For example, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) [
23,
24], the Delphi method [
25], and the entropy weight method [
21,
26] have been applied. Basu et al. proposed a geographically weighted principal component analysis to evaluate the spatial pattern of urban livability in Raiganj, India [
27]. Some studies have implemented machine learning algorithms such as neural networks to obtain or estimate livability [
28]. However, these livability evaluation models always contain human settlement factors and geographic factors together. In Wang’s study, six aspects are considered as the influencing factors of rural livability: natural environmental conditions, sanitation status, infrastructure condition, public service level, housing condition, and human social amenity. Both geographic factors (natural environmental conditions) and human settlement factors are introduced [
29]. Obviously, the human settlement factors should be the result of complex interactions between geographic factors. Due to the complex relationship between geographical factors and human settlement factors, through consulting experts and China’s rural planning and development guidance [
30], we learned that excluding government investment and other factors, geographical factors have a great impact on rural livability, and most of the human settlement factor will change greatly under the influence of geographical factors. These livability evaluation models rarely have their evaluation indicators analyzed and filtered, so that their accuracy and rigor may be influenced. Otherwise, in our research area, there is no human settlement factor in the open space that may become a resettlement location, but the existence of geographical factors does not have any relationship with the existence of villages. If the aim is to estimate potential livability for areas where currently there is no village, geographic factors may serve as a proxy. To predict habitability within the entire study area, a weighted assessment must be made with geographic factors. The geographic factors we picked are mostly based on references and experience, and maybe they do not have enough of an impact on livability. Hence, to filter out more contributing geographic factors, the Geodetector is introduced.
The Geodetector [
31,
32] (
www.Geodetector.org, accessed on 15 May 2022) is a new statistical method for reveal the spatial heterogeneity of geographic phenomena. Its basic principle is to assume that the study area is divided into several sub-regions and has spatial heterogeneity if the sum of the variance of the sub-regions is smaller than the sum of the variance of the overall study area. The model includes factor detection, interactive factor detection, risk detection, and ecological detection. If an influencing factor has a significant degree of influence on a dependent variable, then the spatial distribution of the influence factor and the dependent variable have similarities. Geodetector can quantitatively determine the dominant factors, and quantifying the influence of two interacting variables on a specific target variable is also an important function of Geodetector.In recent years, many achievements have been made all over the world in the study of spatial heterogeneity and its causes with Geodetector, the factors influencing spatial distribution of soil erosion have been quantitatively analyzed via Geodetector [
33], Fang et al. used Geodetector to investigate the stratified spatial heterogeneity between street network metrics at multiple scales and the four components of urban vitality [
34], and Zhao et al. used Geodetector to select the predictor variables that truly affect the
spatial distribution prediction [
35]. However, no article has been published on the use of Geodetector to assess the livability of village resettlement locations in mining subsidence areas. In general, Geodetector can be implemented for quantitatively analyzing the influence of geographical factors on livability. With the factor detector, a q-statistic is obtained which measures the association between the independent and dependent variables of the Geodetector. In our work, the independent variables are the geographical factors and the dependent variable represents the livability scores obtained by human settlement factors.
In this paper, the village resettlement location selection project in the Dafosi mining area on the Loess Plateau is taken as an example. Using the entropy weight method to weigh the human settlement factors together, the livability of the existing villages was obtained. However, since human settlement factors are only present in the existing villages throughout the potential resettlement location selection study area, to predict the livability of the entire study area it was necessary to establish a model which links livability with geographic factors (Z) to estimate livability for currently unsettled areas. The geographic factors were obtained from various databases and include terrain slope, slope orientation, the shortest distance to a river, the distance from the groundwater level, the shortest distance to the road above the county road level, the shortest distance to a school, the shortest distance to hospitals and clinics, the shortest distance to malls and markets, and the shortest distance to tourist attractions. As some of the geographic factors may not correlate well enough with livability, it is necessary to conduct a correlation analysis and determine driving forces. The relationship between the livability score of existing villages (dependent variable Y) and geographic factors (independent variable Z) was further investigated. Using the Geodetector, the interrelationships of geographic factors were obtained, and the geographic factors with high attribution to livability were filtered out to construct a model of the relationship between livability (Y) and geographic factors (Z) in the coal mining subsidence area of the Loess Plateau. Finally, by using the selected geographic factors, ArcGIS was used for overlay analysis to obtain a geographic livability grading map of the entire resettlement location selection area. In order to ensure that the selected area has enough vacant land for resettlement, the potential resettlement location should avoid the existing villages with excessive housing distribution density, the spatial distribution of settlement houses has to be obtained through remote sensing images, and ArcGIS is used to obtain the kernel density map of each village and to overlay it with the livability grading map in order to get the optimum resettlement location and submit it to the policy-making department of the government for the resettlement location decision.
2. Study Area and Data
The study area was selected to cover an area of approximately 10 km outside of the boundary of the Dafosi coal mine area. This coal mine is located at the border between Bin and Changwu counties in Shaanxi Province, with a total area of approximately 105 km
2. It covers the area between 107°47′–108°0′ E and 35°0′–35°5′ N. Regarding the local policy in China, the village resettlement locations cannot cross the scope of county-level administrative regions. Hence, 37 traditional villages in a 10 km radius around the Dafosi coal mine subsidence area on the Loess Plateau were selected, as shown in
Figure 1.
The study area is a typical hilly gully landscape. The terrain is undulating and the elevation varies from 750 m to 1270 m. The average elevation of the groundwater is about 700 m. The area has a semi-arid climate with an average annual precipitation of 560 mm. Fractional vegetation cover is at a medium level, grassland and arable land have the largest occupation.
The annual coal production of the Dafosi mine is 8 million tons, the No. 4 coal at the depth of 350–450 m is the main mining layer, with an average mining thickness of 9 m, and the long-walled working face mining technique is applied [
36]. After mining, an obvious collapse area has appeared on the terrain, and the maximum ground subsidence in the collapse area will exceed 3 m. The evaluation of the livability of the resettlement area selection must be made in advance. According to the mining production plan, 16 adjacent working faces will be mined in the 10 years from 2021 to 2030, with a total area of about 12 km
2. According to the basic principle of mining subsidence, the surface collapse area caused by underground face mining is located directly above the mining area, but its scope is significantly larger than the area of the mining location [
37]. To successfully resettle all the villages from the collapse area to the newly selected area in advance, the authors of this paper were commissioned by the Dafosi Mining Company to identify areas suitable for resettlement. The company participated in a research project on the livability of the village resettlement location selection area in this mining area. The village number in the study area and the range of the coal mine collapse region where the villages resettlement needs to be implemented are shown in
Figure 2 below. All villages overlapping with the red area have to be resettled within the black areas outside of the red area.
According to the site investigation, a total number of 63 families within the coal mining collapse area must be resettled. According to the new rural planning requirements formulated by the local government, the resettlement area should cover more than m2.
5. Discussion
5.1. Analysis of Human Settlement Factor for the Livability of Villages in Coal Mining Area
Among the human settlement factors affecting the livability of villages in coal mining areas on the Loess Plateau, the five factors of living area per capita (), population density (), road area per capita (), arable land area per capita (), and the proportion of villagers engaged in the coal industry () have larger weight values. This shows that the dwelling environment, infrastructure, and economic development level of villages in the coal mining area on the Loess Plateau have the greatest influence on livability. From the evaluation results, it can be seen that the development of rural China is still lagging behind that of urban areas, and the villagers’ requirements for quality of life are still limited to basic material life, while the requirements for ecological environment, public health, and public facilities are still relatively low. Living area per capita is the human settlement factor that has the highest weight, while population density, road area per capita, arable land per capita, and the proportion of villagers engaged in the coal mining industry represent villagers’ basic requirements for survival and are also important human settlement factors that affect livability. The field survey shows that villagers rely on agricultural production, the service industry, or the coal mining industry for their income, and then build additional houses or roads to improve the livability of the village. It is noteworthy that, if there is a high number of villagers engaged in the coal mining industry, then there is a higher risk of disease. However, the proportion of the number of beds in nursing homes and village health centers in the evaluation results is small, which indicates that the economy of rural areas in the Loess Plateau of China is relatively backward, and the villagers’ demand for medical treatment and retirement is still low, which conforms to the life pattern of rural residents in the backward areas of Western China.
It should be noted that the core of the resettlement location selection for villages is to identify the area with the best livability within the optional area. Since human resettlement factors, are dynamic, variable, and uncertain, these factors are essentially the results of the interaction between a series of objectively existing geographic factors. The above human settlement factors are derived from data collection and field investigation of the human settlement environment of existing villages, while the livability evaluation of the potential resettlement locations is conducted for space outside the villages, and the human settlement factors of these places cannot be obtained directly. Therefore, to carry out a geographic livability evaluation in unknown areas, it is necessary to use an objective and determinable series of geographic factors to construct a livability evaluation model for the potential resettlement locations.
5.2. Geographic Factor Analysis of the Potential Resettlement Location Selection Area
The livability of 37 villages in the study area was used as the dependent variable for detecting the interaction effects among the geographic factors, and the sample size taken was large enough that there was no significant representativeness bias. Afterwards, the Geodetector was used to obtain the main influencing geographic factors for livability. These geographic factors were then used for overlay analysis to directly obtain the livability evaluation results of the potential resettlement locations, thus effectively avoiding issues caused by missing or uncertain data on human settlement factors. The detection results show that tourism resources are one of the main geographic factors of livability. Dafosi is a tourist attraction, located in the study area, which indicates that the tourism industry has a great influence on livability. The reason is that the tourism industry can drive the development of various industries such as farming, education, medicine, construction, etc. Setting the resettlement location close to the tourism industry can increase the prosperity of the village and indirectly improve the livability of the village. Geographic factors such as medical factors, procurement, and transportation also have a great impact on livability, which directly determines the convenience of villagers’ lives after resettlement. The terrain slope has a great impact on livability because of the gullies and ravines on the Loess Plateau and the large changes in terrain slope. The resettlement of villages should avoid areas with large slopes to facilitate the construction of roads and houses in the chosen area and to reduce construction costs. It is noteworthy that slope orientation and groundwater level are less correlated in the spatial distribution of livability, indicating that the requirements for building orientation and groundwater level are low and do not need to be considered as important factors in the selection of a village resettlement location.
5.3. Analysis of the Optimum Resettlement Location Based on the Livability Grading Map
Based on the results of geographic factor detection and overlay analysis (overlaying the existing village’s housing kernel density map on the livability grading map of the study area), the two resettlement locations obtained by GIS search are located near Village No. 29 and No. 26, respectively. Since many villagers are engaged in the coal mining industry for a living, and considering the working radius of the villagers from the resettlement location to the arable land near the original location before resettlement, the "A" area, which is closer to the original location, was chosen as the resettlement location. In the evaluation process of the resettlement location, the kernel density map of the existing village houses can effectively avoid the problem that, after selecting the ideal location, there is an insufficient land area for resettlement or that more existing village houses need to be demolished. It should be noted that, in the livability grading map obtained by overlaying geographic factors selected based on Geodetector, the villages with the highest geographic livability are located near the villages No. 29 and No. 26, while the villages No. 28, No. 27, and No. 30 have the highest geographic livability scores based on the evaluation within the existing village human settlement factor system, but they are all located very close to villages No. 29 and No. 26, respectively. On the one hand, this indicates that there is a small deviation between the livable areas determined by the evaluation of existing village human settlement factors and those detected by geographic factors, mainly because the geographic factor within each village is also spatially stratified and heterogeneous, and there is a slight difference between the geographic factor of dense housing areas and surrounding spaces. However, the spatial distance between the two results is close enough to indicate that the human settlement factors are interactively influenced by the geographic factor and are highly correlated. This indicates that using Geodetector to detect geographic factors and overlay geographic factors to obtain livability grading map yields a good level of certainty and operability in the evaluation of village location in the coal mining area on the Loess Plateau. Furthermore, it is more applicable to the situation where there is no existing village as a reference, and when it is difficult to collect human settlement factors of existing villages. Hence, with our method, it is much easier to obtain directly influential factors for a potential resettlement location evaluation.