Next Article in Journal
A Numerical Approach to Estimate Natural Frequency of Trees with Variable Properties
Previous Article in Journal
Modeling of Dead Wood Potential Based on Tree Stand Data
Article

Estimation of Future Changes in Aboveground Forest Carbon Stock in Romania. A Prediction Based on Forest-Cover Pattern Scenario

1
Physical Geography Department, Institute of Geography, Romanian Academy, 12 Dimitrie Racoviţă Street, Sector 2, 023993 Bucharest, Romania
2
Environmental Geography and GIS Department, Institute of Geography, Romanian Academy, 12 Dimitrie Racoviţă Street, Sector 2, 023993 Bucharest, Romania
3
Human Geography and Regional Development Department, Institute of Geography, Romanian Academy, 12 Dimitrie Racoviţă Street, Sector 2, 023993 Bucharest, Romania
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Forests 2020, 11(9), 914; https://doi.org/10.3390/f11090914
Received: 17 July 2020 / Revised: 15 August 2020 / Accepted: 18 August 2020 / Published: 20 August 2020
(This article belongs to the Section Forest Inventory, Modeling and Remote Sensing)
The aboveground forest biomass plays a key role in the global carbon cycle and is considered a large and constant carbon reservoir. Hence, exploring the future potential changes in forest-cover pattern can help to estimate the trend of forest biomass and therefore, carbon stock in a certain area. As a result, the present paper attempts to model the potential changes in aboveground forest carbon stock based on the forest-cover pattern scenario simulated for 2050. Specifically, the resulting aboveground forest biomass, estimated for 2015 using the allometric equation based on diameter at breast height and the estimated forest density, was used as baseline data in the present approach. These spatial data were integrated into the forest-cover pattern scenario, predicted by using a spatially explicit model, i.e., the Conversion of Land Use and its Effects at Small regional extent (CLUE-S), in order to estimate the potential variation of aboveground forest carbon stock. Our results suggest an overall increase by approximately 4% in the aboveground forest carbon stock until 2050 in Romania. However, important differences in the forest-cover pattern change were predicted on the regional scale, thus highlighting that the rates of carbon accumulation will change significantly in large areas. This study may increase the knowledge of aboveground forest biomass and the future trend of carbon stock in the European countries. Furthermore, due to their predictive character, the results may provide a background for further studies, in order to investigate the potential ecological, socio-economic and forest management responses to the changes in the aboveground forest carbon stock. However, in view of the uncertainties associated with the data accuracy and methodology used, it is presumed that the results include several spatial errors related to the estimation of aboveground forest biomass and simulation of future forest-cover pattern change and therefore, represent an uncertainty for the practical management of applications and decisions. View Full-Text
Keywords: future aboveground forest carbon stock; forest-cover pattern change scenario; Romania future aboveground forest carbon stock; forest-cover pattern change scenario; Romania
Show Figures

Figure 1

MDPI and ACS Style

Dumitrașcu, M.; Kucsicsa, G.; Dumitrică, C.; Popovici, E.-A.; Vrînceanu, A.; Mitrică, B.; Mocanu, I.; Șerban, P.-R. Estimation of Future Changes in Aboveground Forest Carbon Stock in Romania. A Prediction Based on Forest-Cover Pattern Scenario. Forests 2020, 11, 914. https://doi.org/10.3390/f11090914

AMA Style

Dumitrașcu M, Kucsicsa G, Dumitrică C, Popovici E-A, Vrînceanu A, Mitrică B, Mocanu I, Șerban P-R. Estimation of Future Changes in Aboveground Forest Carbon Stock in Romania. A Prediction Based on Forest-Cover Pattern Scenario. Forests. 2020; 11(9):914. https://doi.org/10.3390/f11090914

Chicago/Turabian Style

Dumitrașcu, Monica, Gheorghe Kucsicsa, Cristina Dumitrică, Elena-Ana Popovici, Alexandra Vrînceanu, Bianca Mitrică, Irena Mocanu, and Paul-Răzvan Șerban. 2020. "Estimation of Future Changes in Aboveground Forest Carbon Stock in Romania. A Prediction Based on Forest-Cover Pattern Scenario" Forests 11, no. 9: 914. https://doi.org/10.3390/f11090914

Find Other Styles
Note that from the first issue of 2016, MDPI journals use article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Article Access Map by Country/Region

1
Back to TopTop