Automotive Aftermarket Forecast in a Changing World: The Stakeholders’ Perceptions Boost!
1
Department of Business Administration, University Carlos III, 28903 Madrid, Spain
2
Department of Applied Economics, Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (UNED), 28040 Madrid, Spain
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2020, 12(18), 7817; https://doi.org/10.3390/su12187817
Received: 22 August 2020 / Revised: 18 September 2020 / Accepted: 20 September 2020 / Published: 22 September 2020
(This article belongs to the Section Economic and Business Aspects of Sustainability)
This study presents a methodology for forecasting the medium– and long–term real revenues of the automotive post–sales service sectors, assuming the automobile industry is nowadays undergoing a deep process of transformation. There are several conditioning factors, usage as well as environmental reasons, that makes past times an unreasonable guide for a future forecast. Firstly, we estimate, using regression models, the most important variables for the automobile sector that will affect the long–term forecasts of the automotive aftermarket’s revenues. Secondly, we apply participatory methods to quantify the impact of the new conditioning factors. This is a research tool used for the Spanish automotive aftermarket. Our results indicate how stakeholders’ perceptions modulate the forecasts for those economic sectors involved in a disrupted changing business model.
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Keywords:
mobility; registrations; automotive aftermarket; new conditioning usage and environmental factors; stakeholders’ perceptions
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MDPI and ACS Style
Laborda, J.; Moral, M.J. Automotive Aftermarket Forecast in a Changing World: The Stakeholders’ Perceptions Boost! Sustainability 2020, 12, 7817. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12187817
AMA Style
Laborda J, Moral MJ. Automotive Aftermarket Forecast in a Changing World: The Stakeholders’ Perceptions Boost! Sustainability. 2020; 12(18):7817. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12187817
Chicago/Turabian StyleLaborda, Juan, and María J. Moral 2020. "Automotive Aftermarket Forecast in a Changing World: The Stakeholders’ Perceptions Boost!" Sustainability 12, no. 18: 7817. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12187817
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