1. Introduction
The failure of urban trees with root systems compromised by decay or mechanical damage (e.g., resulting from root severance [
1,
2]) can pose risks to significant targets, such as infrastructure and residents in urban settings [
3,
4]. Tree owners can be held liable for accidents caused by trees that have experienced root injury in cases where the effect on stability was not adequately assessed after the damage occurred.
Especially in urban sites, potential restrictions on root development and hints at former construction work are frequently evident in the trees’ rooting areas, causing considerable uncertainties with regard to the visual assessment of tree stability [
5]. However, assessing the anchorage of a tree is very difficult, because neither the size of a particular tree’s root system nor the presence of below-ground damage to structural roots are ascertainable during a basic tree risk assessment [
6].
Often, removal is recommended when a tree is observed to have significant root issues or when roots have been severed during construction work. While this mitigates risk, it removes the stream of valuable social, environmental, and economic benefits that a tree provides [
7,
8,
9,
10,
11]. Moreover, removal may endanger the climbers who carry out the dismantling operations if the residual anchorage strength is not properly addressed prior to undertaking arboricultural work [
12,
13,
14].
In forest stands, wind-induced forces may uproot trees during severe storms. The economic damage caused by such failures can be disastrous [
15]. Below-ground damage to structural roots can often occur due to root decay, and may be caused by overloading during wind and snow loads or even by heavy impacts (e.g. during avalanches) [
16,
17]. New pathogens (e.g., Ash Dieback Disease, which is currently affecting ash trees in Europe) can dramatically reduce tree stability as well [
18,
19].
For decades, destructive tests have been used in forest science to assess tree stability and determine the best time for harvesting [
20,
21,
22,
23]. This procedure is not possible for individual urban trees. There, as well as in forestry, non-destructive tests could speed up and enlarge the experiments required to study stand stability, thereby informing management decisions.
Root systems are complex subterranean structures that direct a major portion of the wind load collected by the crown into the ground [
24]. The mechanics of root and soil interaction have been the subject of biomechanical research for decades [
25]. Conclusions are sometimes drawn from the architecture [
26] or size [
27] of root systems on tree stability; however, the validity of simple rules for required root zone diameter is questioned [
28,
29]. Furthermore, reliable detection of roots requires costly and damaging excavations, which often are impossible in urban sites [
30].
Static load tests, as introduced by [
31], are frequently utilized to non-destructively inform tree managers about the stability of trees with compromised root systems. The underlying hypothesis is that a tree’s resistance to uprooting can be assessed by applying and measuring a moderate non-destructive load with a winch, simultaneously monitoring the tree’s response with a high-precision inclinometer at the stem base, and extrapolating these data to determine the minimum anchorage strength of the root system [
32,
33,
34]. Estimates of stability in storms are based on comparing this load bearing capacity with modeled wind loads for a tree at its actual location based on statistical wind data and local wind conditions [
35].
The anchorage of trees has been studied in many scientific experiments (for an overview, see [
24,
25]), and has been modeled by several authors, e.g., [
36,
37,
38]. Tree uprooting is often described as a progressive failure process that occurs in different stages [
39], with a number of components playing different roles [
22]. Rather early in the tipping process, the applied force cannot be increased beyond a maximum force (the tree’s anchorage strength) because the root–soil system yields. Afterwards, the tipping continues at gradually decreasing loads until the tree is completely uprooted [
22,
34,
40,
41]. When the change in stem base inclination does not exceed 0.5° during pulling tests, the process is fully reversible and can be considered non-destructive [
22,
42,
43].
To date, there have been no studies testing and comparing the predictive abilities of the methods used in arboricultural static load tests [
44,
45] on a larger number of trees (though for a small study, cf. [
46]). In this paper, we test the hypothesis that failure loads can be successfully estimated using the non-destructive range of pulling tests.
We compare the estimated anchorage strength with the measured resistance to uprooting failure for more than 280 trees of fifteen species frequently found in European and North American urban and peri-urban forests growing on a wide range of sites, including forests, parks, and roadsides.
2. Materials and Methods
The experiments described in this paper were undertaken at several sites across Germany, Austria, the USA, and Latvia between 2010 and 2019.
Table 1 summarizes the trees used and lists their average diameter and height by species. All trees were pulled non-destructively to 0.25° of inclination at the stem base before being pulled to up-rooting failure. While the winching tests were underway, the applied force was measured continuously with a force meter (load cell) in the pulling line and the resulting root plate rotation (
) was measured with a bi-axial inclinometer at the side of the stem base. The instruments used were part of the TreeQinetic system (IML Electronic GmbH, Rostock, Germany). The inclinometers had a resolution of 0.001° (accuracy 0.005°) and the forcemeter had a resolution of 0.1 kN (accuracy 0.3 kN). The rope angle from the horizontal was measured either using a digital level or using data provided by a built-in clinometer in the forcemeter.
The test was configured according to the Static Integrated Method or Pulling Test Method [
31,
33]. The applied force was converted into its lateral component by the cosine of the rope angle. The bending moment was determined as the product of the lateral force component (in kN) and the lever arm length as the vertical distance from the stem base to the anchor point of the rope (in m).
Prior to testing, tree crowns were removed to eliminate the influence of the unknown weight of the crown and to prevent errors caused by wind impact or branches becoming caught in adjacent trees. Anchorage strength (
) was defined as the maximum bending moment that occurred during the winching tests. Within the non-destructive portion of the trials, the applied force and current rope angle were determined at an inclination of 0.25° and used to calculate the root–soil rotational stiffness (
) as the respective bending moment at that instant (cf. [
31,
33]). The rotational stiffness
was then used to estimate the anchorage strength
according to two published methods: either multiplying rotational stiffness at 0.25° with a constant factor of 2.5 (Equation (
1)) [
34], or iteratively fitting the formula published by [
45] (Equation (
2)) to the data measured at 0.25° basal inclination in order to derive a prediction for
.
The first evaluation of our dataset showed strong deviations of the predictions generated by Equation (
2) from the measured data [
47]. The anchorage strength was systematically overestimated, which could potentially generate false positive results in tree stability assessments. After discussing this finding, F. Divos (pers. comm., 2019) provided a revised version of Equation (
2), which was used for subsequent analyses in the present study:
The sample sizes in the results vary because Equations (
2) and (
3) could not be solved for
analytically. Therefore, a fitting routine had to be applied to derive an estimate of
from Equations (
2) and (
3), which was not always successful and sometimes generated unrealistically high results. Due to this problem, six trees had to be excluded from the dataset for Equations (
2) and (
3).
In several analyses, tree size is used as a parameter. In analogy to prior studies, size was calculated as the product of height and diameter at breast height squared.
Data Analysis
Data were analyzed using the R software environment for statistical computing and graphics [
48]. Linear mixed-effects models were used to incorporate random effects of sites or repeated measurements of individual trees. Variance structures were adjusted to deal with heterogeneity. Results of analyses were added directly to graphics in concise form or printed in the appendix. Where species effects were analyzed, a subset of data with at least five individuals per species was used. Robust linear regression models were used, as OLS and model II (MA, RMA) assumptions were not satisfied.
4. Discussion
Our data show that both methods of evaluation can reliably extrapolate from non-destructive pulling tests to anchorage strength. They systematically underestimate anchorage strength by one third on average, providing users with a margin of safety for tree assessment. Especially in smaller trees, the errors are sometimes greater and may underrate the anchorage strength by a factor of up to two.
The critical bending moments measured in this study are comparable to many other reports [
41,
49,
50,
51,
52,
53], as is the correlation between anchorage and the parameters of tree size [
53,
54,
55]. A nonlinear relationship between tree size and maximum bending moments has already been proposed by [
54]. According to our results, the factor that should be used in a linear extrapolation (Equation (
1)) approximates 2.5 with increasing tree size. Therefore, it is likely, that anchorage of trees larger than those in our sample can be assessed with pulling tests by applying Equation (
1) as well. Yet, extrapolation beyond the range of tree sizes tested here must be treated with caution. An increased level of uncertainty should be balanced with adequate factors of safety when used in the context of risk assessments.
Trees were sampled on a wide range of sites, including forests, parks, and roadsides; there was no systematic difference in anchorage or in its extrapolation from non-destructive tests between urban and woodland trees, as illustrated for birch in
Figure 9 and
Table A2. Therefore, it seems viable to apply the findings from testing trees in forests to urban trees of similar size. Furthermore, we did not observe significant differences between sites with very different types of soil, such as loam and sand. In accordance with other sources [
56], we did not find significant deviations in the extrapolation of anchorage strength from the non-destructive rotational stiffness on sites with high water table or others where the groundwater level had recently fallen [
57]. Static load tests may therefore be applicable regardless of the growing site.
There were small but significant differences between tree species, several of which are represented only by small samples in this study. Further research could allow species- and size-specific models to be introduced that extrapolate anchorage strength from non-destructive pulling tests. The lack of data on certain species that are very common in urban areas as well as on species outside temperate regions should be addressed in subsequent studies. Yet, the present study illustrates for a wide range of temperate tree species that anchorage strength may be reliably estimated from measurements in the non-destructive range. The observed underestimation of the anchorage strength for trees of smaller size may stimulate adaptions in evaluation methods for pulling tests currently used in arboriculture.
Equation (
1) allows linear extrapolation to be applied. A solution to Equation (
3), however, can only be found by iteration, and bears the risk of providing a local instead of a global optimum. This should be safeguarded against in any practical application. Equation (
1), on the contrary, requires the pulling test to be continued until 0.25° inclination is obtained. This may require the application of high forces, especially for larger trees, and often involves elaborate precautions with regard to occupational safety and accident prevention. Sufficient load-bearing capacity in all parts of the winching apparatus must be ensured.
Equation (
3) allows for extrapolating from lower to higher degrees of inclination. Because lower maximum
reduces the estimate of
, the error is on the safe side for consultants; however, it could result in unnecessary measures, including tree removal. Currently, all established methods for pulling test evaluation are able to accommodate lower inclinations as well. In order to achieve this, they use unpublished mathematical functions [
33] or statistical characteristics from a great number of pulling tests (Arbosafe GmbH, Training materials for mandatory Qualification Training for Licensing Arbostat Evaluation Software, 2008). Their reliability could be tested against our dataset, which could increase their credibility and improve their predictions.
Trees in our dataset reached their anchorage strength at rather low inclination. This is in accordance with findings by many other authors referred to earlier in this paper. As long as stem base rotation angles are very low, the roots on the windward side can hardly experience a high degree of tension, as the curvature of the soil surface is yet very small [
58,
59]. On all trees uprooted for this study, a visibly pronounced line formed directly next to the stem base on the side where the force was applied very early in the uprooting process. At this position, the soil did not sink in very much; instead, it kinked and behaved similar to a hinge. While the formation of a hinge has primarily been described for trees with shallow root systems of lateral and sinker roots [
58,
60], we found this to be typical for all tree species and soil types in our dataset. These observations may help to change the focus of risk assessments from defects located on the roots on the windward side only, which are exposed to tensile forces [
27,
61], to the structural integrity of the roots close to the stem base on the leeward side as well. This idea was postulated as early as in 1933 in forest research [
62]; however, it is not yet widely acknowledged among consulting arborists.
As the anchorage strength is overcome early in the uprooting process, it is more likely that the roots located at the hinge yield than that the tensile strength of roots on the windward side is already exceeded at such low inclinations. Anchorage strength is mainly generated from roots close to the trunk [
63] before they rapidly taper [
26,
64]. In response to wind loading, roots near the stem base experience great strains [
65], grow in diameter within the Zone of Rapid Taper, and increase the rotational stiffness [
66]. At the same time, this incremental growth improves the anchorage strength [
67]. Our results confirm a strong correlation between rotational stiffness and anchorage strength. Therefore, the importance of the leeward hinge in providing anchorage for trees should be a subject of further research.
Trees of small size often fail at significantly higher degrees of basal inclination than 2.5° (
Figure 10). This, together with the slight non-linearity in the relationship between rotational stiffness and anchorage, contradicts the notion of uniform tipping behavior for all trees, be presumed by the “generalized tipping curve” [
44]. Our results indicate that this generalization may be based on a lower envelope of many tipping curves; the extrapolation from Equation (
1) systematically underestimated the anchorage strength and, on average, the inclination at the stem base was greater than 2.5° when the anchorage strength was reached.
Originally, a graphical solution for application to tree stability assessments was used instead of a mathematical function [
68]. Because the rotation angle continuously increases, while the restoring moment of the root system reaches a maximum and then gradually decreases again, any mathematical solution can only describe the first part of that curve where the load increases and must show asymptotic behavior against
. While Equation (
3) mimics this behavior to a degree, it does not fulfill this requirement entirely. Therefore, errors are to be expected as loads approach the anchorage strength. For the non-destructive range, this does not necessarily cause critical deviations. Because Equations (
1) and (
3) often provide similar results, it is very likely that both were developed on the basis of a number of tipping curves, as stated for the ”generalized tipping curve” [
34].
Our results support the general observation that the strength of younger trees is usually underrated in non-destructive pulling tests. The systematic underestimation of anchorage strength in pulling tests on small trees reaches a similar magnitude as the omission of pre-stresses [
69,
70,
71,
72] in assessing the bending strength of their stems (which is an integral part of the pulling test method [
31]). This would explain why pulling tests on young trees often indicate low but similar safety margins against stem fracture and anchorage failure [
73]. For anchorage strength, the contribution of those pre-stresses was never tested, tough it likely would not apply to a similar degree [
74].
Why the extrapolations deviate for smaller trees is not obvious from our data. We suspect that this is due to changes in the flexural rigidity of the roots as their diameters increase. For larger trees, the diameter of roots at a certain distance from the stem may easily reach a multiple of root diameters found on smaller trees. Their resistance to bending is governed by the second moment of inertia of their cross-section, which for a circular shape increases with the fourth power of the diameter [
75]. As long as the flexural stiffness of the roots is distinctly lower than soil stiffness, their presence does not increase the rigidity of the root plate, and only increases root plate size and weight because of cohesion and friction between the roots and soil. Therefore, as long as roots are rather small in diameter and very flexible, deformations of the root–soil matrix under load are governed by soil parameters, e.g., the weight of the soil held by the roots and the soil shear modulus, rather than the root architecture.
As a tree ages, the flexural stiffness of the roots grows exponentially. As soon as it exceeds soil stiffness, the overall rigidity of the root–soil matrix begins to gradually increase. This rigidity is tested in a non-destructive pulling test, and is described as a key trait for anchorage strength [
76]. Through a three-dimensional network of more rigid roots, wind energy may be dissipated over a greater distance into the soil. Stiffer roots on the leeward side are able to withstand applied bending moments under smaller deflections, thereby distributing compressive forces over a larger area of the root–soil matrix. Soil is usually able to withstand compression much better than tension. Unless the stem splits, the lifting action on the windward side is restricted as long as roots on the leeward side do not yield [
59]. Greater lifting than 2 to 4 cm on the opposite side of the force application, accompanied by stretching and tensile failure of roots, was only visible at loads clearly beyond the anchorage strength [
22,
77]. This is an indicator that the bending strength of the roots at the leeward hinge could be decisive for anchorage strength.
In the same respect, [
22] reported that the rotation measured at the stem base was greater than the inclination of the root plate. To allow for such a difference, the curvature must be greatest close to the stem base, though not necessarily on both sides. Bending roots upwards on the windward side is only restricted by soil weight and cohesion, and usually occurs over a larger distance than any downward movement on the leeward side [
22,
77]. Here, the curvature of the roots is restricted by the low compactibility of the soil. Therefore, stresses are concentrated in the area close to the stem base, where the hinge forms during the uprooting process. Roots located here bend to the greatest degree where they rapidly taper, causing them to buckle and yield before the anchorage strength is overcome. At greater inclinations, these roots obviously break and are often truncated entirely [
77].
On larger trees, the correlation between rotational stiffness and anchorage strength presented in this paper should mainly depend on the proportion of bending stiffness and bending strength of major roots in the zone of rapid tapering. In younger trees, where soil properties are dominant and roots easily bend as the soil deforms around a more rigid central part of the root system [
78], this correlation may obviously change. The transition to another mechanism of anchorage might happen gradually; however, because the major strengthening elements of a root system are already present in young trees [
79], the uprooting behavior may change distinctively as soon as their rigidity exceeds the stiffness of the surrounding soil. The greater flexibility of roots can account for the greater inclination angles at which the anchorage strength of younger trees is overcome compared to larger trees [
41]. This should be subject to future research. Nonetheless, the present data should already be regarded as representing a caveat that correlations between rotational stiffness and anchorage strength determined from younger trees should not be applied to larger trees without adaption; otherwise, the likelihood of failure of larger trees could be underrated.
The pulling tests in our experiments were static; naturally, however, trees are faced with dynamic impacts in the form of storms and heavy rain. Gusts overturning trees are in effect quasi-static [
80], and dynamic effects of fatigue are restricted to rare soil conditions [
81], and were reported here only for trees with very slender growth and shallow root systems [
34]. The root plates of trees overturned by the wind do not appear different from those that failed in winching tests [
22]. Previous cyclic loading tests have demonstrated a reduction of rotational stiffness between the first and the last of a series of cycles, though similar anchorage strength was measured under static and cyclic testing [
39]. Furthermore, at maximum force, the reduction of rotational stiffness under cyclic loading was smaller by a magnitude than that caused by trenching near the stem. This implies that at least an increased likelihood of failure due to defects on roots can be identified adequately with static load tests. Cyclic experiments on different species growing in different soils should be conducted to further investigate the suspected role of dynamic effects on anchorage.
In urban tree assessment, non-destructive methods are essential, as tests are often applied to preserve trees (which excludes destructive methods) and measurements need to be repeated at intervals during the remaining lifetime of trees in order to monitor trends in their stability. Apart from dynamic methods, which are experimental and require wind events of certain severity to provide adequate information on stability [
42,
82,
83], non-destructive static load tests are currently the only way to assess the anchorage of trees quantitatively in order to immediately inform management decisions. Although such tests have been used to assess the safety of urban trees for more than 30 years [
31], studies testing their fundamental hypothesis are scarce [
46,
84]. Destructive winching tests have been applied as a research tool for decades [
20,
21,
22,
23]; however, to date, non-destructive load tests have rarely been used in scientific experiments [
1].
Our results can provide a wider scientific basis for this method. They could help to validate risk assessments and studies based on static load tests and increase their credibility and acceptance, thereby contributing significantly to the efficacy of research experiments as well as to the prospects of conserving valuable trees.