Rethinking the Fertility Transition in Rural Aragón (Spain) Using Height Data
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Area, Data and Methods
2.1. Area
2.2. Data
2.3. Methods
2.4. Fertility Control Using Stopping
3. Results
3.1. The Pioneers of the Fertility Transition
Demographic factors such as the fertility rate, infant mortality or the type of household (in particular, the ratio between adult women and dependent individuals within the household), decisively condition the availability of women for paid employment: the number of hours, the times of their life cycle and the type of employment in which they can occupy. And it also explains the relationship between the massive diffusion of contraceptive means in the second half of the 20th century and the fall in fertility and the continued increase in the female activity rate in all developed countries.[84]
3.2. The Effect of the Fertility Transition on the Biological Well-Being of Offspring
3.3. Family Group
4. Discussion
Limitations
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
1870–1969 | 1870–1899 | 1900–1919 | 1920–1939 | 1940–1969 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Short | 56.6 | 44.7 | 56.6 | 57.2 | 62.3 |
Medium | 56.4 | 44.4 | 55.7 | 62.7 | 50.8 |
Tall | 51.3 | 32.3 | 51.4 | 55.3 | 52.9 |
1870–1959 | 1870–1899 | 1900–1929 | 1930–1959 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Short | 26.4 | 25.5 | 26.1 | 27.2 |
Medium | 26.5 | 25.9 | 26.4 | 26.9 |
Tall | 26.1 | 25.0 | 25.9 | 26.8 |
Controllers | 1890–1969 | 1890–1909 | 1910–1929 | 1930–1949 | 1950–1969 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0–2 people | 43.6 | 38.8 | 44.3 | 43.7 | 44.1 |
3–5 people | 43.7 | 53.1 | 40.1 | 44.0 | 44.1 |
6 or more people | 12.7 | 8.1 | 15.6 | 12.3 | 11.8 |
Others | 1890–1969 | 1890–1909 | 1910–1929 | 1930–1949 | 1950–1969 |
0–2 people | 44.5 | 54.2 | 43.3 | 43.2 | 35.3 |
3–5 people | 45.0 | 40.4 | 46.1 | 43.8 | 51.9 |
6 or more people | 10.5 | 5.4 | 10.6 | 13.0 | 12.8 |
Decade | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1890 | 113 | 163.7 | 0.5 | 162.7 | 164.8 |
1900 | 312 | 163.7 | 0.3 | 163.1 | 164.4 |
1910 | 300 | 164.3 | 0.4 | 163.6 | 165.1 |
1920 | 561 | 164.5 | 0.3 | 164.0 | 165.0 |
1930 | 463 | 166.4 | 0.3 | 166.0 | 167.0 |
1940 | 386 | 167.5 | 0.3 | 167.0 | 168.1 |
1950 | 251 | 168.3 | 0.4 | 167.6 | 169.1 |
1960 | 113 | 170.1 | 0.6 | 169.0 | 171.3 |
1970 | 11 | 172.2 | 2.3 | 167.2 | 177.4 |
Controllers | Others | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Decade | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | ||
1870 | 4 | 164.1 | 1.6 | 158.9 | 169.4 | 11 | 164.2 | 1.1 | 161.8 | 166.6 |
1880 | 8 | 161.1 | 1.8 | 156.8 | 165.4 | 10 | 164.1 | 2.5 | 158.6 | 169.7 |
1890 | 16 | 162.3 | 1.5 | 159.2 | 165.4 | 6 | 163.5 | 1.9 | 158.7 | 168.4 |
1900 | 48 | 165.1 | 0.8 | 163.5 | 166.7 | 19 | 165.3 | 1.5 | 162.3 | 168.5 |
1910 | 23 | 165.8 | 1.3 | 163.1 | 168.6 | 28 | 164.7 | 1.2 | 162.3 | 167.2 |
1920 | 63 | 165.2 | 0.6 | 164.1 | 166.3 | 39 | 165.9 | 1.1 | 163.7 | 168.1 |
1930 | 44 | 167.9 | 0.9 | 166.1 | 169.8 | 32 | 166.2 | 0.9 | 164.4 | 168.0 |
1940 | 19 | 164.9 | 1.0 | 162.7 | 167.1 | 25 | 167.5 | 0.9 | 165.5 | 169.4 |
1950 | 23 | 168.6 | 1.1 | 166.4 | 170.8 | 22 | 168.2 | 1.1 | 165.8 | 170.6 |
1960 | 10 | 169.7 | 1.7 | 165.8 | 173.6 | 3 | 174.3 | 2.3 | 164.3 | 184.3 |
Controllers | Others | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Decade | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | ||
1870 | - | 161.0 | - | - | - | 7 | 162.2 | 2.1 | 157.1 | 167.3 |
1880 | 2 | 160.2 | 0.2 | 157.1 | 163.4 | - | 160.5 | - | - | - |
1890 | - | 161.0 | - | - | - | - | 164.0 | - | - | - |
1900 | 8 | 160.9 | 0.6 | 159.5 | 162.3 | 12 | 164.2 | 1.1 | 161.8 | 166.7 |
1910 | 11 | 166.0 | 2.1 | 161.3 | 170.7 | 16 | 165.2 | 1.9 | 161.3 | 169.1 |
1920 | 29 | 165.6 | 1.0 | 163.7 | 167.6 | 15 | 166.0 | 1.6 | 162.6 | 169.4 |
1930 | 32 | 166.4 | 1.0 | 164.4 | 168.5 | 17 | 168.5 | 1.3 | 165.8 | 171.3 |
1940 | 20 | 168.9 | 1.0 | 166.8 | 171.1 | 18 | 170.5 | 1.2 | 167.9 | 173.0 |
1950 | 14 | 169.0 | 1.0 | 166.8 | 171.3 | 8 | 170.5 | 1.8 | 166.1 | 174.8 |
1960 | 4 | 175.5 | 2.3 | 168.1 | 182.9 | 7 | 170.0 | 1.5 | 166.2 | 173.8 |
Controllers | Others | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Decade | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | ||
1890 | 6 | 162.0 | 2.5 | 155.7 | 168.4 | 53 | 162.6 | 0.8 | 161.0 | 164.2 |
1900 | 19 | 165.1 | 1.2 | 162.6 | 167.6 | 133 | 164.4 | 0.5 | 163.3 | 165.5 |
1910 | 28 | 165.1 | 1.2 | 162.7 | 167.5 | 123 | 163.4 | 0.6 | 162.1 | 164.7 |
1920 | 88 | 164.8 | 0.7 | 163.4 | 166.3 | 173 | 164.0 | 0.5 | 163.0 | 164.9 |
1930 | 104 | 167.0 | 0.5 | 166.0 | 168.1 | 147 | 165.5 | 0.5 | 164.4 | 166.6 |
1940 | 82 | 167.7 | 0.7 | 166.3 | 169.2 | 146 | 166.5 | 0.5 | 165.5 | 167.5 |
1950 | 56 | 169.2 | 0.8 | 167.5 | 170.9 | 88 | 167.5 | 0.7 | 166.1 | 168.8 |
1960 | 26 | 170.7 | 1.4 | 167.9 | 173.6 | 35 | 168.8 | 1.0 | 166.7 | 170.9 |
1970 | 4 | 172.7 | 5.0 | 156.7 | 188.7 | 1 | 160.0 | - | - | - |
Controllers | Others | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Decade | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | ||
1890 | 1 | 162.0 | - | - | - | 10 | 163.4 | 1.6 | 159.7 | 167.0 |
1900 | 12 | 165.5 | 1.5 | 162.3 | 168.8 | 22 | 161.9 | 1.1 | 159.6 | 164.3 |
1910 | 9 | 165.8 | 2.5 | 160.0 | 171.5 | 50 | 165.0 | 1.0 | 163.1 | 167.0 |
1920 | 25 | 166.0 | 1.4 | 163.0 | 169.0 | 77 | 165.4 | 0.6 | 164.2 | 166.6 |
1930 | 50 | 167.1 | 0.9 | 165.3 | 168.8 | 72 | 165.8 | 0.7 | 164.5 | 167.1 |
1940 | 35 | 168.8 | 1.3 | 166.1 | 171.5 | 49 | 168.3 | 0.8 | 166.7 | 169.8 |
1950 | 23 | 170.0 | 1.0 | 168.1 | 172.0 | 19 | 168.7 | 1.3 | 165.9 | 171.5 |
1960 | 12 | 170.0 | 1.7 | 166.2 | 173.8 | 8 | 168.6 | 2.0 | 163.8 | 173.4 |
1970 | 1 | 174.0 | - | - | - | 1 | 166.0 | - | - | - |
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Population | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
1860 | 1900 | 1940 | 1981 | |
Alfamén | 604 | 639 | 1347 | 1283 |
Aylés | 45 | 26 | 47 | 0 |
Botorrita | 294 | 350 | 557 | 382 |
Codos | 1232 | 1195 | 938 | 355 |
Cosuenda | 1451 | 1270 | 929 | 482 |
Jaulín | 390 | 348 | 528 | 334 |
Longares | 1120 | 1329 | 1385 | 959 |
Mezalocha | 544 | 482 | 660 | 357 |
Mozota | 292 | 372 | 404 | 158 |
Muel | 1223 | 1206 | 1605 | 1330 |
Torrecilla de Valmadrid | 164 | 77 | 94 | 32 |
Tosos | 682 | 865 | 801 | 297 |
Valmadrid | 203 | 210 | 219 | 89 |
Villanueva de Huerva | 690 | 970 | 1158 | 771 |
TOTAL | 7926 | 8196 | 10,672 | 6829 |
Birth Decade | Number of Obs. | Birth Decade | Number of Obs. |
---|---|---|---|
1890s | 113 | 1940s | 386 |
1900s | 312 | 1950s | 251 |
1910s | 330 | 1960s | 113 |
1920s | 561 | 1970s | 11 |
1930s | 463 | TOTAL | 2510 |
Sons | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Short | Medium | Tall | ||
FATHERS | Short | 59 | 26 | 15 |
Medium | 32 | 50 | 18 | |
Tall | 9 | 24 | 67 |
Sons | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Short | Medium | Tall | ||
FATHERS | Short | 45 | 45 | 10 |
Medium | 29 | 26 | 45 | |
Tall | 26 | 29 | 45 |
Controllers | Others | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Decade | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | ||
1870 | 8 | 162.0 | 1.3 | 159.1 | 165.1 | 25 | 162.8 | 0.9 | 160.9 | 164.7 |
1880 | 15 | 161.4 | 1.0 | 159.2 | 163.7 | 25 | 163.1 | 1.2 | 160.6 | 165.6 |
1890 | 29 | 163.8 | 1.1 | 162.8 | 164.9 | 24 | 165.7 | 1.0 | 163.7 | 167.8 |
1900 | 107 | 163.9 | 0.5 | 162.8 | 164.9 | 70 | 164.2 | 0.7 | 162.8 | 165.7 |
1910 | 62 | 164.7 | 0.7 | 163.3 | 166.2 | 71 | 165.5 | 0.8 | 164.0 | 167.0 |
1920 | 153 | 164.9 | 0.4 | 164.2 | 165.7 | 106 | 166.0 | 0.6 | 164.8 | 167.2 |
1930 | 98 | 167.2 | 0.6 | 166.1 | 168.3 | 70 | 167.3 | 0.6 | 166.1 | 168.6 |
1940 | 61 | 167.1 | 0.6 | 165.9 | 168.4 | 54 | 169.1 | 0.7 | 167.7 | 170.6 |
1950 | 48 | 168.7 | 0.7 | 167.4 | 170.1 | 39 | 168.4 | 0.9 | 166.6 | 170.2 |
1960 | 24 | 170.7 | 1.2 | 168.2 | 173.3 | 13 | 171.6 | 1.3 | 168.9 | 174.4 |
1820s–1860s | 1870s | 1880s | 1890s | 1900s | 1910s | 1920s | 1930s | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Whole group | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Controllers | - | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Others | - | 4.1 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
Controllers | Others | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Decade | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | Observation | Average | Standard Deviation | 95% Confidence Interval | ||
1890 | 15 | 163.5 | 1.4 | 160.5 | 166.5 | 98 | 163.8 | 0.6 | 162.6 | 164.9 |
1900 | 50 | 164.3 | 0.8 | 162.7 | 166.0 | 262 | 163.6 | 0.4 | 162.9 | 164.4 |
1910 | 55 | 164.8 | 0.8 | 163.2 | 166.5 | 245 | 164.2 | 0.4 | 163.4 | 165.1 |
1920 | 164 | 164.9 | 0.5 | 163.9 | 165.9 | 397 | 164.3 | 0.3 | 163.8 | 165.0 |
1930 | 195 | 167.2 | 0.4 | 166.4 | 168.0 | 268 | 165.9 | 0.4 | 165.2 | 166.6 |
1940 | 156 | 168.1 | 0.5 | 167.1 | 169.2 | 230 | 167.1 | 0.4 | 166.4 | 167.9 |
1950 | 110 | 169.2 | 0.6 | 168.1 | 170.3 | 141 | 167.6 | 0.5 | 166.6 | 168.6 |
1960 | 51 | 171.3 | 0.9 | 169.4 | 173.2 | 62 | 169.2 | 0.8 | 167.7 | 170.7 |
1970 | 8 | 174.2 | 2.5 | 168.3 | 180.1 | 3 | 167.0 | 4.4 | 148.2 | 185.7 |
Dependent Variable: Height at 21 Years (Min. 1300 mm–Max. 1950 mm) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Categories | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
Controllers | No (ref.) | ||||||
Yes | 10.11 *** (2.67) | 16.53 *** (2.74) | 9.81 *** (2.67) | 9.85 *** (2.67) | 13.10 *** (2.96) | 10.96 *** (2.83) | |
Father’s occupation | Farmer (ref.) | ||||||
Low skilled worker | −8.01 * (3.41) | −5.65 ** (3.40) | −5.63 * (3.40) | −8.01 ** (3.40) | −5.63 * (3.40) | ||
Artisan | 1.50 (6.69) | 2.34 (6.45) | 2.44 (6.44) | 0.33 (6.68) | 2.70 (6.45) | ||
Upper class | 29.56 *** (9.36) | 21.71 ** (10.47) | 21.32 ** (10.46) | 29.31 *** (9.33) | 20.59 ** (10.47) | ||
Other or unknown | −13.45 *** (4.03) | −3.01 (3.99) | −3.78 (3.99) | −13.10 *** (4.02) | −3.67 (3.99) | ||
Literacy | Illiterate (ref.) | ||||||
Literate | 14.77 ** (6.29) | 1.98 (6.12) | 1.50 * (6.11) | 12.38 * (6.30) | 1.92 (6.12) | ||
Unknown | −16.05 (12.00) | −11.53 (11.43) | −11.95 (11.41) | −15.22 (11.96) | −12.10 (11.41) | ||
Exemption appeals | No (ref.) | ||||||
Physical | −12.14 *** (3.92) | −14.58 *** (4.11) | −12.06 *** (3.92) | ||||
Social | 8.34 (7.72) | −11.55 (7.82) | 8.56 (7.72) | ||||
Number of living siblings (>5 years) | 0–1 (ref.) | ||||||
2–3 | −10.56 ** (3.67) | −0.30 (3.55) | |||||
4–6 | −13.79 *** (3.95) | 1.46 (3.96) | |||||
7+ | −10.41 ** (5.01) | 7.22 (5.06) | |||||
Intercept | 1629.5 *** (6.90) | 1632.1 *** (6.78) | 1646.1 *** (9.03) | 1635.0 *** (9.09) | 1661.0 *** (7.63) | 1632.2 *** (9.90) | |
Village fixed-effects | YES | NO | YES | YES | NO | YES | |
Birth decade fixed-effects | YES | NO | YES | YES | NO | YES | |
Sample size | 2510 | 2510 | 2510 | 2510 | 2510 | 2510 | |
Adjusted R2 | 0.144 | 0.150 | 0.037 | 0.154 | 0.047 | 0.155 |
1890–1969 | 1890–1909 | 1910–1929 | 1930–1949 | 1950–1969 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0–2 people | 165.4 | 163.6 | 164.0 | 166.4 | 168.8 |
3–5 people | 165.9 | 163.7 | 164.5 | 166.6 | 169.1 |
6 or more people | 167.0 | 162.6 | 165.9 | 168.1 | 169.1 |
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Marco-Gracia, F.J.; López-Antón, M. Rethinking the Fertility Transition in Rural Aragón (Spain) Using Height Data. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, 8338. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18168338
Marco-Gracia FJ, López-Antón M. Rethinking the Fertility Transition in Rural Aragón (Spain) Using Height Data. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2021; 18(16):8338. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18168338
Chicago/Turabian StyleMarco-Gracia, Francisco J., and Margarita López-Antón. 2021. "Rethinking the Fertility Transition in Rural Aragón (Spain) Using Height Data" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18, no. 16: 8338. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph18168338