Search Results (3)

The glaciers in the High Mountain Asia (HMA) region are highly vulnerable to global warming, posing significant threats to downstream populations and infrastructure through glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs). The monitoring and early warnings of these events are challenging due to sparse observations in these remote regions. To explore reproducing the evolution of GLOFs with sparse observations in situ, this study focuses on the outburst event and corresponding GLOFs in August 2018 caused by the Kyagar Glacier lake, a typical glacier lake of the HMA in the Karakoram, which is known for its frequent outburst events, using a combination of multi-satellite remote sensing data (Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2) and the HEC-RAS hydrodynamic model. The water depth of the glacier lake and downstream was extracted from satellite data adapted by the Floodwater Depth Elevation Tool (FwDET) as a baseline to compare them with simulations. The elevation-water volume curve was obtained by extrapolation and was applied to calculate the water surface elevation (WSE). The inundation of the downstream of the lake outburst was obtained through flood modeling by incorporating a load elevation-water volume curve and the Digital Elevation Model (DEM) into the hydrodynamic model HEC-RAS. The results showed that the Kyagar glacial lake outburst was rapid and destructive, accompanied by strong currents at the end of each downstream storage ladder. A series of meteorological evaluation indicators showed that HEC-RAS reproduced the medium and low streamflow rates well. This study demonstrated the value of integrating remote sensing and hydrodynamic modeling into GLOF assessments in data-scarce regions, providing insights for disaster risk management and mitigation. Full article

Glaciers experience periodic variations in flow velocity called surges, each of which influences the glacier’s characteristics and the occurrence of downstream disasters (e.g., ice-dammed lake outburst floods). The Karakoram region contains many surging glaciers, yet there are few comprehensive studies of multiple surge cycles. In this work, Landsat, topographic map, Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM), TerraSAR-X/TanDEM-X, ITS_LIVE, and Sentinel-1 glacier velocity data were used to systematically analyze the characteristics of Kyagar Glacier since the 1970s. Three surging events were identified, with active phases in 1975–1978, 1995–1997, and 2014–2016. The timing of these surges was similar, with a cycle of 19–20 years, an active phase of 3–4 years, and a quiescent phase of 16–17 years. During the quiescent phase, a large amount of ice accumulates in the lower part of the accumulation zone, and the terminal of the tongue thins significantly. According to the most recent surge event (2014–2016), glacier flow accelerated suddenly in the active phase and reached a maximum velocity of 2 ± 0.08 m d⁻¹. Then, the glacier terminal thickened sharply, the reservoir zone thinned by 12 ± 0.2 m, and the terminal receiving zone thickened by 28 ± 0.2 m. The glacier may have entered a quiescent phase after July 2016. The glacier surge causes a large amount of material to transfer from upstream to downstream, forming an ice dam and creating conditions for a glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF). At the termination of the active phase, the subglacial drainage channel became effective, triggering the GLOF. For a period of the quiescent phase, the glacier ablation intensifies and the GLOF repeats constantly. One surge caused 7–8 GLOFs, and then a continuous reduction in the ice dam elevation. Eventually, the ice dam disappeared, and the GLOF no longer continued before the next glacier-surging event. Full article

Early recognition of glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) is required for timely and cost-effective remedial efforts to be implemented. Although the formation of ice-dammed lakes is known to begin as a pond or river that was blocked by ice from the glacier terminus, the relationship between glacier dynamics and lake development is not well understood. Using a time-series of Sentinel-1A synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data acquired just before and after the lake outburst event in 2018, information is presented on the dynamic characteristics of Kyagar Glacier and its ice-dammed lake. Glacier velocity data derived from interferometry show that the glacier tongue experienced an accelerated advance (maximum velocity of 20 cm/day) just one month before the lake outburst, and a decreased velocity (maximum of 13 cm/day) afterward. Interferometric and backscattering properties of this region provide valuable insight into the diverse glaciated environment. Furthermore, daily temperature and total precipitation data derived from the ECMWF re-analysis (ERA)Interim highlight the importance of the sustained high-temperature driving force, supporting empirical observations from previous studies. The spatial and temporal resolution offered by the Sentinel-1A data allows variations in the glacier surface motion and lake evolution to be detected, meaning that the interaction mechanism between the glacial lake and the associated glacier can be explored. Although the glacier surge provided the boundary conditions favorable for lake formation, the short-term high temperatures and precipitation caused the melting of ice dams and also a rapid increase in the amount of water stored, which accelerated the potential for a lake outburst. Full article