Assessment of a New Fire Risk Index for the Atlantic Forest, Brazil
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Micrometeorological Data and Automatic Station A635
2.3. Fire Risk Index
2.4. Regression Model and Statistical Analysis
2.5. Fire Foci and Correlation Analysis
2.6. MRI-ESM2-0 Model—Intermediate Scenario (SSP4.5)
- ea = esTmin = Current water vapor pressure calculated from the saturation pressure esTmin (kPa);
- esAT = Water vapor saturation pressure calculated from the average air temperature of the MRI model (kPa);
- RAHMRI = Relative humidity estimated from the current and saturation pressure of water vapor (Equations (5) and (6)) (%);
- RAHMRI13h = Estimated relative humidity for 13 h (%).
3. Results
3.1. Meteorological Variables
3.2. Regression Model and Degree of Danger for the FIAF
4. Discussion
4.1. Meteorological Variables and Fire Risk Models
4.2. Future Analysis of FIAF in the Atlantic Forest
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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FIAF Value (2 and 10 m) | Degree of Danger |
---|---|
≤5 | Small |
5–15 | Average |
15–25 | High |
25–45 | Very high |
> 45 | Extreme |
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Delgado, R.C.; Wanderley, H.S.; Pereira, M.G.; Almeida, A.Q.d.; Carvalho, D.C.d.; Lindemann, D.d.S.; Zonta, E.; Menezes, S.J.M.d.C.d.; Santos, G.L.d.; Santana, R.O.d.; et al. Assessment of a New Fire Risk Index for the Atlantic Forest, Brazil. Forests 2022, 13, 1844. https://doi.org/10.3390/f13111844
Delgado RC, Wanderley HS, Pereira MG, Almeida AQd, Carvalho DCd, Lindemann DdS, Zonta E, Menezes SJMdCd, Santos GLd, Santana ROd, et al. Assessment of a New Fire Risk Index for the Atlantic Forest, Brazil. Forests. 2022; 13(11):1844. https://doi.org/10.3390/f13111844
Chicago/Turabian StyleDelgado, Rafael Coll, Henderson Silva Wanderley, Marcos Gervasio Pereira, André Quintão de Almeida, Daniel Costa de Carvalho, Douglas da Silva Lindemann, Everaldo Zonta, Sady Júnior Martins da Costa de Menezes, Gilsonley Lopes dos Santos, Romário Oliveira de Santana, and et al. 2022. "Assessment of a New Fire Risk Index for the Atlantic Forest, Brazil" Forests 13, no. 11: 1844. https://doi.org/10.3390/f13111844