Real-World Clinical Outcomes with First-Line Systemic Treatment and Avelumab Maintenance in US Patients with Locally Advanced or Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma: The SPEAR Bladder-II Study
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Data Source
2.2. Study Design and Population
2.3. Study Measures
2.3.1. Patient Characteristics
2.3.2. Line of Treatment Algorithm and Sequencing
2.3.3. Clinical Outcomes
2.4. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Study Population
3.2. Demographics and Clinical Characteristics
3.3. 1L Treatment Patterns
3.4. Clinical Outcomes
3.4.1. Overall Survival (OS)
3.4.2. Real-World Time to Treatment Discontinuation (rwTTD)
3.4.3. Real-World Time to Next Treatment (rwTTNT)
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Characteristics | Overall * (n = 1658) | IO Monotherapy (n = 683) | Cisplatin-Based Only (n = 305) | Carboplatin-Based Only (n = 233) | Cisplatin with Avelumab 1LM (n = 93) | Carboplatin with Avelumab 1LM (n = 93) | ADCs (n = 147) | Others ** (n = 80) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age at diagnosis (years) | ||||||||
Mean (SD) | 72.7 (10.1) | 76.4 (9.9) | 67.1 (8.7) | 72.5 (9.3) | 66.2 (8.3) | 73.8 (7.3) | 71.7 (9.8) | 72.0 (10.7) |
Median (Min, Max) | 73 (31, 90+) | 78 (41, 90+) | 67 (40, 87) | 74 (31, 90+) | 67 (47, 84) | 74 (50, 89) | 73 (49, 90+) | 72 (40, 90+) |
Gender, n (%) | ||||||||
Female | 420 (25.3) | 186 (27.2) | 59 (19.3) | 60 (25.8) | 26 (28.0) | 18 (19.4) | 35 (23.8) | 26 (32.5) |
Male | 1238 (74.7) | 497 (72.8) | 246 (80.7) | 173 (74.2) | 67 (72.0) | 75 (80.6) | 112 (76.2) | 54 (67.5) |
Race, n (%) | ||||||||
White or Caucasian | 1216 (73.3) | 506 (74.1) | 223 (73.1) | 171 (73.4) | 74 (79.6) | 71 (76.3) | 96 (65.3) | 58 (72.5) |
Other | 192 (11.6) | 71 (10.4) | 37 (12.1) | 28 (12.0) | 11 (11.8) | 8 (8.6) | 18 (12.2) | 15 (18.8) |
Not documented | 250 (15.1) | 106 (15.5) | 45 (14.8) | 34 (14.6) | 8 (8.6) | 14 (15.1) | 33 (22.4) | 7 (8.8) |
BMI (kg/m2) | ||||||||
Mean (SD) | 26.9 (5.4) | 26.4 (5.2) | 27.5 (5.3) | 27.2 (5.5) | 27.3 (6.0) | 27.8 (4.8) | 26.7 (5.4) | 27.4 (6.0) |
Median (Min, Max) | 26.4 (14.4, 46.6) | 25.8 (14.4, 46.6) | 27.1 (16.4, 44.2) | 26.6 (17.1, 44.2) | 26.3 (17.0, 42.7) | 27.1 (17.5, 43.5) | 26.3 (15.4, 46.0) | 27.5 (17.1, 46.1) |
Tobacco Use, n (%) | ||||||||
No history of tobacco use | 279 (16.8) | 115 (16.8) | 58 (19.0) | 34 (14.6) | 15 (16.1) | 20 (21.5) | 19 (12.9) | 13 (16.3) |
Current tobacco use | 136 (8.2) | 39 (5.7) | 43 (14.1) | 25 (10.7) | 9 (9.7) | <5 | 7 (4.8) | 7 (8.8) |
Former tobacco use | 435 (26.2) | 159 (23.3) | 98 (32.1) | 61 (26.2) | 33 (35.5) | 29 (31.2) | 28 (19.0) | 23 (28.8) |
No information | 808 (48.7) | 370 (54.2) | 106 (34.8) | 113 (48.5) | 36 (38.7) | 42 (45.2) | 93 (63.3) | 37 (46.3) |
ECOG PS, n (%) | ||||||||
0 | 213 (12.8) | 81 (11.9) | 56 (18.4) | 27 (11.6) | 19 (20.4) | 7 (7.5) | 14 (9.5) | 8 (10.0) |
1 | 568 (34.3) | 232 (34.0) | 93 (30.5) | 78 (33.5) | 41 (44.1) | 37 (39.8) | 44 (29.9) | 31 (38.8) |
2 | 134 (8.1) | 75 (11.0) | 9 (3.0) | 22 (9.4) | <5 | <5 | 15 (10.2) | 6 (7.5) |
3+ | 23 (1.4) | 17 (2.5) | <5 | <5 | <5 | 0 (0.0) | 0 (0.0) | 0 (0.0) |
No information | 720 (43.4) | 278 (40.7) | 146 (47.9) | 102 (43.8) | 30 (32.3) | 45 (48.4) | 74 (50.3) | 35 (43.8) |
Distant metastatic sites, n (%) | ||||||||
Bone | 79 (4.8) | 19 (2.8) | 17 (5.6) | 17 (7.3) | 9 (9.7) | 5 (5.4) | 5 (3.4) | 5 (6.3) |
Brain | 5 (0.3) | <5 | <5 | <5 | 0 (0.0) | 0 (0.0) | 0 (0.0) | 0 (0.0) |
Liver | 29 (1.7) | 7 (1.0) | 7 (2.3) | 6 (2.6) | <5 | <5 | <5 | <5 |
Lung | 54 (3.3) | 25 (3.7) | 8 (2.6) | 5 (2.1) | <5 | 5 (5.4) | 5 (3.4) | <5 |
Other | 89 (5.4) | 34 (5.0) | 13 (4.3) | 15 (6.4) | 9 (9.7) | 5 (5.4) | 8 (5.4) | <5 |
Index year, n (%) | ||||||||
2019 Q4 | 30 (1.8) | 16 (2.3) | 7 (2.3) | 7 (3.0) | 0 (0.0) | 0 (0.0) | 0 (0.0) | 0 (0.0) |
2020 | 386 (23.3) | 188 (27.5) | 91 (29.8) | 53 (22.7) | 15 (16.1) | 11 (11.8) | 6 (4.1) | 18 (22.5) |
2021 | 422 (25.5) | 177 (25.9) | 88 (28.9) | 74 (31.8) | 24 (25.8) | 21 (22.6) | 11 (7.5) | 19 (23.8) |
2022 | 408 (24.6) | 168 (24.6) | 63 (20.7) | 61 (26.2) | 31 (33.3) | 38 (40.9) | 26 (17.7) | 17 (21.3) |
2023 | 412 (24.8) | 134 (19.6) | 56 (18.4) | 38 (16.3) | 23 (24.7) | 23 (24.7) | 104 (70.7) | 26 (32.5) |
Follow-up duration (months) | ||||||||
Mean (SD) | 12.7 (10.9) | 13.0 (11.1) | 14.1 (12.3) | 12.7 (11.7) | 15.2 (9.4) | 15.3 (9.1) | 6.6 (5.8) | 11.9 (10.1) |
Median (Min, Max) | 9.0 (0.1, 50.4) | 9.4 (0.7, 49.2) | 9.5 (0.1, 49.0) | 8.2 (0.3, 50.4) | 12.2 (3.1, 41.0) | 12.7 (2.1, 45.1) | 5.2 (0.5, 34.7) | 8.2 (1.0, 43.7) |
Clinical Outcomes * | Overall ** (n = 1658) | IO Monotherapy (n = 683) | Cisplatin-Based Only (n = 305) | Carboplatin-Based Only (n = 233) | ADCs (n = 147) | Others *** (n = 80) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall survival (OS) | ||||||
Events, n (%) | 854 (52.3) | 392 (57.4) | 140 (45.9) | 146 (62.7) | 60 (40.8) | 34 (42.5) |
Median, months (95% CI) | 15.3 (13.8, 17.0) | 14.6 (12.6, 17.3) | 20.4 (13.8, 30.0) | 11.0 (8.5, 14.5) | 9.6 (8.0, 11.9) | 17.3 (12.1, 32.1) |
OS probability, % (95% CI) | ||||||
At 6 months | 76.1% (73.8, 78.1) | 72.6% (69.0, 75.9) | 81.8% (76.7, 85.8) | 67.6% (61.1, 73.3) | 72.3% (63.2, 79.6) | 76.3% (64.6, 84.6) |
At 12 months | 56.5% (53.9, 59.1) | 55.0% (50.9, 58.9) | 60.7% (54.4, 66.5) | 47.3% (40.4, 53.8) | 36.2% (24.0, 48.5) | 66.5% (53.2, 76.8) |
At 18 months | 45.5% (42.7, 48.3) | 44.8% (40.5, 48.9) | 50.2% (43.5, 56.5) | 35.1% (28.4, 41.8) | 32.6% (20.1, 45.7) | 48.3% (34.1, 61.2) |
At 24 months | 37.9% (34.9, 40.8) | 35.4% (31.1, 39.8) | 46.7% (39.8, 53.2) | 29.4% (22.9, 36.2) | 26.1% (12.3, 42.1) | 40.8% (25.8, 55.3) |
Real-world time to treatment discontinuation (rwTTD) | ||||||
Events, n (%) | 1414 (86.5) | 589 (86.2) | 291 (95.4) | 224 (96.1) | 95 (64.6) | 73 (91.3) |
Median, months (95% CI) | 3.0 (2.8, 3.4) | 3.7 (3.4, 4.2) | 2.3 (2.1, 2.3) | 2.1 (1.9, 2.3) | 4.4 (3.0, 5.3) | 1.0 (0.8, 1.5) |
rwTTD probability, % (95% CI) | ||||||
At 6 months | 30.5% (28.2, 32.8) | 38.1% (34.5, 41.8) | 3.7% (1.9, 6.5) | 9.0% (5.7, 13.1) | 38.5% (29.9, 47.0) | 17.3% (9.8, 26.6) |
At 12 months | 15.1% (13.3, 17.1) | 20.6% (17.5, 23.9) | 1.0% (0.1, 4.0) | 4.2% (2.0, 7.4) | 20.8% (11.9, 31.4) | 9.2% (3.7, 17.8) |
At 18 months | 9.4% (7.8, 11.2) | 13.5% (10.8, 16.6) | NA | 3.1% (1.3, 6.2) | 15.6% (6.3, 28.7) | 4.6% (1.0, 12.9) |
At 24 months | 6.4% (5.0, 8.0) | 8.9% (6.5, 11.7) | NA | 3.1% (1.3, 6.2) | 15.6% (6.3, 28.7) | NA |
Real-world time to next treatment (rwTTNT) | ||||||
Events, n (%) | 1128 (69.0) | 469 (68.7) | 209 (68.5) | 198 (85.0) | 75 (51.0) | 49 (61.3) |
Median, months (95% CI) | 7.4 (6.9, 7.8) | 8.0 (7.3, 9.1) | 6.5 (5.9, 7.2) | 4.7 (3.9, 5.4) | 6.4 (5.8, 7.6) | 8.0 (6.7, 11.8) |
rwTTNT probability, % (95% CI) | ||||||
At 6 months | 59.4% (56.9, 61.8) | 60.1% (56.2, 63.8) | 55.3% (49.2, 61.0) | 39.2% (32.8, 45.5) | 58.6% (48.9, 67.1) | 62.2% (50.1, 72.2) |
At 12 months | 32.7% (30.2, 35.2) | 37.6% (33.8, 41.5) | 28.0% (22.5, 33.7) | 18.5% (13.6, 24.0) | 26.7% (16.3, 38.2) | 35.8% (23.6, 48.1) |
At 18 months | 25.2% (22.7, 27.6) | 30.7% (26.9, 34.6) | 23.6% (18.4, 29.2) | 13.2% (8.9, 18.2) | 16.9% (7.5, 29.6) | 26.1% (14.9, 38.8) |
At 24 months | 20.0% (17.7, 22.5) | 24.3% (20.5, 28.2) | 21.6% (16.4, 27.2) | 12.0% (8.0, 17.0) | 11.3% (3.0, 25.9) | 11.6% (2.8, 27.2) |
Clinical Outcomes | Avelumab 1LM * (n = 186) | 2L EV Post Avelumab 1LM ** (n = 57) |
---|---|---|
Overall survival (OS) | ||
Events, n (%) | 82 (44.1) | 28 (49.1) |
Median, months (95% CI) | 18.5 (13.8, 23.8) | 12.7 (7.2, 16.5) |
OS probability, % (95% CI) | ||
At 6 months | 77.5% (70.4, 83.1) | 77.7% (63.1, 87.1) |
At 12 months | 61.2% (52.8, 68.6) | 51.1% (33.8, 66.0) |
At 18 months | 51.2% (42.1, 59.5) | 20.2% (7.1, 37.9) |
At 24 months | 38.2% (27.9, 48.3) | NA |
Real-world time to treatment discontinuation (rwTTD) | ||
Events, n (%) | 142 (76.3) | 40 (70.2) |
Median, months (95% CI) | 4.6 (3.5, 5.6) | 4.6 (2.4, 6.7) |
rwTTD probability, % (95% CI) | ||
At 6 months | 38.3% (31.0, 45.6) | 38.5% (24.9, 52.0) |
At 12 months | 19.0% (13.1, 25.7) | 11.4% (3.2, 25.3) |
At 18 months | 13.8% (8.4, 20.5) | 5.7% (0.5, 20.6) |
At 24 months | 11.0% (6.0, 17.8) | NA |
Real-world time to next treatment (rwTTNT) | ||
Events, n (%) | 128 (68.8) | 38 (66.7) |
Median, months (95% CI) | 6.5 (5.6, 7.2) | 6.1 (4.6, 7.9) |
rwTTNT probability, % (95% CI) | ||
At 6 months | 52.4% (44.5, 59.7) | 52.7% (37.6, 65.8) |
At 12 months | 26.0% (19.1, 33.4) | 10.0% (2.7, 23.1) |
At 18 months | 18.5% (12.1, 25.9) | 5.0% (0.5, 18.6) |
At 24 months | 14.7% (8.7, 22.1) | NA |
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Sura, S.; Bupathi, M.; Morris, V.; Conkling, P.; Todoroff, K.; Bhanegaonkar, A.; Ike, C. Real-World Clinical Outcomes with First-Line Systemic Treatment and Avelumab Maintenance in US Patients with Locally Advanced or Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma: The SPEAR Bladder-II Study. Curr. Oncol. 2025, 32, 187. https://doi.org/10.3390/curroncol32040187
Sura S, Bupathi M, Morris V, Conkling P, Todoroff K, Bhanegaonkar A, Ike C. Real-World Clinical Outcomes with First-Line Systemic Treatment and Avelumab Maintenance in US Patients with Locally Advanced or Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma: The SPEAR Bladder-II Study. Current Oncology. 2025; 32(4):187. https://doi.org/10.3390/curroncol32040187
Chicago/Turabian StyleSura, Sneha, Manojkumar Bupathi, Valerie Morris, Paul Conkling, Karen Todoroff, Abhijeet Bhanegaonkar, and Chiemeka Ike. 2025. "Real-World Clinical Outcomes with First-Line Systemic Treatment and Avelumab Maintenance in US Patients with Locally Advanced or Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma: The SPEAR Bladder-II Study" Current Oncology 32, no. 4: 187. https://doi.org/10.3390/curroncol32040187
APA StyleSura, S., Bupathi, M., Morris, V., Conkling, P., Todoroff, K., Bhanegaonkar, A., & Ike, C. (2025). Real-World Clinical Outcomes with First-Line Systemic Treatment and Avelumab Maintenance in US Patients with Locally Advanced or Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma: The SPEAR Bladder-II Study. Current Oncology, 32(4), 187. https://doi.org/10.3390/curroncol32040187