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Sustainability 2018, 10(6), 1765; https://doi.org/10.3390/su10061765

Fully Dynamic Input-Output/System Dynamics Modeling for Ecological-Economic System Analysis

1
College of Policy Science, Ritsumeikan University, 2-150 Iwakura-Cho, Ibaraki City, 567-8570 Osaka, Japan
2
Research Centre Cultures–Environnements–Arctique–Représentations–Climat (CEARC), Université de Versailles-Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, UVSQ, 11 Boulevard d’Alembert, 78280 Guyancourt, France
3
Centre d’Etudes Economiques et Sociales de l’Environnement-Centre Emile Bernheim (CEESE-CEB), Université Libre de Bruxelles, 44 Avenue Jeanne, C.P. 124, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
4
Centre de Recherche en Economie (CEREC), Université Saint-Louis, 43 Boulevard du Jardin botanique, 1000 Brussels, Belgium
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 1 May 2018 / Revised: 23 May 2018 / Accepted: 25 May 2018 / Published: 29 May 2018
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Use of the Environment and Resources)
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Abstract

The complexity of ecological-economic systems significantly reduces our ability to investigate their behavior and propose policies aimed at various environmental and/or economic objectives. Following recent suggestions for integrating nonlinear dynamic modeling with input-output (IO) modeling, we develop a fully dynamic ecological-economic model by integrating IO with system dynamics (SD) for better capturing critical attributes of ecological-economic systems. We also develop and evaluate various scenarios using policy impact and policy sensitivity analyses. The model and analysis are applied to the degradation of fish nursery habitats by industrial harbors in the Seine estuary (Haute-Normandie region, France). The modeling technique, dynamization, and scenarios allow us to show trade-offs between economic and ecological outcomes and evaluate the impacts of restoration scenarios and water quality improvement on the fish population. View Full-Text
Keywords: system dynamics; input-output; ecological-economic modeling; scenario development; policy impact analysis; policy sensitivity analysis; estuary system dynamics; input-output; ecological-economic modeling; scenario development; policy impact analysis; policy sensitivity analysis; estuary
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This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited (CC BY 4.0).

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Uehara, T.; Cordier, M.; Hamaide, B. Fully Dynamic Input-Output/System Dynamics Modeling for Ecological-Economic System Analysis. Sustainability 2018, 10, 1765.

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