High-Speed Railway Opening and Corporate Fraud
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. The Influence of Geographical Distance on Capital Market
2.2. The Influence of the HSR Opening on Economy
2.3. Factors Influencing Corporate Fraud
3. Theoretical Analysis and Research Hypothesis
4. Research Design
4.1. Sample Data
4.2. Variable Definition
4.2.1. Corporate Fraud
- Fraud. If the company is disclosed to have committed fraud in the current year, it equals 1; otherwise, it equals 0.
- Frequency. The total frequency of fraud by the company in the current year disclosed by the CSRC.
4.2.2. Other Control Variables
4.3. Model Design
5. Empirical Results and Analysis
5.1. Descriptive Statistical Results
5.2. Regression Results
5.3. Robustness Test
5.3.1. PSM-DID Test
5.3.2. Placebo Test
5.3.3. Control the Impact of Other Transport Infrastructure
5.3.4. Firm Fixed Effect
5.3.5. Expand the Sample Range
5.3.6. Eliminate the Influence of Big Cities
6. Analysis of the Impact Mechanism
6.1. External Supervision
6.2. Financing Constraints
- (1)
- For each year of the entire sample, we collected and calculated the following data: the operating net cash flow divided by total assets of the previous period (CFit/Ait−1), cash dividends divided by total assets of the previous period (DIVit/Ait−1), cash holdings divided by total assets of the previous period (Cit/Ait−1), asset-liability ratio (LEVit) and Tobin’sQ (TobinQit). If CFit/Ait−1 is lower than the median, then kz1 equals 1, otherwise, it equals 0; if DIVit/Ait−1 is lower than the median, kz2 equals 1, otherwise, it equals 0; if Cit/Ait−1 is lower than the median, kz3 equals 1, otherwise, kz3 equals 0; if LEVit is higher than the median, kz4 equals 1, otherwise, kz4 equals 0; if TobinQit is higher than the median, kz5 equals 1, otherwise, kz5 equals 0.
- (2)
- Calculating the KZ index. KZ = kz1 + kz2 + kz3 + kz4 + kz5.
- (3)
- We took the KZ index as the dependent variable to regress CFit/Ait−1, DIVit/Ait−1, Cit/Ait−1, LEVit, and TobinQit and estimate the regression of each variable coefficient.
7. Further Analysis
7.1. Market Competition
7.2. Internal Control Level of the Company
7.3. Distinguish Different Types of Fraud
8. Discussion
8.1. Main Findings and Comparison with Other Studies
8.2. HSR Opening and the Sustainability of Capital Market
8.3. Policy Suggestion
8.4. Is China a Particular Framework?
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variable Type | Variable Symbol | The Meaning of Variables and the Measurement Method |
---|---|---|
Explained variable | Fraud | Dumb variable, 1 for the corporate fraud of the disclosure in the current year, otherwise 0 |
Freq | Total number of frauds disclosed by the company in the current year | |
Explanatory variable | Train | If an HSR opening impacts the listed firm, it is included in the treatment group and equals 1; otherwise, it is the control group, and equals 0 |
TrainPost | The year of the listed company’s office after the HSR opening is 1, otherwise it is 0 | |
Control variable | Size | Natural logarithm of a company’s total assets |
Lev | Year-end total liabilities divide by total year-end assets | |
Growth | The growth rate of the company’s operating income in the current year | |
TobinQ | Market value divides total assets in the current year. | |
Pattern | For listed companies, value 1 for the state-owned firm, and 0 for the non-state-owned firm. | |
Top10 | The shareholding ratio of top ten shareholders | |
BigFour | Dummy variable, when the audit institution is the big four accounting firms value 1, otherwise value 0 | |
Anarpt | Natural log of the number of analysts’ reports in the current year | |
Turnover | The turnover rate of the company’s stock in the current year |
VarName | Obs | Mean | SD | Min | Median | Median |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fraud | 22,244 | 0.1220 | 0.3273 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
Freq | 22,244 | 0.1762 | 0.6573 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 38.0000 |
Train | 22,244 | 0.8427 | 0.3641 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 |
TrainPost | 22,244 | 0.6760 | 0.4680 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 |
Size | 22,244 | 22.4246 | 1.4972 | 19.9263 | 22.1748 | 27.8520 |
Lev | 22,244 | 0.4495 | 0.2125 | 0.0542 | 0.4446 | 0.9354 |
Growth | 22,244 | 0.2125 | 0.4576 | −0.4984 | 0.1296 | 3.0733 |
TobinQ | 22,244 | 2.0020 | 1.2423 | 0.8756 | 1.5875 | 8.0527 |
Pattern | 22,244 | 0.4109 | 0.4920 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 1.0000 |
Top10 | 22,244 | 0.5958 | 0.1511 | 0.2413 | 0.6051 | 0.9215 |
BigFour | 22,244 | 1.9131 | 0.2818 | 1.0000 | 2.0000 | 2.0000 |
Anarpt | 22,244 | 20.6655 | 24.3440 | 1.0000 | 11.0000 | 116.0000 |
Turnover | 22,244 | 6.1032 | 0.8216 | 3.8132 | 6.1512 | 7.8238 |
VarName | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Probit | Logit | Poisson | Nbreg | |
Fraud | Fraud | Frep | Frep | |
Train | 0.0711 | 0.1385 * | 0.1048 | 0.0909 |
(1.6261) | (1.6702) | (1.5800) | (1.0722) | |
TrainPost | −0.0928 ** | −0.1739 ** | −0.1468 ** | −0.1511 ** |
(−2.4513) | (−2.4076) | (−2.5078) | (−2.0333) | |
Size | −0.0216 | −0.0394 | −0.0315 | −0.0339 |
(−1.3705) | (−1.3288) | (−1.4077) | (−1.1453) | |
Lev | 0.7295 *** | 1.3996 *** | 1.5009 *** | 1.4484 *** |
(10.2295) | (10.4903) | (14.8503) | (10.8886) | |
Growth | 0.0468 ** | 0.0808 * | 0.0812 ** | 0.0827 * |
(1.9844) | (1.8574) | (2.5503) | (1.9160) | |
TobinQ | 0.0293 ** | 0.0531 ** | 0.0600 *** | 0.0585 *** |
(2.5575) | (2.5005) | (3.7685) | (2.7410) | |
Pattern | −0.2188 *** | −0.4107 *** | −0.2620 *** | −0.3062 *** |
(−8.1320) | (−8.0536) | (−6.8095) | (−6.0876) | |
Top10 | −0.4340 *** | −0.8237 *** | −0.6101 *** | −0.6576 *** |
(−5.4469) | (−5.5616) | (−5.3845) | (−4.3410) | |
BigFour | 0.2092 *** | 0.4043 *** | 0.4849 *** | 0.4919 *** |
(4.0012) | (3.9268) | (6.1810) | (4.9692) | |
Anarpt | −0.0028 *** | −0.0055 *** | −0.0059 *** | −0.0059 *** |
(−4.8966) | (−4.9058) | (−6.7976) | (−5.3382) | |
Turnover | 0.0349 * | 0.0624 * | 0.0199 | 0.0372 |
(1.8884) | (1.8090) | (0.7676) | (1.0751) | |
Cons | −1.8429 *** | −3.3521 *** | −3.8665 *** | −3.8784 *** |
(−3.2532) | (−3.2332) | (−4.8706) | (−3.7012) | |
Year | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control | Control |
N | 22244 | 22244 | 22244 | 22244 |
PseudoR2 | 0.0506 | 0.0508 | 0.0695 | 0.0462 |
VarName | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Probit | Logit | Poisson | Nbreg | |
Fraud | Fraud | Frep | Frep | |
Train | 0.0700 | 0.1374 | 0.1030 | 0.0901 |
(1.4735) | (1.5236) | (1.1318) | (1.0343) | |
TrainPost | −0.0951 ** | −0.1787 ** | −0.1500 ** | −0.1532 ** |
(−2.3912) | (−2.3644) | (−1.9903) | (−2.1251) | |
Size | −0.0387 ** | −0.0709 ** | −0.0521 | −0.0592 * |
(−2.4838) | (−2.4173) | (−1.5374) | (−1.8178) | |
Lev | 0.7367 *** | 1.4128 *** | 1.5115 *** | 1.4601 *** |
(9.6131) | (9.8120) | (9.9128) | (10.3058) | |
Growth | 0.0501 ** | 0.0860 * | 0.0861 * | 0.0913 ** |
(2.0190) | (1.8697) | (1.9280) | (2.1202) | |
TobinQ | 0.0230 * | 0.0416 * | 0.0536 ** | 0.0491 ** |
(1.8855) | (1.8304) | (2.2225) | (2.1390) | |
Pattern | −0.2255 *** | −0.4224 *** | −0.2689 *** | −0.3177 *** |
(−7.7854) | (−7.6439) | (−3.6702) | (−4.8925) | |
Top10 | −0.0044 *** | −0.0084 *** | −0.0062 *** | −0.0068 *** |
(−5.4719) | (−5.5562) | (−3.1154) | (−4.1081) | |
BigFour | 0.2094 *** | 0.4055 *** | 0.4791 *** | 0.4863 *** |
(3.7088) | (3.5706) | (2.8387) | (3.8458) | |
Anarpt | −0.0028 *** | −0.0054 *** | −0.0059 *** | −0.0058 *** |
(−4.5641) | (−4.5482) | (−3.8622) | (−4.2823) | |
Turnover | −0.0000 | −0.0001 | −0.0001 * | −0.0001 * |
(−1.4011) | (−1.4268) | (−1.7733) | (−1.7531) | |
Cons | −1.2381 ** | −2.2507 ** | −3.2460 *** | −3.0547 *** |
(−2.0587) | (−2.0638) | (−2.8220) | (−2.9684) | |
Year | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control | Control |
N | 22220 | 22220 | 22220 | 22220 |
PseudoR2 | 0.0504 | 0.0505 | 0.0460 |
VarName | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Probit | Logit | Poisson | Nbreg | |
Fraud | Fraud | Frep | Frep | |
TrainF1 | −0.0178 | −0.0357 | −0.0354 | −0.0473 |
(−0.4210) | (−0.4360) | (−0.5245) | (−0.5644) | |
TrainPostF1 | 0.0154 | 0.0330 | 0.0120 | 0.0246 |
(0.3695) | (0.4064) | (0.1790) | (0.2958) | |
Size | −0.0219 | −0.0394 | −0.0312 | −0.0347 |
(−1.3836) | (−1.3277) | (−1.3940) | (−1.1714) | |
Lev | 0.7342 *** | 1.4088 *** | 1.5100 *** | 1.4593 *** |
(10.3000) | (10.5656) | (14.9437) | (10.9715) | |
Growth | 0.0476 ** | 0.0829 * | 0.0826 *** | 0.0837 * |
(2.0170) | (1.9058) | (2.5954) | (1.9391) | |
TobinQ | 0.0291 ** | 0.0529 ** | 0.0602 *** | 0.0584 *** |
(2.5348) | (2.4902) | (3.7801) | (2.7356) | |
Pattern | −0.2191 *** | −0.4114 *** | −0.2621 *** | −0.3079 *** |
(−8.1469) | (−8.0648) | (−6.8159) | (−6.1302) | |
Top10 | −0.4420 *** | −0.8389 *** | −0.6214 *** | −0.6673 *** |
(−5.5492) | (−5.6644) | (−5.4828) | (−4.4050) | |
BigFour | 0.2107 *** | 0.4072 *** | 0.4871 *** | 0.4937 *** |
(4.0317) | (3.9557) | (6.2099) | (4.9886) | |
Anarpt | −0.0028 *** | −0.0055 *** | −0.0059 *** | −0.0059 *** |
(−4.9191) | (−4.9400) | (−6.8506) | (−5.3608) | |
Turnover | 0.0355 * | 0.0637 * | 0.0206 | 0.0376 |
(1.9195) | (1.8473) | (0.7925) | (1.0853) | |
Cons | −1.7931 *** | −3.2622 *** | −3.8007 *** | −3.8056 *** |
(−3.1693) | (−3.1506) | (−4.7965) | (−3.6342) | |
Year | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control | Control |
N | 22244 | 22244 | 22244 | 22244 |
PseudoR2 | 0.0504 | 0.0505 | 0.0691 | 0.0459 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Probit | Logit | Poisson | Nbreg |
Fraud | Fraud | Frep | Frep | |
Train | 0.0712 | 0.1376 * | 0.1053 | 0.0937 |
(1.6256) | (1.6573) | (1.5868) | (1.1037) | |
TrainPost | −0.0927 ** | −0.1751 ** | −0.1460 ** | −0.1480 ** |
(−2.4453) | (−2.4183) | (−2.4899) | (−1.9883) | |
LnAir | −0.0001 | 0.0012 | −0.0008 | −0.0039 |
(−0.0302) | (0.2420) | (−0.2002) | (−0.7694) | |
Size | −0.0216 | −0.0395 | −0.0314 | −0.0334 |
(−1.3699) | (−1.3328) | (−1.4029) | (−1.1293) | |
Lev | 0.7294 *** | 1.4004 *** | 1.5004 *** | 1.4459 *** |
(10.2248) | (10.4928) | (14.8424) | (10.8663) | |
Growth | 0.0468 ** | 0.0806 * | 0.0813 ** | 0.0830 * |
(1.9846) | (1.8534) | (2.5539) | (1.9217) | |
TobinQ | 0.0293** | 0.0529** | 0.0601 *** | 0.0592 *** |
(2.5575) | (2.4930) | (3.7734) | (2.7713) | |
Pattern | −0.2188 *** | −0.4110 *** | −0.2618 *** | −0.3051 *** |
(−8.1276) | (−8.0569) | (−6.8026) | (−6.0609) | |
Top10 | −0.4339 *** | −0.8244 *** | −0.6096 *** | −0.6554 *** |
(−5.4451) | (−5.5655) | (−5.3797) | (−4.3257) | |
BigFour | 0.2092 *** | 0.4050 *** | 0.4844 *** | 0.4903 *** |
(3.9989) | (3.9321) | (6.1727) | (4.9521) | |
Anarpt | −0.0028 *** | −0.0055 *** | −0.0059 *** | −0.0059 *** |
(−4.8966) | (−4.9059) | (−6.7979) | (−5.3456) | |
Turnover | 0.0349 * | 0.0624 * | 0.0199 | 0.0376 |
(1.8885) | (1.8084) | (0.7676) | (1.0866) | |
Cons | −1.8429 *** | −3.3513 *** | −3.8674 *** | −3.8872 *** |
(−3.2533) | (−3.2324) | (−4.8715) | (−3.7091) | |
Year | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control | Control |
N | 22244 | 22244 | 22244 | 22244 |
PseudoR2 | 0.0507 | 0.0509 | 0.0693 | 0.0462 |
Variable | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
---|---|---|---|---|
XtLogit | Xtlogit | XtPoisson | XtPoisson | |
Fraud | Fraud | Freq | Freq | |
TrainPost | −0.2518 ** | −0.2449 ** | −0.1495 * | −0.1401 * |
(−2.4164) | (−2.3444) | (−1.8033) | (−1.6886) | |
Size | −0.1911 *** | −0.1170 ** | ||
(−2.7745) | (−2.1565) | |||
Lev | 1.2393 *** | 1.2754 *** | ||
(5.1163) | (6.9309) | |||
Growth | −0.0121 | −0.0464 | ||
(−0.2461) | (−1.2944) | |||
TobinQ | 0.0082 | 0.0260 | ||
(0.2678) | (1.1039) | |||
Pattern | −0.1387 | −0.1184 | ||
(−0.7955) | (−0.8835) | |||
Top10 | −0.1403 | −0.0114 | ||
(−0.4473) | (−0.0471) | |||
BigFour | 0.1863 | −0.2482 | ||
(0.8338) | (−1.5616) | |||
Anarpt | −0.0016 | −0.0007 | ||
(−0.9604) | (−0.5655) | |||
Turnover | 0.1418 *** | 0.1438 *** | ||
(2.9556) | (4.0374) | |||
Year | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control | Control |
N | 13044 | 13044 | 13078 | 13078 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Probit | Logit | Poisson | Nbreg |
Fraud | Fraud | Frep | Frep | |
Train | 0.0660 | 0.1418 * | 0.1128 * | 0.0887 |
(1.5676) | (1.7488) | (1.7256) | (1.0611) | |
TrainPost | −0.0921 ** | −0.1825 ** | −0.1655 *** | −0.1504 ** |
(−2.4870) | (−2.5597) | (−2.8451) | (−2.0356) | |
Size | −0.0193 | −0.0391 | 0.0143 | −0.0515 ** |
(−1.4749) | (−1.5343) | (0.8587) | (−2.0234) | |
Lev | 0.1752 *** | 0.4460 *** | 0.1390 *** | 0.9226 *** |
(4.8960) | (4.6845) | (6.4369) | (7.5651) | |
Growth | −0.0001 | −0.0002 | −0.0003 | −0.0004 |
(−0.2457) | (−0.2526) | (−0.2799) | (−0.2756) | |
TobinQ | −0.0170 *** | −0.0314 ** | −0.0127 *** | 0.0006 |
(−3.4477) | (−2.2080) | (−3.4668) | (0.0726) | |
Pattern | −0.2117 *** | −0.4030 *** | −0.2411 *** | −0.3123 *** |
(−8.1455) | (−8.0732) | (−6.3562) | (−6.2834) | |
Top10 | −0.0056 *** | −0.0103 *** | −0.0086 *** | −0.0079 *** |
(−7.4007) | (−7.2119) | (−7.9361) | (−5.3207) | |
BigFour | 0.2207 *** | 0.4224 *** | 0.4914 *** | 0.4996 *** |
(4.3023) | (4.1422) | (6.2848) | (5.0552) | |
Anarpt | −0.0025 *** | −0.0049 *** | −0.0062 *** | −0.0052 *** |
(−4.8012) | (−4.7343) | (−7.7342) | (−5.0553) | |
Turnover | −0.0000 | −0.0001 | −0.0001** | −0.0001* |
(−1.5666) | (−1.5611) | (−2.3367) | (−1.8060) | |
Cons | −1.2488 ** | −2.2616 ** | −3.6522 *** | −2.8109 *** |
(−2.4887) | (−2.4105) | (−5.1806) | (−2.9696) | |
Year | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control | Control |
N | 25088 | 25088 | 25088 | 25088 |
PseudoR2 | 0.0653 | 0.0652 | 0.0800 | 0.0586 |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Probit | Logit | Poisson | Nbreg |
Fraud | Fraud | Frep | Frep | |
Train | 0.0983 ** | 0.1877 ** | 0.1574 ** | 0.1285 |
(2.0903) | (2.1120) | (2.2185) | (1.4397) | |
TrainPost | −0.0931 ** | −0.1743 ** | −0.1590 ** | −0.1651 ** |
(−2.2297) | (−2.2052) | (−2.5050) | (−2.0682) | |
Size | −0.0064 | −0.0119 | 0.0191 | 0.0212 |
(−0.3423) | (−0.3431) | (0.7325) | (0.6180) | |
Lev | 0.6775 *** | 1.2957 *** | 1.3525 *** | 1.2885 *** |
(8.2269) | (8.4423) | (11.6226) | (8.6086) | |
Growth | 0.0453 | 0.0801 | 0.0774 ** | 0.0671 |
(1.6359) | (1.5897) | (2.1172) | (1.3611) | |
TobinQ | 0.0338 ** | 0.0615 ** | 0.0840 *** | 0.0764 *** |
(2.5191) | (2.4988) | (4.5937) | (3.1257) | |
Pattern | −0.1975 *** | −0.3667 *** | −0.2225 *** | −0.2791 *** |
(−6.3437) | (−6.2787) | (−5.0621) | (−4.8267) | |
Top10 | −0.3361 *** | −0.6417 *** | −0.3565 *** | −0.4615 *** |
(−3.6660) | (−3.7897) | (−2.7532) | (−2.7035) | |
BigFour | 0.1717 *** | 0.3314 *** | 0.4177 *** | 0.4202 *** |
(2.6046) | (2.6040) | (4.3613) | (3.4147) | |
Anarpt | −0.0032 *** | −0.0062 *** | −0.0083 *** | −0.0078 *** |
(−4.7760) | (−4.7753) | (−8.0324) | (−6.0827) | |
Turnover | 0.0169 | 0.0268 | −0.0069 | 0.0233 |
(0.7845) | (0.6735) | (−0.2319) | (0.5959) | |
Cons | −0.5518 | −1.3013 | −3.5016 *** | −3.4924 *** |
(−0.6424) | (−0.8702) | (−4.0426) | (−2.5965) | |
Year | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control | Control |
N | 16196 | 16196 | 16196 | 16196 |
PseudoR2 | 0.0447 | 0.0451 | 0.0663 | 0.0434 |
Variable | (1) | (2) | (3) |
---|---|---|---|
Research | Fraud | Freq | |
Train | 0.4855 *** | 0.0735 * | 0.1063 |
(3.6139) | (1.6802) | (1.6035) | |
TrainPost | 0.5214 *** | −0.0896 ** | −0.1431 ** |
(4.5716) | (−2.3652) | (−2.4439) | |
Research | −0.0057 ** | −0.0062 * | |
(−2.5396) | (−1.8735) | ||
Size | −0.0186 | −0.0219 | −0.0317 |
(−0.3782) | (−1.3894) | (−1.4187) | |
Lev | −0.6090 *** | 0.7262 *** | 1.4942 *** |
(−2.6741) | (10.1802) | (14.7815) | |
Growth | 0.1525 * | 0.0475 ** | 0.0819 *** |
(1.9298) | (2.0144) | (2.5759) | |
TobinQ | −0.0191 | 0.0291 ** | 0.0596 *** |
(−0.5086) | (2.5372) | (3.7468) | |
Pattern | −0.9702 *** | −0.2241 *** | −0.2681 *** |
(−11.4968) | (−8.3043) | (−6.9468) | |
Top10 | −0.4525 * | −0.4340 *** | −0.6089 *** |
(−1.8005) | (−5.4473) | (−5.3772) | |
BigFour | −0.4723 *** | 0.2069 *** | 0.4825 *** |
(−3.1950) | (3.9559) | (6.1480) | |
Anarpt | 0.0478 *** | −0.0025 *** | −0.0056 *** |
(27.1543) | (−4.2953) | (−6.3017) | |
Turnover | 0.5005 *** | 0.0380 ** | 0.0227 |
(8.5717) | (2.0478) | (0.8735) | |
Cons | −4.5375 ** | −1.8670 *** | −3.8872 *** |
(−2.4338) | (−3.2960) | (−4.8969) | |
Year | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control |
N | 22244 | 22244 | 22244 |
AdjR2/PseudoR2 | 0.1401 | 0.0512 | 0.0695 |
Variable | (1) | (2) | (3) |
---|---|---|---|
KZ | Fraud | Freq | |
Train | −0.0077 | 0.0815 * | 0.1064 |
(−0.2001) | (1.7338) | (1.5160) | |
TrainPost | −0.0562 * | −0.0945 ** | −0.1529 ** |
(−1.7453) | (−2.3465) | (−2.4844) | |
KZ | 0.0150 * | 0.0255 * | |
(1.6982) | (1.9370) | ||
Size | −0.0512 *** | −0.0221 | −0.0197 |
(−3.7355) | (−1.2864) | (−0.8023) | |
Lev | 7.9829 | 0.6683 *** | 1.3989 *** |
(127.8542) | (6.4074) | (9.4013) | |
Growth | −0.9714 | 0.0386 | 0.0548 |
(−43.4055) | (1.4458) | (1.4757) | |
TobinQ | −0.0481 *** | 0.0291 ** | 0.0589 *** |
(−4.5407) | (2.3502) | (3.4414) | |
Pattern | −0.0696 *** | −0.2449 *** | −0.3555 *** |
(−2.9822) | (−8.4704) | (−8.4025) | |
Top10 | −1.1561 *** | −0.2492 *** | −0.4156 *** |
(−15.4604) | (−2.7498) | (−3.2018) | |
BigFour | −0.0649 | 0.1733 *** | 0.4906 *** |
(−1.4994) | (2.8998) | (4.8730) | |
Anarpt | −0.0088 *** | −0.0026 *** | −0.0055 *** |
(−17.6518) | (−4.0990) | (−5.7188) | |
Turnover | −0.0087 | 0.1038 *** | 0.1561 *** |
(−0.4866) | (4.7993) | (5.0756) | |
Cons | −0.3381 | −2.2478 *** | −4.9172 *** |
(−0.8859) | (−3.7298) | (−5.8083) | |
Year | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control |
N | 18727 | 18726 | 18727 |
AdjR2/PseudoR2 | 0.5947 | 0.0549 | 0.0686 |
Variable | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Low Market Competition | High Market Competition | |||
Fraud | Freq | Fraud | Freq | |
Train | 0.1131 * | 0.1902 ** | 0.0293 | 0.0288 |
(1.8772) | (2.0951) | (0.4700) | (0.2988) | |
TrainPost | −0.1170 ** | −0.2637 *** | −0.0797 | −0.0884 |
(−2.1804) | (−3.2279) | (−1.5080) | (−1.0526) | |
Size | −0.0076 | −0.0185 | −0.0011 | 0.0645 ** |
(−0.4177) | (−0.7570) | (−0.0530) | (2.3468) | |
Lev | 0.3601 *** | 0.4904 *** | 0.1233 *** | 0.1018 *** |
(5.1935) | (9.3167) | (2.8653) | (2.6907) | |
Growth | −0.0000 | −0.0000 | −0.0024 | −0.0044 |
(−0.1552) | (−0.1230) | (−0.5659) | (−0.5772) | |
TobinQ | −0.0037 | −0.0198 | −0.0115 * | −0.0067 |
(−0.5728) | (−1.5248) | (−1.8873) | (−1.1548) | |
Pattern | −0.1968 *** | −0.1603 *** | −0.2210 *** | −0.3303 *** |
(−5.4764) | (−3.1712) | (−5.5880) | (−5.5369) | |
Top10 | −0.4968 *** | −0.4786 *** | −0.5658 *** | −1.1652 *** |
(−4.5638) | (−3.1298) | (−5.1224) | (−7.2194) | |
BigFour | 0.2419 *** | 0.4802 *** | 0.1634 * | 0.4184 *** |
(3.6561) | (5.0252) | (1.9119) | (2.9677) | |
Anarpt | −0.0028 *** | −0.0073 *** | −0.0022 *** | −0.0042 *** |
(−3.9481) | (−6.5002) | (−2.6656) | (−3.5246) | |
Turnover | 0.0298 | −0.0176 | 0.0192 | 0.0422 |
(1.2333) | (−0.5244) | (0.7319) | (1.0992) | |
Cons | −2.3585 *** | −4.4030 *** | −1.8640 *** | −5.2646 *** |
(−3.6344) | (−4.6138) | (−2.7760) | (−5.2431) | |
Year | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control | Control |
N | 11803 | 11803 | 11210 | 11210 |
PseudoR2 | 0.0618 | 0.0820 | 0.0441 | 0.0574 |
Variable | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Low Internal Control Level | High Internal Control Level | |||
Fraud | Freq | Fraud | Freq | |
Train | 0.1140 * | 0.2093 ** | 0.0422 | −0.0397 |
(1.8860) | (2.5018) | (0.6453) | (−0.3632) | |
TrainPost | −0.0995 * | −0.1671 ** | −0.0867 | −0.1469 |
(−1.8698) | (−2.2682) | (−1.5598) | (−1.5161) | |
Size | 0.0264 | 0.1117 *** | 0.0093 | 0.0429 |
(1.2773) | (4.7374) | (0.4602) | (1.2910) | |
Lev | 0.5406 *** | 0.0993 *** | 0.0981 ** | 0.2235 ** |
(6.0787) | (4.4825) | (2.0780) | (2.2610) | |
Growth | −0.0001 | −0.0002 | −0.0001 | −0.0001 |
(−0.3619) | (−0.3177) | (−0.0709) | (−0.0699) | |
TobinQ | 0.0148 | 0.0306 *** | −0.0078 | −0.0221 |
(1.5715) | (2.9902) | (−1.2012) | (−1.5597) | |
Pattern | −0.2294 *** | −0.1149 ** | −0.1680 *** | −0.3854 *** |
(−6.2201) | (−2.4092) | (−4.0641) | (−5.7567) | |
Top10 | −0.3120 *** | −0.4167 *** | −0.4846 *** | −1.0322 *** |
(−2.8249) | (−2.9294) | (−4.1344) | (−5.5978) | |
BigFour | 0.3611 *** | 0.8202 *** | 0.0846 | 0.1552 |
(4.3721) | (7.0773) | (1.1426) | (1.2962) | |
Anarpt | −0.0002 | −0.0030 *** | −0.0026 *** | −0.0065 *** |
(−0.2167) | (−2.6469) | (−3.4109) | (−4.9306) | |
Turnover | 0.0656 ** | 0.0632 * | 0.0207 | 0.0240 |
(2.5250) | (1.9082) | (0.7804) | (0.5652) | |
Cons | −2.8562 *** | −6.9188 *** | −2.5079 *** | −4.8601 *** |
(−3.4477) | (−6.6066) | (−3.1131) | (−3.8279) | |
Year | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control | Control |
N | 9368 | 9376 | 12969 | 12969 |
PseudoR2 | 0.0345 | 0.0436 | 0.0699 | 0.0920 |
Year | Information Disclosure Fraud | Operation Fraud | Manager Fraud |
---|---|---|---|
2007 | 57 | 5 | 22 |
2008 | 38 | 5 | 43 |
2009 | 47 | 15 | 74 |
2010 | 50 | 9 | 49 |
2011 | 74 | 47 | 68 |
2012 | 170 | 58 | 87 |
2013 | 201 | 81 | 124 |
2014 | 241 | 71 | 136 |
2015 | 386 | 92 | 243 |
2016 | 382 | 77 | 171 |
2017 | 359 | 72 | 162 |
2018 | 447 | 64 | 164 |
2019 | 662 | 141 | 409 |
2020 | 642 | 168 | 430 |
Variable | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Information Disclosure Fraud | Corporate Fraud | Manager Fraud | ||||
Freq | Fraud | Freq | Fraud | Freq | Fraud | |
Train | 0.0125 | 0.0607 | 0.0288 | 0.0940 | 0.1129 * | 0.2317 ** |
(0.2130) | (0.5641) | (0.3636) | (0.5158) | (1.9305) | (1.9600) | |
TrainPost | −0.0945 * | −0.1812 * | −0.0706 | −0.1936 | −0.1220 ** | −0.2053 ** |
(−1.8416) | (−1.8874) | (−1.0314) | (−1.2268) | (−2.4290) | (−2.0053) | |
Size | −0.0342 * | −0.0079 | −0.0841 *** | −0.1655 ** | −0.0338 | −0.0480 |
(−1.8918) | (−0.2301) | (−2.7881) | (−2.3902) | (−1.5830) | (−1.1521) | |
Lev | 0.9894 *** | 2.0819 *** | 0.9758 *** | 2.3333 *** | 0.3636 *** | 0.7434 *** |
(11.1932) | (13.3219) | (7.3706) | (7.7997) | (3.7596) | (3.9743) | |
Growth | 0.0202 | 0.0504 | −0.0442 | −0.1534 | 0.0751 ** | 0.1390 ** |
(0.6806) | (0.9913) | (−0.9141) | (−1.3222) | (2.3966) | (2.3765) | |
TobinQ | 0.0528 *** | 0.1204 *** | −0.0276 | −0.0704 | 0.0295 ** | 0.0585 ** |
(3.8022) | (5.0218) | (−1.2006) | (−1.3279) | (2.0073) | (2.1336) | |
Pattern | −0.1703 *** | −0.3013 *** | −0.1617 *** | −0.4000 *** | −0.2931 *** | −0.5939 *** |
(−5.0376) | (−4.8986) | (−3.1264) | (−3.3465) | (−7.7505) | (−7.7697) | |
Top10 | −0.0047 *** | −0.0074 *** | −0.0034 ** | −0.0104 *** | −0.0047 *** | −0.0092 *** |
(−4.7117) | (−4.1203) | (−2.2673) | (−3.0363) | (−4.3606) | (−4.4356) | |
BigFour | 0.1620 ** | 0.4840 *** | 0.3252 ** | 0.9659 *** | 0.1949 ** | 0.3947 ** |
(2.3837) | (3.5844) | (2.5222) | (2.7452) | (2.5596) | (2.5493) | |
Anarpt | −0.0053 *** | −0.0132 *** | −0.0007 | −0.0021 | −0.0011 | −0.0033 ** |
(−6.7763) | (−8.3979) | (−0.5664) | (−0.7494) | (−1.3694) | (−2.1201) | |
Turnover | −0.0001 * | −0.0001 ** | 0.0000 | 0.0001 | −0.0000 | −0.0001 |
(−1.6935) | (−2.4004) | (0.2441) | (0.8498) | (−1.1464) | (−1.0566) | |
Cons | −1.8682 *** | −5.2950 *** | −1.8608 ** | −20.1411 | −1.4368 ** | −3.1671 ** |
(−4.0748) | (−4.7608) | (−2.4083) | (−0.0057) | (−1.9887) | (−2.2246) | |
Year | Control | Control | Control | Control | Control | Control |
Industry | Control | Control | Control | Control | Control | Control |
N | 22244 | 22244 | 22244 | 22244 | 22244 | 22244 |
PseudoR2 | 0.0646 | 0.0820 | 0.0582 | 0.0625 | 0.0400 | 0.0421 |
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Wang, C.; Strauss, J.; Zheng, L. High-Speed Railway Opening and Corporate Fraud. Sustainability 2021, 13, 13465. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132313465
Wang C, Strauss J, Zheng L. High-Speed Railway Opening and Corporate Fraud. Sustainability. 2021; 13(23):13465. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132313465
Chicago/Turabian StyleWang, Chen, Jack Strauss, and Lei Zheng. 2021. "High-Speed Railway Opening and Corporate Fraud" Sustainability 13, no. 23: 13465. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132313465