Stem Heating Enhances Growth but Reduces Earlywood Lumen Size in Two Pine Species and a Ring-Porous Oak

Climate models forecast warmer winter conditions, which could lead to an earlier spring xylem phenology in trees. Localized stem heat experiments mimic this situation and have shown that stem warming leads to an earlier cambial resumption in evergreen conifers. However, there are still few comprehensive studies comparing the responses to stem heating in coexisting conifers and hardwoods, particularly in drought-prone regions where temperatures are rising. We addressed this issue by comparing the responses (xylem phenology, wood anatomy, growth, and sapwood concentrations of non-structural carbohydrates—NSCs) of two pines (the Eurosiberian Pinus sylvestris L., and the Mediterranean Pinus pinaster Ait.) and a ring-porous oak (Quercus pyrenaica Willd.) to stem heating. We used the Vaganov-Shashkin growth model (VS model) to simulate growth phenology considering several emission scenarios and warming rates. Stem heating in winter advanced cambial phenology in P. pinaster and Q. pyrenaica and enhanced radial growth of the three species 1–2 years after the treatment, but reduced the transversal lumen area of earlywood conduits. P. sylvestris showed a rapid and high growth enhancement, whereas the oak responded with a 1-year delay. Heated P. pinaster and Q. pyrenaica trees showed lower sapwood starch concentrations than non-heated trees. These results partially agree with projections of the VS model, which forecasts earlier growth onset, particularly in P. pinaster, as climate warms. Climate-growth correlations show that growth may be enhanced by warm conditions in late winter but also reduced if this is followed by dry-warm growing seasons. Therefore, forecasted advancements of xylem onset in spring in response to warmer winters may not necessarily translate into enhanced growth if warming reduces the hydraulic conductivity and growing seasons become drier.